GITCOIN

GITCOIN · · lstm_s5

token id: #910
symbol: GITCOIN
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-21
predictions: 5,274

Track record at +1d

assessed

396

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

57.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0368

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0064

actual +0.0006

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.257645	0.254888	-1.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.17
2026-10-21	oos	0.26309	0.259537	-1.35%	0.257645	-2.07%	0.0078	✓	0.19
2026-10-20	oos	0.3197	0.312986	-2.10%	0.26309	-17.71%	0.1771	✓	0.27
2026-10-19	oos	0.34262	0.332173	-3.05%	0.3197	-6.69%	0.0423	✓	0.30
2026-10-18	oos	0.262905	0.255982	-2.63%	0.34262	+30.32%	0.2922	✗	0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.236285	0.230678	-2.37%	0.262905	+11.27%	0.1284	✗	0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.194295	0.192276	-1.04%	0.236285	+21.61%	0.2066	✗	0.34
2026-10-15	oos	0.19959	0.196699	-1.45%	0.194295	-2.65%	0.0098	✓	0.32
2026-10-14	oos	0.22069	0.216719	-1.80%	0.19959	-9.56%	0.0846	✓	0.34
2026-10-13	oos	0.22483	0.219379	-2.42%	0.22069	-1.84%	0.0123	✓	0.34
2026-10-12	oos	0.28174	0.273019	-3.10%	0.22483	-20.20%	0.2015	✓	0.44
2026-10-11	oos	0.181495	0.17984	-0.91%	0.28174	+55.23%	0.4671	✗	0.78
2026-10-10	oos	0.18555	0.18295	-1.40%	0.181495	-2.19%	0.0153	✓	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	0.191325	0.188328	-1.57%	0.18555	-3.02%	0.0184	✓	0.80
2026-10-08	oos	0.21178	0.20673	-2.38%	0.191325	-9.66%	0.0860	✓	0.82
2026-10-07	oos	0.190335	0.186216	-2.16%	0.21178	+11.27%	0.1457	✗	0.89
2026-10-06	oos	0.14877	0.147031	-1.17%	0.190335	+27.94%	0.2878	✗	1.10
2026-10-05	oos	0.187335	0.183429	-2.09%	0.14877	-20.59%	0.2068	✓	1.07
2026-10-04	oos	0.17482	0.171386	-1.96%	0.187335	+7.16%	0.0988	✗	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.11475	0.113541	-1.05%	0.17482	+52.35%	0.4126	✗	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	0.13424	0.13205	-1.63%	0.11475	-14.52%	0.1430	✓	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	0.143895	0.141007	-2.01%	0.13424	-6.71%	0.0456	✓	0.89
2026-09-30	oos	0.09422	0.093477	-0.79%	0.143895	+52.72%	0.4194	✗	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	0.08629	0.085897	-0.45%	0.09422	+9.19%	0.0932	✗	0.78
2026-09-28	oos	0.085545	0.085298	-0.29%	0.08629	+0.87%	0.0098	✗	0.83
2026-09-27	oos	0.0909	0.090855	-0.05%	0.085545	-5.89%	0.0505	✓	0.81
2026-09-26	oos	0.091	0.090876	-0.14%	0.0909	-0.11%	0.0002	✓	0.81
2026-09-25	oos	0.092755	0.092322	-0.47%	0.091	-1.89%	0.0175	✓	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	0.086435	0.086457	+0.03%	0.092755	+7.31%	0.0732	✓	0.82
2026-09-23	oos	0.083	0.08301	+0.01%	0.086435	+4.14%	0.0404	✓	0.83
2026-09-22	oos	0.088195	0.088076	-0.13%	0.083	-5.89%	0.0422	✓	0.80
2026-09-21	oos	0.087215	0.086865	-0.40%	0.088195	+1.12%	0.0189	✗	0.81
2026-09-20	oos	0.083935	0.08368	-0.30%	0.087215	+3.91%	0.0144	✓	0.86
2026-09-19	oos	0.08571	0.085319	-0.46%	0.083935	-2.07%	0.0156	✓	0.86
2026-09-18	oos	0.081885	0.081081	-0.98%	0.08571	+4.67%	0.0517	✗	0.87
2026-09-17	oos	0.07708	0.075934	-1.49%	0.081885	+6.23%	0.0261	✗	0.86
2026-09-16	oos	0.0758	0.074676	-1.48%	0.07708	+1.69%	0.0294	✗	0.85
2026-09-15	oos	0.07503	0.074111	-1.23%	0.0758	+1.03%	0.0161	✗	0.88
2026-09-14	oos	0.077365	0.076914	-0.58%	0.07503	-3.02%	0.0049	✓	0.88
2026-09-13	oos	0.07788	0.077056	-1.06%	0.077365	-0.66%	0.0117	✓	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.077905	0.077532	-0.48%	0.07788	-0.03%	0.0098	✗	0.88
2026-09-11	oos	0.07607	0.075733	-0.44%	0.077905	+2.41%	0.0277	✗	0.89
2026-09-10	oos	0.075515	0.075173	-0.45%	0.07607	+0.73%	0.0040	✓	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.078425	0.078066	-0.46%	0.075515	-3.71%	0.0132	✓	0.88
2026-09-08	oos	0.082695	0.082417	-0.34%	0.078425	-5.16%	0.0477	✓	0.93
2026-09-07	oos	0.080165	0.079934	-0.29%	0.082695	+3.16%	0.0417	✗	0.95
2026-09-06	oos	0.08248	0.082289	-0.23%	0.080165	-2.81%	0.0114	✓	0.95
2026-09-05	oos	0.08222	0.082038	-0.22%	0.08248	+0.32%	0.0006	✓	0.95
2026-09-04	oos	0.079325	0.07922	-0.13%	0.08222	+3.65%	0.0354	✗	0.91
2026-09-03	oos	0.08127	0.081221	-0.06%	0.079325	-2.39%	0.0055	✓	0.92
2026-09-02	oos	0.078745	0.078552	-0.25%	0.08127	+3.21%	0.0133	✓	0.95
2026-09-01	oos	0.07956	0.079186	-0.47%	0.078745	-1.02%	0.0044	✓	0.96
2026-08-31	oos	0.08127	0.080583	-0.85%	0.07956	-2.10%	0.0010	✓	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.08009	0.079503	-0.73%	0.08127	+1.47%	0.0108	✗	0.98
2026-08-29	oos	0.083185	0.082897	-0.35%	0.08009	-3.72%	0.0278	✓	0.91
2026-08-28	oos	0.0849	0.084454	-0.52%	0.083185	-2.02%	0.0197	✓	0.91
2026-08-27	oos	0.08845	0.087493	-1.08%	0.0849	-4.01%	0.0023	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.085315	0.084532	-0.92%	0.08845	+3.67%	0.0313	✗	0.89
2026-08-25	oos	0.08244	0.081701	-0.90%	0.085315	+3.49%	0.0376	✗	0.89
2026-08-24	oos	0.08557	0.085174	-0.46%	0.08244	-3.66%	0.0277	✓	0.86
2026-08-23	oos	0.08864	0.088095	-0.62%	0.08557	-3.46%	0.0434	✓	0.90
2026-08-22	oos	0.08692	0.08585	-1.23%	0.08864	+1.98%	0.0242	✗	0.89
2026-08-21	oos	0.09159	0.090809	-0.85%	0.08692	-5.10%	0.0296	✓	0.87
2026-08-20	oos	0.085985	0.085533	-0.53%	0.09159	+6.52%	0.0085	✗	0.85
2026-08-19	oos	0.084035	0.083498	-0.64%	0.085985	+2.32%	0.0153	✓	0.86
2026-08-18	oos	0.08141	0.080827	-0.72%	0.084035	+3.22%	0.0247	✓	0.92
2026-08-17	oos	0.08341	0.08277	-0.77%	0.08141	-2.40%	0.0195	✓	0.93
2026-08-16	oos	0.085125	0.084362	-0.90%	0.08341	-2.01%	0.0364	✓	0.97
2026-08-15	oos	0.08596	0.085028	-1.08%	0.085125	-0.97%	0.0040	✓	0.98
2026-08-14	oos	0.084925	0.083464	-1.72%	0.08596	+1.22%	0.0288	✗	0.98
2026-08-13	oos	0.08063	0.080032	-0.74%	0.084925	+5.33%	0.0664	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.081675	0.08101	-0.81%	0.08063	-1.28%	0.0049	✓	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	0.083095	0.082375	-0.87%	0.081675	-1.71%	0.0066	✓	1.01
2026-08-10	oos	0.086115	0.085223	-1.04%	0.083095	-3.51%	0.0190	✓	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	0.088645	0.087419	-1.38%	0.086115	-2.85%	0.0019	✓	1.16
2026-08-08	oos	0.088445	0.087657	-0.89%	0.088645	+0.23%	0.0122	✗	1.10
2026-08-07	oos	0.084405	0.083753	-0.77%	0.088445	+4.79%	0.0542	✗	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.08178	0.081081	-0.85%	0.084405	+3.21%	0.0298	✗	1.07
2026-08-05	oos	0.079185	0.078647	-0.68%	0.08178	+3.28%	0.0447	✗	1.08
2026-08-04	oos	0.07476	0.074282	-0.64%	0.079185	+5.92%	0.0550	✗	1.04
2026-08-03	oos	0.077655	0.077098	-0.72%	0.07476	-3.73%	0.0406	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	0.07726	0.076769	-0.64%	0.077655	+0.51%	0.0120	✗	1.03
2026-08-01	oos	0.07626	0.07578	-0.63%	0.07726	+1.31%	0.0074	✗	1.02
2026-07-31	oos	0.07421	0.073729	-0.65%	0.07626	+2.76%	0.0348	✗	1.02
2026-07-30	oos	0.073465	0.07303	-0.59%	0.07421	+1.01%	0.0475	✗	1.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.073065	0.072651	-0.57%	0.073465	+0.55%	0.0025	✓	1.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.07689	0.076392	-0.65%	0.073065	-4.97%	0.0453	✓	1.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.07114	0.070728	-0.58%	0.07689	+8.08%	0.0810	✗	1.06
2026-07-26	oos	0.068975	0.068581	-0.57%	0.07114	+3.14%	0.0649	✗	1.11
2026-07-25	oos	0.0688	0.068399	-0.58%	0.068975	+0.25%	0.0089	✓	1.07
2026-07-24	oos	0.065655	0.065294	-0.55%	0.0688	+4.79%	0.0489	✗	1.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.06713	0.06678	-0.52%	0.065655	-2.20%	0.0019	✓	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.06796	0.067651	-0.45%	0.06713	-1.22%	0.0078	✗	0.98
2026-07-21	oos	0.06845	0.068113	-0.49%	0.06796	-0.72%	0.0042	✓	0.99
2026-07-20	oos	0.06732	0.067002	-0.47%	0.06845	+1.68%	0.0029	✓	0.93
2026-07-19	oos	0.06641	0.066139	-0.41%	0.06732	+1.37%	0.0103	✗	0.91
2026-07-18	oos	0.06636	0.066065	-0.44%	0.06641	+0.08%	0.0069	✗	0.93
2026-07-17	oos	0.066405	0.066041	-0.55%	0.06636	-0.07%	0.0067	✓	0.82
2026-07-16	oos	0.067165	0.066789	-0.56%	0.066405	-1.13%	0.0073	✓	0.77
2026-07-15	oos	0.06929	0.068878	-0.59%	0.067165	-3.07%	0.0139	✓	0.76
2026-07-14	oos	0.070405	0.069679	-1.03%	0.06929	-1.58%	0.0023	✓	0.78
2026-07-13	oos	0.0674	0.066989	-0.61%	0.070405	+4.46%	0.0168	✗	0.77
2026-07-12	oos	0.06919	0.068785	-0.58%	0.0674	-2.59%	0.0024	✓	0.77
2026-07-11	oos	0.068475	0.068079	-0.58%	0.06919	+1.04%	0.0166	✗	0.87
2026-07-10	oos	0.069415	0.068908	-0.73%	0.068475	-1.35%	0.0014	✓	0.88
2026-07-09	oos	0.06843	0.068041	-0.57%	0.069415	+1.44%	0.0069	✗	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.069165	0.068724	-0.64%	0.06843	-1.06%	0.0174	✓	0.88
2026-07-07	oos	0.070535	0.070048	-0.69%	0.069165	-1.94%	0.0023	✓	0.87
2026-07-06	oos	0.074435	0.073674	-1.02%	0.070535	-5.24%	0.0344	✓	0.86
2026-07-05	oos	0.07528	0.074528	-1.00%	0.074435	-1.12%	0.0067	✓	0.83
2026-07-04	oos	0.07538	0.074779	-0.80%	0.07528	-0.13%	0.0002	✓	0.83
2026-07-03	oos	0.08036	0.079087	-1.58%	0.07538	-6.20%	0.0553	✓	0.81
2026-07-02	oos	0.07374	0.072875	-1.17%	0.08036	+8.98%	0.0847	✗	0.78
2026-07-01	oos	0.073425	0.072014	-1.92%	0.07374	+0.43%	0.0039	✓	0.79
2026-06-30	oos	0.066145	0.065028	-1.69%	0.073425	+11.01%	0.1035	✗	0.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.068145	0.067081	-1.56%	0.066145	-2.93%	0.0062	✓	0.73
2026-06-28	oos	0.06846	0.06776	-1.02%	0.068145	-0.46%	0.0028	✓	0.74
2026-06-27	oos	0.068265	0.066924	-1.96%	0.06846	+0.29%	0.0284	✗	0.74
2026-06-26	oos	0.06861	0.067228	-2.01%	0.068265	-0.50%	0.0162	✓	0.75
2026-06-25	oos	0.068195	0.06685	-1.97%	0.06861	+0.61%	0.0223	✗	0.75
2026-06-24	oos	0.06986	0.068544	-1.88%	0.068195	-2.38%	0.0096	✓	0.70
2026-06-23	oos	0.07161	0.070601	-1.41%	0.06986	-2.44%	0.0093	✓	0.74
2026-06-22	oos	0.07623	0.07567	-0.73%	0.07161	-6.06%	0.0406	✓	0.70
2026-06-21	oos	0.075245	0.074667	-0.77%	0.07623	+1.31%	0.0129	✗	0.70
2026-06-20	oos	0.07835	0.07766	-0.88%	0.075245	-3.96%	0.0211	✓	0.68
2026-06-19	oos	0.075955	0.075018	-1.23%	0.07835	+3.15%	0.0357	✗	0.66
2026-06-18	oos	0.076205	0.075555	-0.85%	0.075955	-0.33%	0.0012	✓	0.68
2026-06-17	oos	0.080185	0.079397	-0.98%	0.076205	-4.96%	0.0252	✓	0.64
2026-06-16	oos	0.082235	0.081249	-1.20%	0.080185	-2.49%	0.0017	✓	0.64
2026-06-15	oos	0.08092	0.078951	-2.43%	0.082235	+1.63%	0.0472	✗	0.65
2026-06-14	oos	0.081315	0.079318	-2.46%	0.08092	-0.49%	0.0144	✓	0.65
2026-06-13	oos	0.07894	0.077123	-2.30%	0.081315	+3.01%	0.0407	✗	0.62
2026-06-12	oos	0.07697	0.07569	-1.66%	0.07894	+2.56%	0.0336	✗	0.61
2026-06-11	oos	0.0787	0.078078	-0.79%	0.07697	-2.20%	0.0141	✓	0.61
2026-06-10	oos	0.072485	0.071965	-0.72%	0.0787	+8.57%	0.0720	✗	0.52
2026-06-09	oos	0.07651	0.075966	-0.71%	0.072485	-5.26%	0.0448	✓	0.54
2026-06-07	oos	0.07432	0.073887	-0.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-06-06	oos	0.0741	0.073775	-0.44%	0.07432	+0.30%	0.0165	✓	0.60
2026-06-05	oos	0.07737	0.076992	-0.49%	0.0741	-4.23%	0.0365	✓	0.60
2026-06-04	oos	0.08171	0.08123	-0.59%	0.07737	-5.31%	0.0234	✓	0.57
2026-06-03	oos	0.08873	0.088105	-0.70%	0.08171	-7.91%	0.0732	✓	0.59
2026-06-02	oos	0.08961	0.089039	-0.64%	0.08873	-0.98%	0.0210	✗	0.61
2026-06-01	oos	0.09889	0.098193	-0.71%	0.08961	-9.38%	0.0619	✓	0.44
2026-05-31	oos	0.094545	0.09388	-0.70%	0.09889	+4.60%	0.0671	✗	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.09347	0.092825	-0.69%	0.094545	+1.15%	0.0196	✗	0.47
2026-05-29	oos	0.092475	0.091776	-0.76%	0.09347	+1.08%	0.0156	✗	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.09348	0.092763	-0.77%	0.092475	-1.08%	0.0022	✓	0.48
2026-05-27	oos	0.09646	0.095707	-0.78%	0.09348	-3.09%	0.0184	✓	0.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.093435	0.092689	-0.80%	0.09646	+3.24%	0.0500	✗	0.50
2026-05-25	oos	0.09847	0.097595	-0.89%	0.093435	-5.11%	0.0339	✓	0.52
2026-05-24	oos	0.10152	0.10057	-0.94%	0.09847	-3.00%	0.0229	✓	0.52
2026-05-23	oos	0.109445	0.108289	-1.06%	0.10152	-7.24%	0.0669	✓	0.54
2026-05-22	oos	0.10947	0.108137	-1.22%	0.109445	-0.02%	0.0033	✓	0.55
2026-05-21	oos	0.108555	0.107513	-0.96%	0.10947	+0.84%	0.0337	✗	0.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.104355	0.103345	-0.97%	0.108555	+4.02%	0.0487	✗	0.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.10251	0.101481	-1.00%	0.104355	+1.80%	0.0228	✗	0.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.095495	0.094523	-1.02%	0.10251	+7.35%	0.0825	✗	0.58
2026-05-17	oos	0.09797	0.096793	-1.20%	0.095495	-2.53%	0.0100	✓	0.59
2026-05-16	oos	0.10234	0.100336	-1.96%	0.09797	-4.27%	0.0186	✓	0.58
2026-05-15	oos	0.10441	0.101795	-2.50%	0.10234	-1.98%	0.0124	✓	0.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.11545	0.112581	-2.48%	0.10441	-9.56%	0.0620	✓	0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.11943	0.11723	-1.84%	0.11545	-3.33%	0.0284	✓	0.59
2026-05-12	oos	0.1365	0.132801	-2.71%	0.11943	-12.51%	0.0982	✓	0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.177745	0.172355	-3.03%	0.1365	-23.20%	0.2268	✓	0.42
2026-05-10	oos	0.10148	0.100769	-0.70%	0.177745	+75.15%	0.5705	✗	0.52
2026-05-09	oos	0.10086	0.100125	-0.73%	0.10148	+0.61%	0.0035	✓	0.52
2026-05-07	oos	0.092805	0.092276	-0.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-05-06	oos	0.09127	0.090773	-0.54%	0.092805	+1.68%	0.0335	✗	0.64
2026-05-05	oos	0.088365	0.087947	-0.47%	0.09127	+3.29%	0.0323	✗	0.73
2026-05-04	oos	0.09352	0.093011	-0.54%	0.088365	-5.51%	0.0610	✓	0.74
2026-05-03	oos	0.09292	0.092409	-0.55%	0.09352	+0.65%	0.0003	✓	0.75
2026-05-02	oos	0.09292	0.09242	-0.54%	0.09292	+0.00%	0.0066	✗	0.76
2026-04-30	oos	0.093425	0.092862	-0.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-04-29	oos	0.093435	0.092885	-0.59%	0.093425	-0.01%	0.0000	✓	0.80
2026-04-28	oos	0.095645	0.095095	-0.58%	0.093435	-2.31%	0.0115	✓	0.82
2026-04-27	oos	0.09717	0.096641	-0.54%	0.095645	-1.57%	0.0008	✓	0.82
2026-04-26	oos	0.09153	0.091157	-0.41%	0.09717	+6.16%	0.0779	✗	0.83
2026-04-25	oos	0.094655	0.094257	-0.42%	0.09153	-3.30%	0.0405	✓	0.85
2026-04-24	oos	0.116335	0.115437	-0.77%	0.094655	-18.64%	0.2006	✓	0.88
2026-04-23	oos	0.109425	0.108636	-0.72%	0.116335	+6.31%	0.0778	✗	0.88
2026-04-22	oos	0.102415	0.10175	-0.65%	0.109425	+6.84%	0.0719	✗	0.88
2026-04-21	oos	0.10705	0.106156	-0.84%	0.102415	-4.33%	0.0575	✓	0.90
2026-04-20	oos	0.11432	0.113162	-1.01%	0.10705	-6.36%	0.0613	✓	0.91
2026-04-19	oos	0.109585	0.108435	-1.05%	0.11432	+4.32%	0.0276	✗	0.93
2026-04-18	oos	0.097545	0.096802	-0.76%	0.109585	+12.34%	0.1486	✗	0.96
2026-04-17	oos	0.0899	0.089436	-0.52%	0.097545	+8.50%	0.1043	✗	0.98
2026-04-16	oos	0.08841	0.087915	-0.56%	0.0899	+1.69%	0.0027	✓	0.99
2026-04-15	oos	0.08242	0.082053	-0.45%	0.08841	+7.27%	0.0703	✗	0.98
2026-04-14	oos	0.07959	0.079258	-0.42%	0.08242	+3.56%	0.0305	✗	0.98
2026-04-13	oos	0.08342	0.083024	-0.47%	0.07959	-4.59%	0.0388	✓	0.97
2026-04-12	oos	0.07559	0.075285	-0.40%	0.08342	+10.36%	0.0536	✗	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.078515	0.078188	-0.42%	0.07559	-3.73%	0.0027	✓	0.96
2026-04-10	oos	0.07798	0.077659	-0.41%	0.078515	+0.69%	0.0098	✗	0.96
2026-04-09	oos	0.07821	0.077875	-0.43%	0.07798	-0.29%	0.0146	✓	0.96
2026-04-08	oos	0.07942	0.079058	-0.46%	0.07821	-1.52%	0.0204	✓	0.96
2026-04-07	oos	0.08039	0.080013	-0.47%	0.07942	-1.21%	0.0037	✓	0.96
2026-04-06	oos	0.07956	0.079167	-0.49%	0.08039	+1.04%	0.0273	✓	0.98
2026-04-05	oos	0.07457	0.07426	-0.42%	0.07956	+6.69%	0.0711	✗	0.98
2026-04-04	oos	0.0766	0.076259	-0.44%	0.07457	-2.65%	0.0475	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.07325	0.072971	-0.38%	0.0766	+4.57%	0.0436	✗	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.0744	0.07411	-0.39%	0.07325	-1.55%	0.0127	✓	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.07843	0.078078	-0.45%	0.0744	-5.14%	0.0303	✓	1.00
2026-03-31	oos	0.07749	0.077158	-0.43%	0.07843	+1.21%	0.0180	✗	1.01
2026-03-30	oos	0.07634	0.076039	-0.39%	0.07749	+1.51%	0.0034	✓	1.01
2026-03-29	oos	0.07582	0.075547	-0.36%	0.07634	+0.69%	0.0015	✓	1.01
2026-03-28	oos	0.07925	0.078932	-0.40%	0.07582	-4.33%	0.0347	✓	1.01
2026-03-27	oos	0.07896	0.078663	-0.38%	0.07925	+0.37%	0.0079	✗	1.01
2026-03-26	oos	0.07768	0.077406	-0.35%	0.07896	+1.65%	0.0570	✗	1.04
2026-03-25	oos	0.0836	0.083248	-0.42%	0.07768	-7.08%	0.0321	✓	1.03
2026-03-24	oos	0.08545	0.08507	-0.44%	0.0836	-2.17%	0.0286	✓	1.03
2026-03-23	oos	0.08246	0.082136	-0.39%	0.08545	+3.63%	0.0445	✗	1.03
2026-03-22	oos	0.08039	0.080126	-0.33%	0.08246	+2.57%	0.0167	✓	1.04
2026-03-21	oos	0.07959	0.079349	-0.30%	0.08039	+1.01%	0.0293	✗	1.04
2026-03-20	oos	0.083455	0.083176	-0.33%	0.07959	-4.63%	0.0205	✓	1.04
2026-03-19	oos	0.089	0.088653	-0.39%	0.083455	-6.23%	0.0691	✓	1.05
2026-03-18	oos	0.09065	0.090292	-0.40%	0.089	-1.82%	0.0055	✗	1.06
2026-03-17	oos	0.09312	0.092756	-0.39%	0.09065	-2.65%	0.0166	✗	1.07
2026-03-16	oos	0.09414	0.093781	-0.38%	0.09312	-1.08%	0.0066	✗	1.07
2026-03-15	oos	0.09439	0.093982	-0.43%	0.09414	-0.26%	0.0283	✓	1.08
2026-03-14	oos	0.09464	0.094194	-0.47%	0.09439	-0.26%	0.0219	✓	1.08
2026-03-13	oos	0.0955	0.094983	-0.54%	0.09464	-0.90%	0.0080	✓	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.108195	0.107176	-0.94%	0.0955	-11.73%	0.1218	✓	1.10
2026-03-11	oos	0.09188	0.091473	-0.44%	0.108195	+17.76%	0.1629	✗	1.09
2026-03-10	oos	0.08344	0.083171	-0.32%	0.09188	+10.12%	0.0958	✗	1.08
2026-03-09	oos	0.08216	0.081921	-0.29%	0.08344	+1.56%	0.0055	✓	1.08
2026-03-08	oos	0.078635	0.078467	-0.21%	0.08216	+4.48%	0.0062	✗	1.09
2026-03-07	oos	0.07856	0.078393	-0.21%	0.078635	+0.10%	0.0242	✗	1.09
2026-03-06	oos	0.08108	0.080895	-0.23%	0.07856	-3.11%	0.0157	✓	1.08
2026-03-05	oos	0.08471	0.084478	-0.27%	0.08108	-4.29%	0.0024	✓	1.09
2026-03-04	oos	0.08731	0.087048	-0.30%	0.08471	-2.98%	0.0001	✓	1.09
2026-03-03	oos	0.08708	0.086844	-0.27%	0.08731	+0.26%	0.0653	✓	1.15
2026-03-02	oos	0.08459	0.084383	-0.24%	0.08708	+2.94%	0.0397	✗	1.14
2026-03-01	oos	0.08345	0.083292	-0.19%	0.08459	+1.37%	0.0362	✓	1.13
2026-02-28	oos	0.08748	0.087279	-0.23%	0.08345	-4.61%	0.0241	✓	1.15
2026-02-27	oos	0.08944	0.089232	-0.23%	0.08748	-2.19%	0.0392	✓	1.16
2026-02-26	oos	0.09121	0.090974	-0.26%	0.08944	-1.94%	0.0114	✗	1.16
2026-02-25	oos	0.0915	0.091262	-0.26%	0.09121	-0.32%	0.0081	✗	1.16
2026-02-24	oos	0.08644	0.086298	-0.16%	0.0915	+5.85%	0.0112	✓	1.17
2026-02-23	oos	0.08701	0.086873	-0.16%	0.08644	-0.66%	0.0050	✗	1.16
2026-02-22	oos	0.09035	0.090168	-0.20%	0.08701	-3.70%	0.0173	✗	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.093555	0.093347	-0.22%	0.09035	-3.43%	0.0268	✓	1.16
2026-02-20	oos	0.09345	0.093252	-0.21%	0.093555	+0.11%	0.0037	✗	1.16
2026-02-19	oos	0.09335	0.093174	-0.19%	0.09345	+0.11%	0.0145	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.09564	0.095455	-0.19%	0.09335	-2.39%	0.0320	✓	1.17
2026-02-17	oos	0.10139	0.101129	-0.26%	0.09564	-5.67%	0.0386	✓	1.10
2026-02-16	oos	0.104625	0.104298	-0.31%	0.10139	-3.09%	0.0059	✓	1.10
2026-02-15	oos	0.10273	0.102435	-0.29%	0.104625	+1.84%	0.0201	✗	1.10
2026-02-14	oos	0.1054	0.105048	-0.33%	0.10273	-2.53%	0.0066	✓	1.09
2026-02-13	oos	0.10411	0.103792	-0.31%	0.1054	+1.24%	0.0000	✓	1.10
2026-02-12	oos	0.09806	0.097888	-0.17%	0.10411	+6.17%	0.0198	✗	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.09563	0.095496	-0.14%	0.09806	+2.54%	0.0396	✗	1.07
2026-02-10	oos	0.09579	0.095658	-0.14%	0.09563	-0.17%	0.0280	✗	1.08
2026-02-09	oos	0.09841	0.098245	-0.17%	0.09579	-2.66%	0.0051	✓	1.08
2026-02-08	oos	0.0974	0.097289	-0.11%	0.09841	+1.04%	0.0142	✗	1.09
2026-02-07	oos	0.10021	0.100123	-0.09%	0.0974	-2.80%	0.0439	✓	1.10
2026-02-06	oos	0.101	0.10091	-0.09%	0.10021	-0.78%	0.0132	✗	1.10
2026-02-05	oos	0.0899	0.09018	+0.31%	0.101	+12.35%	0.0163	✗	1.12
2026-02-04	oos	0.10425	0.104155	-0.09%	0.0899	-13.76%	0.0391	✗	1.24
2026-02-03	oos	0.1073	0.107116	-0.17%	0.10425	-2.84%	0.0174	✗	1.24
2026-02-02	oos	0.1112	0.110891	-0.28%	0.1073	-3.51%	0.0165	✗	1.27
2026-02-01	oos	0.1046	0.10452	-0.08%	0.1112	+6.31%	0.0355	✗	1.16
2026-01-31	oos	0.1058	0.105697	-0.10%	0.1046	-1.13%	0.0170	✗	1.22
2026-01-30	oos	0.1176	0.117183	-0.35%	0.1058	-10.03%	0.0231	✓	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.1196	0.119167	-0.36%	0.1176	-1.67%	0.0076	✓	1.18
2026-01-28	oos	0.1301	0.12947	-0.48%	0.1196	-8.07%	0.0176	✓	1.15
2026-01-27	oos	0.1314	0.130744	-0.50%	0.1301	-0.99%	0.0055	✓	1.16
2026-01-26	oos	0.1307	0.130059	-0.49%	0.1314	+0.54%	0.0012	✓	1.17
2026-01-25	oos	0.12455	0.124046	-0.40%	0.1307	+4.94%	0.0298	✗	1.16
2026-01-24	oos	0.1358	0.135077	-0.53%	0.12455	-8.28%	0.0488	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.1314	0.13078	-0.47%	0.1358	+3.35%	0.0427	✗	1.13
2026-01-22	oos	0.1265	0.125983	-0.41%	0.1314	+3.87%	0.0420	✗	1.13
2026-01-21	oos	0.1297	0.129154	-0.42%	0.1265	-2.47%	0.0220	✓	1.13
2026-01-20	oos	0.1263	0.125838	-0.37%	0.1297	+2.69%	0.0168	✗	1.13
2026-01-19	oos	0.1382	0.137551	-0.47%	0.1263	-8.61%	0.0340	✓	1.09
2026-01-18	oos	0.1387	0.138063	-0.46%	0.1382	-0.36%	0.0137	✗	1.10
2026-01-17	oos	0.1472	0.146416	-0.53%	0.1387	-5.77%	0.0374	✓	1.07
2026-01-16	oos	0.1408	0.140149	-0.46%	0.1472	+4.55%	0.0536	✗	1.08
2026-01-15	oos	0.1368	0.136218	-0.43%	0.1408	+2.92%	0.0340	✗	1.08
2026-01-14	oos	0.1429	0.142237	-0.46%	0.1368	-4.27%	0.0238	✓	1.07
2026-01-13	oos	0.1487	0.147868	-0.56%	0.1429	-3.90%	0.0522	✓	1.11
2026-01-12	oos	0.1361	0.135483	-0.45%	0.1487	+9.26%	0.0456	✗	1.06
2026-01-11	oos	0.1414	0.140686	-0.51%	0.1361	-3.75%	0.0369	✓	1.08
2026-01-10	oos	0.1427	0.141959	-0.52%	0.1414	-0.91%	0.0099	✓	1.09
2026-01-09	oos	0.1446	0.143817	-0.54%	0.1427	-1.31%	0.0060	✓	1.14
2026-01-08	oos	0.1451	0.144302	-0.55%	0.1446	-0.34%	0.0083	✗	1.10
2026-01-07	oos	0.1457	0.14491	-0.54%	0.1451	-0.41%	0.0055	✗	1.51
2026-01-06	oos	0.1516	0.150687	-0.60%	0.1457	-3.89%	0.0063	✗	1.51
2026-01-05	oos	0.1541	0.153094	-0.65%	0.1516	-1.62%	0.0074	✓	1.52
2026-01-04	oos	0.1497	0.148746	-0.64%	0.1541	+2.94%	0.0039	✓	1.53
2026-01-03	oos	0.1473	0.146375	-0.63%	0.1497	+1.63%	0.0074	✗	1.53
2026-01-02	oos	0.1445	0.143621	-0.61%	0.1473	+1.94%	0.0145	✗	1.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.1407	0.139894	-0.57%	0.1445	+2.70%	0.0117	✗	1.52
2025-12-31	oos	0.1303	0.129726	-0.44%	0.1407	+7.98%	0.0603	✗	1.49
2025-12-30	oos	0.1337	0.133064	-0.48%	0.1303	-2.54%	0.0058	✓	1.49
2025-12-29	oos	0.1317	0.131111	-0.45%	0.1337	+1.52%	0.0027	✓	1.52
2025-12-28	oos	0.1333	0.132682	-0.46%	0.1317	-1.20%	0.0059	✗	1.52
2025-12-27	oos	0.1347	0.134053	-0.48%	0.1333	-1.04%	0.0068	✓	1.48
2025-12-26	oos	0.1287	0.12818	-0.40%	0.1347	+4.66%	0.0411	✗	1.46
2025-12-25	oos	0.1252	0.124755	-0.36%	0.1287	+2.80%	0.0291	✗	1.46
2025-12-24	oos	0.1287	0.128207	-0.38%	0.1252	-2.72%	0.0164	✓	1.47
2025-12-23	oos	0.1291	0.128613	-0.38%	0.1287	-0.31%	0.0024	✓	1.49
2025-12-22	oos	0.1286	0.128123	-0.37%	0.1291	+0.39%	0.0267	✗	1.49
2025-12-21	oos	0.126	0.125572	-0.34%	0.1286	+2.06%	0.0252	✗	1.49
2025-12-20	oos	0.1281	0.127659	-0.34%	0.126	-1.64%	0.0185	✓	1.51
2025-12-19	oos	0.1271	0.126691	-0.32%	0.1281	+0.79%	0.0071	✗	1.51
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.11906	-0.20%	0.1271	+6.54%	0.0199	✗	1.50
2025-12-17	oos	0.122	0.121745	-0.21%	0.1193	-2.21%	0.0071	✓	1.51
2025-12-16	oos	0.126	0.125699	-0.24%	0.122	-3.17%	0.0013	✓	1.51
2025-12-15	oos	0.12745	0.127187	-0.21%	0.126	-1.14%	0.0345	✓	1.53
2025-12-14	oos	0.12835	0.128078	-0.21%	0.12745	-0.70%	0.0259	✗	1.54
2025-12-13	oos	0.1368	0.136427	-0.27%	0.12835	-6.18%	0.0254	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	0.1387	0.138325	-0.27%	0.1368	-1.37%	0.0107	✓	1.53
2025-12-11	oos	0.1407	0.140286	-0.29%	0.1387	-1.42%	0.0269	✗	1.54
2025-12-10	oos	0.1427	0.142263	-0.31%	0.1407	-1.40%	0.0196	✓	1.55
2025-12-09	oos	0.1517	0.151097	-0.40%	0.1427	-5.93%	0.0463	✓	1.53
2025-12-08	oos	0.14445	0.144024	-0.29%	0.1517	+5.02%	0.0183	✗	1.51
2025-12-07	oos	0.1409	0.140529	-0.26%	0.14445	+2.52%	0.0233	✗	1.51
2025-12-06	oos	0.1435	0.143119	-0.27%	0.1409	-1.81%	0.0348	✓	1.52
2025-12-05	oos	0.1362	0.135906	-0.22%	0.1435	+5.36%	0.0557	✗	1.52
2025-12-04	oos	0.1435	0.143096	-0.28%	0.1362	-5.09%	0.0033	✓	1.52
2025-12-03	oos	0.1448	0.144389	-0.28%	0.1435	-0.90%	0.0162	✗	1.53
2025-12-02	oos	0.143	0.14265	-0.24%	0.1448	+1.26%	0.0209	✓	1.54
2025-12-01	oos	0.14	0.139778	-0.16%	0.143	+2.14%	0.0700	✓	1.64
2025-11-30	oos	0.1531	0.15268	-0.27%	0.14	-8.56%	0.0119	✓	1.62
2025-11-29	oos	0.1539	0.15347	-0.28%	0.1531	-0.52%	0.0058	✗	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	0.1578	0.157316	-0.31%	0.1539	-2.47%	0.0206	✓	1.61
2025-11-27	oos	0.1612	0.160652	-0.34%	0.1578	-2.11%	0.0106	✓	1.62
2025-11-26	oos	0.1578	0.157305	-0.31%	0.1612	+2.15%	0.0092	✗	1.63
2025-11-25	oos	0.1562	0.15576	-0.28%	0.1578	+1.02%	0.0471	✓	1.70
2025-11-24	oos	0.1593	0.158838	-0.29%	0.1562	-1.95%	0.0015	✓	1.70
2025-11-23	oos	0.1603	0.159874	-0.27%	0.1593	-0.62%	0.0323	✓	1.72
2025-11-22	oos	0.156	0.155693	-0.20%	0.1603	+2.76%	0.0143	✓	1.76
2025-11-21	oos	0.154	0.153744	-0.17%	0.156	+1.30%	0.0225	✗	1.75
2025-11-20	oos	0.1607	0.160355	-0.21%	0.154	-4.17%	0.0105	✓	1.75
2025-11-19	oos	0.155	0.154668	-0.21%	0.1607	+3.68%	0.1457	✗	1.94
2025-11-18	oos	0.16	0.159595	-0.25%	0.155	-3.12%	0.0010	✓	1.92
2025-11-17	oos	0.159	0.158655	-0.22%	0.16	+0.63%	0.0085	✓	1.93
2025-11-16	oos	0.1628	0.162395	-0.25%	0.159	-2.33%	0.0210	✗	1.88
2025-11-15	oos	0.1658	0.165356	-0.27%	0.1628	-1.81%	0.0117	✗	1.90
2025-11-14	oos	0.1648	0.164416	-0.23%	0.1658	+0.61%	0.0125	✓	1.91
2025-11-13	oos	0.1699	0.169378	-0.31%	0.1648	-3.00%	0.0789	✗	2.02
2025-11-12	oos	0.1754	0.174795	-0.34%	0.1699	-3.14%	0.0125	✗	2.03
2025-11-11	oos	0.1778	0.177164	-0.36%	0.1754	-1.35%	0.0178	✗	2.07
2025-11-10	oos	0.1908	0.189918	-0.46%	0.1778	-6.81%	0.0010	✓	2.28
2025-11-09	oos	0.18975	0.188886	-0.46%	0.1908	+0.55%	0.0181	✓	2.31
2025-11-08	oos	0.1872	0.186403	-0.43%	0.18975	+1.36%	0.0366	✓	2.34
2025-11-07	oos	0.1896	0.18873	-0.46%	0.1872	-1.27%	0.0141	✗	2.29
2025-11-06	oos	0.1712	0.170685	-0.30%	0.1896	+10.75%	0.0611	✗	2.26
2025-11-05	oos	0.1747	0.174121	-0.33%	0.1712	-2.00%	0.0403	✗	2.28
2025-11-04	oos	0.1662	0.165836	-0.22%	0.1747	+5.11%	0.0012	✓	2.28
2025-11-03	oos	0.1627	0.162322	-0.23%	0.1662	+2.15%	0.1451	✗	2.48
2025-11-02	oos	0.1818	0.181145	-0.36%	0.1627	-10.51%	0.0172	✓	2.46
2025-11-01	oos	0.1838	0.183142	-0.36%	0.1818	-1.09%	0.0182	✓	2.46
2025-10-31	oos	0.1805	0.179922	-0.32%	0.1838	+1.83%	0.0102	✗	2.47
2025-10-30	oos	0.1788	0.178321	-0.27%	0.1805	+0.95%	0.0162	✓	2.47
2025-10-29	oos	0.1883	0.187716	-0.31%	0.1788	-5.05%	0.0101	✓	2.44
2025-10-28	oos	0.1962	0.195522	-0.35%	0.1883	-4.03%	0.0261	✗	2.47
2025-10-27	oos	0.2055	0.204716	-0.38%	0.1962	-4.53%	0.0169	✓	2.46
2025-10-26	oos	0.214	0.213126	-0.41%	0.2055	-3.97%	0.0265	✓	2.46
2025-10-25	oos	0.2071	0.206334	-0.37%	0.214	+3.33%	0.0274	✓	2.51
2025-10-24	oos	0.20795	0.207183	-0.37%	0.2071	-0.41%	0.0145	✓	2.51
2025-10-23	oos	0.2065	0.205772	-0.35%	0.20795	+0.70%	0.0105	✓	2.52
2025-10-22	oos	0.2004	0.199834	-0.28%	0.2065	+3.04%	0.0260	✓	2.53
2025-10-21	oos	0.2095	0.20883	-0.32%	0.2004	-4.34%	0.0230	✓	2.53
2025-10-20	oos	0.2176	0.216812	-0.36%	0.2095	-3.72%	0.0172	✗	2.55
2025-10-19	oos	0.22035	0.219563	-0.36%	0.2176	-1.25%	0.0526	✓	2.53
2025-10-18	oos	0.2146	0.213969	-0.29%	0.22035	+2.68%	0.0050	✓	2.53
2025-10-17	oos	0.2137	0.213164	-0.25%	0.2146	+0.42%	0.0109	✓	2.52
2025-10-16	oos	0.2164	0.215818	-0.27%	0.2137	-1.25%	0.0312	✗	2.54
2025-10-15	oos	0.2265	0.225768	-0.32%	0.2164	-4.46%	0.0182	✗	2.55
2025-10-14	oos	0.2356	0.234749	-0.36%	0.2265	-3.86%	0.0160	✗	2.56
2025-10-13	oos	0.24855	0.247508	-0.42%	0.2356	-5.21%	0.0002	✓	2.54
2025-10-12	oos	0.2306	0.229833	-0.33%	0.24855	+7.78%	0.0739	✗	2.47
2025-10-11	oos	0.212	0.211773	-0.11%	0.2306	+8.77%	0.0093	✓	2.48
2025-10-10	oos	0.20085	0.201005	+0.08%	0.212	+5.55%	0.1038	✓	2.55
2025-10-09	oos	0.2782	0.277111	-0.39%	0.20085	-27.80%	0.1676	✓	2.07
2025-10-08	oos	0.28345	0.282345	-0.39%	0.2782	-1.85%	0.0127	✗	2.07
2025-10-07	oos	0.2716	0.270594	-0.37%	0.28345	+4.36%	0.0134	✗	2.07
2025-10-06	oos	0.2847	0.283637	-0.37%	0.2716	-4.60%	0.0131	✗	2.09
2025-10-05	oos	0.2785	0.27747	-0.37%	0.2847	+2.23%	0.0055	✗	2.09
2025-10-04	oos	0.2827	0.281609	-0.39%	0.2785	-1.49%	0.0291	✓	2.09
2025-10-03	oos	0.2881	0.286935	-0.40%	0.2827	-1.87%	0.0173	✓	2.09
2025-10-02	oos	0.28665	0.285448	-0.42%	0.2881	+0.51%	0.0201	✓	2.10
2025-10-01	oos	0.2778	0.276648	-0.41%	0.28665	+3.19%	0.0005	✓	2.13
2025-09-30	oos	0.2555	0.254598	-0.35%	0.2778	+8.73%	0.0033	✓	2.13
2025-09-29	oos	0.2643	0.263322	-0.37%	0.2555	-3.33%	0.0245	✓	2.17
2025-09-28	oos	0.2784	0.277299	-0.40%	0.2643	-5.06%	0.0915	✓	2.27
2025-09-27	oos	0.275	0.274015	-0.36%	0.2784	+1.24%	0.0365	✓	2.31
2025-09-26	oos	0.2823	0.281258	-0.37%	0.275	-2.59%	0.0222	✓	2.32
2025-09-25	oos	0.2714	0.270598	-0.30%	0.2823	+4.02%	0.0284	✗	2.31
2025-09-24	oos	0.299	0.297804	-0.40%	0.2714	-9.23%	0.0040	✓	2.29
2025-09-23	oos	0.3021	0.300914	-0.39%	0.299	-1.03%	0.0337	✓	2.32
2025-09-22	oos	0.3062	0.304999	-0.39%	0.3021	-1.34%	0.0051	✗	2.29
2025-09-21	oos	0.33405	0.332467	-0.47%	0.3062	-8.34%	0.0322	✓	2.24
2025-09-20	oos	0.3417	0.340007	-0.50%	0.33405	-2.24%	0.0085	✓	2.26
2025-09-19	oos	0.3364	0.334814	-0.47%	0.3417	+1.58%	0.0191	✗	2.28
2025-09-18	oos	0.36885	0.366629	-0.60%	0.3364	-8.80%	0.0584	✓	2.25
2025-09-17	oos	0.3637	0.361541	-0.59%	0.36885	+1.42%	0.0078	✗	2.25
2025-09-16	oos	0.35105	0.349153	-0.54%	0.3637	+3.60%	0.0476	✗	2.26
2025-09-15	oos	0.34875	0.346841	-0.55%	0.35105	+0.66%	0.0164	✓	2.27

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.