CAP
Cap · Ethereum · lstm_s5
- token id
- #71
- symbol
- CAP
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-26
- predictions
- 330
Track record at +1d
assessed
109
of 110 predictions shown
direction hit
37.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0829
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0102
actual +0.0136
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.069027 | 0.06848 | -0.79% | – | pending | – | – | -0.47 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.06897 | 0.068562 | -0.59% | 0.069027 | +0.08% | 0.0080 | ✗ | -0.53 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.068735 | 0.068386 | -0.51% | 0.06897 | +0.34% | 0.0160 | ✗ | -0.57 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.066889 | 0.066664 | -0.34% | 0.068735 | +2.76% | 0.0385 | ✗ | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.070477 | 0.070142 | -0.48% | 0.066889 | -5.09% | 0.0488 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.073935 | 0.0735 | -0.59% | 0.070477 | -4.68% | 0.0374 | ✓ | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.072748 | 0.072352 | -0.54% | 0.073935 | +1.63% | 0.0208 | ✗ | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07849 | 0.077886 | -0.77% | 0.072748 | -7.32% | 0.0730 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.073752 | 0.073256 | -0.67% | 0.07849 | +6.42% | 0.0733 | ✗ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.088248 | 0.087212 | -1.17% | 0.073752 | -16.43% | 0.1814 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.097059 | 0.095334 | -1.78% | 0.088248 | -9.08% | 0.0654 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.092361 | 0.09118 | -1.28% | 0.097059 | +5.09% | 0.0423 | ✗ | -0.86 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.092402 | 0.090873 | -1.65% | 0.092361 | -0.04% | 0.0247 | ✗ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.086635 | 0.085551 | -1.25% | 0.092402 | +6.66% | 0.0811 | ✗ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.073139 | 0.072378 | -1.04% | 0.086635 | +18.45% | 0.1892 | ✗ | -0.90 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.07128 | 0.070427 | -1.20% | 0.073139 | +2.61% | 0.0197 | ✗ | -0.94 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.087975 | 0.08616 | -2.06% | 0.07128 | -18.98% | 0.2209 | ✓ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.073941 | 0.073216 | -0.98% | 0.087975 | +18.98% | 0.1808 | ✗ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.065278 | 0.064734 | -0.83% | 0.073941 | +13.27% | 0.1232 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.069035 | 0.068287 | -1.08% | 0.065278 | -5.44% | 0.0224 | ✓ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.074028 | 0.072632 | -1.89% | 0.069035 | -6.74% | 0.0477 | ✓ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.069846 | 0.068801 | -1.50% | 0.074028 | +5.99% | 0.0689 | ✗ | -1.08 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069306 | 0.068466 | -1.21% | 0.069846 | +0.78% | 0.0371 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.059839 | 0.059283 | -0.93% | 0.069306 | +15.82% | 0.1551 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.056407 | 0.055943 | -0.82% | 0.059839 | +6.09% | 0.0699 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.053595 | 0.053197 | -0.74% | 0.056407 | +5.25% | 0.0441 | ✗ | -1.21 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.051578 | 0.051202 | -0.73% | 0.053595 | +3.91% | 0.0463 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.052128 | 0.051721 | -0.78% | 0.051578 | -1.05% | 0.0017 | ✓ | -1.17 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.049949 | 0.049554 | -0.79% | 0.052128 | +4.36% | 0.0466 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.053106 | 0.052623 | -0.91% | 0.049949 | -5.94% | 0.0521 | ✓ | -1.16 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.046809 | 0.046469 | -0.73% | 0.053106 | +13.45% | 0.1100 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.045872 | 0.04551 | -0.79% | 0.046809 | +2.04% | 0.0231 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.044741 | 0.044328 | -0.92% | 0.045872 | +2.53% | 0.1158 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.047769 | 0.047133 | -1.33% | 0.044741 | -6.34% | 0.0532 | ✓ | -1.27 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.05581 | 0.055239 | -1.02% | 0.047769 | -14.41% | 0.1397 | ✓ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.054984 | 0.054303 | -1.24% | 0.05581 | +1.50% | 0.1081 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.060022 | 0.059019 | -1.67% | 0.054984 | -8.39% | 0.0671 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.057324 | 0.056115 | -2.11% | 0.060022 | +4.71% | 0.0777 | ✗ | -1.41 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.064413 | 0.062713 | -2.64% | 0.057324 | -11.01% | 0.1450 | ✓ | -1.64 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.047068 | 0.046654 | -0.88% | 0.064413 | +36.85% | 0.3546 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.044869 | 0.044557 | -0.69% | 0.047068 | +4.90% | 0.0440 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.04448 | 0.044216 | -0.59% | 0.044869 | +0.87% | 0.0159 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.045466 | 0.045199 | -0.59% | 0.04448 | -2.17% | 0.0004 | ✓ | -1.79 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.047448 | 0.047136 | -0.66% | 0.045466 | -4.18% | 0.0785 | ✓ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.046785 | 0.046558 | -0.48% | 0.047448 | +1.42% | 0.0150 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.046622 | 0.046468 | -0.33% | 0.046785 | +0.35% | 0.0087 | ✓ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.042957 | 0.042958 | +0.00% | 0.046622 | +8.53% | 0.0527 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.044706 | 0.0447 | -0.01% | 0.042957 | -3.91% | 0.0280 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.045241 | 0.045304 | +0.14% | 0.044706 | -1.18% | 0.0096 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.04878 | 0.048779 | -0.00% | 0.045241 | -7.25% | 0.1143 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.072695 | 0.072005 | -0.95% | 0.04878 | -32.90% | 0.3205 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.070557 | 0.069918 | -0.91% | 0.072695 | +3.03% | 0.0373 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.068387 | 0.067823 | -0.82% | 0.070557 | +3.17% | 0.0189 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.068164 | 0.067604 | -0.82% | 0.068387 | +0.33% | 0.0274 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.069214 | 0.068641 | -0.83% | 0.068164 | -1.52% | 0.0172 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.069928 | 0.069351 | -0.82% | 0.069214 | -1.02% | 0.0051 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.066045 | 0.065617 | -0.65% | 0.069928 | +5.88% | 0.0201 | ✗ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.070614 | 0.070082 | -0.75% | 0.066045 | -6.47% | 0.0377 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.069435 | 0.06893 | -0.73% | 0.070614 | +1.70% | 0.0329 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.068823 | 0.068393 | -0.63% | 0.069435 | +0.89% | 0.0071 | ✗ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.069367 | 0.068949 | -0.60% | 0.068823 | -0.78% | 0.0204 | ✗ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.070097 | 0.069694 | -0.57% | 0.069367 | -1.04% | 0.0074 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.067073 | 0.066799 | -0.41% | 0.070097 | +4.51% | 0.0255 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.064753 | 0.06447 | -0.44% | 0.067073 | +3.58% | 0.1666 | ✗ | -1.81 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.067798 | 0.0673 | -0.73% | 0.064753 | -4.49% | 0.0604 | ✗ | -1.90 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.068975 | 0.068071 | -1.31% | 0.067798 | -1.71% | 0.1678 | ✗ | -2.49 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.070634 | 0.069512 | -1.59% | 0.068975 | -2.35% | 0.0001 | ✓ | -2.48 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.067132 | 0.066062 | -1.59% | 0.070634 | +5.22% | 0.1370 | ✗ | -2.72 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.062121 | 0.060953 | -1.88% | 0.067132 | +8.07% | 0.0887 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.065324 | 0.063293 | -3.11% | 0.062121 | -4.90% | 0.0168 | ✓ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.056743 | 0.055744 | -1.76% | 0.065324 | +15.12% | 0.1400 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.055292 | 0.054128 | -2.10% | 0.056743 | +2.62% | 0.0477 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.054776 | 0.05316 | -2.95% | 0.055292 | +0.94% | 0.0344 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.046134 | 0.045027 | -2.40% | 0.054776 | +18.73% | 0.1810 | ✗ | -2.52 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.039386 | 0.03883 | -1.41% | 0.046134 | +17.13% | 0.1384 | ✗ | -2.33 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.036911 | 0.036304 | -1.64% | 0.039386 | +6.70% | 0.0793 | ✗ | -2.32 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.035967 | 0.035309 | -1.83% | 0.036911 | +2.62% | 0.0450 | ✗ | -2.31 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.030811 | 0.030253 | -1.81% | 0.035967 | +16.74% | 0.1968 | ✗ | -2.45 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.02783 | 0.027523 | -1.10% | 0.030811 | +10.71% | 0.1004 | ✗ | -2.39 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.025369 | 0.0251 | -1.06% | 0.02783 | +9.70% | 0.1245 | ✗ | -2.47 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.027598 | 0.027271 | -1.18% | 0.025369 | -8.08% | 0.0501 | ✓ | -2.42 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.029535 | 0.029131 | -1.36% | 0.027598 | -6.56% | 0.0554 | ✓ | -2.44 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.027282 | 0.026916 | -1.34% | 0.029535 | +8.26% | 0.1226 | ✗ | -2.55 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.039226 | 0.038257 | -2.47% | 0.027282 | -30.45% | 0.3407 | ✓ | -2.65 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.034526 | 0.033862 | -1.92% | 0.039226 | +13.61% | 0.0726 | ✗ | -2.50 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.026065 | 0.025794 | -1.04% | 0.034526 | +32.46% | 0.3289 | ✗ | -2.91 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.027298 | 0.026996 | -1.11% | 0.026065 | -4.52% | 0.0328 | ✓ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.024081 | 0.023865 | -0.90% | 0.027298 | +13.36% | 0.1414 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.022534 | 0.022361 | -0.77% | 0.024081 | +6.87% | 0.0012 | ✓ | -2.95 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.020987 | 0.020838 | -0.71% | 0.022534 | +7.37% | 0.0621 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.02708 | 0.026793 | -1.06% | 0.020987 | -22.50% | 0.2475 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.023588 | 0.023389 | -0.84% | 0.02708 | +14.81% | 0.1615 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.021176 | 0.021019 | -0.74% | 0.023588 | +11.39% | 0.1311 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.019997 | 0.019855 | -0.71% | 0.021176 | +5.90% | 0.0709 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.02103 | 0.020858 | -0.82% | 0.019997 | -4.91% | 0.0620 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.018488 | 0.018345 | -0.77% | 0.02103 | +13.75% | 0.1284 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.018888 | 0.018739 | -0.79% | 0.018488 | -2.12% | 0.0118 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.018668 | 0.018526 | -0.76% | 0.018888 | +1.18% | 0.0054 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.018416 | 0.018281 | -0.74% | 0.018668 | +1.37% | 0.0190 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.018352 | 0.018221 | -0.71% | 0.018416 | +0.35% | 0.0254 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.016452 | 0.016364 | -0.53% | 0.018352 | +11.55% | 0.1188 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.019108 | 0.018962 | -0.77% | 0.016452 | -13.90% | 0.1848 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.017007 | 0.016915 | -0.54% | 0.019108 | +12.35% | 0.1453 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.015945 | 0.015897 | -0.30% | 0.017007 | +6.66% | 0.0680 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.019616 | 0.019495 | -0.61% | 0.015945 | -18.71% | 0.1955 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.021747 | 0.021605 | -0.65% | 0.019616 | -9.80% | 0.1116 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.022573 | 0.022411 | -0.72% | 0.021747 | -3.66% | 0.0450 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.020944 | 0.02081 | -0.64% | 0.022573 | +7.78% | 0.0986 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.02124 | 0.021092 | -0.70% | 0.020944 | -1.39% | 0.0036 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.023265 | 0.023075 | -0.82% | 0.02124 | -8.70% | 0.0894 | ✓ | 1.00 |