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2022-08-30 · +1d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0224
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-3.44%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
66.7%
in alpha space · 43.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.19%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.3122.3816+0.32%19.03-14.70%0.1708✗0.721.5M2022-08-31
ETHEthereumEthereum1,524.811,528.22+0.22%1,554.00+1.91%0.0006✓1.37628.3M2022-08-31
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.072.0718+0.09%2.03-1.93%0.0264✗0.5197k2022-08-31
XVSVenusEthereum4.864.8639+0.08%4.86+0.00%0.0109✗0.861.5M2022-08-31
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95130.952022+0.08%0.9427-0.90%0.0241✗1.21963k2022-08-31
API3Api3Ethereum1.6321.633+0.06%1.65+1.10%0.0006✓0.93579k2022-08-31
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029930.002993+0.01%0.002994+0.03%0.0107✗0.921.1M2022-08-31
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03530.035304+0.01%0.0349-1.13%0.0223✗0.9287k2022-08-31
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.319820.319831+0.00%0.31794-0.59%0.0160✗0.85350k2022-08-31
PHAPHALAEthereum0.0970.096996-0.00%0.1003+3.40%0.0250✗0.722,7842022-08-31
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4970.496975-0.01%0.475-4.43%0.0596✓1.222,7102022-08-31
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.014220.014218-0.01%0.01358-4.50%0.0538✓0.67174k2022-08-31
XLMStellarStellar0.1024110.102388-0.02%0.104365+1.91%0.0095✗0.817.0M2022-08-31
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.32520.32512-0.02%0.3203-1.51%0.0287✓1.17138k2022-08-31
QNTQuantEthereum95.6395.5998-0.03%96.47+0.88%0.0011✓0.863.5M2022-08-31
AMPAmpEthereum0.00620.006198-0.04%0.00619-0.16%0.0087✓0.631.0M2022-08-31
XVGVergenative0.002920.002919-0.04%0.00335+14.73%0.1260✗1.00486k2022-08-31
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024740.024726-0.05%0.02455-0.77%0.0223✓1.283,3752022-08-31
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5586.5544-0.06%6.628+1.07%0.0013✓1.0617.7M2022-08-31
SOLSolanaSolana31.4831.4609-0.06%31.5+0.06%0.0125✓1.1665.9M2022-08-31
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.3819.3664-0.07%19.13-1.29%0.0276✓1.3023.0M2022-08-31
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1746.1695-0.07%6.142-0.52%0.0199✓1.309.5M2022-08-31
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,813.1719,798.11-0.08%20,048.26+1.19%0.0008✓1.00490.8M2022-08-31
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071090.071032-0.08%0.07274+2.32%0.0100✗1.1726k2022-08-31
KSMKusamaHydration47.4747.4296-0.09%47.42-0.11%0.0119✓0.99543k2022-08-31
BANDBandEthereum1.2331.2319-0.09%1.275+3.41%0.0204✗1.19460k2022-08-31
SUSHISushiEthereum1.05061.0496-0.10%1.0347-1.51%0.0288✓1.23973k2022-08-31
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020380.02036-0.10%0.02026-0.59%0.0148✓0.8411.4M2022-08-31
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.44710.446642-0.10%0.4594+2.75%0.0147✗1.14364k2022-08-31
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.891.8878-0.11%1.915+1.32%0.0055✓1.6890k2022-08-31
NANOnanopayBase0.9005080.899385-0.12%0.894603-0.66%0.0151✓0.8363k2022-08-31
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.7115.7038-0.13%5.746+0.61%0.0028✓0.869.5M2022-08-31
CBKCobakEthereum0.883310.882191-0.13%0.89656+1.50%0.0041✗1.0214k2022-08-31
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04290.042845-0.13%0.044+2.56%0.0152✗0.97156k2022-08-31
GMTGMTEthereum0.65660.655696-0.14%0.6723+2.39%0.0086✗1.39226k2022-08-31
CVCCivicEthereum0.14640.146192-0.14%0.1445-1.30%0.0238✓1.03138k2022-08-31
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.072.0671-0.14%2.15+3.86%0.0259✗1.14232k2022-08-31
ADACardanoCardano0.4530.452325-0.15%0.4458-1.59%0.0257✓0.9537.8M2022-08-31
AAVEAaveEthereum84.3884.2534-0.15%84.85+0.56%0.0109✓1.526.3M2022-08-31
MANADecentralandEthereum0.770640.769476-0.15%0.77191+0.16%0.0073✓0.88509k2022-08-31
CHZChilizEthereum0.19670.196394-0.16%0.2179+10.78%0.0941✗0.843.1M2022-08-31
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.33410.333577-0.16%0.3462+3.62%0.0225✗1.24176k2022-08-31
LCXLCXEthereum0.05760.057509-0.16%0.0577+0.17%0.0100✓1.13258k2022-08-31
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0492.0455-0.17%2.012-1.81%0.0300✓1.1444k2022-08-31
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6690.667816-0.18%0.673+0.60%0.0064✓1.204.3M2022-08-31
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0360.035933-0.19%0.0357-0.83%0.0159✓0.809,5472022-08-31
GITCOINGITCOIN2.07682.0728-0.19%2.1594+3.98%0.0278✗1.1113k2022-08-31
DODODODOEthereum0.12760.127352-0.19%0.1276+0.00%0.0102✓1.031.7M2022-08-31
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.061420.061299-0.20%0.061277-0.23%0.0128✓1.061.6M2022-08-31
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10270.102497-0.20%0.1033+0.58%0.0023✓0.86192k2022-08-31
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5150.51398-0.20%0.515+0.00%0.0115✓1.1483k2022-08-31
APEApeCoinEthereum4.8094.7993-0.20%4.761-1.00%0.0239✓1.348.7M2022-08-31
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1881.1856-0.20%1.205+1.43%0.0045✗0.991.7M2022-08-31
COTICOTIEthereum0.08890.088718-0.20%0.0899+1.12%0.0020✓0.95393k2022-08-31
STEEMSteemnative0.2260.225534-0.21%0.2291+1.37%0.0050✗0.91501k2022-08-31
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015480.001545-0.21%0.001503-2.91%0.0390✓0.98433k2022-08-31
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5190.517888-0.21%0.528+1.73%0.0068✗1.0677k2022-08-31
KCSKuCoinnative8.9738.9534-0.22%9.001+0.31%0.0060✓0.961.5M2022-08-31
XTZTezosTezos1.49731.494-0.22%1.5108+0.90%0.0021✓1.12296k2022-08-31
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0994.0896-0.23%4.337+5.81%0.0533✗0.462.0M2022-08-31
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.195.178-0.23%5.61+8.09%0.0749✗0.442.0M2022-08-31
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08150.081311-0.23%0.0821+0.74%0.0015✓0.9513k2022-08-31
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04840.048287-0.23%0.0484+0.00%0.0094✓0.99796k2022-08-31
GTGateEthereum4.25494.2449-0.23%4.3008+1.08%0.0040✗0.77775k2022-08-31
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash114.69114.4201-0.24%115.16+0.41%0.0070✓1.144.6M2022-08-31
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0086.9915-0.24%7.033+0.36%0.0064✓1.0411.6M2022-08-31
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.474.4592-0.24%4.79+7.16%0.0653✗0.531.1M2022-08-31
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.73011.7258-0.25%1.7276-0.14%0.0104✓0.971.2M2022-08-31
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.153790.153402-0.25%0.15568+1.23%0.0093✓2.046042022-08-31
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.036.0147-0.25%6.4+6.14%0.0564✗0.482.1M2022-08-31
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28790.28716-0.26%0.2809-2.43%0.0334✓0.963.1M2022-08-31
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.0152.8728-0.26%53.84+1.57%0.0066✗0.9812.7M2022-08-31
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13890.13854-0.26%0.1395+0.43%0.0051✓1.01510k2022-08-31
WOOWOOEthereum0.14870.148313-0.26%0.1531+2.96%0.0187✗1.111,5282022-08-31
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30980.30899-0.26%0.3041-1.84%0.0286✓1.07111k2022-08-31
GALAGALAEthereum0.05070.050562-0.27%0.0503-0.79%0.0168✓0.98237k2022-08-31
LSKLiskEthereum1.04581.043-0.27%1.0708+2.39%0.0161✗0.8748k2022-08-31
FTTFTXEthereum26.626.5259-0.28%26.73+0.49%0.0038✓0.977.3M2022-08-31
XYMSymbolnative0.0429660.042846-0.28%0.043128+0.38%0.0005✓0.5228k2022-08-31
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.146.1225-0.28%6.7+9.12%0.0846✗0.471.7M2022-08-31
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.58251.4347-0.29%51.915+0.65%0.0005✓0.75322k2022-08-31
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131480.01311-0.29%0.013176+0.21%0.0024✓0.631.0M2022-08-31
XEMNEMnative0.0434150.04329-0.29%0.043941+1.21%0.0049✗0.8530k2022-08-31
DIADIAEthereum0.376440.375333-0.29%0.3717-1.26%0.0210✓0.9640k2022-08-31
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6520.65007-0.30%0.663+1.69%0.0083✗0.97207k2022-08-31
ZECZcashZcash59.8759.6902-0.30%59.88+0.02%0.0105✓1.161.7M2022-08-31
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2576.2381-0.30%6.25-0.11%0.0087✓0.905.0M2022-08-31
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20890.208254-0.31%0.2112+1.10%0.0018✓1.0459k2022-08-31
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.06351.0602-0.31%1.1463+7.79%0.0603✗1.514.5M2022-08-31
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5561.5511-0.32%1.522-2.19%0.0328✓1.1877k2022-08-31
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06250.062303-0.32%0.0595-4.80%0.0563✓0.87105k2022-08-31
OPTIMOptimism1.0831.0795-0.32%1.129+4.25%0.0241✗1.753.2M2022-08-31
ZENHorizenBase15.815.7493-0.32%15.53-1.71%0.0271✓1.1193k2022-08-31
STXStacksnative0.36130.360136-0.32%0.365+1.02%0.0004✓1.17393k2022-08-31
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066520.066301-0.33%0.06618-0.51%0.0115✓0.829142022-08-31
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.18811.1841-0.34%1.1394-4.10%0.0490✓0.891.3M2022-08-31
XMRMoneroMonero148.87148.3537-0.35%149.22+0.24%0.0062✓1.021.3M2022-08-31
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96330.959934-0.35%0.9535-1.02%0.0126✓0.503.6M2022-08-31
GLMGolemEthereum0.24420.243338-0.35%0.2447+0.20%0.0060✓0.9881k2022-08-31
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.77e-7-0.36%8.70e-7-1.14%0.0173✓0.8016k2022-08-31
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29170.29066-0.36%0.2885-1.10%0.0181✓0.916.5M2022-08-31
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.336470.335256-0.36%0.33416-0.69%0.0150✓1.0046k2022-08-31
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19560.194884-0.37%0.201+2.76%0.0191✗1.00121k2022-08-31
SUNSun TokenTron0.0057870.005766-0.37%0.005668-2.05%0.0252✓0.692,3002022-08-31
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008640.008608-0.37%0.00858-0.69%0.0118✓0.735.6M2022-08-31
STORJStorjEthereum0.54020.538124-0.38%0.55118+2.03%0.0084✗1.3237k2022-08-31
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.0910.0507-0.39%10.1+0.10%0.0095✓1.22318k2022-08-31
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0214610.021377-0.39%0.02152+0.27%0.0030✓0.8114k2022-08-31
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037990.03784-0.39%0.03845+1.21%0.0064✗0.812,8422022-08-31
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6710.668347-0.40%0.663-1.19%0.0182✓0.86228k2022-08-31
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26080.259755-0.40%0.247-5.29%0.0505✓0.0191k2022-08-31
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.063270.063016-0.40%0.06211-1.83%0.0271✓1.072.1M2022-08-31
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43010.42832-0.41%0.439+2.07%0.0110✗1.1596k2022-08-31
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22110.220182-0.42%0.2184-1.22%0.0235✓1.31135k2022-08-31
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1030.102571-0.42%0.1026-0.39%0.0124✓1.083.3M2022-08-31
DASHDashDash45.5145.3205-0.42%44.55-2.11%0.0286✓0.97438k2022-08-31
PROPropyEthereum0.740.736885-0.42%0.73-1.35%0.0129✓0.2979k2022-08-31
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.7515.7267-0.42%6.047+5.15%0.0489✗0.474.4M2022-08-31
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.282787-0.43%0.282-0.70%0.0113✓0.72686k2022-08-31
TRXTRONTron0.0647050.064428-0.43%0.063428-1.97%0.0229✓0.61129k2022-08-31
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1690.168272-0.43%0.168-0.59%0.0132✓0.98340k2022-08-31
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0065370.006509-0.43%0.006495-0.64%0.0070✓0.4258k2022-08-31
QTUMQtumQtum3.11583.1023-0.43%3.149+1.06%0.0030✓1.0125k2022-08-31
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046610.046407-0.44%0.04593-1.46%0.0187✓0.7116k2022-08-31
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4250.423141-0.44%0.418-1.65%0.0243✓1.028,1172022-08-31
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.81681.8086-0.45%1.7939-1.26%0.0210✓1.0833k2022-08-31
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18110.180288-0.45%0.1824+0.72%0.0046✓1.382,2912022-08-31
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014860.001479-0.46%0.00156+4.98%0.0450✗0.699,0932022-08-31
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035290.035129-0.46%0.03519-0.28%0.0103✓1.0240k2022-08-31
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51230.509954-0.46%0.5054-1.35%0.0179✓0.76579k2022-08-31
IMXImmutableEthereum0.83240.828564-0.46%0.8327+0.04%0.0073✓1.041.8M2022-08-31
METISMetisEthereum31.0530.9064-0.46%31.03-0.06%0.0185✓1.90288k2022-08-31
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,869.3019,775.87-0.47%19,990.40+0.61%0.0003✓0.9413k2022-08-31
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012180.000012122-0.47%0.00001208-0.82%0.0147✓0.95828k2022-08-31
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35610.354351-0.49%0.3513-1.35%0.0215✓1.09131k2022-08-31
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2989690.2975-0.49%0.29809-0.29%0.0109✓1.09549k2022-08-31
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12270.122095-0.49%0.1236+0.73%0.0002✓1.0625k2022-08-31
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.8613.791-0.50%14.14+2.02%0.0120✗1.10909k2022-08-31
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.212.1379-0.51%12.5+2.46%0.0168✗1.061.9M2022-08-31
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.114.0884-0.53%4.449+8.25%0.0819✗0.232.3M2022-08-31
FLOWFlownative2.0122.0013-0.53%2.072+2.98%0.0188✗1.351.3M2022-08-31
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.318.265-0.54%8.84+6.38%0.0616✗0.481.9M2022-08-31
COMPCompoundEthereum4746.7417-0.55%47.14+0.30%0.0062✓1.2411k2022-08-31
UMAUMAEthereum2.7752.7595-0.56%2.728-1.69%0.0218✓0.88706k2022-08-31
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9772.9602-0.56%2.959-0.60%0.0186✓1.543.8M2022-08-31
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,874.588,824.46-0.56%9,021.07+1.65%0.0058✗1.376.2M2022-08-31
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.321.3125-0.57%1.31-0.76%0.0127✓0.91121k2022-08-31
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13250.131747-0.57%0.1324-0.08%0.0013✓0.533.6M2022-08-31
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.92811.8601-0.57%11.825-0.86%0.0161✓1.1110.8M2022-08-31
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008060.008014-0.57%0.00799-0.87%0.0162✓1.12477k2022-08-31
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.75e-7-0.58%8.80e-7+0.00%0.0035✓0.792.0M2022-08-31
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.84293.8202-0.59%4.0516+5.43%0.0518✗0.603.8M2022-08-31
RADRadworksEthereum2.062.0477-0.60%2.13+3.40%0.0304✗0.76329k2022-08-31
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3317.2262-0.60%17.27-0.35%0.0056✓0.69880k2022-08-31
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.31864.2927-0.60%4.8276+11.79%0.1056✗1.00147k2022-08-31
FORTFortaEthereum0.24610.244621-0.60%0.2325-5.53%0.0615✓0.9176k2022-08-31
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.082370.081874-0.60%0.08149-1.07%0.0053✓0.05478k2022-08-31
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.7953.7721-0.60%3.743-1.37%0.0193✓0.98252k2022-08-31
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.13520.134375-0.61%0.13698+1.32%0.0050✓1.20200k2022-08-31
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013480.001339-0.64%0.001342-0.46%0.0076✓0.792.1M2022-08-31
HIVEHivenative0.54890.54539-0.64%0.5573+1.53%0.0115✗0.861.3M2022-08-31
UOSUltraEthereum0.345820.343535-0.66%0.35+1.21%0.0076✗0.93347k2022-08-31
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0227850.022633-0.67%0.030314+33.04%0.2910✗0.10266k2022-08-31
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.003992-0.69%0.00404+0.50%0.0001✓1.00152k2022-08-31
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.431.4199-0.70%1.43+0.00%0.0068✓1.17123k2022-08-31
MOVRMoonriverBase12.316712.2279-0.72%12.38+0.51%0.0009✓0.9732k2022-08-31
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.39185.3523-0.73%5.8014+7.60%0.0794✗0.10115k2022-08-31
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024050.023872-0.74%0.02304-4.20%0.0450✓0.81459k2022-08-31
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.3132.0656-0.76%32.41+0.31%0.0071✓1.5012.9M2022-08-31
ELAElastosEthereum1.8231.809-0.77%1.818-0.27%0.0058✓0.91121k2022-08-31
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.61895.5745-0.79%6.6294+17.98%0.1709✗0.215.4M2022-08-31
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0191.0107-0.82%1.078+5.79%0.0497✗1.251.4M2022-08-31
BORABORAKlay Token0.293320.290917-0.82%0.31172+6.27%0.0568✗1.0412k2022-08-31
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.987.9104-0.87%7.66-4.01%0.0450✓1.09462k2022-08-31
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05790.057371-0.91%0.0574-0.86%0.0105✓0.9398k2022-08-31
AVTAventusEthereum1.611.5948-0.94%1.52-5.59%0.0468✓-0.11116k2022-08-31
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.48112.3612-0.96%13.005+4.20%0.0446✗0.528.9M2022-08-31
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11150.110425-0.96%0.1161+4.13%0.0417✗0.71220k2022-08-31
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06170.061095-0.98%0.0622+0.81%0.0029✓1.27908k2022-08-31
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9940.983199-1.09%0.91-8.45%0.0819✓0.384.2M2022-08-31
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1333.0936-1.26%2.922-6.73%0.0631✓0.51650k2022-08-31
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.00235.9198-1.38%7.8611+30.97%0.2799✗0.326.5M2022-08-31
XECeCashnative0.000045890.000045204-1.49%0.00004452-2.99%0.0255✓0.871.7M2022-08-31
ORCAOrcaSolana0.91920.904975-1.55%0.9023-1.84%0.0201✓1.45167k2022-08-31
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000010890.000001062-2.42%9.25e-7-14.99%0.1480✓0.851.1M2022-08-31
LUNATerraTerra 20.000158370.000154343-2.54%0.00022156+39.90%0.3532✗0.70429k2022-08-31
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.