CAP
Cap · Ethereum · lstm_s5
- token id
- #71
- symbol
- CAP
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-26
- predictions
- 327
Track record at +1d
assessed
108
of 109 predictions shown
direction hit
38.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0840
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0111
actual +0.0133
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.066581 | 0.0663 | -0.42% | – | pending | – | – | -0.52 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.068735 | 0.06841 | -0.47% | 0.066581 | -3.13% | 0.0288 | ✓ | -0.57 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.066889 | 0.066651 | -0.36% | 0.068735 | +2.76% | 0.0387 | ✗ | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.070477 | 0.07009 | -0.55% | 0.066889 | -5.09% | 0.0480 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.073935 | 0.073416 | -0.70% | 0.070477 | -4.68% | 0.0363 | ✓ | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.072748 | 0.072243 | -0.69% | 0.073935 | +1.63% | 0.0223 | ✗ | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07849 | 0.077774 | -0.91% | 0.072748 | -7.32% | 0.0715 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.073752 | 0.07315 | -0.82% | 0.07849 | +6.42% | 0.0747 | ✗ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.088248 | 0.087207 | -1.18% | 0.073752 | -16.43% | 0.1814 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.097059 | 0.095628 | -1.47% | 0.088248 | -9.08% | 0.0685 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.092361 | 0.091184 | -1.28% | 0.097059 | +5.09% | 0.0422 | ✗ | -0.86 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.092402 | 0.091091 | -1.42% | 0.092361 | -0.04% | 0.0223 | ✗ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.086635 | 0.08556 | -1.24% | 0.092402 | +6.66% | 0.0810 | ✗ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.073139 | 0.072382 | -1.04% | 0.086635 | +18.45% | 0.1891 | ✗ | -0.90 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.07128 | 0.070488 | -1.11% | 0.073139 | +2.61% | 0.0189 | ✗ | -0.94 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.087975 | 0.086329 | -1.87% | 0.07128 | -18.98% | 0.2229 | ✓ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.073941 | 0.073065 | -1.18% | 0.087975 | +18.98% | 0.1829 | ✗ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.065278 | 0.064615 | -1.01% | 0.073941 | +13.27% | 0.1250 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.069035 | 0.068286 | -1.09% | 0.065278 | -5.44% | 0.0224 | ✓ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.074028 | 0.072937 | -1.47% | 0.069035 | -6.74% | 0.0519 | ✓ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.069846 | 0.068917 | -1.33% | 0.074028 | +5.99% | 0.0672 | ✗ | -1.08 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069306 | 0.068458 | -1.22% | 0.069846 | +0.78% | 0.0372 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.059839 | 0.059228 | -1.02% | 0.069306 | +15.82% | 0.1560 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.056407 | 0.055862 | -0.97% | 0.059839 | +6.09% | 0.0714 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.053595 | 0.053093 | -0.94% | 0.056407 | +5.25% | 0.0460 | ✗ | -1.21 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.051578 | 0.051107 | -0.91% | 0.053595 | +3.91% | 0.0482 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.052128 | 0.051644 | -0.93% | 0.051578 | -1.05% | 0.0032 | ✓ | -1.17 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.049949 | 0.049485 | -0.93% | 0.052128 | +4.36% | 0.0480 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.053106 | 0.052536 | -1.07% | 0.049949 | -5.94% | 0.0504 | ✓ | -1.16 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.046809 | 0.046368 | -0.94% | 0.053106 | +13.45% | 0.1122 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.045872 | 0.045433 | -0.96% | 0.046809 | +2.04% | 0.0248 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.044741 | 0.04429 | -1.01% | 0.045872 | +2.53% | 0.1166 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.047769 | 0.047157 | -1.28% | 0.044741 | -6.34% | 0.0537 | ✓ | -1.27 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.05581 | 0.055184 | -1.12% | 0.047769 | -14.41% | 0.1387 | ✓ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.054984 | 0.054334 | -1.18% | 0.05581 | +1.50% | 0.1075 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.060022 | 0.059159 | -1.44% | 0.054984 | -8.39% | 0.0694 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.057324 | 0.056242 | -1.89% | 0.060022 | +4.71% | 0.0755 | ✗ | -1.41 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.064413 | 0.062647 | -2.74% | 0.057324 | -11.01% | 0.1439 | ✓ | -1.64 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.047068 | 0.046682 | -0.82% | 0.064413 | +36.85% | 0.3540 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.044869 | 0.044587 | -0.63% | 0.047068 | +4.90% | 0.0434 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.04448 | 0.044238 | -0.55% | 0.044869 | +0.87% | 0.0154 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.045466 | 0.045215 | -0.55% | 0.04448 | -2.17% | 0.0007 | ✓ | -1.79 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.047448 | 0.047085 | -0.76% | 0.045466 | -4.18% | 0.0775 | ✓ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.046785 | 0.046476 | -0.66% | 0.047448 | +1.42% | 0.0168 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.046622 | 0.046351 | -0.58% | 0.046785 | +0.35% | 0.0062 | ✓ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.042957 | 0.042853 | -0.24% | 0.046622 | +8.53% | 0.0551 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.044706 | 0.044581 | -0.28% | 0.042957 | -3.91% | 0.0253 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.045241 | 0.045166 | -0.17% | 0.044706 | -1.18% | 0.0066 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.04878 | 0.048624 | -0.32% | 0.045241 | -7.25% | 0.1111 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.072695 | 0.071965 | -1.00% | 0.04878 | -32.90% | 0.3200 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.070557 | 0.069882 | -0.96% | 0.072695 | +3.03% | 0.0378 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.068387 | 0.067734 | -0.96% | 0.070557 | +3.17% | 0.0202 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.068164 | 0.067514 | -0.95% | 0.068387 | +0.33% | 0.0288 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.069214 | 0.068481 | -1.06% | 0.068164 | -1.52% | 0.0149 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.069928 | 0.069146 | -1.12% | 0.069214 | -1.02% | 0.0081 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.066045 | 0.065301 | -1.13% | 0.069928 | +5.88% | 0.0249 | ✗ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.070614 | 0.069694 | -1.30% | 0.066045 | -6.47% | 0.0321 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.069435 | 0.06849 | -1.36% | 0.070614 | +1.70% | 0.0393 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.068823 | 0.067871 | -1.38% | 0.069435 | +0.89% | 0.0148 | ✗ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.069367 | 0.068378 | -1.43% | 0.068823 | -0.78% | 0.0287 | ✗ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.070097 | 0.069064 | -1.47% | 0.069367 | -1.04% | 0.0165 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.067073 | 0.066156 | -1.37% | 0.070097 | +4.51% | 0.0352 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.064753 | 0.063894 | -1.33% | 0.067073 | +3.58% | 0.1755 | ✗ | -1.81 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.067798 | 0.066832 | -1.42% | 0.064753 | -4.49% | 0.0674 | ✗ | -1.90 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.068975 | 0.067982 | -1.44% | 0.067798 | -1.71% | 0.1691 | ✗ | -2.49 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.070634 | 0.069552 | -1.53% | 0.068975 | -2.35% | 0.0005 | ✓ | -2.48 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.067132 | 0.066139 | -1.48% | 0.070634 | +5.22% | 0.1358 | ✗ | -2.72 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.062121 | 0.061172 | -1.53% | 0.067132 | +8.07% | 0.0852 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.065324 | 0.063858 | -2.24% | 0.062121 | -4.90% | 0.0257 | ✓ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.056743 | 0.055915 | -1.46% | 0.065324 | +15.12% | 0.1369 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.055292 | 0.054409 | -1.60% | 0.056743 | +2.62% | 0.0426 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.054776 | 0.053636 | -2.08% | 0.055292 | +0.94% | 0.0254 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.046134 | 0.045297 | -1.81% | 0.054776 | +18.73% | 0.1750 | ✗ | -2.52 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.039386 | 0.038875 | -1.30% | 0.046134 | +17.13% | 0.1373 | ✗ | -2.33 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.036911 | 0.036405 | -1.37% | 0.039386 | +6.70% | 0.0766 | ✗ | -2.32 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.035967 | 0.035417 | -1.53% | 0.036911 | +2.62% | 0.0419 | ✗ | -2.31 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.030811 | 0.030335 | -1.54% | 0.035967 | +16.74% | 0.1940 | ✗ | -2.45 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.02783 | 0.027511 | -1.14% | 0.030811 | +10.71% | 0.1008 | ✗ | -2.39 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.025369 | 0.025099 | -1.06% | 0.02783 | +9.70% | 0.1245 | ✗ | -2.47 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.027598 | 0.027269 | -1.19% | 0.025369 | -8.08% | 0.0500 | ✓ | -2.42 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.029535 | 0.029124 | -1.39% | 0.027598 | -6.56% | 0.0551 | ✓ | -2.44 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.027282 | 0.026911 | -1.36% | 0.029535 | +8.26% | 0.1228 | ✗ | -2.55 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.039226 | 0.038055 | -2.98% | 0.027282 | -30.45% | 0.3354 | ✓ | -2.65 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.034526 | 0.033591 | -2.71% | 0.039226 | +13.61% | 0.0807 | ✗ | -2.50 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.026065 | 0.025666 | -1.53% | 0.034526 | +32.46% | 0.3339 | ✗ | -2.91 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.027298 | 0.026817 | -1.76% | 0.026065 | -4.52% | 0.0262 | ✓ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.024081 | 0.023788 | -1.22% | 0.027298 | +13.36% | 0.1446 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.022534 | 0.022314 | -0.97% | 0.024081 | +6.87% | 0.0009 | ✓ | -2.95 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.020987 | 0.020843 | -0.69% | 0.022534 | +7.37% | 0.0619 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.02708 | 0.026647 | -1.60% | 0.020987 | -22.50% | 0.2420 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.023588 | 0.023338 | -1.06% | 0.02708 | +14.81% | 0.1637 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.021176 | 0.021017 | -0.75% | 0.023588 | +11.39% | 0.1312 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.019997 | 0.019867 | -0.65% | 0.021176 | +5.90% | 0.0703 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.02103 | 0.020869 | -0.76% | 0.019997 | -4.91% | 0.0625 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.018488 | 0.018386 | -0.55% | 0.02103 | +13.75% | 0.1262 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.018888 | 0.018772 | -0.62% | 0.018488 | -2.12% | 0.0135 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.018668 | 0.018557 | -0.59% | 0.018888 | +1.18% | 0.0037 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.018416 | 0.018309 | -0.58% | 0.018668 | +1.37% | 0.0175 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.018352 | 0.01824 | -0.61% | 0.018416 | +0.35% | 0.0243 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.016452 | 0.016376 | -0.46% | 0.018352 | +11.55% | 0.1181 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.019108 | 0.018979 | -0.68% | 0.016452 | -13.90% | 0.1857 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.017007 | 0.016917 | -0.53% | 0.019108 | +12.35% | 0.1452 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.015945 | 0.015884 | -0.38% | 0.017007 | +6.66% | 0.0688 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.019616 | 0.019474 | -0.72% | 0.015945 | -18.71% | 0.1944 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.021747 | 0.021574 | -0.80% | 0.019616 | -9.80% | 0.1101 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.022573 | 0.022383 | -0.84% | 0.021747 | -3.66% | 0.0438 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.020944 | 0.020787 | -0.75% | 0.022573 | +7.78% | 0.0997 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.02124 | 0.021076 | -0.77% | 0.020944 | -1.39% | 0.0044 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.023265 | 0.023058 | -0.89% | 0.02124 | -8.70% | 0.0887 | ✓ | 1.00 |