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2022-08-17 · +1d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1153
188 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-6.90%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
78.2%
in alpha space · 82.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.65%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.87e-76.70e-7-2.60%7.18e-7+4.46%0.0741✗0.63164k2022-08-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,298.3022,982.37-1.36%23,152.40-0.63%0.0137✗0.977,5932022-08-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.6823.633-1.33%3.641-1.11%0.0078✓0.86124k2022-08-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.22220.21948-1.22%0.2086-6.12%0.0453✓0.851.2M2022-08-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.9665.8962-1.17%13.257+122.21%0.8126✗0.371.2M2022-08-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.41071.3951-1.11%1.396-1.04%0.0068✓0.941.0M2022-08-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015460.001529-1.07%0.001535-0.67%0.0093✓0.791.6M2022-08-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.046850.046385-0.99%0.04449-5.04%0.0353✓0.9821k2022-08-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000014760.000014626-0.91%0.00001348-8.67%0.0753✓0.96827k2022-08-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum40.0939.7456-0.86%41.14+2.62%0.0413✗1.051.8M2022-08-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.81143.7793-0.84%4.5519+19.43%0.1890✗0.462.0M2022-08-18
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.65774.619-0.83%5.4949+17.97%0.1802✗1.00140k2022-08-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.2939.9618-0.81%39.6-1.71%0.0001✓1.3816.5M2022-08-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018080.017936-0.80%0.01773-1.94%0.0075✓0.62153k2022-08-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.7415.6229-0.74%14.14-10.17%0.0926✓1.092.6M2022-08-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.226.1739-0.74%6.85+10.13%0.1063✗0.361.1M2022-08-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04390.043577-0.73%0.0388-11.62%0.1099✓0.9576k2022-08-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010860.010782-0.71%0.01017-6.35%0.0536✓0.745.8M2022-08-18
BORABORAKlay Token0.344910.342461-0.71%0.34084-1.18%0.0020✓1.0413k2022-08-18
UMAUMAEthereum3.2633.2405-0.69%3.137-3.86%0.0270✓0.83719k2022-08-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07780.077272-0.68%0.0761-2.19%0.0076✓1.181.4M2022-08-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0801150.079583-0.66%0.074632-6.84%0.0575✓1.031.9M2022-08-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.693-0.65%9.82+12.23%0.1245✗0.401.8M2022-08-18
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06620.065777-0.64%0.0629-4.98%0.0396✓0.78116k2022-08-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.47123.4492-0.63%4.0274+16.02%0.1570✗0.311.8M2022-08-18
LUNATerraTerra 20.00009510.000094502-0.63%0.00009318-2.02%0.0075✓1.01336k2022-08-18
GITCOINGITCOIN2.92612.9079-0.62%2.6889-8.11%0.0704✓1.2113k2022-08-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2170.215657-0.62%0.203-6.45%0.0533✓1.10696k2022-08-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.17690.175828-0.61%0.1668-5.71%0.0461✓1.01140k2022-08-18
FISStafiEthereum0.41420.411712-0.60%0.399-3.67%0.0255✓0.901922022-08-18
GMTGMTEthereum0.9670.961229-0.60%0.914-5.48%0.0411✓1.43469k2022-08-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,164.6211,098.38-0.59%10,215.91-8.50%0.0742✓1.336.8M2022-08-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.158730.157821-0.57%0.15849-0.15%0.0123✗1.24250k2022-08-18
ELAElastosEthereum1.9911.9797-0.57%2.043+2.61%0.0380✗1.00181k2022-08-18
RADRadworksEthereum2.372.3566-0.57%2.4+1.27%0.0241✗0.90636k2022-08-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0219640.021841-0.56%0.023053+4.96%0.0553✗0.20233k2022-08-18
SCSiacoinnative0.004680.004654-0.55%0.00465-0.64%0.0056✗1.01158k2022-08-18
STORJStorjEthereum0.652840.649298-0.54%0.63604-2.57%0.0121✓1.3147k2022-08-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001680.001671-0.54%0.0017+1.19%0.0218✗0.699,5772022-08-18
GLMGolemEthereum0.29130.289726-0.54%0.2892-0.72%0.0042✓0.9381k2022-08-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.49.3498-0.53%8.78-6.60%0.0558✓1.08523k2022-08-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024860.02473-0.52%0.024-3.46%0.0241✓0.89310k2022-08-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.20421.198-0.52%1.21+0.48%0.0174✗1.1412k2022-08-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.4219.3191-0.52%19.39-0.15%0.0081✗0.682.2M2022-08-18
XMRMoneroMonero168.3167.4313-0.52%160.98-4.35%0.0331✓0.951.2M2022-08-18
RARESuperRareEthereum0.24860.247325-0.51%0.2303-7.36%0.0648✓1.00111k2022-08-18
MOVRMoonriverBase14.827214.7517-0.51%14.4976-2.22%0.0112✓0.9553k2022-08-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.893.8704-0.50%4.414+13.47%0.1327✗0.191.9M2022-08-18
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.09833.0828-0.50%3.88+25.23%0.2333✗0.501.3M2022-08-18
XYMSymbolnative0.0535190.053252-0.50%0.053014-0.94%0.0012✓0.5033k2022-08-18
FLOWFlownative2.5652.5522-0.50%2.528-1.44%0.0012✓1.281.0M2022-08-18
FORTFortaEthereum0.2940.292547-0.49%0.2898-1.43%0.0025✓1.07160k2022-08-18
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8541.8449-0.49%1.817-2.00%0.0080✓1.12170k2022-08-18
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98420.979412-0.49%0.9372-4.78%0.0339✓1.55244k2022-08-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.922.9059-0.48%2.7-7.53%0.0657✓1.19269k2022-08-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2410.23985-0.48%0.2341-2.86%0.0153✓1.38117k2022-08-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.5053.4885-0.47%3.249-7.30%0.0609✓1.575.2M2022-08-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.20162.1913-0.47%2.1323-3.15%0.0204✓1.0536k2022-08-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07930.078932-0.46%0.0738-6.94%0.0621✓0.79130k2022-08-18
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.08320.082814-0.46%0.08299-0.25%0.0037✓0.251.0M2022-08-18
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10180.101328-0.46%0.0944-7.27%0.0643✓0.9912k2022-08-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.045180.044975-0.45%0.0449-0.62%0.0036✓0.802,6002022-08-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum16.8816.8046-0.45%16.13-4.44%0.0330✓1.231.6M2022-08-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14530.144665-0.44%0.1341-7.71%0.0719✓0.614.4M2022-08-18
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13810.137501-0.43%0.1361-1.45%0.0035✓1.0441k2022-08-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.36.2729-0.43%6.95+10.32%0.1050✗0.381.6M2022-08-18
COMPCompoundEthereum58.3158.0609-0.43%56.05-3.88%0.0272✓1.2420k2022-08-18
ZECZcashZcash74.2273.9034-0.43%70.09-5.56%0.0458✓1.102.0M2022-08-18
DASHDashDash52.8752.6467-0.42%50.36-4.75%0.0381✓0.97548k2022-08-18
HIVEHivenative0.59610.593608-0.42%0.5858-1.73%0.0071✓0.952.0M2022-08-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.409860.408153-0.42%0.3928-4.16%0.0319✓0.9995k2022-08-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12260.12209-0.42%0.1149-6.28%0.0535✓1.113.8M2022-08-18
ZENHorizenBase19.0118.931-0.42%17.89-5.89%0.0493✓1.12130k2022-08-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.70661.6995-0.42%1.7628+3.29%0.0444✗1.20598k2022-08-18
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.085980.085624-0.41%0.07686-10.61%0.1004✓1.172.4M2022-08-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34080.339395-0.41%0.3336-2.11%0.0112✓0.938.3M2022-08-18
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0019550.001947-0.41%0.00192-1.79%0.0074✓1.00950k2022-08-18
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.66e-7-0.41%9.60e-7-1.03%0.0012✓0.7721k2022-08-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV59.92259.6756-0.41%57.502-4.04%0.0325✓0.71365k2022-08-18
SUSHISushiEthereum1.371.3644-0.41%1.3-5.11%0.0402✓1.261.1M2022-08-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3480820.346675-0.40%0.334316-3.95%0.0295✓1.05916k2022-08-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25350.252477-0.40%0.2486-1.93%0.0089✓1.0183k2022-08-18
UOSUltraEthereum0.329720.328403-0.40%0.33395+1.28%0.0225✗0.89402k2022-08-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1444.1275-0.40%4.646+12.11%0.1203✗0.301.5M2022-08-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.1938.1604-0.40%7.478-8.73%0.0820✓0.819.9M2022-08-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008140.008108-0.39%0.00782-3.93%0.0289✓1.11456k2022-08-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.5260.2832-0.39%60-0.86%0.0018✓1.0013.5M2022-08-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6720.669377-0.39%0.642-4.46%0.0340✓1.20130k2022-08-18
DIADIAEthereum0.460510.458716-0.39%0.45212-1.82%0.0086✓0.9170k2022-08-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0239350.023842-0.39%0.023478-1.91%0.0101✓0.8113k2022-08-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.525.4987-0.39%6.1+10.51%0.1062✗0.372.0M2022-08-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.30115.2806-0.39%5.3268+0.48%0.0096✗0.14217k2022-08-18
XECeCashnative0.000043330.000043165-0.38%0.00004285-1.11%0.0016✓0.871.9M2022-08-18
XEMNEMnative0.0502950.050103-0.38%0.04862-3.33%0.0242✓0.9043k2022-08-18
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5150.513068-0.38%0.478-7.18%0.0643✓0.999,8012022-08-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.0921.0879-0.37%1.0066-7.82%0.0736✓0.623.9M2022-08-18
APEApeCoinEthereum6.1076.0843-0.37%5.771-5.50%0.0440✓1.3611.8M2022-08-18
STXStacksnative0.45670.455024-0.37%0.4453-2.50%0.0143✓1.11808k2022-08-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.7511.707-0.37%11.446-2.59%0.0152✓1.1312.0M2022-08-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.6165.5955-0.36%7.441+32.50%0.2856✗0.083.4M2022-08-18
TRXTRONTron0.0681260.067879-0.36%0.067418-1.04%0.0028✓0.61182k2022-08-18
WOOWOOEthereum0.19750.196787-0.36%0.1857-5.97%0.0511✓1.051,7922022-08-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.944.9223-0.36%5.62+13.77%0.1351✗0.391.1M2022-08-18
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.922.9096-0.36%2.85-2.40%0.0173✓0.5296k2022-08-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.611.6043-0.36%1.45-9.94%0.0948✓0.97182k2022-08-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.4133.4009-0.36%3.348-1.90%0.0116✓0.63853k2022-08-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,341.1723,259.24-0.35%23,189.46-0.65%0.0035✓1.00482.6M2022-08-18
CELLCellframeEthereum0.37410.372791-0.35%0.3673-1.82%0.0076✓1.11105k2022-08-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.387.3544-0.35%6.869-6.92%0.0620✓0.975.4M2022-08-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.3611.3211-0.34%11.03-2.90%0.0186✓1.14313k2022-08-18
STEEMSteemnative0.27560.274662-0.34%0.2646-3.99%0.0317✓0.87550k2022-08-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42060.419176-0.34%0.3993-5.06%0.0414✓1.11190k2022-08-18
IMXImmutableEthereum0.96510.961834-0.34%0.9002-6.72%0.0586✓1.182.2M2022-08-18
QTUMQtumQtum4.0123.9984-0.34%3.7671-6.10%0.0532✓0.9848k2022-08-18
GALAGALAEthereum0.0630.062789-0.34%0.058-7.94%0.0727✓1.02253k2022-08-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050730.050561-0.33%0.05035-0.75%0.0005✓0.7216k2022-08-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0039360.003923-0.33%0.003748-4.78%0.0405✓0.791.0M2022-08-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche25.5625.4758-0.33%24.19-5.36%0.0429✓1.3728.7M2022-08-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.18211.1782-0.33%1.1146-5.71%0.0456✓1.525.6M2022-08-18
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9280.924978-0.33%0.922-0.65%0.0048✗1.221.1M2022-08-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006750.006728-0.32%0.007064+4.65%0.0516✗0.4555k2022-08-18
GTGateEthereum4.84494.8293-0.32%4.8482+0.07%0.0087✗0.73882k2022-08-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8040.801436-0.32%0.741-7.84%0.0692✓1.414.6M2022-08-18
METISMetisEthereum38.7938.667-0.32%38-2.04%0.0046✓1.96408k2022-08-18
AVTAventusEthereum1.41.3956-0.32%1.44+2.86%0.0309✗-0.06124k2022-08-18
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.260484-0.31%0.2612-0.04%0.0028✓0.0165k2022-08-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash133.83133.4126-0.31%129.12-3.52%0.0255✓1.105.1M2022-08-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.3728.3459-0.31%8.083-3.45%0.0253✓1.0314.4M2022-08-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.41880.417501-0.31%0.4086-2.44%0.0133✓1.26239k2022-08-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0151840.015137-0.31%0.0147-3.19%0.0254✓0.602.1M2022-08-18
FTTFTXEthereum30.1130.0175-0.31%29.95-0.53%0.0038✗0.939.1M2022-08-18
API3Api3Ethereum2.2662.2591-0.31%2.113-6.75%0.0608✓0.92680k2022-08-18
LSKLiskEthereum1.21191.2082-0.31%1.1895-1.85%0.0099✓0.8855k2022-08-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7730.770644-0.30%0.731-5.43%0.0467✓0.94344k2022-08-18
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19540.194805-0.30%0.1833-6.19%0.0515✓1.431,3972022-08-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.10910.108771-0.30%0.1036-5.04%0.0423✓0.99456k2022-08-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.006520.0065-0.30%0.006288-3.56%0.0286✓0.703,0362022-08-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05990.05972-0.30%0.0544-9.18%0.0866✓1.03877k2022-08-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16970.169191-0.30%0.1565-7.78%0.0710✓1.07616k2022-08-18
MANADecentralandEthereum0.967770.964882-0.30%0.92322-4.60%0.0380✓0.94623k2022-08-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09970.099403-0.30%0.1138+14.14%0.1405✗0.80215k2022-08-18
UNIUniswapEthereum7.9617.9376-0.29%7.574-4.86%0.0384✓1.3010.3M2022-08-18
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077550.077322-0.29%0.07494-3.37%0.0262✓0.789142022-08-18
DODODODOEthereum0.1590.158535-0.29%0.1456-8.43%0.0787✓0.982.1M2022-08-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6430.641163-0.29%0.621-3.42%0.0244✓1.16105k2022-08-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.07080.070598-0.29%0.0683-3.53%0.0256✓1.16331k2022-08-18
XTZTezosTezos1.88471.8794-0.28%1.7895-5.05%0.0417✓1.11488k2022-08-18
SOLSolanaSolana40.5540.4365-0.28%39.51-2.56%0.0154✓1.1981.1M2022-08-18
ADACardanoCardano0.53860.537126-0.27%0.5121-4.92%0.0410✓1.0343.6M2022-08-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08710.086863-0.27%0.08792+0.94%0.0196✗1.1529k2022-08-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54010.538661-0.27%0.5295-1.96%0.0098✓1.12388k2022-08-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3030.302217-0.26%0.296-2.31%0.0161✓0.721.0M2022-08-18
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9090.906678-0.26%0.881-3.08%0.0257✓0.464.4M2022-08-18
XVGVergenative0.003780.003771-0.25%0.00366-3.17%0.0231✓1.02528k2022-08-18
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.58e-7-0.25%9.60e-7+0.00%0.0076✗0.795.3M2022-08-18
AAVEAaveEthereum100.1499.8972-0.24%94.86-5.27%0.0418✓1.536.4M2022-08-18
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7810.779109-0.24%0.743-4.87%0.0414✓0.93280k2022-08-18
CBKCobakEthereum1.11151.1089-0.23%1.1-1.04%0.0020✓0.9412k2022-08-18
KCSKuCoinnative10.25610.2324-0.23%10.11-1.42%0.0057✓0.971.9M2022-08-18
QNTQuantEthereum109.91109.6628-0.22%108.5-1.28%0.0053✓0.833.6M2022-08-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.56530.564031-0.22%0.5397-4.53%0.0388✓0.82755k2022-08-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31980.319089-0.22%0.3055-4.47%0.0371✓0.993.6M2022-08-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.8991.8948-0.22%1.771-6.74%0.0595✓1.25142k2022-08-18
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.4762.4706-0.22%2.408-2.75%0.0142✓1.76134k2022-08-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12140.121136-0.22%0.1192-1.81%0.0105✓0.87311k2022-08-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.007940.007923-0.22%0.00764-3.78%0.0322✓0.641.6M2022-08-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025750.025697-0.21%0.02349-8.78%0.0840✓0.8814.3M2022-08-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.383270.38249-0.20%0.37197-2.95%0.0222✓0.88435k2022-08-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04270.042613-0.20%0.0427+0.00%0.0081✗0.9411k2022-08-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.361.3573-0.20%1.318-3.09%0.0228✓1.002.5M2022-08-18
PROPropyEthereum0.780.778454-0.20%0.77-1.28%0.0082✓0.42105k2022-08-18
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.5252.52-0.20%2.389-5.39%0.0457✓1.1864k2022-08-18
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47010.469232-0.18%0.4375-6.93%0.0626✓1.1464k2022-08-18
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.43710.436322-0.18%0.4199-3.94%0.0293✓1.39209k2022-08-18
BANDBandEthereum1.5631.5604-0.17%1.471-5.89%0.0506✓1.28529k2022-08-18
XLMStellarStellar0.1213050.121111-0.16%0.115928-4.43%0.0379✓0.897.8M2022-08-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05090.050819-0.16%0.0494-2.95%0.0220✓0.98212k2022-08-18
ETHEthereumEthereum1,834.611,831.70-0.16%1,845.90+0.62%0.0164✗1.33534.1M2022-08-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.0618.0493-0.15%7.645-5.16%0.0445✓1.0820.0M2022-08-18
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.17940.17915-0.14%0.18133+1.08%0.0267✗2.236712022-08-18
XVSVenusEthereum65.992-0.13%6.28+4.67%0.0529✗0.911.5M2022-08-18
KSMKusamaHydration54.7754.7009-0.13%51.69-5.62%0.0500✓1.01595k2022-08-18
NANOnanopayBase0.978230.977059-0.12%0.990146+1.22%0.0182✗0.7577k2022-08-18
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02990.029865-0.12%0.0286-4.35%0.0348✓1.302,9912022-08-18
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6540.653333-0.10%0.666+1.83%0.0270✗1.192,9182022-08-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12090.120783-0.10%0.1195-1.16%0.0061✓0.714,2082022-08-18
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2181.2172-0.07%1.151-5.50%0.0478✓1.241.1M2022-08-18
OPTIMOptimism1.3211.3204-0.04%1.196-9.46%0.0864✓1.933.6M2022-08-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.