8=======>

2022-08-15 · +1d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0567
188 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.79%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
50.5%
in alpha space · 68.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.00%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9470.947155+0.02%0.967+2.11%0.0259✓0.514.4M2022-08-16
XVSVenusEthereum6.36.2981-0.03%5.96-5.40%0.0446✓1.061.4M2022-08-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0450.044962-0.09%0.0445-1.11%0.0007✓0.9611k2022-08-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7252.7225-0.09%2.651-2.72%0.0091✓1.75144k2022-08-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.028830.028799-0.11%0.02789-3.26%0.0222✓0.9914.3M2022-08-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.38465.3785-0.11%5.2507-2.49%0.0227✓0.13233k2022-08-16
KCSKuCoinnative10.52610.5135-0.12%10.39-1.29%0.0021✓0.972.0M2022-08-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.732.7264-0.13%2.752+0.81%0.0209✗1.1564k2022-08-16
UNIUniswapEthereum8.4758.462-0.15%8.346-1.52%0.0007✓1.3110.0M2022-08-16
ZECZcashZcash73.8473.7181-0.17%75.95+2.86%0.0412✗1.142.1M2022-08-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.00850.008486-0.17%0.00854+0.47%0.0175✗1.12463k2022-08-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.7947.781-0.17%7.773-0.27%0.0091✗1.025.5M2022-08-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.14191.1399-0.17%1.1489+0.61%0.0145✗0.673.9M2022-08-16
QTUMQtumQtum4.0424.0351-0.17%4.0127-0.72%0.0044✗0.9953k2022-08-16
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.0000019.98e-7-0.18%0.000001+0.00%0.0095✗0.7721k2022-08-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.361340.3607-0.18%0.35527-1.68%0.0043✓1.0913k2022-08-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06590.065779-0.18%0.0642-2.58%0.0135✓1.08877k2022-08-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8190.817484-0.19%0.818-0.12%0.0099✗0.93370k2022-08-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.27551.2731-0.19%1.2535-1.72%0.0065✓0.9056k2022-08-16
IMXImmutableEthereum1.03931.0373-0.19%1.0221-1.65%0.0026✓1.222.3M2022-08-16
BTTCBTTC9.90e-79.88e-7-0.19%9.70e-7-2.02%0.0107✓0.785.4M2022-08-16
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.962.9541-0.20%2.94-0.68%0.0005✓0.52100k2022-08-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1235280.123281-0.20%0.12178-1.42%0.0032✓0.907.5M2022-08-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin24,097.8224,049.02-0.20%23,857.93-1.00%0.0020✓1.00482.6M2022-08-16
APEApeCoinEthereum6.2156.202-0.21%6.197-0.29%0.0126✗1.3412.8M2022-08-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04250.04241-0.21%0.0426+0.24%0.0145✗1.0076k2022-08-16
BANDBandEthereum1.7111.7074-0.21%1.675-2.10%0.0060✓1.32485k2022-08-16
STXStacksnative0.48590.484858-0.21%0.4762-2.00%0.0067✓1.13808k2022-08-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.008210.008192-0.22%0.00828+0.85%0.0171✗0.641.6M2022-08-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.28530.284672-0.22%0.3001+5.19%0.0620✗0.9275k2022-08-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.59650.595181-0.22%0.5897-1.14%0.0016✓0.76784k2022-08-16
ZENHorizenBase20.1120.065-0.22%20.12+0.05%0.0145✗1.17121k2022-08-16
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.260712-0.22%0.2612-0.04%0.0020✓0.0155k2022-08-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0766960.076523-0.23%0.087041+13.49%0.1391✗1.031.8M2022-08-16
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8570.855032-0.23%0.84-1.98%0.0082✓0.96280k2022-08-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.11480.114526-0.24%0.1138-0.87%0.0040✗1.03478k2022-08-16
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21140.210886-0.24%0.2113-0.05%0.0162✗1.421,3972022-08-16
FTTFTXEthereum30.8530.7747-0.24%30.67-0.58%0.0060✗0.949.2M2022-08-16
NANOnanopayBase1.01711.0147-0.25%1.0226+0.54%0.0155✗0.7677k2022-08-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8931.8883-0.25%1.924+1.64%0.0301✗1.14194k2022-08-16
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021050.0021-0.25%0.00202-4.04%0.0287✓1.00950k2022-08-16
TRXTRONTron0.0689650.068788-0.26%0.069764+1.16%0.0201✗0.60182k2022-08-16
DASHDashDash53.1753.0296-0.26%52.46-1.34%0.0010✓0.98574k2022-08-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.6960.5281-0.27%61.33+1.05%0.0236✗1.0413.7M2022-08-16
RADRadworksEthereum2.462.4534-0.27%2.36-4.07%0.0295✓0.93520k2022-08-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3715380.370533-0.27%0.362039-2.56%0.0125✓1.07962k2022-08-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3240.323105-0.28%0.316-2.47%0.0144✓0.781.1M2022-08-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.58040.578786-0.28%0.5677-2.19%0.0081✓1.12376k2022-08-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.442860.441611-0.28%0.42922-3.08%0.0184✓1.0196k2022-08-16
FORTFortaEthereum0.29750.296659-0.28%0.3019+1.48%0.0283✗1.08178k2022-08-16
KSMKusamaHydration57.7157.5467-0.28%56.07-2.84%0.0158✓1.02590k2022-08-16
MANADecentralandEthereum1.05341.0503-0.29%1.0299-2.23%0.0097✓0.99623k2022-08-16
GTGateEthereum4.98224.9676-0.29%4.8932-1.79%0.0078✓0.72912k2022-08-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash137.34136.9344-0.30%136.34-0.73%0.0068✗1.125.1M2022-08-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.17560.175081-0.30%0.16955-3.45%0.0194✓1.27246k2022-08-16
RARESuperRareEthereum0.26780.266991-0.30%0.2636-1.57%0.0028✓1.00110k2022-08-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1314.1184-0.31%4.19+1.43%0.0202✗0.301.7M2022-08-16
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00120.99813-0.31%0.967-3.42%0.0159✓1.58276k2022-08-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.1192.1125-0.31%2.016-4.86%0.0354✓1.14157k2022-08-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15690.156418-0.31%0.1546-1.47%0.0050✓0.674.4M2022-08-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.788.7529-0.31%8.89+1.25%0.0164✗0.091.7M2022-08-16
SCSiacoinnative0.004880.004865-0.31%0.00476-2.46%0.0112✓1.05158k2022-08-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.33382.3265-0.31%2.2701-2.73%0.0139✓1.0738k2022-08-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13420.133764-0.32%0.1301-3.06%0.0166✓1.113.9M2022-08-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.693.678-0.33%3.62-1.90%0.0089✓0.701.1M2022-08-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.047630.047474-0.33%0.04681-1.72%0.0060✓0.812,5642022-08-16
XECeCashnative0.000046010.000045859-0.33%0.00004498-2.24%0.0104✓0.902.0M2022-08-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08350.083223-0.33%0.0811-2.87%0.0167✓0.91134k2022-08-16
ETHEthereumEthereum1,899.391,893.07-0.33%1,876.57-1.20%0.0045✗1.32528.6M2022-08-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.7878.7574-0.34%8.839+0.59%0.0199✗1.0614.4M2022-08-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11450.114108-0.34%0.1024-10.57%0.0997✓0.86220k2022-08-16
XEMNEMnative0.0530670.052885-0.34%0.051969-2.07%0.0082✓0.9343k2022-08-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.07070.070456-0.35%0.0734+3.82%0.0532✗1.23339k2022-08-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.441.435-0.35%1.41-2.08%0.0048✓1.281.2M2022-08-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.411140.409704-0.35%0.40858-0.62%0.0068✗0.96457k2022-08-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.126.0985-0.35%6.14+0.33%0.0099✗0.311.0M2022-08-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6943.681-0.35%3.68-0.38%0.0156✗1.595.3M2022-08-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067210.006697-0.35%0.006937+3.21%0.0397✗0.4555k2022-08-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45030.448706-0.35%0.4464-0.87%0.0078✗1.29255k2022-08-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.927.8008-0.36%27.11-2.83%0.0114✓1.3730.5M2022-08-16
ADACardanoCardano0.55010.54814-0.36%0.5571+1.27%0.0268✗1.0643.6M2022-08-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34480.343556-0.36%0.3392-1.62%0.0027✓1.013.6M2022-08-16
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.084170.083864-0.36%0.08578+1.91%0.0250✗0.241.1M2022-08-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.22050.219695-0.37%0.207-6.12%0.0486✓1.091,7402022-08-16
ELAElastosEthereum2.012.0026-0.37%2.061+2.54%0.0388✗1.00181k2022-08-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17990.179231-0.37%0.1798-0.06%0.0141✗1.09616k2022-08-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.870.866739-0.37%0.87+0.00%0.0183✗1.454.4M2022-08-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.40090.399385-0.38%0.3985-0.60%0.0088✗1.1095k2022-08-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.4178.3851-0.38%8.426+0.11%0.0135✗0.869.1M2022-08-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.471.4644-0.38%1.47+0.00%0.0039✗0.00124k2022-08-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25730.256297-0.39%0.2556-0.66%0.0106✗1.33131k2022-08-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10070.100307-0.39%0.1069+6.16%0.0740✗1.049,7202022-08-16
XYMSymbolnative0.0558660.055647-0.39%0.054802-1.90%0.0103✓0.5036k2022-08-16
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.49920.497243-0.39%0.4749-4.87%0.0326✓1.34211k2022-08-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.471.4642-0.40%1.425-3.06%0.0171✓1.002.6M2022-08-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.6498.6146-0.40%8.453-2.27%0.0079✓1.1120.0M2022-08-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.721.7131-0.40%1.75+1.74%0.0316✗1.03190k2022-08-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6810.678263-0.40%0.672-1.32%0.0027✓1.20115k2022-08-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.9411.8912-0.41%12.36+3.52%0.0500✗1.14305k2022-08-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.445.4177-0.41%5.44+0.00%0.0066✗0.251.6M2022-08-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.720.717028-0.41%0.7-2.78%0.0112✓1.28135k2022-08-16
XTZTezosTezos1.82791.8203-0.42%1.8887+3.33%0.0482✗1.13488k2022-08-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.41861.1624-0.42%61.168-0.41%0.0074✗0.73365k2022-08-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.47150.469537-0.42%0.4559-3.31%0.0183✓1.12190k2022-08-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.33411.3285-0.42%1.2853-3.66%0.0187✓1.436.4M2022-08-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.0670.066718-0.42%0.0696+3.88%0.0530✗1.07237k2022-08-16
DIADIAEthereum0.474740.472722-0.43%0.47192-0.59%0.0030✓0.4770k2022-08-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.386.3529-0.43%6.29-1.41%0.0067✓0.321.4M2022-08-16
DODODODOEthereum0.1680.167283-0.43%0.1676-0.24%0.0118✗0.992.4M2022-08-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2260.225034-0.43%0.244+7.96%0.0928✗1.19657k2022-08-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12610.125555-0.43%0.1265+0.32%0.0166✗0.91328k2022-08-16
XMRMoneroMonero163.5162.7883-0.44%169.61+3.74%0.0509✗0.991.2M2022-08-16
C98Coin98Ethereum0.52360.521294-0.44%0.5047-3.61%0.0210✓1.1360k2022-08-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.5167-0.44%0.545+5.01%0.0634✗1.0112k2022-08-16
HIVEHivenative0.62510.622327-0.44%0.6115-2.18%0.0078✓0.982.1M2022-08-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0067630.006732-0.45%0.006767+0.07%0.0123✗0.713,2222022-08-16
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3111.3051-0.45%1.271-3.05%0.0142✓1.231.2M2022-08-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.974.9474-0.46%4.95-0.40%0.0044✓0.391.2M2022-08-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35780.356166-0.46%0.3526-1.45%0.0005✓0.968.3M2022-08-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0251930.025078-0.46%0.024604-2.34%0.0106✓0.8413k2022-08-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.40811.3558-0.46%11.396-0.11%0.0152✗1.1713.2M2022-08-16
AAVEAaveEthereum107.14106.6473-0.46%109.79+2.47%0.0446✗1.556.7M2022-08-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.1818.0956-0.46%17.95-1.27%0.0038✓1.181.7M2022-08-16
NEXONEXOEthereum0.990.98536-0.47%0.959-3.13%0.0149✓1.221.3M2022-08-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.5820.4832-0.47%20.32-1.26%0.0011✓0.692.2M2022-08-16
SOLSolanaSolana43.7243.5141-0.47%43.09-1.44%0.0023✓1.2181.1M2022-08-16
QNTQuantEthereum113.47112.9332-0.47%116.11+2.33%0.0364✗0.873.6M2022-08-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.1215.0484-0.47%15-0.79%0.0088✗1.212.6M2022-08-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.21271.207-0.48%1.1875-2.08%0.0052✓1.1113k2022-08-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08860.088175-0.48%0.09121+2.95%0.0452✗1.1329k2022-08-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07880.07842-0.48%0.0784-0.51%0.0112✗1.151.4M2022-08-16
CBKCobakEthereum1.1841.1783-0.48%1.1561-2.36%0.0094✓0.9712k2022-08-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0160060.015929-0.48%0.015966-0.25%0.0087✗0.642.1M2022-08-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010730.010678-0.48%0.01154+7.55%0.0860✗0.845.6M2022-08-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026860.02673-0.49%0.02539-5.47%0.0428✓0.86244k2022-08-16
UMAUMAEthereum3.3053.2888-0.49%3.334+0.88%0.0222✗0.85658k2022-08-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.67721.669-0.49%1.635-2.52%0.0083✓1.23540k2022-08-16
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188750.187812-0.50%0.1883-0.24%0.0250✗2.236672022-08-16
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031120.030964-0.50%0.03136+0.77%0.0257✗1.303,2032022-08-16
METISMetisEthereum40.940.6945-0.50%38.9-4.89%0.0254✓1.97408k2022-08-16
MOVRMoonriverBase15.855915.7749-0.51%15.0779-4.91%0.0353✓0.9858k2022-08-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.9913.9704-0.52%4.038+1.18%0.0191✗0.222.1M2022-08-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0235.9918-0.52%6.018-0.08%0.0052✗0.083.4M2022-08-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.357640.355768-0.52%0.35342-1.18%0.0022✓0.88432k2022-08-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053790.053506-0.53%0.05205-3.23%0.0203✓0.7316k2022-08-16
API3Api3Ethereum2.4552.4417-0.54%2.409-1.87%0.0038✓0.97641k2022-08-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05440.054104-0.54%0.0539-0.92%0.0061✗0.99228k2022-08-16
STEEMSteemnative0.27520.273699-0.55%0.27-1.89%0.0044✓0.92551k2022-08-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0204130.020301-0.55%0.025638+25.60%0.2348✗0.14230k2022-08-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.27260.271061-0.56%0.2645-2.97%0.0145✓1.0091k2022-08-16
COMPCompoundEthereum62.0361.6757-0.57%61.09-1.52%0.0031✓1.2727k2022-08-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.715260.7111-0.58%0.69252-3.18%0.0133✓1.3151k2022-08-16
FLOWFlownative2.712.6942-0.58%2.685-0.92%0.0093✗1.28810k2022-08-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.09663.0783-0.59%3.1212+0.79%0.0187✗0.491.3M2022-08-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,093.5611,028.06-0.59%11,010.19-0.75%0.0117✗1.336.5M2022-08-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14740.146526-0.59%0.1437-2.51%0.0086✓1.0946k2022-08-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1290.128229-0.60%0.123-4.65%0.0338✓0.783,9702022-08-16
PROPropyEthereum0.820.815069-0.60%0.81-1.22%0.0022✓0.40105k2022-08-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.000096910.00009631-0.62%0.0000971+0.20%0.0185✗1.03336k2022-08-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017420.017312-0.62%0.01753+0.63%0.0197✗0.72153k2022-08-16
OPTIMOptimism1.5691.559-0.64%1.454-7.33%0.0506✓1.913.7M2022-08-16
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.084130.083563-0.67%0.08258-1.84%0.0042✓0.778802022-08-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,840.3023,676.35-0.69%23,861.50+0.09%0.0175✗0.977,5932022-08-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7180.713041-0.69%0.71-1.11%0.0081✗1.242,7912022-08-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06920.068715-0.70%0.0688-0.58%0.0096✗0.84119k2022-08-16
GITCOINGITCOIN3.30163.2782-0.71%3.3012-0.01%0.0201✗1.3113k2022-08-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.42463.3999-0.72%3.514+2.61%0.0360✗0.301.6M2022-08-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017890.001776-0.73%0.001761-1.57%0.0010✓0.759,2532022-08-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.62393.5968-0.75%3.7239+2.76%0.0390✗0.431.9M2022-08-16
XVGVergenative0.004030.004-0.75%0.00401-0.50%0.0132✗1.06528k2022-08-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative41.9741.6474-0.77%39.88-4.98%0.0295✓1.3816.5M2022-08-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0016370.001624-0.79%0.001587-3.08%0.0150✓0.841.5M2022-08-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum4039.6827-0.79%40.61+1.53%0.0341✗1.101.8M2022-08-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.929.8413-0.79%10.19+2.72%0.0459✗1.11638k2022-08-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.095050.094293-0.80%0.08996-5.36%0.0350✓1.202.4M2022-08-16
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.88434.8453-0.80%5.0987+4.39%0.0610✗1.00100k2022-08-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.19680.195195-0.82%0.2097+6.55%0.0802✗0.851.1M2022-08-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.8963.8637-0.83%3.876-0.51%0.0118✗0.86124k2022-08-16
GMTGMTEthereum1.0531.0441-0.85%1.072+1.80%0.0408✗1.44433k2022-08-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.323.2896-0.92%3.26-1.81%0.0035✓1.25269k2022-08-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0042380.004199-0.92%0.004101-3.23%0.0155✓0.811.0M2022-08-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.4565.4038-0.96%5.889+7.94%0.0872✗0.121.1M2022-08-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.46691.4527-0.97%1.4706+0.25%0.0221✗0.981.0M2022-08-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000015250.000015085-1.08%0.00001581+3.67%0.0566✗0.96744k2022-08-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.048850.048237-1.26%0.05113+4.67%0.0684✗1.0121k2022-08-16
FISStafiEthereum0.49360.487353-1.27%0.4514-8.55%0.0681✓0.851542022-08-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.19940.19681-1.30%0.1861-6.67%0.0458✓1.02134k2022-08-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.43e-77.13e-7-3.98%7.44e-7+0.19%0.0490✗0.65155k2022-08-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.