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2022-08-01 · +1d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0688
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.79%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
62.2%
in alpha space · 75.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.22%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.06410.064106+0.01%0.073+13.88%0.1399✓0.81155k2022-08-02
KCSKuCoinnative9.9639.9594-0.04%9.938-0.25%0.0112✗1.082.1M2022-08-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.008420.008413-0.09%0.00839-0.36%0.0085✗0.911.6M2022-08-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0687210.068654-0.10%0.066529-3.19%0.0173✓1.151.7M2022-08-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.06020.060139-0.10%0.0612+1.66%0.0347✗1.40339k2022-08-02
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.59e-7-0.11%0.00000101+5.21%0.0642✗1.0025k2022-08-02
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5652.5622-0.11%2.6+1.36%0.0362✗1.7595k2022-08-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.195.1838-0.12%5.0698-2.32%0.0197✓0.21210k2022-08-02
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7270.726016-0.14%0.742+2.06%0.0367✗1.21806k2022-08-02
ZECZcashZcash62.8762.7777-0.15%61.49-2.20%0.0053✓1.251.5M2022-08-02
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.68e-7-0.18%9.70e-7+0.00%0.0120✗0.836.4M2022-08-02
ZENHorizenBase18.1618.128-0.18%17.17-5.45%0.0374✓1.37116k2022-08-02
GLMGolemEthereum0.2770.276511-0.18%0.2636-4.84%0.0346✓1.0867k2022-08-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.93880.937103-0.18%0.9732+3.66%0.0488✗0.903.2M2022-08-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.55740.556347-0.19%0.5396-3.19%0.0165✓1.14341k2022-08-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,273.8623,229.78-0.19%22,989.40-1.22%0.0019✓1.00414.2M2022-08-02
STXStacksnative0.46130.460351-0.21%0.4398-4.66%0.0304✓1.25778k2022-08-02
DASHDashDash49.7549.6328-0.24%48.53-2.45%0.0089✓1.11574k2022-08-02
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.261163-0.24%0.2618+0.00%0.0026✗0.0128k2022-08-02
FTTFTXEthereum30.7530.6749-0.24%29.4-4.39%0.0307✓0.9510.2M2022-08-02
XLMStellarStellar0.1183040.118015-0.24%0.115136-2.68%0.0125✓0.996.8M2022-08-02
GTGateEthereum4.41644.4046-0.27%4.3491-1.52%0.0037✓0.73916k2022-08-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23070.230059-0.28%0.2308+0.04%0.0215✗1.4897k2022-08-02
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.092360.092096-0.29%0.08996-2.60%0.0205✓0.241.1M2022-08-02
TRXTRONTron0.0699720.06977-0.29%0.06831-2.38%0.0116✓0.78373k2022-08-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.4759.2982-0.29%58.09-2.32%0.0064✓1.1613.6M2022-08-02
UOSUltraEthereum0.309120.308213-0.29%0.30205-2.29%0.0058✓1.17398k2022-08-02
ETHEthereumEthereum1,630.821,626.03-0.29%1,631.28+0.03%0.0187✗1.26387.0M2022-08-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4231.4188-0.29%1.364-4.15%0.0238✓1.272.5M2022-08-02
ADACardanoCardano0.51280.511292-0.29%0.4966-3.16%0.0138✓1.2541.9M2022-08-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010960.001093-0.30%0.001085-1.02%0.0085✗1.291.4M2022-08-02
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0024290.002422-0.30%0.002266-6.71%0.0542✓1.001.8M2022-08-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7720.769669-0.30%0.744-3.63%0.0218✓0.99377k2022-08-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.5923.517-0.31%22.85-3.14%0.0091✓1.6027.5M2022-08-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.419380.418025-0.32%0.39795-5.11%0.0343✓1.21118k2022-08-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4352.4269-0.33%2.419-0.66%0.0081✗0.92105k2022-08-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,172.7023,095.03-0.34%23,023.60-0.64%0.0090✗0.9814k2022-08-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150170.014965-0.35%0.015628+4.07%0.0542✗0.881.6M2022-08-02
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32380.322656-0.35%0.318-1.79%0.0004✓1.1576k2022-08-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.165410.164823-0.36%0.1626-1.70%0.0054✗1.54212k2022-08-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063210.006298-0.36%0.006204-1.84%0.0039✓0.909,1592022-08-02
XEMNEMnative0.0514460.051261-0.36%0.048695-5.35%0.0368✓1.1938k2022-08-02
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3658.3347-0.36%8.248-1.40%0.0068✗1.408.5M2022-08-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.39910.3609-0.37%9.92-4.61%0.0266✓1.3714.4M2022-08-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06120.060975-0.37%0.0581-5.07%0.0323✓1.30799k2022-08-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3627650.361434-0.37%0.34061-6.11%0.0434✓1.301.0M2022-08-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021560.02148-0.37%0.02154-0.09%0.0155✗1.03159k2022-08-02
NANOnanopayBase1.01851.0147-0.38%1.0235+0.49%0.0205✗0.9660k2022-08-02
SUSHISushiEthereum1.421.4146-0.38%1.36-4.23%0.0217✓1.441.1M2022-08-02
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.4851-0.38%6.57+0.92%0.0302✗1.401.1M2022-08-02
XECeCashnative0.000045140.000044962-0.40%0.00004282-5.14%0.0345✓1.161.9M2022-08-02
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7930.789855-0.40%0.774-2.40%0.0051✓1.23218k2022-08-02
SOLSolanaSolana41.6741.5038-0.40%39.81-4.46%0.0250✓1.3681.1M2022-08-02
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.333.3167-0.40%3.18-4.50%0.0360✓0.4994k2022-08-02
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2070.20615-0.41%0.202-2.42%0.0032✓1.401,1792022-08-02
QTUMQtumQtum4.14614.129-0.41%3.9681-4.29%0.0263✓1.0939k2022-08-02
AAVEAaveEthereum96.5896.1758-0.42%93.42-3.27%0.0086✓1.6610.2M2022-08-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.41280.411065-0.42%0.3926-4.89%0.0288✓1.39583k2022-08-02
BANDBandEthereum1.7181.7108-0.42%1.635-4.83%0.0275✓1.45327k2022-08-02
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3231.3174-0.42%1.27-4.01%0.0214✓1.241.2M2022-08-02
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42390.422108-0.42%0.4029-4.95%0.0302✓1.33127k2022-08-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.348.3044-0.43%8-4.08%0.0220✓1.246.8M2022-08-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4710.46899-0.43%0.4462-5.27%0.0317✓1.47273k2022-08-02
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9472.9344-0.43%2.716-7.84%0.0598✓1.4349k2022-08-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12070.120176-0.43%0.1155-4.31%0.0265✓1.07352k2022-08-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.11620.115693-0.44%0.1134-2.41%0.0040✓1.30472k2022-08-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08580.085418-0.45%0.0857-0.12%0.0178✗1.18137k2022-08-02
API3Api3Ethereum2.0222.0128-0.46%1.966-2.77%0.0078✓1.28637k2022-08-02
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09510.094666-0.46%0.0936-1.58%0.0035✓1.216,7862022-08-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.16470.163946-0.46%0.1674+1.64%0.0361✗1.2494k2022-08-02
UMAUMAEthereum2.962.9464-0.46%2.934-0.88%0.0095✗1.12619k2022-08-02
FLOWFlownative2.0252.0156-0.46%1.874-7.46%0.0572✓1.27415k2022-08-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2210.219973-0.46%0.212-4.07%0.0183✓1.51821k2022-08-02
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01631.0116-0.47%0.95943-5.60%0.0367✓1.32525k2022-08-02
ELAElastosEthereum1.7951.7866-0.47%1.796+0.06%0.0131✗0.64189k2022-08-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006650.006619-0.47%0.006716+0.99%0.0212✗0.5438k2022-08-02
FORTFortaEthereum0.30590.304468-0.47%0.3039-0.65%0.0120✗1.12300k2022-08-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04830.048073-0.47%0.0463-4.14%0.0210✓1.347,6872022-08-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01790.017815-0.47%0.01794+0.22%0.0166✗0.78229k2022-08-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046180.045962-0.47%0.044-4.72%0.0318✓0.962,3002022-08-02
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.516513-0.48%0.519+0.00%0.0189✗1.1513k2022-08-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3644.3429-0.48%4.526+3.71%0.0485✗0.581.2M2022-08-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.041099-0.49%0.0396-4.12%0.0221✓1.2371k2022-08-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash137.87137.1875-0.50%133.77-2.97%0.0106✓1.194.3M2022-08-02
LSKLiskEthereum1.2461.2398-0.50%1.163-6.66%0.0509✓1.0643k2022-08-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.26812.2569-0.50%2.1689-4.37%0.0246✓1.2329k2022-08-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.188.1391-0.50%7.928-3.08%0.0110✓1.2410.0M2022-08-02
XMRMoneroMonero160.69159.8825-0.50%156.99-2.30%0.0046✓1.111.3M2022-08-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.5747.5356-0.51%7.179-5.22%0.0329✓1.2616.9M2022-08-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9343.914-0.51%3.985+1.30%0.0268✗0.721.4M2022-08-02
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.79682.7825-0.51%2.8083+0.41%0.0212✗0.981.0M2022-08-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1720.171118-0.51%0.1596-7.21%0.0543✓1.25491k2022-08-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34240.340642-0.51%0.3267-4.59%0.0278✓1.147.7M2022-08-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032040.031875-0.51%0.03144-1.87%0.0015✓1.2414k2022-08-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03151.0262-0.52%0.9992-3.13%0.0123✓1.171.1M2022-08-02
XVGVergenative0.003750.00373-0.52%0.00371-1.07%0.0106✗1.31559k2022-08-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3360.334242-0.52%0.3198-4.82%0.0296✓1.183.1M2022-08-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3350.333245-0.52%0.328-2.09%0.0032✓1.03959k2022-08-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.61960.616336-0.53%0.6132-1.03%0.0091✗1.16642k2022-08-02
STORJStorjEthereum0.711570.707799-0.53%0.65971-7.29%0.0518✓1.5188k2022-08-02
DIADIAEthereum0.487140.484541-0.53%0.45527-6.54%0.0527✓0.7863k2022-08-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12360.122939-0.54%0.1168-5.50%0.0342✓1.382.8M2022-08-02
IMXImmutableEthereum1.07891.073-0.54%1.0451-3.13%0.0090✓1.411.4M2022-08-02
XTZTezosTezos1.81991.81-0.54%1.7139-5.82%0.0390✓1.26492k2022-08-02
SCSiacoinnative0.004780.004754-0.55%0.00462-3.35%0.0124✓1.32112k2022-08-02
RADRadworksEthereum2.392.3769-0.55%2.46+2.93%0.0475✗1.07301k2022-08-02
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.891.8796-0.55%2.017+6.72%0.0881✗1.42234k2022-08-02
GMTGMTEthereum0.9550.949708-0.55%0.908-4.92%0.0231✓1.77513k2022-08-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12550.124802-0.56%0.1238-1.35%0.0041✓0.994,9522022-08-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2511.1874-0.56%11.02-2.04%0.0001✓1.21243k2022-08-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011970.000011903-0.56%0.00001175-1.84%0.0022✓1.23986k2022-08-02
PROPropyEthereum0.780.775639-0.56%0.76-2.56%0.0129✓0.6179k2022-08-02
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7310.726895-0.56%0.709-3.01%0.0066✓1.4980k2022-08-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.67660.3351-0.56%60.953+0.46%0.0206✗0.85345k2022-08-02
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19250.191418-0.56%0.18917-1.73%0.0166✗2.311,2222022-08-02
BORABORAKlay Token0.345490.343542-0.56%0.34832+0.82%0.0300✗1.3112k2022-08-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.30621.2988-0.56%1.3359+2.27%0.0467✗1.515.6M2022-08-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.07791.0719-0.56%1.0569-1.95%0.0014✓1.0313k2022-08-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8773.855-0.57%3.951+1.91%0.0355✗0.88754k2022-08-02
MOVRMoonriverBase15.134315.0477-0.57%14.5774-3.68%0.0173✓1.1868k2022-08-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57471.5656-0.58%1.4894-5.42%0.0323✓1.44589k2022-08-02
XYMSymbolnative0.0572340.056904-0.58%0.05605-2.07%0.0078✓0.6022k2022-08-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016970.001687-0.58%0.001664-1.94%0.0013✓1.0211k2022-08-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084190.0837-0.58%0.08676+3.05%0.0524✗1.3429k2022-08-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15410.153195-0.59%0.1435-6.88%0.0532✓0.993.5M2022-08-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009380.009325-0.59%0.00928-1.07%0.0107✗1.26359k2022-08-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05320.052885-0.59%0.0531-0.19%0.0194✗1.25269k2022-08-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9194.8897-0.59%5.16+4.90%0.0606✗0.552.0M2022-08-02
WOOWOOEthereum0.21060.209347-0.59%0.225+6.84%0.0888✗1.361,6972022-08-02
AVTAventusEthereum1.561.5506-0.60%1.55-0.64%0.0022✓0.22268k2022-08-02
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6446.6041-0.60%6.638-0.09%0.0264✗1.7311.3M2022-08-02
DODODODOEthereum0.17760.176532-0.60%0.1716-3.38%0.0129✓1.263.5M2022-08-02
COMPCompoundEthereum58.958.5431-0.61%56.33-4.36%0.0214✓1.3932k2022-08-02
STEEMSteemnative0.26570.264089-0.61%0.2502-5.83%0.0402✓1.13768k2022-08-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010210.010148-0.61%0.00965-5.48%0.0385✓0.974.7M2022-08-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6460.642062-0.61%0.608-5.88%0.0373✓1.4088k2022-08-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.8817.7702-0.61%17.22-3.69%0.0149✓1.351.3M2022-08-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26310.261447-0.63%0.2502-4.90%0.0289✓1.23101k2022-08-02
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078980.078482-0.63%0.0777-1.62%0.0010✓0.731,1722022-08-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.051690.051357-0.64%0.04946-4.31%0.0265✓0.9015k2022-08-02
METISMetisEthereum33.6233.4013-0.65%33.21-1.22%0.0182✗1.94229k2022-08-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4162.4002-0.65%2.285-5.42%0.0318✓1.41177k2022-08-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.859.7858-0.65%9.54-3.15%0.0190✓0.521.7M2022-08-02
QNTQuantEthereum103.46102.7783-0.66%103.43-0.03%0.0188✗1.014.2M2022-08-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6053.5811-0.66%3.801+5.44%0.0808✗1.735.0M2022-08-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.855188-0.67%0.823-4.41%0.0171✓1.735.0M2022-08-02
KSMKusamaHydration64.2363.7886-0.69%60.95-5.11%0.0309✓1.18354k2022-08-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.16.0579-0.69%6.03-1.15%0.0035✓0.66623k2022-08-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032560.003233-0.69%0.003157-3.04%0.0114✓1.021.0M2022-08-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0236210.023457-0.69%0.024372+3.18%0.0503✗0.989,6292022-08-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1814.0812-0.70%14.94+5.36%0.0765✗1.411.9M2022-08-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07050.070008-0.70%0.0745+5.67%0.0754✗1.08567k2022-08-02
LUNATerraTerra 20.000104790.000104051-0.70%0.00010013-4.45%0.0145✓1.94592k2022-08-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8493.8214-0.72%3.883+0.88%0.0233✗0.591.7M2022-08-02
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030010.029793-0.72%0.0314+4.63%0.0686✗1.311,2932022-08-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum28.4428.234-0.72%27.79-2.29%0.0013✓1.39641k2022-08-02
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.06691-0.73%0.068+0.89%0.0279✗0.96229k2022-08-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.075.032-0.75%5.05-0.39%0.0123✗0.711.2M2022-08-02
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49660.49282-0.76%0.4841-2.52%0.0041✓1.1247k2022-08-02
CTKShentuOsmosis1.081.0717-0.76%1.218+12.78%0.1365✗0.701.5M2022-08-02
GALAGALAEthereum0.06480.0643-0.77%0.0595-8.18%0.0599✓1.44154k2022-08-02
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8592.8365-0.79%2.7482-3.88%0.0124✓1.5612k2022-08-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03680.036509-0.79%0.03854+4.73%0.0729✗1.5212.6M2022-08-02
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14380.142654-0.80%0.1378-4.17%0.0188✓1.2859k2022-08-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199980.019837-0.80%0.021484+7.43%0.0861✗0.51165k2022-08-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum87.9347-0.82%8.1+1.25%0.0374✗1.37263k2022-08-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.94512.921-0.82%3.0467+3.45%0.0516✗0.77978k2022-08-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.631.6165-0.83%1.57-3.68%0.0124✓1.37114k2022-08-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.536.4755-0.83%6.51-0.31%0.0129✗0.621.2M2022-08-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.0234.7246-0.84%36.59+4.48%0.0697✗1.416.9M2022-08-02
CBKCobakEthereum1.19911.1889-0.85%1.126-6.10%0.0409✓1.1010k2022-08-02
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54010.535503-0.85%0.5474+1.35%0.0393✗1.41234k2022-08-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.862.8355-0.86%2.72-4.90%0.0229✓1.52192k2022-08-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.219.031-0.88%21.17+10.26%0.1171✗0.862.2M2022-08-02
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.26e-7-0.88%3.39e-7+2.97%0.0499✗0.96178k2022-08-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,611.3211,505.41-0.91%10,752.27-7.40%0.0505✓1.404.2M2022-08-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28523.2548-0.92%3.3336+1.47%0.0349✗0.891.2M2022-08-02
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08050.079725-0.96%0.08648+7.43%0.0998✗1.50773k2022-08-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.815.752-1.00%5.73-1.38%0.0037✓0.61732k2022-08-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.14940.147902-1.00%0.1359-9.04%0.0710✓1.11698k2022-08-02
OPTIMOptimism1.5121.4964-1.03%1.635+8.13%0.1130✗1.981.7M2022-08-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7768.6693-1.22%8.196-6.61%0.0431✓1.062.4M2022-08-02
ORCAOrcaSolana1.13981.125-1.30%1.0822-5.05%0.0185✓1.65205k2022-08-02
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8310.819836-1.34%0.816-1.81%0.0136✗1.493,6872022-08-02
HIVEHivenative0.77450.758108-2.12%0.5942-23.28%0.2293✓1.171.4M2022-08-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.