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2022-08-28 · +1d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2790
187 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.22%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
55.1%
in alpha space · 50.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.75%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8763.7903-2.21%3.276-15.48%0.1678✓0.60650k2022-08-29
XECeCashnative0.000046760.000046101-1.41%0.00004993+6.78%0.0483✗0.861.7M2022-08-29
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.78e-77.67e-7-1.41%8.65e-7+11.23%0.0894✗0.85542k2022-08-29
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.43525.385-0.92%6.0774+11.82%0.1121✗0.244.6M2022-08-29
LUNATerraTerra 20.00012510.000124045-0.84%0.0001317+5.28%0.0314✗0.77352k2022-08-29
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.38212.2921-0.73%12.777+3.19%0.0202✗0.506.1M2022-08-29
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.159770.158776-0.62%0.15839-0.86%0.0787✓2.076362022-08-29
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067120.06671-0.61%0.06742+0.45%0.0195✓0.829142022-08-29
AVTAventusEthereum1.391.382-0.58%1.44+3.60%0.0438✗-0.07105k2022-08-29
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.55375.5219-0.57%5.7778+4.04%0.0380✗0.205.2M2022-08-29
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.086380.085899-0.56%0.08429-2.42%0.0211✓0.06598k2022-08-29
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.1064.0833-0.55%4.203+2.36%0.0079✓1.00245k2022-08-29
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0229630.02285-0.49%0.023085+0.53%0.0063✗0.11262k2022-08-29
UOSUltraEthereum0.363890.362165-0.47%0.36085-0.84%0.0383✓0.94321k2022-08-29
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05540.055142-0.47%0.0606+9.39%0.0603✗0.9399k2022-08-29
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02420.024092-0.44%0.02554+5.54%0.0113✗1.283,4352022-08-29
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015030.001497-0.41%0.001529+1.73%0.0046✓0.709,7092022-08-29
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49960.497616-0.40%0.523+4.68%0.0193✗0.83625k2022-08-29
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044180.044017-0.37%0.04816+9.01%0.0662✗0.6416k2022-08-29
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008250.00822-0.37%0.00853+3.39%0.0042✓1.12477k2022-08-29
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11840.117975-0.36%0.123+3.89%0.0041✗1.0230k2022-08-29
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,646.4019,577.08-0.35%20,303.80+3.35%0.0018✓0.9411k2022-08-29
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067080.006685-0.34%0.006696-0.18%0.0141✓0.4358k2022-08-29
XYMSymbolnative0.0443960.04425-0.33%0.044446+0.11%0.0148✓0.5228k2022-08-29
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.014780.014733-0.32%0.0151+2.17%0.0007✓0.69165k2022-08-29
PROPropyEthereum0.730.727885-0.29%0.74+1.37%0.0042✗0.3384k2022-08-29
CHZChilizEthereum0.21020.209593-0.29%0.2159+2.71%0.0007✓0.822.9M2022-08-29
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9662.958-0.27%3.47+16.99%0.1048✗1.493.8M2022-08-29
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.65553.6458-0.27%3.8811+6.17%0.0407✗0.593.7M2022-08-29
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09960.099339-0.26%0.101+1.41%0.0103✓0.733,2112022-08-29
TRXTRONTron0.0613920.061232-0.26%0.063437+3.33%0.0132✗0.60142k2022-08-29
SUNSun TokenTron0.0055190.005505-0.26%0.005874+6.44%0.0402✗0.672,5882022-08-29
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.38864.3781-0.24%4.68+6.64%0.0299✗1.00147k2022-08-29
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04190.0418-0.24%0.0441+5.25%0.0179✗0.97175k2022-08-29
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20240.201951-0.22%0.2102+3.85%0.0025✗1.0261k2022-08-29
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.66561.6619-0.22%1.7099+2.66%0.0079✓0.991.2M2022-08-29
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035520.035443-0.22%0.03677+3.52%0.0003✓1.0131k2022-08-29
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0964.0872-0.22%4.266+4.15%0.0371✗0.162.3M2022-08-29
SGBSongbirdnative0.0250.024948-0.21%0.025+0.00%0.0203✓0.6152k2022-08-29
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4120.411193-0.20%0.441+7.04%0.0327✗1.018,1172022-08-29
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.320.319402-0.19%0.3367+5.22%0.0100✗1.16146k2022-08-29
LRCLoopringEthereum0.340.339379-0.18%0.3664+7.76%0.0371✗1.07170k2022-08-29
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022140.022103-0.17%0.02336+5.51%0.0256✗0.81419k2022-08-29
STORJStorjEthereum0.524370.523517-0.16%0.55401+5.65%0.0089✗1.3041k2022-08-29
FORTFortaEthereum0.26380.263374-0.16%0.2566-2.73%0.0603✓0.9394k2022-08-29
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.55910.542-0.16%11.438+8.32%0.0401✗1.1310.4M2022-08-29
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06190.061802-0.16%0.0637+2.91%0.0032✓0.91107k2022-08-29
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28230.281863-0.15%0.2981+5.60%0.0229✗0.907.1M2022-08-29
HIVEHivenative0.52820.527405-0.15%0.5461+3.39%0.0028✗0.871.3M2022-08-29
C98Coin98Ethereum0.36730.366773-0.14%0.4238+15.38%0.1032✗1.1289k2022-08-29
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0130020.012983-0.14%0.013701+5.38%0.0303✗0.641.3M2022-08-29
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011770.000011754-0.14%0.00001248+6.03%0.0250✗0.95886k2022-08-29
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.60e-78.59e-7-0.13%8.80e-7+2.33%0.0055✓0.8116k2022-08-29
STEEMSteemnative0.21830.218023-0.13%0.2257+3.39%0.0013✗0.90528k2022-08-29
XVGVergenative0.002890.002886-0.12%0.00301+4.15%0.0044✗1.02508k2022-08-29
XEMNEMnative0.0429950.042943-0.12%0.044565+3.65%0.0059✗0.8529k2022-08-29
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.1613.1442-0.12%13.83+5.09%0.0093✗1.131.0M2022-08-29
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008480.00847-0.12%0.00891+5.07%0.0225✗0.766.2M2022-08-29
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037320.037279-0.11%0.03792+1.61%0.0126✓0.812,7072022-08-29
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.93320.932213-0.11%0.987+5.77%0.0124✗1.22972k2022-08-29
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.313630.313307-0.10%0.33586+7.09%0.0365✗0.90378k2022-08-29
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0203860.020366-0.10%0.020994+2.98%0.0003✓0.8213k2022-08-29
ELAElastosEthereum1.7331.7313-0.10%1.768+2.02%0.0137✓0.94137k2022-08-29
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.2011.1999-0.09%1.2628+5.15%0.0179✗0.901.5M2022-08-29
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4890.48855-0.09%0.525+7.36%0.0258✗1.252,6092022-08-29
XTZTezosTezos1.4261.4247-0.09%1.5357+7.69%0.0341✗1.11319k2022-08-29
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06040.060347-0.09%0.0617+2.15%0.0240✓1.26908k2022-08-29
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.131720.131611-0.08%0.13956+5.95%0.0133✗1.23210k2022-08-29
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10130.101218-0.08%0.1045+3.16%0.0002✓0.87200k2022-08-29
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2750.274777-0.08%0.283+2.91%0.0026✗0.73710k2022-08-29
MOVRMoonriverBase12.06212.0532-0.07%12.6602+4.96%0.0136✗0.9735k2022-08-29
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.99340.992719-0.07%1.0799+8.71%0.0288✗1.514.6M2022-08-29
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5250.524658-0.07%0.553+5.33%0.0135✗1.0678k2022-08-29
CBKCobakEthereum0.846260.845712-0.06%0.87542+3.45%0.0017✓0.9814k2022-08-29
SUSHISushiEthereum1.00431.0037-0.06%1.1021+9.74%0.0479✗1.24973k2022-08-29
SOLSolanaSolana30.4530.4324-0.06%32.41+6.44%0.0195✗1.1867.0M2022-08-29
XMRMoneroMonero146.4146.3155-0.06%152.71+4.31%0.0067✗0.981.2M2022-08-29
GMTGMTEthereum0.64630.645936-0.06%0.6813+5.42%0.0013✗1.41242k2022-08-29
IMXImmutableEthereum0.77440.773976-0.05%0.8693+12.25%0.0777✗1.041.9M2022-08-29
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4880.487784-0.04%0.527+7.99%0.0352✗1.1486k2022-08-29
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.237.1838-0.04%35-5.91%0.0866✓0.711.6M2022-08-29
BTTCBTTC8.50e-78.50e-7-0.04%8.90e-7+4.71%0.0177✗0.782.3M2022-08-29
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.6716.664-0.04%17.22+3.30%0.0063✗0.72952k2022-08-29
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.27.1974-0.04%7.74+7.50%0.0316✗1.12534k2022-08-29
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1640.163947-0.03%0.174+6.10%0.0203✗1.07399k2022-08-29
GTGateEthereum4.32284.3215-0.03%4.397+1.72%0.0111✓0.77775k2022-08-29
CTKShentuOsmosis0.840.839759-0.03%0.946+12.62%0.1043✗0.404.2M2022-08-29
CHRChromiaEthereum0.15920.159155-0.03%0.1725+8.35%0.0296✗1.382,2552022-08-29
COMPCompoundEthereum43.8543.8377-0.03%48.57+10.76%0.0572✗1.2312k2022-08-29
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27310.273024-0.03%0.291+6.55%0.0284✗0.963.2M2022-08-29
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03450.034492-0.02%0.0365+5.80%0.0222✗0.9386k2022-08-29
DODODODOEthereum0.11820.118173-0.02%0.1311+10.91%0.0686✗0.961.8M2022-08-29
GALAGALAEthereum0.04930.049289-0.02%0.0525+6.49%0.0265✗1.00249k2022-08-29
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.79351.7813-0.02%54.194+4.64%0.0184✗0.74328k2022-08-29
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.32610.32605-0.02%0.3499+7.30%0.0241✗1.26176k2022-08-29
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.26096-0.02%0.2615+0.19%0.0018✗0.0191k2022-08-29
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.71521.7151-0.01%1.8412+7.35%0.0310✗1.0931k2022-08-29
SCSiacoinnative0.003930.00393-0.00%0.00407+3.56%0.0016✓0.99158k2022-08-29
DASHDashDash44.1444.1401+0.00%47.46+7.52%0.0369✓0.97466k2022-08-29
NANOnanopayBase0.8625010.862517+0.00%0.918733+6.52%0.0335✓0.8177k2022-08-29
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19030.190305+0.00%0.2019+6.10%0.0223✓1.00146k2022-08-29
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.046.0402+0.00%6.38+5.63%0.0386✓0.441.9M2022-08-29
AMPAmpEthereum0.006420.00642+0.01%0.00649+1.09%0.0125✗0.631.1M2022-08-29
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015870.001587+0.01%0.001636+3.09%0.0051✗0.96538k2022-08-29
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.231.2302+0.02%1.33+8.13%0.0431✓0.95154k2022-08-29
LCXLCXEthereum0.05820.05821+0.02%0.0576-1.03%0.0531✗1.16252k2022-08-29
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03570.035708+0.02%0.0373+4.48%0.0144✓0.7911k2022-08-29
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.8616.8627+0.02%7.276+6.05%0.0201✓1.0413.1M2022-08-29
KSMKusamaHydration45.445.4119+0.03%50.12+10.40%0.0627✓0.98560k2022-08-29
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.43490.435015+0.03%0.4607+5.93%0.0161✓1.12364k2022-08-29
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.328060.328158+0.03%0.3476+5.96%0.0214✓0.9850k2022-08-29
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5111.5115+0.03%1.615+6.88%0.0222✓1.2088k2022-08-29
BORABORAKlay Token0.292940.293035+0.03%0.30106+2.77%0.0114✗1.0412k2022-08-29
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12020.120241+0.03%0.1306+8.65%0.0625✓0.553.8M2022-08-29
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021620.021628+0.04%0.02267+4.86%0.0153✓0.8612.4M2022-08-29
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09810.098136+0.04%0.1032+5.20%0.0223✓0.76247k2022-08-29
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2756.2773+0.04%6.682+6.49%0.0296✓0.895.2M2022-08-29
LSKLiskEthereum1.03841.0389+0.04%1.0621+2.28%0.0090✗0.8550k2022-08-29
XLMStellarStellar0.1027360.102778+0.04%0.105918+3.10%0.0006✗0.837.1M2022-08-29
MANADecentralandEthereum0.748320.74868+0.05%0.79536+6.29%0.0276✓0.89509k2022-08-29
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21340.213512+0.05%0.2219+3.98%0.0094✗1.30133k2022-08-29
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.1755.1778+0.05%5.2836+2.10%0.0154✓0.13119k2022-08-29
ADACardanoCardano0.42910.429344+0.06%0.4505+4.99%0.0118✓0.9939.2M2022-08-29
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.332.3314+0.06%2.24-3.86%0.0590✗0.5293k2022-08-29
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013460.001347+0.06%0.001401+4.11%0.0103✓0.802.1M2022-08-29
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9160.916547+0.06%0.989+7.97%0.0304✓1.241.4M2022-08-29
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2912770.291494+0.07%0.305285+4.81%0.0064✓1.08593k2022-08-29
GTCGitcoinEthereum1.951.9515+0.07%2.15+10.26%0.0520✓1.22255k2022-08-29
CVCCivicEthereum0.13960.139704+0.07%0.148+6.02%0.0205✓1.01149k2022-08-29
FTTFTXEthereum25.3525.3694+0.08%27.34+7.85%0.0394✓0.967.3M2022-08-29
COTICOTIEthereum0.08540.085471+0.08%0.0924+8.20%0.0428✓0.96409k2022-08-29
DIADIAEthereum0.363040.363343+0.08%0.3855+6.19%0.0236✓0.9745k2022-08-29
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.3853.4261+0.09%55.79+4.51%0.0071✓0.9812.8M2022-08-29
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.165.1646+0.09%5.31+2.91%0.0116✓0.442.5M2022-08-29
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6450.645622+0.10%0.684+6.05%0.0127✓1.224.8M2022-08-29
UMAUMAEthereum2.6072.6095+0.10%2.856+9.55%0.0586✓0.86734k2022-08-29
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9984.0019+0.10%4.177+4.48%0.0286✓0.392.0M2022-08-29
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.3311.3411+0.10%12.6+11.21%0.0663✓1.061.9M2022-08-29
GLMGolemEthereum0.23620.236435+0.10%0.2484+5.17%0.0144✓0.9579k2022-08-29
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13370.133834+0.10%0.1447+8.23%0.0407✓1.02553k2022-08-29
STXStacksnative0.35290.353264+0.10%0.3701+4.87%0.0036✓1.17410k2022-08-29
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash112.59112.7067+0.10%119.61+6.24%0.0173✓1.144.7M2022-08-29
APEApeCoinEthereum4.6494.6538+0.10%4.983+7.18%0.0189✓1.348.9M2022-08-29
ORCAOrcaSolana0.78420.78502+0.10%0.7824-0.23%0.0578✗1.48161k2022-08-29
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07920.079287+0.11%0.0843+6.44%0.0261✓0.9614k2022-08-29
GITCOINGITCOIN2.00342.0057+0.11%2.1453+7.08%0.0232✓1.2013k2022-08-29
ZECZcashZcash61.1761.2395+0.11%63.75+4.22%0.0015✗1.131.9M2022-08-29
KCSKuCoinnative8.8168.8263+0.12%9.1+3.22%0.0050✗0.961.5M2022-08-29
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6310.631736+0.12%0.672+6.50%0.0275✓0.93235k2022-08-29
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6450.645761+0.12%0.698+8.22%0.0460✓0.86242k2022-08-29
API3Api3Ethereum1.61.6019+0.12%1.729+8.06%0.0419✓0.94623k2022-08-29
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.519.5214+0.12%10.28+8.10%0.0324✓1.20386k2022-08-29
ZENHorizenBase14.814.8178+0.12%16.44+11.08%0.0638✓1.09119k2022-08-29
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068970.069054+0.12%0.07284+5.61%0.0097✓1.1927k2022-08-29
RADRadworksEthereum2.082.0826+0.12%2.13+2.40%0.0066✗0.79384k2022-08-29
WOOWOOEthereum0.13810.138279+0.13%0.164+18.75%0.1322✓1.041,7802022-08-29
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09920.099345+0.15%0.1063+7.16%0.0277✓1.093.6M2022-08-29
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.361.362+0.15%1.495+9.93%0.0500✓1.17128k2022-08-29
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.098.1023+0.15%8.46+4.57%0.0256✓0.482.1M2022-08-29
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.8095.8185+0.16%6.102+5.04%0.0321✓0.425.3M2022-08-29
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.344.3472+0.17%4.53+4.38%0.0230✓0.491.3M2022-08-29
QTUMQtumQtum2.98252.9875+0.17%3.1823+6.70%0.0260✓1.0126k2022-08-29
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1291.131+0.18%1.189+5.31%0.0138✓0.981.9M2022-08-29
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.061750.061862+0.18%0.063828+3.37%0.0074✗1.051.7M2022-08-29
AAVEAaveEthereum78.5778.7161+0.19%85.76+9.15%0.0306✓1.506.5M2022-08-29
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.9330.9881+0.19%33.55+8.47%0.0246✓1.4914.6M2022-08-29
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.2516.2629+0.19%6.7+7.18%0.0285✓1.0619.0M2022-08-29
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.062290.062418+0.21%0.06651+6.77%0.0227✓1.112.2M2022-08-29
BANDBandEthereum1.1921.1945+0.21%1.263+5.96%0.0117✓1.20491k2022-08-29
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04550.0456+0.22%0.0491+7.91%0.0378✓0.98843k2022-08-29
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,554.0319,597.19+0.22%20,286.97+3.75%0.0022✗1.00474.0M2022-08-29
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.5318.5727+0.23%19.33+4.32%0.0086✗1.3222.5M2022-08-29
XVSVenusEthereum4.824.8318+0.24%5.12+6.22%0.0264✓0.861.6M2022-08-29
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8281.8327+0.26%1.955+6.95%0.0030✓1.6890k2022-08-29
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.875.8852+0.26%6.29+7.16%0.0503✓0.442.1M2022-08-29
METISMetisEthereum29.2629.3365+0.26%32.49+11.04%0.0329✓1.88304k2022-08-29
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029870.002995+0.27%0.003238+8.40%0.0444✓0.911.1M2022-08-29
OPTIMOptimism1.0541.0569+0.27%1.174+11.39%0.0414✓1.733.3M2022-08-29
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.93340.936045+0.28%0.9656+3.45%0.0116✓0.533.6M2022-08-29
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum1.9441.9495+0.29%2.089+7.46%0.0269✓1.1547k2022-08-29
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30440.305303+0.30%0.3223+5.88%0.0144✓1.08112k2022-08-29
QNTQuantEthereum92.3192.6011+0.32%101.16+9.59%0.0576✓0.843.3M2022-08-29
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,473.378,503.06+0.35%9,081.72+7.18%0.0157✓1.366.5M2022-08-29
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6395.6599+0.37%6.015+6.67%0.0292✓0.8610.1M2022-08-29
UNIUniswapEthereum5.7395.761+0.38%6.339+10.45%0.0477✓1.3010.0M2022-08-29
FLOWFlownative1.6921.7001+0.48%1.919+13.42%0.0718✓1.341.2M2022-08-29
ETHEthereumEthereum1,426.631,434.14+0.53%1,551.65+8.76%0.0290✓1.35597.1M2022-08-29
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.