OPTIM

Optimism · · lstm_s5

token id: #80
symbol: OPTIM
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-06-01
predictions: 4,773

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

53.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0290

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0020

actual -0.0023

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.129435	0.12889	-0.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-21	oos	0.12882	0.128392	-0.33%	0.129435	+0.48%	0.0044	✗	1.61
2026-10-20	oos	0.12975	0.129262	-0.38%	0.12882	-0.72%	0.0245	✓	1.62
2026-10-19	oos	0.124265	0.123819	-0.36%	0.12975	+4.41%	0.0252	✗	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.125295	0.124842	-0.36%	0.124265	-0.82%	0.0013	✓	1.62
2026-10-17	oos	0.129015	0.1285	-0.40%	0.125295	-2.88%	0.0377	✓	1.62
2026-10-16	oos	0.13792	0.137224	-0.50%	0.129015	-6.46%	0.0593	✓	1.62
2026-10-15	oos	0.13735	0.136579	-0.56%	0.13792	+0.41%	0.0220	✗	1.61
2026-10-14	oos	0.14076	0.13981	-0.68%	0.13735	-2.42%	0.0287	✓	1.61
2026-10-13	oos	0.158405	0.156913	-0.94%	0.14076	-11.14%	0.0794	✓	1.57
2026-10-12	oos	0.130645	0.129969	-0.52%	0.158405	+21.25%	0.1731	✗	1.50
2026-10-11	oos	0.14363	0.142611	-0.71%	0.130645	-9.04%	0.0544	✓	1.42
2026-10-10	oos	0.13915	0.138141	-0.73%	0.14363	+3.22%	0.0260	✗	1.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.13233	0.131562	-0.58%	0.13915	+5.15%	0.0499	✗	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	0.11895	0.118498	-0.38%	0.13233	+11.25%	0.0960	✗	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	0.123	0.122466	-0.43%	0.11895	-3.29%	0.0026	✓	1.38
2026-10-06	oos	0.130325	0.12965	-0.52%	0.123	-5.62%	0.0159	✓	1.37
2026-10-05	oos	0.138525	0.137699	-0.60%	0.130325	-5.92%	0.0517	✓	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	0.134225	0.133486	-0.55%	0.138525	+3.20%	0.0493	✗	1.39
2026-10-03	oos	0.136365	0.135535	-0.61%	0.134225	-1.57%	0.0387	✓	1.41
2026-10-02	oos	0.1272	0.126565	-0.50%	0.136365	+7.21%	0.0706	✗	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.12807	0.127402	-0.52%	0.1272	-0.68%	0.0041	✓	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	0.129565	0.128899	-0.51%	0.12807	-1.15%	0.0285	✓	1.44
2026-09-29	oos	0.128755	0.128112	-0.50%	0.129565	+0.63%	0.0127	✗	1.44
2026-09-28	oos	0.1342	0.133451	-0.56%	0.128755	-4.06%	0.0389	✓	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	0.14935	0.148187	-0.78%	0.1342	-10.14%	0.0827	✓	1.37
2026-09-26	oos	0.14384	0.14276	-0.75%	0.14935	+3.83%	0.0444	✗	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	0.146435	0.145227	-0.82%	0.14384	-1.77%	0.0149	✓	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	0.1314	0.130534	-0.66%	0.146435	+11.44%	0.1198	✗	1.40
2026-09-23	oos	0.12285	0.12214	-0.58%	0.1314	+6.96%	0.0730	✗	1.41
2026-09-22	oos	0.135295	0.134207	-0.80%	0.12285	-9.20%	0.0600	✓	1.33
2026-09-21	oos	0.12745	0.126436	-0.80%	0.135295	+6.16%	0.0737	✗	1.29
2026-09-20	oos	0.12514	0.12398	-0.93%	0.12745	+1.85%	0.0619	✓	1.38
2026-09-19	oos	0.121635	0.1205	-0.93%	0.12514	+2.88%	0.0390	✗	1.38
2026-09-18	oos	0.120565	0.119468	-0.91%	0.121635	+0.89%	0.0118	✗	1.39
2026-09-17	oos	0.1009	0.100315	-0.58%	0.120565	+19.49%	0.1138	✗	1.22
2026-09-16	oos	0.095765	0.095357	-0.43%	0.1009	+5.36%	0.0533	✗	1.20
2026-09-15	oos	0.093615	0.093296	-0.34%	0.095765	+2.30%	0.0175	✗	1.17
2026-09-14	oos	0.10221	0.101738	-0.46%	0.093615	-8.41%	0.0461	✓	1.10
2026-09-13	oos	0.094715	0.094402	-0.33%	0.10221	+7.91%	0.0606	✗	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.095695	0.095415	-0.29%	0.094715	-1.02%	0.0010	✓	1.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.095525	0.095365	-0.17%	0.095695	+0.18%	0.0027	✗	1.06
2026-09-10	oos	0.09379	0.093711	-0.08%	0.095525	+1.85%	0.0097	✗	1.08
2026-09-09	oos	0.099445	0.099443	-0.00%	0.09379	-5.69%	0.0347	✓	1.05
2026-09-08	oos	0.1053	0.105262	-0.04%	0.099445	-5.56%	0.0546	✓	1.07
2026-09-07	oos	0.11045	0.110392	-0.05%	0.1053	-4.66%	0.0385	✓	1.07
2026-09-06	oos	0.1102	0.110282	+0.07%	0.11045	+0.23%	0.0181	✓	1.06
2026-09-05	oos	0.10758	0.107749	+0.16%	0.1102	+2.44%	0.0158	✓	1.06
2026-09-04	oos	0.09814	0.098464	+0.33%	0.10758	+9.62%	0.0865	✓	1.05
2026-09-03	oos	0.10119	0.101548	+0.35%	0.09814	-3.01%	0.0134	✗	1.05
2026-09-02	oos	0.09923	0.099434	+0.21%	0.10119	+1.98%	0.0428	✗	1.21
2026-09-01	oos	0.09518	0.095423	+0.26%	0.09923	+4.26%	0.0406	✓	1.23
2026-08-31	oos	0.09355	0.093931	+0.41%	0.09518	+1.74%	0.0297	✓	1.10
2026-08-30	oos	0.08641	0.086792	+0.44%	0.09355	+8.26%	0.0626	✓	1.08
2026-08-29	oos	0.08869	0.089105	+0.47%	0.08641	-2.57%	0.0233	✗	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.09007	0.090478	+0.45%	0.08869	-1.53%	0.0251	✗	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.09722	0.097676	+0.47%	0.09007	-7.35%	0.0508	✗	0.98
2026-08-26	oos	0.099	0.099445	+0.45%	0.09722	-1.80%	0.0382	✗	0.99
2026-08-25	oos	0.10149	0.101897	+0.40%	0.099	-2.45%	0.0352	✗	1.01
2026-08-24	oos	0.10775	0.108097	+0.32%	0.10149	-5.81%	0.0573	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.11218	0.112356	+0.16%	0.10775	-3.95%	0.0582	✗	1.02
2026-08-22	oos	0.10893	0.108982	+0.05%	0.11218	+2.98%	0.0201	✓	1.02
2026-08-21	oos	0.10715	0.107201	+0.05%	0.10893	+1.66%	0.0328	✓	1.03
2026-08-20	oos	0.098	0.097422	-0.59%	0.10715	+9.34%	0.0250	✗	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	0.08996	0.089358	-0.67%	0.098	+8.94%	0.0423	✗	0.96
2026-08-18	oos	0.08199	0.081643	-0.42%	0.08996	+9.72%	0.0359	✗	0.89
2026-08-17	oos	0.08417	0.083923	-0.29%	0.08199	-2.59%	0.0261	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.08335	0.083174	-0.21%	0.08417	+0.98%	0.0116	✓	0.91
2026-08-15	oos	0.08482	0.084581	-0.28%	0.08335	-1.73%	0.0120	✓	0.91
2026-08-14	oos	0.08635	0.086051	-0.35%	0.08482	-1.77%	0.0150	✓	0.91
2026-08-13	oos	0.08867	0.088303	-0.41%	0.08635	-2.62%	0.0158	✓	0.92
2026-08-12	oos	0.085925	0.085666	-0.30%	0.08867	+3.19%	0.0343	✗	0.94
2026-08-11	oos	0.0915	0.091115	-0.42%	0.085925	-6.09%	0.0569	✓	0.91
2026-08-10	oos	0.0915	0.09111	-0.43%	0.0915	+0.00%	0.0098	✗	0.92
2026-08-09	oos	0.088	0.087726	-0.31%	0.0915	+3.98%	0.0560	✗	0.95
2026-08-08	oos	0.0885	0.088201	-0.34%	0.088	-0.56%	0.0014	✓	0.96
2026-08-07	oos	0.0865	0.086203	-0.34%	0.0885	+2.31%	0.0261	✗	0.94
2026-08-06	oos	0.0865	0.086188	-0.36%	0.0865	+0.00%	0.0054	✓	0.93
2026-08-05	oos	0.0875	0.087151	-0.40%	0.0865	-1.14%	0.0025	✓	0.95
2026-08-04	oos	0.0885	0.088107	-0.44%	0.0875	-1.13%	0.0149	✓	0.93
2026-08-03	oos	0.0885	0.088118	-0.43%	0.0885	+0.00%	0.0045	✓	0.96
2026-08-02	oos	0.086	0.085672	-0.38%	0.0885	+2.91%	0.0330	✗	0.97
2026-08-01	oos	0.0825	0.082221	-0.34%	0.086	+4.24%	0.0338	✗	0.95
2026-07-31	oos	0.085	0.084677	-0.38%	0.0825	-2.94%	0.0251	✓	0.96
2026-07-30	oos	0.0875	0.08716	-0.39%	0.085	-2.86%	0.0036	✓	0.97
2026-07-29	oos	0.0895	0.089116	-0.43%	0.0875	-2.23%	0.0307	✓	0.97
2026-07-28	oos	0.0895	0.089113	-0.43%	0.0895	+0.00%	0.0036	✓	0.97
2026-07-27	oos	0.0875	0.087159	-0.39%	0.0895	+2.29%	0.0242	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	0.0955	0.09511	-0.41%	0.0875	-8.38%	0.0601	✓	0.91
2026-07-25	oos	0.0925	0.092107	-0.43%	0.0955	+3.24%	0.0216	✗	0.91
2026-07-24	oos	0.0925	0.092161	-0.37%	0.0925	+0.00%	0.0007	✓	0.90
2026-07-23	oos	0.0925	0.092228	-0.29%	0.0925	+0.00%	0.0166	✗	0.91
2026-07-22	oos	0.0965	0.096215	-0.30%	0.0925	-4.15%	0.0254	✓	0.88
2026-07-21	oos	0.098	0.097707	-0.30%	0.0965	-1.53%	0.0067	✓	0.88
2026-07-20	oos	0.0945	0.094256	-0.26%	0.098	+3.70%	0.0225	✗	0.83
2026-07-19	oos	0.0945	0.094249	-0.27%	0.0945	+0.00%	0.0041	✓	0.83
2026-07-18	oos	0.0955	0.095237	-0.28%	0.0945	-1.05%	0.0063	✓	0.84
2026-07-17	oos	0.0965	0.096252	-0.26%	0.0955	-1.04%	0.0200	✓	0.87
2026-07-16	oos	0.0985	0.098251	-0.25%	0.0965	-2.03%	0.0197	✓	0.90
2026-07-15	oos	0.1025	0.102196	-0.30%	0.0985	-3.90%	0.0239	✓	0.88
2026-07-14	oos	0.1015	0.101225	-0.27%	0.1025	+0.99%	0.0163	✗	0.90
2026-07-13	oos	0.0985	0.098273	-0.23%	0.1015	+3.05%	0.0078	✓	0.94
2026-07-12	oos	0.1005	0.100249	-0.25%	0.0985	-1.99%	0.0044	✗	0.94
2026-07-11	oos	0.1015	0.101272	-0.22%	0.1005	-0.99%	0.0071	✓	1.01
2026-07-10	oos	0.1035	0.103274	-0.22%	0.1015	-1.93%	0.0115	✓	1.04
2026-07-09	oos	0.102	0.101806	-0.19%	0.1035	+1.47%	0.0009	✓	1.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.0995	0.099361	-0.14%	0.102	+2.51%	0.0107	✗	1.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.102	0.101808	-0.19%	0.0995	-2.45%	0.0051	✓	1.03
2026-07-06	oos	0.107	0.106711	-0.27%	0.102	-4.67%	0.0342	✓	1.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.1085	0.108169	-0.31%	0.107	-1.38%	0.0179	✓	1.07
2026-07-04	oos	0.1075	0.107192	-0.29%	0.1085	+0.93%	0.0037	✗	1.07
2026-07-03	oos	0.107	0.106703	-0.28%	0.1075	+0.47%	0.0021	✓	1.05
2026-07-02	oos	0.099	0.098852	-0.15%	0.107	+8.08%	0.0621	✗	1.02
2026-07-01	oos	0.095	0.094952	-0.05%	0.099	+4.21%	0.0163	✗	1.01
2026-06-30	oos	0.097	0.096943	-0.06%	0.095	-2.06%	0.0459	✓	1.06
2026-06-29	oos	0.1005	0.100336	-0.16%	0.097	-3.48%	0.0048	✓	1.05
2026-06-28	oos	0.0995	0.099364	-0.14%	0.1005	+1.01%	0.0009	✓	1.07
2026-06-27	oos	0.1005	0.100355	-0.14%	0.0995	-1.00%	0.0002	✓	1.08
2026-06-26	oos	0.105	0.10483	-0.16%	0.1005	-4.29%	0.0410	✓	1.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.106	0.105828	-0.16%	0.105	-0.94%	0.0133	✓	1.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.1045	0.104327	-0.17%	0.106	+1.44%	0.0394	✗	1.11
2026-06-23	oos	0.1015	0.10134	-0.16%	0.1045	+2.96%	0.0618	✗	1.16
2026-06-22	oos	0.1005	0.10033	-0.17%	0.1015	+1.00%	0.0357	✗	1.17
2026-06-21	oos	0.0995	0.099368	-0.13%	0.1005	+1.01%	0.0018	✓	1.17
2026-06-20	oos	0.1035	0.103302	-0.19%	0.0995	-3.86%	0.0206	✓	1.09
2026-06-19	oos	0.1035	0.103327	-0.17%	0.1035	+0.00%	0.0112	✓	1.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.1095	0.109224	-0.25%	0.1035	-5.48%	0.0645	✓	1.13
2026-06-17	oos	0.109	0.108677	-0.30%	0.1095	+0.46%	0.0359	✗	1.15
2026-06-16	oos	0.1085	0.108127	-0.34%	0.109	+0.46%	0.0292	✗	1.17
2026-06-15	oos	0.1085	0.108035	-0.43%	0.1085	+0.00%	0.0164	✗	1.21
2026-06-14	oos	0.108	0.107524	-0.44%	0.1085	+0.46%	0.0014	✓	1.21
2026-06-13	oos	0.1065	0.10602	-0.45%	0.108	+1.41%	0.0058	✓	1.24
2026-06-12	oos	0.0995	0.09929	-0.21%	0.1065	+7.04%	0.0530	✗	1.23
2026-06-11	oos	0.096	0.095875	-0.13%	0.0995	+3.65%	0.0376	✗	1.22
2026-06-10	oos	0.0905	0.090593	+0.10%	0.096	+6.08%	0.0170	✓	1.21
2026-06-09	oos	0.0965	0.096512	+0.01%	0.0905	-6.22%	0.0596	✗	1.20
2026-06-08	oos	0.096	0.09602	+0.02%	0.0965	+0.52%	0.0320	✓	1.23
2026-06-07	oos	0.097	0.09703	+0.03%	0.096	-1.03%	0.0061	✗	1.21
2026-06-06	oos	0.094	0.094276	+0.29%	0.097	+3.19%	0.0194	✗	1.21
2026-06-05	oos	0.098	0.09824	+0.24%	0.094	-4.08%	0.0405	✗	1.21
2026-06-04	oos	0.112	0.11157	-0.38%	0.098	-12.50%	0.0801	✓	1.11
2026-06-03	oos	0.123	0.122199	-0.65%	0.112	-8.94%	0.0831	✓	1.10
2026-06-02	oos	0.115	0.114501	-0.43%	0.123	+6.96%	0.1205	✗	1.22
2026-06-01	oos	0.124	0.123175	-0.67%	0.115	-7.26%	0.0086	✗	1.14
2026-05-31	oos	0.1185	0.117866	-0.54%	0.124	+4.64%	0.0887	✗	1.22
2026-05-30	oos	0.1205	0.119831	-0.56%	0.1185	-1.66%	0.0080	✓	1.18
2026-05-29	oos	0.1185	0.117976	-0.44%	0.1205	+1.69%	0.0147	✗	1.18
2026-05-28	oos	0.1185	0.118024	-0.40%	0.1185	+0.00%	0.0064	✗	1.18
2026-05-27	oos	0.124	0.123372	-0.51%	0.1185	-4.44%	0.0279	✓	1.14
2026-05-26	oos	0.127	0.126326	-0.53%	0.124	-2.36%	0.0046	✓	1.15
2026-05-25	oos	0.1295	0.128785	-0.55%	0.127	-1.93%	0.0070	✗	1.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.126	0.125426	-0.46%	0.1295	+2.78%	0.0280	✗	1.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.1305	0.129872	-0.48%	0.126	-3.45%	0.0349	✓	1.08
2026-05-22	oos	0.126	0.125517	-0.38%	0.1305	+3.57%	0.0218	✗	1.08
2026-05-21	oos	0.1325	0.131905	-0.45%	0.126	-4.91%	0.0164	✓	1.07
2026-05-20	oos	0.129	0.12852	-0.37%	0.1325	+2.71%	0.0295	✗	1.04
2026-05-19	oos	0.1255	0.12514	-0.29%	0.129	+2.79%	0.0211	✗	1.01
2026-05-18	oos	0.1295	0.129097	-0.31%	0.1255	-3.09%	0.0258	✓	1.05
2026-05-17	oos	0.1285	0.128141	-0.28%	0.1295	+0.78%	0.0168	✗	1.05
2026-05-16	oos	0.1325	0.132166	-0.25%	0.1285	-3.02%	0.0188	✓	1.04
2026-05-15	oos	0.1365	0.136158	-0.25%	0.1325	-2.93%	0.0145	✓	1.05
2026-05-14	oos	0.1445	0.144081	-0.29%	0.1365	-5.54%	0.0278	✓	1.04
2026-05-13	oos	0.1465	0.146077	-0.29%	0.1445	-1.37%	0.0344	✓	1.05
2026-05-12	oos	0.152	0.151505	-0.33%	0.1465	-3.62%	0.0181	✓	1.03
2026-05-11	oos	0.157	0.156477	-0.33%	0.152	-3.18%	0.0133	✓	1.03
2026-05-10	oos	0.1635	0.162868	-0.39%	0.157	-3.98%	0.0308	✓	1.03
2026-05-09	oos	0.164	0.163171	-0.51%	0.1635	-0.30%	0.0176	✓	1.03
2026-05-08	oos	0.172	0.170765	-0.72%	0.164	-4.65%	0.0464	✓	1.02
2026-05-07	oos	0.148	0.147165	-0.56%	0.172	+16.22%	0.1536	✗	1.02
2026-05-06	oos	0.1425	0.141594	-0.64%	0.148	+3.86%	0.0617	✗	0.98
2026-05-05	oos	0.1285	0.127874	-0.49%	0.1425	+10.89%	0.1015	✗	1.04
2026-05-04	oos	0.124	0.12337	-0.51%	0.1285	+3.63%	0.0276	✗	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.123	0.12254	-0.37%	0.124	+0.81%	0.0048	✓	1.02
2026-05-02	oos	0.126	0.125462	-0.43%	0.123	-2.38%	0.0182	✓	1.01
2026-05-01	oos	0.121	0.120503	-0.41%	0.126	+4.13%	0.0388	✗	1.01
2026-04-30	oos	0.1205	0.120011	-0.41%	0.121	+0.41%	0.0179	✓	1.05
2026-04-29	oos	0.1195	0.119063	-0.37%	0.1205	+0.84%	0.0044	✗	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.1215	0.121148	-0.29%	0.1195	-1.65%	0.0057	✓	1.07
2026-04-27	oos	0.1225	0.12213	-0.30%	0.1215	-0.82%	0.0095	✗	1.07
2026-04-26	oos	0.1255	0.1251	-0.32%	0.1225	-2.39%	0.0030	✓	1.08
2026-04-25	oos	0.1255	0.125031	-0.37%	0.1255	+0.00%	0.0104	✓	1.08
2026-04-24	oos	0.1255	0.125046	-0.36%	0.1255	+0.00%	0.0010	✓	1.09
2026-04-23	oos	0.1215	0.121139	-0.30%	0.1255	+3.29%	0.0469	✗	1.09
2026-04-22	oos	0.121	0.120639	-0.30%	0.1215	+0.41%	0.0061	✗	1.09
2026-04-21	oos	0.1235	0.123072	-0.35%	0.121	-2.02%	0.0435	✓	1.10
2026-04-20	oos	0.1235	0.123046	-0.37%	0.1235	+0.00%	0.0034	✓	1.11
2026-04-19	oos	0.12	0.119561	-0.37%	0.1235	+2.92%	0.0022	✓	1.11
2026-04-18	oos	0.1255	0.124974	-0.42%	0.12	-4.38%	0.0124	✓	1.10
2026-04-17	oos	0.1345	0.133771	-0.54%	0.1255	-6.69%	0.0442	✓	1.10
2026-04-16	oos	0.1325	0.13174	-0.57%	0.1345	+1.51%	0.0073	✓	1.10
2026-04-15	oos	0.1195	0.119062	-0.37%	0.1325	+10.88%	0.1022	✗	1.10
2026-04-14	oos	0.1115	0.111151	-0.31%	0.1195	+7.17%	0.0628	✗	1.09
2026-04-13	oos	0.1165	0.116098	-0.35%	0.1115	-4.29%	0.0365	✓	1.08
2026-04-12	oos	0.1065	0.106152	-0.33%	0.1165	+9.39%	0.0360	✗	1.12
2026-04-11	oos	0.1145	0.114115	-0.34%	0.1065	-6.99%	0.0330	✓	1.11
2026-04-10	oos	0.1155	0.1151	-0.35%	0.1145	-0.87%	0.0066	✓	1.11
2026-04-09	oos	0.114	0.113601	-0.35%	0.1155	+1.32%	0.0018	✓	1.11
2026-04-08	oos	0.1145	0.114079	-0.37%	0.114	-0.44%	0.0118	✓	1.11
2026-04-07	oos	0.1185	0.118022	-0.40%	0.1145	-3.38%	0.0175	✓	1.11
2026-04-06	oos	0.1095	0.109067	-0.40%	0.1185	+8.22%	0.0355	✗	1.09
2026-04-05	oos	0.1105	0.110049	-0.41%	0.1095	-0.90%	0.0026	✓	1.09
2026-04-04	oos	0.1105	0.11	-0.45%	0.1105	+0.00%	0.0232	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.1105	0.110009	-0.44%	0.1105	+0.00%	0.0010	✓	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.1065	0.106082	-0.39%	0.1105	+3.76%	0.0397	✗	1.11
2026-04-01	oos	0.1105	0.110078	-0.38%	0.1065	-3.62%	0.0130	✓	1.11
2026-03-31	oos	0.1105	0.110098	-0.36%	0.1105	+0.00%	0.0055	✗	1.13
2026-03-30	oos	0.1055	0.105187	-0.30%	0.1105	+4.74%	0.0247	✗	1.12
2026-03-29	oos	0.1015	0.101336	-0.16%	0.1055	+3.94%	0.0272	✗	1.11
2026-03-28	oos	0.1025	0.102361	-0.14%	0.1015	-0.98%	0.0023	✓	1.11
2026-03-27	oos	0.104	0.103905	-0.09%	0.1025	-1.44%	0.0131	✓	1.11
2026-03-26	oos	0.1085	0.108354	-0.13%	0.104	-4.15%	0.0010	✓	1.12
2026-03-25	oos	0.1135	0.1133	-0.18%	0.1085	-4.41%	0.0027	✓	1.12
2026-03-24	oos	0.1135	0.113359	-0.12%	0.1135	+0.00%	0.0109	✓	1.12
2026-03-23	oos	0.1135	0.113379	-0.11%	0.1135	+0.00%	0.0065	✗	1.12
2026-03-22	oos	0.1145	0.114382	-0.10%	0.1135	-0.87%	0.0580	✓	1.15
2026-03-21	oos	0.1175	0.117326	-0.15%	0.1145	-2.55%	0.0064	✓	1.15
2026-03-20	oos	0.1235	0.123294	-0.17%	0.1175	-4.86%	0.0221	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.1215	0.121372	-0.11%	0.1235	+1.65%	0.0080	✗	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.1265	0.126337	-0.13%	0.1215	-3.95%	0.0173	✓	1.16
2026-03-17	oos	0.1365	0.136283	-0.16%	0.1265	-7.33%	0.0320	✓	1.15
2026-03-16	oos	0.1375	0.137272	-0.17%	0.1365	-0.73%	0.0092	✗	1.16
2026-03-15	oos	0.1285	0.12833	-0.13%	0.1375	+7.00%	0.0372	✗	1.14
2026-03-14	oos	0.1235	0.123327	-0.14%	0.1285	+4.05%	0.0159	✗	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.123	0.122645	-0.29%	0.1235	+0.41%	0.0023	✓	1.14
2026-03-12	oos	0.1195	0.119211	-0.24%	0.123	+2.93%	0.0247	✗	1.14
2026-03-11	oos	0.121	0.120676	-0.27%	0.1195	-1.24%	0.0150	✓	1.13
2026-03-10	oos	0.1185	0.118153	-0.29%	0.121	+2.11%	0.0198	✗	1.13
2026-03-09	oos	0.1185	0.118243	-0.22%	0.1185	+0.00%	0.0229	✓	1.14
2026-03-08	oos	0.115	0.114954	-0.04%	0.1185	+3.04%	0.0118	✓	1.15
2026-03-07	oos	0.117	0.116995	-0.00%	0.115	-1.71%	0.0052	✗	1.16
2026-03-06	oos	0.121	0.121005	+0.00%	0.117	-3.31%	0.0193	✗	1.15
2026-03-05	oos	0.1255	0.125438	-0.05%	0.121	-3.59%	0.0103	✗	1.16
2026-03-04	oos	0.129	0.128903	-0.08%	0.1255	-2.71%	0.0024	✗	1.17
2026-03-03	oos	0.126	0.126006	+0.00%	0.129	+2.38%	0.0507	✗	1.20
2026-03-02	oos	0.125	0.125039	+0.03%	0.126	+0.80%	0.0164	✓	1.21
2026-03-01	oos	0.1215	0.121658	+0.13%	0.125	+2.88%	0.0297	✗	1.25
2026-02-28	oos	0.1225	0.122675	+0.14%	0.1215	-0.82%	0.0134	✓	1.27
2026-02-27	oos	0.12	0.120271	+0.23%	0.1225	+2.08%	0.0029	✗	1.27
2026-02-26	oos	0.1195	0.1198	+0.25%	0.12	+0.42%	0.0331	✓	1.28
2026-02-25	oos	0.124	0.124298	+0.24%	0.1195	-3.63%	0.0299	✗	1.28
2026-02-24	oos	0.118	0.118468	+0.40%	0.124	+5.08%	0.0318	✗	1.30
2026-02-23	oos	0.1215	0.121983	+0.40%	0.118	-2.88%	0.0221	✗	1.28
2026-02-22	oos	0.1225	0.122981	+0.39%	0.1215	-0.82%	0.0473	✓	1.31
2026-02-21	oos	0.1285	0.129011	+0.40%	0.1225	-4.67%	0.0452	✗	1.32
2026-02-20	oos	0.129	0.129567	+0.44%	0.1285	-0.39%	0.0077	✗	1.31
2026-02-19	oos	0.14	0.140512	+0.37%	0.129	-7.86%	0.1055	✗	1.33
2026-02-18	oos	0.165	0.165259	+0.16%	0.14	-15.15%	0.1773	✗	1.38
2026-02-17	oos	0.1875	0.187522	+0.01%	0.165	-12.00%	0.1070	✗	1.34
2026-02-16	oos	0.1905	0.190484	-0.01%	0.1875	-1.57%	0.0116	✗	1.34
2026-02-15	oos	0.1895	0.189555	+0.03%	0.1905	+0.53%	0.0037	✓	1.35
2026-02-14	oos	0.197	0.197034	+0.02%	0.1895	-3.81%	0.0197	✗	1.35
2026-02-13	oos	0.189	0.189177	+0.09%	0.197	+4.23%	0.0217	✓	1.34
2026-02-12	oos	0.1825	0.182865	+0.20%	0.189	+3.56%	0.0191	✗	1.35
2026-02-11	oos	0.1775	0.177984	+0.27%	0.1825	+2.82%	0.0414	✓	1.33
2026-02-10	oos	0.1825	0.182985	+0.27%	0.1775	-2.74%	0.0044	✓	1.33
2026-02-09	oos	0.1885	0.188999	+0.26%	0.1825	-3.18%	0.0101	✗	1.33
2026-02-08	oos	0.1905	0.191071	+0.30%	0.1885	-1.05%	0.0101	✗	1.35
2026-02-07	oos	0.1965	0.197145	+0.33%	0.1905	-3.05%	0.0545	✗	1.36
2026-02-06	oos	0.198	0.198685	+0.35%	0.1965	-0.76%	0.0139	✓	1.36
2026-02-05	oos	0.1815	0.182505	+0.55%	0.198	+9.09%	0.0915	✗	1.49
2026-02-04	oos	0.2185	0.219188	+0.31%	0.1815	-16.93%	0.0665	✓	1.69
2026-02-03	oos	0.2125	0.213268	+0.36%	0.2185	+2.82%	0.0870	✓	1.75
2026-02-02	oos	0.2295	0.230033	+0.23%	0.2125	-7.41%	0.0104	✗	1.77
2026-02-01	oos	0.2275	0.228252	+0.33%	0.2295	+0.88%	0.0337	✗	1.72
2026-01-31	oos	0.234	0.234691	+0.30%	0.2275	-2.78%	0.0097	✓	1.81
2026-01-30	oos	0.2625	0.26242	-0.03%	0.234	-10.86%	0.0076	✗	1.82
2026-01-29	oos	0.2695	0.269322	-0.07%	0.2625	-2.60%	0.0169	✓	1.83
2026-01-28	oos	0.301	0.3002	-0.27%	0.2695	-10.47%	0.0116	✓	1.80
2026-01-27	oos	0.3015	0.300667	-0.28%	0.301	-0.17%	0.0002	✓	1.82
2026-01-26	oos	0.2975	0.296788	-0.24%	0.3015	+1.34%	0.0017	✓	1.79
2026-01-25	oos	0.2865	0.286037	-0.16%	0.2975	+3.84%	0.0047	✗	1.79
2026-01-24	oos	0.3035	0.302688	-0.27%	0.2865	-5.60%	0.0037	✓	1.79
2026-01-23	oos	0.304	0.303342	-0.22%	0.3035	-0.16%	0.0084	✗	1.78
2026-01-22	oos	0.307	0.306362	-0.21%	0.304	-0.98%	0.0080	✓	1.78
2026-01-21	oos	0.3085	0.307848	-0.21%	0.307	-0.49%	0.0047	✓	1.79
2026-01-20	oos	0.2995	0.299097	-0.13%	0.3085	+3.01%	0.0099	✗	1.78
2026-01-19	oos	0.3195	0.318743	-0.24%	0.2995	-6.26%	0.0225	✗	1.80
2026-01-18	oos	0.323	0.322216	-0.24%	0.3195	-1.08%	0.0123	✗	1.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.3465	0.345343	-0.33%	0.323	-6.78%	0.0390	✓	1.78
2026-01-16	oos	0.34	0.338899	-0.32%	0.3465	+1.91%	0.0296	✗	1.78
2026-01-15	oos	0.341	0.339729	-0.37%	0.34	-0.29%	0.0024	✓	1.79
2026-01-14	oos	0.3515	0.349919	-0.45%	0.341	-2.99%	0.0006	✓	1.78
2026-01-13	oos	0.367	0.364609	-0.65%	0.3515	-4.22%	0.0665	✓	1.83
2026-01-12	oos	0.3085	0.307684	-0.26%	0.367	+18.96%	0.0990	✗	1.72
2026-01-11	oos	0.3155	0.314547	-0.30%	0.3085	-2.22%	0.0254	✓	1.72
2026-01-10	oos	0.3175	0.316544	-0.30%	0.3155	-0.63%	0.0128	✓	1.73
2026-01-09	oos	0.3145	0.313599	-0.29%	0.3175	+0.95%	0.0151	✗	1.73
2026-01-08	oos	0.3135	0.312598	-0.29%	0.3145	+0.32%	0.0160	✗	1.76
2026-01-07	oos	0.317	0.316058	-0.30%	0.3135	-1.10%	0.0022	✓	2.13
2026-01-06	oos	0.332	0.330798	-0.36%	0.317	-4.52%	0.0138	✗	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.33	0.328819	-0.36%	0.332	+0.61%	0.0130	✗	2.13
2026-01-04	oos	0.319	0.317886	-0.35%	0.33	+3.45%	0.0177	✓	2.15
2026-01-03	oos	0.31	0.308963	-0.33%	0.319	+2.90%	0.0107	✗	2.16
2026-01-02	oos	0.305	0.303961	-0.34%	0.31	+1.64%	0.0044	✗	2.15
2026-01-01	oos	0.296	0.295075	-0.31%	0.305	+3.04%	0.0038	✗	2.14
2025-12-31	oos	0.2675	0.267003	-0.19%	0.296	+10.65%	0.0736	✗	2.10
2025-12-30	oos	0.2715	0.27098	-0.19%	0.2675	-1.47%	0.0087	✗	2.12
2025-12-29	oos	0.269	0.268533	-0.17%	0.2715	+0.93%	0.0197	✓	2.09
2025-12-28	oos	0.274	0.273457	-0.20%	0.269	-1.82%	0.0019	✓	2.09
2025-12-27	oos	0.278	0.277394	-0.22%	0.274	-1.44%	0.0139	✓	2.07
2025-12-26	oos	0.2675	0.267075	-0.16%	0.278	+3.93%	0.0281	✗	2.05
2025-12-25	oos	0.252	0.251795	-0.08%	0.2675	+6.15%	0.0576	✗	2.04
2025-12-24	oos	0.2635	0.263225	-0.10%	0.252	-4.36%	0.0333	✓	2.05
2025-12-23	oos	0.2705	0.270201	-0.11%	0.2635	-2.59%	0.0293	✓	2.03
2025-12-22	oos	0.271	0.270697	-0.11%	0.2705	-0.18%	0.0253	✗	2.03
2025-12-21	oos	0.2725	0.272222	-0.10%	0.271	-0.55%	0.0026	✓	2.04
2025-12-20	oos	0.2785	0.278184	-0.11%	0.2725	-2.15%	0.0280	✓	2.06
2025-12-19	oos	0.2795	0.279265	-0.08%	0.2785	-0.36%	0.0082	✓	2.06
2025-12-18	oos	0.26	0.26008	+0.03%	0.2795	+7.50%	0.0097	✓	2.05
2025-12-17	oos	0.273	0.272983	-0.01%	0.26	-4.76%	0.0308	✓	2.05
2025-12-16	oos	0.2935	0.293267	-0.08%	0.273	-6.98%	0.0330	✓	2.05
2025-12-15	oos	0.2925	0.292383	-0.04%	0.2935	+0.34%	0.0301	✓	2.06
2025-12-14	oos	0.3005	0.300258	-0.08%	0.2925	-2.66%	0.0155	✗	2.07
2025-12-13	oos	0.3155	0.31509	-0.13%	0.3005	-4.75%	0.0010	✓	2.07
2025-12-12	oos	0.3075	0.307266	-0.08%	0.3155	+2.60%	0.0270	✗	2.07
2025-12-11	oos	0.3145	0.314153	-0.11%	0.3075	-2.23%	0.0303	✗	2.09
2025-12-10	oos	0.3235	0.323053	-0.14%	0.3145	-2.78%	0.0383	✓	2.10
2025-12-09	oos	0.3385	0.337787	-0.21%	0.3235	-4.43%	0.0284	✓	2.09
2025-12-08	oos	0.3185	0.318084	-0.13%	0.3385	+6.28%	0.0163	✗	2.07
2025-12-07	oos	0.305	0.30477	-0.08%	0.3185	+4.43%	0.0383	✗	2.06
2025-12-06	oos	0.3145	0.314229	-0.09%	0.305	-3.02%	0.0562	✓	2.09
2025-12-05	oos	0.3005	0.300439	-0.02%	0.3145	+4.66%	0.0475	✗	2.08
2025-12-04	oos	0.319	0.318722	-0.09%	0.3005	-5.80%	0.0044	✗	2.09
2025-12-03	oos	0.3275	0.32712	-0.12%	0.319	-2.60%	0.0056	✗	2.09
2025-12-02	oos	0.3165	0.316325	-0.06%	0.3275	+3.48%	0.0141	✓	2.10
2025-12-01	oos	0.2875	0.287729	+0.08%	0.3165	+10.09%	0.0254	✗	2.13
2025-11-30	oos	0.3185	0.318279	-0.07%	0.2875	-9.73%	0.0025	✓	2.14
2025-11-29	oos	0.3265	0.326223	-0.08%	0.3185	-2.45%	0.0132	✓	2.13
2025-11-28	oos	0.332	0.331765	-0.07%	0.3265	-1.66%	0.0142	✓	2.13
2025-11-27	oos	0.3335	0.333277	-0.07%	0.332	-0.45%	0.0059	✗	2.13
2025-11-26	oos	0.3255	0.325423	-0.02%	0.3335	+2.46%	0.0048	✗	2.11
2025-11-25	oos	0.3245	0.324584	+0.03%	0.3255	+0.31%	0.0747	✗	2.19
2025-11-24	oos	0.3185	0.318675	+0.06%	0.3245	+1.88%	0.0417	✓	2.20
2025-11-23	oos	0.3015	0.301981	+0.16%	0.3185	+5.64%	0.0168	✓	2.19
2025-11-22	oos	0.3025	0.303174	+0.22%	0.3015	-0.33%	0.0617	✗	2.27
2025-11-21	oos	0.308	0.30869	+0.22%	0.3025	-1.79%	0.0100	✗	2.27
2025-11-20	oos	0.3605	0.360779	+0.08%	0.308	-14.56%	0.1203	✗	2.21
2025-11-19	oos	0.3745	0.374423	-0.02%	0.3605	-3.74%	0.0923	✗	2.35
2025-11-18	oos	0.3805	0.380312	-0.05%	0.3745	-1.58%	0.0217	✗	2.35
2025-11-17	oos	0.3645	0.364579	+0.02%	0.3805	+4.39%	0.0220	✓	2.36
2025-11-16	oos	0.382	0.381763	-0.06%	0.3645	-4.58%	0.0061	✗	2.34
2025-11-15	oos	0.3895	0.389116	-0.10%	0.382	-1.93%	0.0153	✗	2.35
2025-11-14	oos	0.378	0.377939	-0.02%	0.3895	+3.04%	0.0044	✗	2.35
2025-11-13	oos	0.3905	0.389951	-0.14%	0.378	-3.20%	0.1002	✗	2.49
2025-11-12	oos	0.3995	0.398733	-0.19%	0.3905	-2.25%	0.0297	✗	2.51
2025-11-11	oos	0.406	0.40503	-0.24%	0.3995	-1.60%	0.0206	✗	2.57
2025-11-10	oos	0.444	0.442314	-0.38%	0.406	-8.56%	0.0121	✓	2.59
2025-11-09	oos	0.428	0.426531	-0.34%	0.444	+3.74%	0.0085	✗	2.59
2025-11-08	oos	0.424	0.42257	-0.34%	0.428	+0.94%	0.0485	✓	2.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.424	0.422199	-0.42%	0.424	+0.00%	0.0293	✗	2.57
2025-11-06	oos	0.365	0.364707	-0.08%	0.424	+16.16%	0.1017	✗	2.51
2025-11-05	oos	0.373	0.372486	-0.14%	0.365	-2.14%	0.0433	✗	2.53
2025-11-04	oos	0.345	0.345445	+0.13%	0.373	+8.12%	0.0177	✓	2.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.3525	0.352584	+0.02%	0.345	-2.13%	0.1096	✓	2.68
2025-11-02	oos	0.4205	0.419519	-0.23%	0.3525	-16.17%	0.0785	✓	2.61
2025-11-01	oos	0.417	0.416211	-0.19%	0.4205	+0.84%	0.0012	✓	2.62
2025-10-31	oos	0.3985	0.398261	-0.06%	0.417	+4.64%	0.0341	✗	2.62
2025-10-30	oos	0.4005	0.40047	-0.01%	0.3985	-0.50%	0.0350	✓	2.63
2025-10-29	oos	0.4405	0.43999	-0.12%	0.4005	-9.08%	0.0533	✓	2.58
2025-10-28	oos	0.436	0.435467	-0.12%	0.4405	+1.03%	0.0799	✗	2.65
2025-10-27	oos	0.4515	0.450765	-0.16%	0.436	-3.43%	0.0057	✓	2.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.4645	0.463551	-0.20%	0.4515	-2.80%	0.0156	✓	2.65
2025-10-25	oos	0.4465	0.445838	-0.15%	0.4645	+4.03%	0.0266	✓	2.65
2025-10-24	oos	0.4485	0.447972	-0.12%	0.4465	-0.45%	0.0182	✓	2.66
2025-10-23	oos	0.4335	0.433345	-0.04%	0.4485	+3.46%	0.0122	✗	2.65
2025-10-22	oos	0.4195	0.419857	+0.09%	0.4335	+3.34%	0.0299	✗	2.66
2025-10-21	oos	0.4335	0.433766	+0.06%	0.4195	-3.23%	0.0143	✗	2.66
2025-10-20	oos	0.4475	0.447577	+0.02%	0.4335	-3.13%	0.0227	✓	2.71
2025-10-19	oos	0.439	0.439468	+0.11%	0.4475	+1.94%	0.0281	✗	2.68
2025-10-18	oos	0.4275	0.428463	+0.23%	0.439	+2.69%	0.0122	✗	2.68
2025-10-17	oos	0.42	0.42149	+0.35%	0.4275	+1.79%	0.0045	✗	2.67
2025-10-16	oos	0.4275	0.429049	+0.36%	0.42	-1.75%	0.0221	✓	2.69
2025-10-15	oos	0.4565	0.457773	+0.28%	0.4275	-6.35%	0.0050	✗	2.67
2025-10-14	oos	0.4855	0.48618	+0.14%	0.4565	-5.97%	0.0091	✗	2.66
2025-10-13	oos	0.503	0.503024	+0.00%	0.4855	-3.48%	0.0162	✓	2.67
2025-10-12	oos	0.488	0.488949	+0.19%	0.503	+3.07%	0.0237	✓	2.60
2025-10-11	oos	0.456	0.457987	+0.44%	0.488	+7.02%	0.0370	✗	2.64
2025-10-10	oos	0.498	0.499294	+0.26%	0.456	-8.43%	0.0392	✗	2.60
2025-10-09	oos	0.7075	0.705912	-0.22%	0.498	-29.61%	0.1966	✓	2.05
2025-10-08	oos	0.7315	0.729716	-0.24%	0.7075	-3.28%	0.0040	✓	2.03
2025-10-07	oos	0.712	0.710483	-0.21%	0.7315	+2.74%	0.0040	✓	2.08
2025-10-06	oos	0.7585	0.756518	-0.26%	0.712	-6.13%	0.0040	✓	2.10
2025-10-05	oos	0.7185	0.71683	-0.23%	0.7585	+5.57%	0.0364	✗	2.08
2025-10-04	oos	0.725	0.723139	-0.26%	0.7185	-0.90%	0.0244	✓	2.08
2025-10-03	oos	0.745	0.742901	-0.28%	0.725	-2.68%	0.0268	✓	2.08
2025-10-02	oos	0.7515	0.748945	-0.34%	0.745	-0.86%	0.0347	✓	2.10
2025-10-01	oos	0.705	0.7031	-0.27%	0.7515	+6.60%	0.0318	✗	2.12
2025-09-30	oos	0.6705	0.668797	-0.25%	0.705	+5.15%	0.0335	✓	2.18
2025-09-29	oos	0.674	0.672251	-0.26%	0.6705	-0.52%	0.0031	✗	2.18
2025-09-28	oos	0.683	0.681085	-0.28%	0.674	-1.32%	0.0537	✓	2.26
2025-09-27	oos	0.6735	0.671952	-0.23%	0.683	+1.41%	0.0365	✓	2.33
2025-09-26	oos	0.67	0.668675	-0.20%	0.6735	+0.52%	0.0075	✗	2.36
2025-09-25	oos	0.641	0.640289	-0.11%	0.67	+4.52%	0.0311	✗	2.35
2025-09-24	oos	0.6825	0.681018	-0.22%	0.641	-6.08%	0.0329	✗	2.41
2025-09-23	oos	0.6825	0.681065	-0.21%	0.6825	+0.00%	0.0266	✓	2.43
2025-09-22	oos	0.704	0.702278	-0.24%	0.6825	-3.05%	0.0133	✓	2.39
2025-09-21	oos	0.779	0.776329	-0.34%	0.704	-9.63%	0.0458	✓	2.33
2025-09-20	oos	0.809	0.805851	-0.39%	0.779	-3.71%	0.0243	✓	2.36
2025-09-19	oos	0.7925	0.789552	-0.37%	0.809	+2.08%	0.0231	✗	2.37
2025-09-18	oos	0.831	0.827386	-0.43%	0.7925	-4.63%	0.0139	✓	2.38

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.