CAP
Cap · Ethereum · lstm_s5
- token id
- #71
- symbol
- CAP
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-26
- predictions
- 327
Track record at +30d
assessed
79
of 109 predictions shown
direction hit
13.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.7745
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1383
actual +0.6198
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.066581 | 0.058848 | -11.61% | – | pending | – | – | -0.52 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.068735 | 0.060908 | -11.39% | – | pending | – | – | -0.57 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.066889 | 0.059474 | -11.08% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.070477 | 0.062331 | -11.56% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.073935 | 0.065113 | -11.93% | – | pending | – | – | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.072748 | 0.06407 | -11.93% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07849 | 0.068771 | -12.38% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.073752 | 0.064742 | -12.22% | – | pending | – | – | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.088248 | 0.07705 | -12.69% | – | pending | – | – | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.097059 | 0.084287 | -13.16% | – | pending | – | – | -0.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.092361 | 0.080475 | -12.87% | – | pending | – | – | -0.86 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.092402 | 0.080453 | -12.93% | – | pending | – | – | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.086635 | 0.075631 | -12.70% | – | pending | – | – | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.073139 | 0.064392 | -11.96% | – | pending | – | – | -0.90 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.07128 | 0.062897 | -11.76% | – | pending | – | – | -0.94 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.087975 | 0.075902 | -13.72% | – | pending | – | – | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.073941 | 0.064583 | -12.66% | – | pending | – | – | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.065278 | 0.057598 | -11.76% | – | pending | – | – | -1.12 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.069035 | 0.061104 | -11.49% | – | pending | – | – | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.074028 | 0.065234 | -11.88% | – | pending | – | – | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.069846 | 0.061511 | -11.93% | – | pending | – | – | -1.08 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069306 | 0.060939 | -12.07% | – | pending | – | – | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.059839 | 0.052947 | -11.52% | – | pending | – | – | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.056407 | 0.049883 | -11.57% | – | pending | – | – | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.053595 | 0.047381 | -11.60% | – | pending | – | – | -1.21 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.051578 | 0.045636 | -11.52% | – | pending | – | – | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.052128 | 0.046184 | -11.40% | – | pending | – | – | -1.17 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.049949 | 0.044271 | -11.37% | – | pending | – | – | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.053106 | 0.046863 | -11.75% | – | pending | – | – | -1.16 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.046809 | 0.041369 | -11.62% | – | pending | – | – | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.045872 | 0.040594 | -11.51% | 0.066581 | +45.14% | 0.4442 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.044741 | 0.039309 | -12.14% | 0.068735 | +53.63% | 0.5861 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.047769 | 0.041759 | -12.58% | 0.066889 | +40.02% | 0.4805 | ✗ | -1.27 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.05581 | 0.048964 | -12.27% | 0.070477 | +26.28% | 0.3818 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.054984 | 0.047999 | -12.70% | 0.073935 | +34.47% | 0.5214 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.060022 | 0.052473 | -12.58% | 0.072748 | +21.20% | 0.4220 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.057324 | 0.049132 | -14.29% | 0.07849 | +36.92% | 0.5853 | ✗ | -1.41 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.064413 | 0.053595 | -16.79% | 0.073752 | +14.50% | 0.3887 | ✗ | -1.64 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.047068 | 0.04015 | -14.70% | 0.088248 | +87.49% | 0.9298 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.044869 | 0.038664 | -13.83% | 0.097059 | +116.32% | 1.0216 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.04448 | 0.038513 | -13.42% | 0.092361 | +107.64% | 1.0192 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.045466 | 0.039365 | -13.42% | 0.092402 | +103.23% | 0.9966 | ✗ | -1.79 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.047448 | 0.040964 | -13.67% | 0.086635 | +82.59% | 0.8487 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.046785 | 0.040631 | -13.15% | 0.073139 | +56.33% | 0.6641 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.046622 | 0.040753 | -12.59% | 0.07128 | +52.89% | 0.6566 | ✗ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.042957 | 0.038132 | -11.23% | 0.087975 | +104.80% | 0.9530 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.044706 | 0.03963 | -11.35% | 0.073941 | +65.39% | 0.7568 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.045241 | 0.040444 | -10.61% | 0.065278 | +44.29% | 0.6320 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.04878 | 0.043632 | -10.55% | 0.069035 | +41.52% | 0.5417 | ✗ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.072695 | 0.06394 | -12.04% | 0.074028 | +1.83% | 0.2694 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.070557 | 0.062121 | -11.96% | 0.069846 | -1.01% | 0.2438 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.068387 | 0.060241 | -11.91% | 0.069306 | +1.34% | 0.2255 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.068164 | 0.060021 | -11.95% | 0.059839 | -12.21% | 0.0996 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.069214 | 0.060668 | -12.35% | 0.056407 | -18.50% | 0.0180 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.069928 | 0.061122 | -12.59% | 0.053595 | -23.36% | 0.0167 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.066045 | 0.057718 | -12.61% | 0.051578 | -21.90% | 0.0414 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.070614 | 0.061181 | -13.36% | 0.052128 | -26.18% | 0.0743 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.069435 | 0.059882 | -13.76% | 0.049949 | -28.06% | 0.0819 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.068823 | 0.059282 | -13.86% | 0.053106 | -22.84% | 0.0181 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.069367 | 0.059579 | -14.11% | 0.046809 | -32.52% | 0.0977 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.070097 | 0.060048 | -14.34% | 0.045872 | -34.56% | 0.1077 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.067073 | 0.057863 | -13.73% | 0.044741 | -33.30% | 0.2080 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.064753 | 0.055836 | -13.77% | 0.047769 | -26.23% | 0.0368 | ✓ | -1.81 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.067798 | 0.058159 | -14.22% | 0.05581 | -17.68% | 0.2519 | ✗ | -1.90 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.068975 | 0.059059 | -14.38% | 0.054984 | -20.28% | 0.3415 | ✗ | -2.49 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.070634 | 0.060572 | -14.24% | 0.060022 | -15.02% | 0.4041 | ✗ | -2.48 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.067132 | 0.057852 | -13.82% | 0.057324 | -14.61% | 0.4932 | ✗ | -2.72 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.062121 | 0.053962 | -13.13% | 0.064413 | +3.69% | 0.7589 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.065324 | 0.055586 | -14.91% | 0.047068 | -27.95% | 0.3699 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.056743 | 0.049291 | -13.13% | 0.044869 | -20.93% | 0.4223 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.055292 | 0.048195 | -12.83% | 0.04448 | -19.55% | 0.4347 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.054776 | 0.047204 | -13.82% | 0.045466 | -17.00% | 0.4503 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.046134 | 0.039821 | -13.69% | 0.047448 | +2.85% | 0.6854 | ✗ | -2.52 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.039386 | 0.03439 | -12.69% | 0.046785 | +18.79% | 0.7517 | ✗ | -2.33 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.036911 | 0.0323 | -12.49% | 0.046622 | +26.31% | 0.8248 | ✗ | -2.32 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.035967 | 0.031372 | -12.78% | 0.042957 | +19.43% | 0.8083 | ✗ | -2.31 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.030811 | 0.026635 | -13.55% | 0.044706 | +45.10% | 1.0502 | ✗ | -2.45 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.02783 | 0.02414 | -13.26% | 0.045241 | +62.57% | 1.1298 | ✗ | -2.39 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.025369 | 0.021982 | -13.35% | 0.04878 | +92.28% | 1.3858 | ✗ | -2.47 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.027598 | 0.023854 | -13.56% | 0.072695 | +163.41% | 1.5921 | ✗ | -2.42 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.029535 | 0.025409 | -13.97% | 0.070557 | +138.90% | 1.5038 | ✗ | -2.44 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.027282 | 0.023383 | -14.29% | 0.068387 | +150.67% | 1.6467 | ✗ | -2.55 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.039226 | 0.031551 | -19.57% | 0.068164 | +73.77% | 1.3313 | ✗ | -2.65 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.034526 | 0.027932 | -19.10% | 0.069214 | +100.47% | 1.3818 | ✗ | -2.50 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.026065 | 0.021786 | -16.42% | 0.069928 | +168.28% | 1.7404 | ✗ | -2.91 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.027298 | 0.022478 | -17.66% | 0.066045 | +141.93% | 1.7454 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.024081 | 0.020322 | -15.61% | 0.070614 | +193.23% | 1.8760 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.022534 | 0.019423 | -13.80% | 0.069435 | +208.14% | 1.8166 | ✗ | -2.95 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.020987 | 0.018344 | -12.60% | 0.068823 | +227.92% | 1.1165 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.02708 | 0.022446 | -17.11% | 0.069367 | +156.16% | 0.9353 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.023588 | 0.020258 | -14.11% | 0.070097 | +197.18% | 1.0720 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.021176 | 0.018628 | -12.03% | 0.067073 | +216.74% | 1.1112 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.019997 | 0.017767 | -11.15% | 0.064753 | +223.81% | 1.2001 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.02103 | 0.018542 | -11.83% | 0.067798 | +222.39% | 1.2357 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.018488 | 0.01651 | -10.70% | 0.068975 | +273.09% | 1.4298 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.018888 | 0.016862 | -10.72% | 0.070634 | +273.96% | 1.4374 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.018668 | 0.016682 | -10.64% | 0.067132 | +259.62% | 1.4090 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.018416 | 0.016497 | -10.42% | 0.062121 | +237.32% | 1.3378 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.018352 | 0.016484 | -10.18% | 0.065324 | +255.95% | 1.4042 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.016452 | 0.014865 | -9.65% | 0.056743 | +244.90% | 1.3639 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.019108 | 0.017097 | -10.53% | 0.055292 | +189.36% | 1.1555 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.017007 | 0.015308 | -9.99% | 0.054776 | +222.08% | 1.2782 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.015945 | 0.014414 | -9.60% | 0.046134 | +189.33% | 1.1612 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.019616 | 0.017598 | -10.28% | 0.039386 | +100.79% | 0.7944 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.021747 | 0.019474 | -10.45% | 0.036911 | +69.73% | 0.6124 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.022573 | 0.020176 | -10.62% | 0.035967 | +59.34% | 0.5364 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.020944 | 0.018824 | -10.12% | 0.030811 | +47.11% | 0.4780 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.02124 | 0.01916 | -9.79% | 0.02783 | +31.02% | 0.3639 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.023265 | 0.02088 | -10.25% | 0.025369 | +9.04% | 0.1874 | ✗ | 1.00 |