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2022-08-04 · +1d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2497
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.59%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
44.3%
in alpha space · 4.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.08%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
KCSKuCoinnative10.03510.0278-0.07%10.44+4.04%0.0068✗1.102.0M2022-08-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0673530.067285-0.10%0.069799+3.63%0.0011✗1.171.7M2022-08-05
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5962.5931-0.11%2.752+6.01%0.0063✗1.75109k2022-08-05
GLMGolemEthereum0.26060.260297-0.12%0.2713+4.11%0.0076✗1.1165k2022-08-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,623.9422,591.34-0.14%23,320.81+3.08%0.0014✓1.00427.9M2022-08-05
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085410.085285-0.15%0.08643+1.19%0.0051✗0.271.1M2022-08-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07310.07299-0.15%0.0739+1.09%0.0097✓0.73159k2022-08-05
ETHEthereumEthereum1,608.161,605.71-0.15%1,736.79+8.00%0.0398✗1.28407.7M2022-08-05
ZENHorizenBase17.3217.2934-0.15%18.43+6.41%0.0217✗1.38116k2022-08-05
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.50e-79.49e-7-0.16%9.90e-7+4.21%0.0125✗1.0025k2022-08-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.008220.008207-0.16%0.00843+2.55%0.0006✓0.901.6M2022-08-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.06160.061498-0.17%0.0624+1.30%0.0288✓1.43350k2022-08-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54540.544489-0.17%0.5836+7.00%0.0349✗1.14333k2022-08-05
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021890.002185-0.17%0.002227+1.74%0.0114✓1.001.4M2022-08-05
FTTFTXEthereum29.1429.0859-0.19%30.76+5.56%0.0272✗0.9510.0M2022-08-05
ZECZcashZcash64.3864.2594-0.19%69.15+7.41%0.0354✗1.251.6M2022-08-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22630.225858-0.20%0.2419+6.89%0.0241✗1.4787k2022-08-05
TRXTRONTron0.0689810.068837-0.21%0.069837+1.24%0.0067✓0.69345k2022-08-05
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.58e-7-0.21%9.80e-7+2.08%0.0027✓0.846.4M2022-08-05
STXStacksnative0.47370.472696-0.21%0.4918+3.82%0.0020✓1.24808k2022-08-05
XEMNEMnative0.050210.050098-0.22%0.052815+5.19%0.0165✗1.2035k2022-08-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.160.159641-0.22%0.17777+11.11%0.0610✗1.53212k2022-08-05
XLMStellarStellar0.1139210.113661-0.23%0.118541+4.06%0.0120✗0.996.9M2022-08-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43880.437777-0.23%0.4587+4.54%0.0018✓1.48278k2022-08-05
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7380.736265-0.24%0.753+2.03%0.0143✓1.21968k2022-08-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.3723.3129-0.24%24.97+6.85%0.0207✗1.5826.1M2022-08-05
ADACardanoCardano0.49970.498455-0.25%0.5176+3.58%0.0012✓1.2040.5M2022-08-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.15021.1473-0.25%1.196+3.98%0.0097✗1.0543k2022-08-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3991.3954-0.26%1.432+2.36%0.0128✓1.282.6M2022-08-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum54.9868-0.26%4.9519-0.96%0.0123✓0.17219k2022-08-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.15610.155671-0.27%0.164+5.06%0.0148✗1.23107k2022-08-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061460.006129-0.28%0.006334+3.06%0.0072✗0.857,1222022-08-05
DASHDashDash49.449.2639-0.28%52.4+6.07%0.0285✗1.10574k2022-08-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3402110.339247-0.28%0.358859+5.48%0.0177✗1.271.0M2022-08-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7282.7201-0.29%2.845+4.29%0.0015✓1.4349k2022-08-05
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.093.0809-0.29%3.17+2.59%0.0135✗0.49109k2022-08-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010890.001085-0.30%0.001125+3.36%0.0016✓1.241.3M2022-08-05
QTUMQtumQtum3.95923.9474-0.30%4.0794+3.04%0.0000✓1.0945k2022-08-05
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7820.779653-0.30%0.848+8.44%0.0475✗1.20225k2022-08-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,495.2022,427.60-0.30%23,205.30+3.16%0.0044✗0.9813k2022-08-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.6559.4701-0.30%62.49+4.76%0.0145✗1.1513.6M2022-08-05
XVSVenusEthereum6.436.4105-0.30%6.65+3.42%0.0055✓1.391.2M2022-08-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3290.327982-0.31%0.4379+33.10%0.2549✗1.1377k2022-08-05
GTGateEthereum4.554.5358-0.31%4.7375+4.12%0.0209✗0.75920k2022-08-05
SOLSolanaSolana38.8238.6987-0.31%40.54+4.43%0.0050✗1.3781.1M2022-08-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.10960.109254-0.32%0.1139+3.92%0.0036✗1.25505k2022-08-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.987.9547-0.32%8.382+5.04%0.0153✗1.227.0M2022-08-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.404330.403034-0.32%0.42676+5.55%0.0211✗1.19107k2022-08-05
NANOnanopayBase1.01511.0118-0.33%1.0527+3.70%0.0110✗0.9460k2022-08-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.35910.3249-0.33%10.966+5.86%0.0191✗1.3513.7M2022-08-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021130.02106-0.33%0.02241+6.06%0.0313✗1.02159k2022-08-05
XECeCashnative0.000042940.000042797-0.33%0.00004553+6.03%0.0268✗1.161.9M2022-08-05
UOSUltraEthereum0.313380.312321-0.34%0.32566+3.92%0.0077✗1.12396k2022-08-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7990.796273-0.34%0.833+4.26%0.0142✗1.02377k2022-08-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4152.4068-0.34%2.47+2.28%0.0011✓0.89110k2022-08-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.833.8166-0.35%3.946+3.03%0.0123✗0.691.5M2022-08-05
ELAElastosEthereum1.8141.8076-0.35%3.073+69.40%0.5115✗0.63206k2022-08-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043860.043703-0.36%0.04533+3.35%0.0080✗0.942,0262022-08-05
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19950.19877-0.37%0.2201+10.33%0.0596✗1.401,2762022-08-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0155950.015537-0.37%0.016324+4.67%0.0224✗0.892.1M2022-08-05
UNIUniswapEthereum8.8198.7858-0.38%8.972+1.73%0.0213✓1.399.9M2022-08-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0630.062763-0.38%0.0674+6.98%0.0324✗1.28802k2022-08-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3330.331742-0.38%0.337+1.20%0.0158✓1.041.1M2022-08-05
MANADecentralandEthereum0.992450.988684-0.38%1.0756+8.38%0.0449✗1.30532k2022-08-05
AAVEAaveEthereum96.3495.9736-0.38%103.27+7.19%0.0231✗1.6610.2M2022-08-05
SUSHISushiEthereum1.471.4644-0.38%1.51+2.72%0.0121✓1.411.2M2022-08-05
DIADIAEthereum0.457070.455294-0.39%0.47865+4.72%0.0269✗0.7668k2022-08-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.545.5184-0.39%5.7+2.89%0.0144✗0.59873k2022-08-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41620.41457-0.39%0.438+5.24%0.0151✗1.31127k2022-08-05
SCSiacoinnative0.004540.004522-0.39%0.0047+3.52%0.0011✓1.31112k2022-08-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04210.041934-0.39%0.0451+7.13%0.0356✗1.2376k2022-08-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2522.2431-0.40%2.333+3.60%0.0028✓1.39172k2022-08-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11680.116331-0.40%0.1255+7.45%0.0433✗1.08370k2022-08-05
XMRMoneroMonero159.25158.605-0.41%161.87+1.65%0.0132✓1.111.2M2022-08-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04820.048005-0.41%0.0495+2.70%0.0088✓1.307,5232022-08-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16420.163533-0.41%0.1787+8.83%0.0510✗1.24518k2022-08-05
FORTFortaEthereum0.3020.300773-0.41%0.3054+1.13%0.0185✓1.11300k2022-08-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash134.34133.7917-0.41%141.93+5.65%0.0227✗1.204.6M2022-08-05
GMTGMTEthereum0.9090.905283-0.41%0.939+3.30%0.0169✓1.76496k2022-08-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.18992.1809-0.41%2.3513+7.37%0.0388✗1.2032k2022-08-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13920.138625-0.41%0.1507+8.26%0.0548✗0.953.6M2022-08-05
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2971.2916-0.42%1.35+4.09%0.0066✗1.241.1M2022-08-05
BORABORAKlay Token0.362810.361294-0.42%0.3677+1.35%0.0220✓1.3013k2022-08-05
BANDBandEthereum1.7551.7476-0.42%1.831+4.33%0.0032✓1.43341k2022-08-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05051.0459-0.43%1.0569+0.61%0.0213✓1.0513k2022-08-05
XYMSymbolnative0.0542640.054028-0.43%0.055256+1.83%0.0049✗0.5825k2022-08-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0090.008961-0.44%0.00904+0.44%0.0300✓1.28387k2022-08-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.3647.3314-0.44%7.878+6.98%0.0340✗1.2516.9M2022-08-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.7112-0.44%8.9+1.71%0.0067✗0.491.8M2022-08-05
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.573-0.45%1.58+0.00%0.0046✓0.30242k2022-08-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.59650.593824-0.45%0.6718+12.62%0.0887✗1.14690k2022-08-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12020.119654-0.45%0.131+8.99%0.0490✗1.372.9M2022-08-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33060.329071-0.46%0.3403+2.93%0.0018✓1.173.5M2022-08-05
UMAUMAEthereum2.9822.968-0.47%3.047+2.18%0.0077✓1.12591k2022-08-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.419540.417546-0.48%0.42795+2.00%0.0172✓1.38583k2022-08-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08540.084992-0.48%0.0907+6.21%0.0301✗1.15126k2022-08-05
STEEMSteemnative0.25220.250991-0.48%0.2623+4.00%0.0088✗1.16768k2022-08-05
ORCAOrcaSolana1.01921.0143-0.48%0.9869-3.17%0.0794✓1.71241k2022-08-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04910.048861-0.49%0.05101+3.89%0.0162✗0.8915k2022-08-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.14470.143995-0.49%0.1459+0.83%0.0197✓1.08907k2022-08-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.5021.4947-0.49%1.6+6.52%0.0257✗1.40594k2022-08-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.32861.3221-0.49%1.4417+8.51%0.0413✗1.495.6M2022-08-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0928.0523-0.49%8.81+8.87%0.0529✗1.2211.0M2022-08-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.665910.662637-0.49%0.69514+4.39%0.0020✓1.5188k2022-08-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017580.017493-0.50%0.01819+3.47%0.0142✗0.82193k2022-08-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.26959.9703-0.50%62.05+2.96%0.0088✗0.83321k2022-08-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.05930.059003-0.50%0.061+2.87%0.0090✓1.39172k2022-08-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0711.0146-0.50%12.03+8.67%0.0518✗1.20263k2022-08-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6164.5928-0.50%4.72+2.25%0.0102✗0.561.4M2022-08-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9823.9616-0.51%4.154+4.32%0.0214✗0.86922k2022-08-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.086150.085704-0.52%0.0866+0.52%0.0310✓1.3629k2022-08-05
COMPCompoundEthereum5655.7095-0.52%61.31+9.48%0.0536✗1.3935k2022-08-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.825.7897-0.52%6.06+4.12%0.0251✗0.68746k2022-08-05
QNTQuantEthereum103.74103.1964-0.52%107.26+3.39%0.0086✗0.994.2M2022-08-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33610.334338-0.52%0.3589+6.78%0.0366✗1.138.2M2022-08-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2180.21684-0.53%0.228+4.59%0.0043✓1.51782k2022-08-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009790.009738-0.53%0.0103+5.21%0.0294✗0.885.1M2022-08-05
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09750.096978-0.54%0.1005+3.08%0.0008✓1.207,1482022-08-05
PROPropyEthereum0.740.736032-0.54%0.74+0.00%0.0128✓0.6079k2022-08-05
DODODODOEthereum0.17290.171971-0.54%0.1844+6.65%0.0327✗1.223.5M2022-08-05
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12731.1212-0.54%1.1864+5.24%0.0150✗1.371.4M2022-08-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03391.0283-0.54%1.0748+3.96%0.0094✗1.151.0M2022-08-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016570.001648-0.55%0.001677+1.21%0.0139✓1.039,0682022-08-05
XTZTezosTezos1.82491.8149-0.55%1.8665+2.28%0.0104✓1.27530k2022-08-05
API3Api3Ethereum2.2232.2108-0.55%2.195-1.26%0.0457✓1.27626k2022-08-05
KSMKusamaHydration61.1260.7836-0.55%63.5+3.89%0.0081✗1.17379k2022-08-05
RADRadworksEthereum2.482.4663-0.55%2.51+1.21%0.0151✓1.08507k2022-08-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24850.247129-0.55%0.2612+5.11%0.0183✗1.22101k2022-08-05
HIVEHivenative0.58130.578082-0.55%0.5908+1.63%0.0142✓1.181.8M2022-08-05
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5580.554888-0.56%0.57+2.15%0.0078✓1.1414k2022-08-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00670.006662-0.56%0.006749+0.73%0.0027✓0.5140k2022-08-05
XVGVergenative0.003770.003749-0.56%0.00385+2.12%0.0126✓1.30551k2022-08-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9671.9559-0.57%2.025+2.95%0.0081✓1.41266k2022-08-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.7517.6493-0.57%18.43+3.83%0.0036✓1.311.3M2022-08-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13470.133932-0.57%0.1383+2.67%0.0064✓1.2761k2022-08-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032310.032125-0.57%0.03358+3.93%0.0069✗1.2314k2022-08-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05370.053389-0.58%0.0559+4.10%0.0071✗1.28284k2022-08-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011850.000011781-0.58%0.00001212+2.28%0.0095✓1.25951k2022-08-05
WOOWOOEthereum0.21750.216234-0.58%0.2306+6.02%0.0247✗1.311,5612022-08-05
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188870.187769-0.58%0.19602+3.79%0.0272✓2.311,1512022-08-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.834.8014-0.59%5.02+3.93%0.0233✗0.701.3M2022-08-05
MOVRMoonriverBase14.635914.5485-0.60%15.3166+4.65%0.0166✗1.1558k2022-08-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8460.840946-0.60%0.875+3.43%0.0131✓1.744.6M2022-08-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030690.003051-0.60%0.003213+4.69%0.0218✗0.991.0M2022-08-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7270.722641-0.60%0.758+4.26%0.0031✓1.47121k2022-08-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12690.126137-0.60%0.1296+2.13%0.0031✓1.004,7012022-08-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.1565.1247-0.61%5.341+3.59%0.0254✗0.532.4M2022-08-05
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.259506-0.61%0.2615+0.15%0.0073✗0.0129k2022-08-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034970.034756-0.61%0.03628+3.75%0.0008✓1.4413.9M2022-08-05
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.076930.076456-0.62%0.07814+1.57%0.0004✓0.739772022-08-05
CBKCobakEthereum1.11291.106-0.63%1.1532+3.62%0.0083✗1.1111k2022-08-05
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099250.000098626-0.63%0.00010097+1.73%0.0384✓2.04516k2022-08-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.595.5545-0.63%5.69+1.79%0.0055✓0.611.4M2022-08-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0224480.022305-0.64%0.023038+2.63%0.0031✓0.9611k2022-08-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07330.07283-0.64%0.0745+1.64%0.0109✓1.111.1M2022-08-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.18531.1776-0.65%1.1895+0.35%0.0164✓0.874.1M2022-08-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.91752.8986-0.65%3.0096+3.16%0.0078✗0.981.2M2022-08-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0928.0388-0.66%8.341+3.08%0.0052✓1.042.5M2022-08-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.7773.752-0.66%4.061+7.52%0.0263✗1.745.0M2022-08-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.9927.804-0.66%32.59+16.43%0.1177✗1.36946k2022-08-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8443.8183-0.67%3.911+1.74%0.0063✓0.581.9M2022-08-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.37213.3486-0.70%3.4602+2.61%0.0058✓0.891.4M2022-08-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6860.681145-0.71%0.708+3.21%0.0037✓1.4088k2022-08-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06670.066226-0.71%0.0689+3.30%0.0111✗0.94183k2022-08-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.834.5477-0.73%38.27+9.97%0.0597✗1.4011.4M2022-08-05
APEApeCoinEthereum7.4377.3829-0.73%7.573+1.83%0.0271✓1.7313.1M2022-08-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.71.6874-0.74%1.77+4.12%0.0078✗1.32122k2022-08-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.8615.7413-0.75%17.22+8.58%0.0471✗1.412.5M2022-08-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,646.8210,566.90-0.75%12,281.30+15.35%0.1071✗1.424.5M2022-08-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0205250.02037-0.75%0.020288-1.15%0.0168✓0.42167k2022-08-05
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030380.030145-0.77%0.03111+2.40%0.0080✓1.301,4012022-08-05
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2141.2044-0.79%1.159-4.53%0.0581✓0.651.9M2022-08-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.6221.4414-0.83%21.35-1.25%0.0299✓0.842.4M2022-08-05
GITCOINGITCOIN3.18543.159-0.83%3.1425-1.35%0.0527✓1.5612k2022-08-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.14163.1156-0.83%3.2379+3.07%0.0153✗0.761.1M2022-08-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7860.779326-0.85%0.824+4.83%0.0116✗1.463,1392022-08-05
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08090.080208-0.86%0.08336+3.04%0.0065✓1.49871k2022-08-05
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.57760.572544-0.88%0.5694-1.42%0.0472✓1.38234k2022-08-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.123.0904-0.95%3.17+1.60%0.0206✓1.52211k2022-08-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.56e-73.52e-7-1.07%3.48e-7-2.33%0.0427✓0.99164k2022-08-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.29.1002-1.08%10.63+15.54%0.1133✗1.39334k2022-08-05
OPTIMOptimism1.9181.8898-1.47%1.946+1.46%0.0305✓1.972.8M2022-08-05
FLOWFlownative2.62.5545-1.75%2.732+5.08%0.0289✗1.26448k2022-08-05
C98Coin98Ethereum0.56770.557644-1.77%0.5966+5.09%0.0337✗1.1146k2022-08-05
METISMetisEthereum46.0145.1929-1.78%47.65+3.56%0.0023✓1.82266k2022-08-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.