XEF

Xeffy · native · lstm_s4

token id: #633
symbol: XEF
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-15
predictions: 360

Track record at +7d

assessed

113

of 120 predictions shown

direction hit

45.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1825

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0172

actual -0.0467

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.004362	0.004307	-1.26%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.00434	0.004291	-1.13%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.004365	0.004311	-1.25%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-10-18	oos	0.0043	0.004249	-1.18%	–	pending	–	–	-0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.004521	0.004452	-1.54%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.004544	0.004472	-1.60%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-15	oos	0.004581	0.004505	-1.67%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-14	oos	0.004339	0.004279	-1.39%	0.004362	+0.52%	0.0234	✗	-0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.004166	0.004117	-1.18%	0.00434	+4.19%	0.0523	✗	-0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.00412	0.004071	-1.19%	0.004365	+5.95%	0.0701	✗	-0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.004012	0.00397	-1.05%	0.0043	+7.15%	0.0784	✗	-0.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.004044	0.003999	-1.10%	0.004521	+11.81%	0.1226	✗	-0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.004051	0.004005	-1.14%	0.004544	+12.18%	0.1262	✗	-0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.003918	0.003874	-1.11%	0.004581	+16.92%	0.1677	✗	-0.04
2026-10-07	oos	0.004142	0.004095	-1.15%	0.004339	+4.75%	0.0557	✗	-0.11
2026-10-06	oos	0.00412	0.004082	-0.92%	0.004166	+1.11%	0.0201	✗	-0.00
2026-10-05	oos	0.004078	0.004043	-0.84%	0.00412	+1.05%	0.0172	✗	-0.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.004432	0.004402	-0.69%	0.004012	-9.48%	0.0970	✓	-0.13
2026-10-03	oos	0.003817	0.00378	-0.96%	0.004044	+5.94%	0.0629	✗	-0.20
2026-10-02	oos	0.004988	0.00489	-1.96%	0.004051	-18.79%	0.1929	✓	-0.20
2026-10-01	oos	0.005017	0.004923	-1.88%	0.003918	-21.90%	0.2346	✓	-0.17
2026-09-30	oos	0.005013	0.004903	-2.20%	0.004142	-17.37%	0.1703	✓	-0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.004268	0.004217	-1.19%	0.00412	-3.46%	0.0107	✓	-0.56
2026-09-28	oos	0.004541	0.004479	-1.36%	0.004078	-10.21%	0.0796	✓	-0.53
2026-09-27	oos	0.004455	0.004408	-1.04%	0.004432	-0.50%	0.0152	✗	-0.40
2026-09-26	oos	0.004617	0.004562	-1.18%	0.003817	-17.32%	0.1768	✓	-0.43
2026-09-25	oos	0.004728	0.004666	-1.31%	0.004988	+5.50%	0.0688	✗	-0.42
2026-09-24	oos	0.005116	0.00502	-1.87%	0.005017	-1.93%	0.0017	✓	-0.43
2026-09-23	oos	0.004436	0.004394	-0.94%	0.005013	+13.01%	0.1278	✗	-0.42
2026-09-22	oos	0.004354	0.004336	-0.41%	0.004268	-1.98%	0.0257	✓	-0.33
2026-09-21	oos	0.004336	0.004325	-0.27%	0.004541	+4.73%	0.0389	✗	-0.27
2026-09-20	oos	0.004372	0.004297	-1.72%	0.004455	+1.88%	0.0503	✗	-0.36
2026-09-19	oos	0.004563	0.004481	-1.81%	0.004617	+1.17%	0.0440	✗	-0.37
2026-09-18	oos	0.004794	0.004692	-2.13%	0.004728	-1.38%	0.0206	✓	-0.33
2026-09-17	oos	0.005449	0.00522	-4.21%	0.005116	-6.12%	0.0020	✓	-0.18
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.004243	-2.34%	0.004436	+2.11%	0.0630	✗	-0.18
2026-09-15	oos	0.003837	0.003791	-1.19%	0.004354	+13.47%	0.1943	✗	-0.43
2026-09-14	oos	0.003874	0.003821	-1.39%	0.004336	+11.93%	0.1577	✗	-0.30
2026-09-13	oos	0.003645	0.003619	-0.72%	0.004372	+19.94%	0.2024	✗	-0.24
2026-09-12	oos	0.003056	0.003066	+0.35%	0.004563	+49.34%	0.4073	✓	-0.19
2026-09-11	oos	0.003884	0.003863	-0.55%	0.004794	+23.43%	0.2254	✗	-0.20
2026-09-10	oos	0.003968	0.003946	-0.57%	0.005449	+37.31%	0.3223	✗	-0.20
2026-09-09	oos	0.00401	0.003999	-0.26%	0.004344	+8.34%	0.0772	✗	-0.20
2026-09-08	oos	0.004901	0.004884	-0.36%	0.003837	-21.71%	0.2495	✓	-0.22
2026-09-07	oos	0.004835	0.004828	-0.14%	0.003874	-19.87%	0.2226	✓	-0.22
2026-09-06	oos	0.004718	0.004738	+0.43%	0.003645	-22.73%	0.2710	✗	-0.20
2026-09-05	oos	0.004529	0.004561	+0.69%	0.003056	-32.54%	0.4071	✗	-0.20
2026-09-04	oos	0.004744	0.004789	+0.95%	0.003884	-18.12%	0.2158	✗	-0.20
2026-09-03	oos	0.005066	0.005161	+1.87%	0.003968	-21.67%	0.2774	✗	-0.24
2026-09-02	oos	0.005016	0.005063	+0.95%	0.00401	-20.06%	0.2295	✗	-0.30
2026-09-01	oos	0.004993	0.005068	+1.51%	0.004901	-1.83%	0.0294	✗	-0.30
2026-08-31	oos	0.004669	0.004772	+2.20%	0.004835	+3.54%	0.0147	✓	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.005046	0.00516	+2.25%	0.004718	-6.51%	0.0816	✗	-0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.005104	0.005253	+2.91%	0.004529	-11.27%	0.1434	✗	-0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.005199	0.005363	+3.15%	0.004744	-8.76%	0.1172	✗	-0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.005385	0.005588	+3.78%	0.005066	-5.91%	0.0947	✗	-0.27
2026-08-26	oos	0.005417	0.005623	+3.80%	0.005016	-7.41%	0.1204	✗	-0.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.005231	0.005433	+3.85%	0.004993	-4.55%	0.0885	✗	-0.28
2026-08-24	oos	0.005276	0.005479	+3.84%	0.004669	-11.50%	0.1614	✗	-0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.005177	0.005377	+3.87%	0.005046	-2.52%	0.0637	✗	-0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.005087	0.005281	+3.82%	0.005104	+0.35%	0.0293	✓	-0.31
2026-08-21	oos	0.004926	0.005116	+3.85%	0.005199	+5.53%	0.0143	✓	-0.28
2026-08-20	oos	0.00578	0.005832	+0.89%	0.005385	-6.84%	0.0910	✗	0.12
2026-08-19	oos	0.005749	0.005657	-1.59%	0.005417	-5.76%	0.0537	✓	0.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.00582	0.005649	-2.94%	0.005231	-10.11%	0.0943	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.00589	0.005714	-2.99%	0.005276	-10.42%	0.0978	✓	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.00599	0.005802	-3.13%	0.005177	-13.58%	0.1347	✓	0.10
2026-08-15	oos	0.005993	0.005806	-3.11%	0.005087	-15.11%	0.1522	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.005916	0.005738	-3.02%	0.004926	-16.73%	0.1733	✓	0.10
2026-08-13	oos	0.005929	0.005752	-2.99%	0.00578	-2.51%	0.0096	✓	0.10
2026-08-12	oos	0.006068	0.00588	-3.10%	0.005749	-5.27%	0.0318	✓	0.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.006474	0.00626	-3.30%	0.00582	-10.11%	0.0748	✓	0.10
2026-08-10	oos	0.006798	0.006566	-3.41%	0.00589	-13.35%	0.1094	✓	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.006782	0.006552	-3.39%	0.00599	-11.68%	0.0864	✓	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.006455	0.006247	-3.22%	0.005993	-7.16%	0.0384	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.006942	0.006703	-3.44%	0.005916	-14.78%	0.1215	✓	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.007076	0.006829	-3.50%	0.005929	-16.21%	0.1398	✓	0.12
2026-08-05	oos	0.00732	0.007052	-3.67%	0.006068	-17.10%	0.1481	✓	0.11
2026-08-04	oos	0.006568	0.006348	-3.35%	0.006474	-1.44%	0.0198	✓	0.02
2026-08-03	oos	0.006383	0.006175	-3.25%	0.006798	+6.50%	0.0961	✗	-0.02
2026-08-02	oos	0.00607	0.005895	-2.88%	0.006782	+11.74%	0.1406	✗	-0.02
2026-08-01	oos	0.005956	0.005794	-2.73%	0.006455	+8.37%	0.1100	✗	-0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.006009	0.005843	-2.76%	0.006942	+15.52%	0.1742	✗	-0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.005979	0.005831	-2.48%	0.007076	+18.34%	0.1935	✗	0.00
2026-07-29	oos	0.006029	0.005871	-2.62%	0.00732	+21.41%	0.2208	✗	-0.01
2026-07-28	oos	0.005854	0.005717	-2.34%	0.006568	+12.21%	0.1390	✗	-0.02
2026-07-27	oos	0.006121	0.005952	-2.77%	0.006383	+4.27%	0.0699	✗	-0.01
2026-07-26	oos	0.006336	0.00616	-2.78%	0.00607	-4.21%	0.0161	✓	-0.04
2026-07-25	oos	0.006314	0.006135	-2.82%	0.005956	-5.66%	0.0317	✓	-0.09
2026-07-24	oos	0.006277	0.006104	-2.76%	0.006009	-4.27%	0.0176	✓	-0.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.006211	0.006052	-2.56%	0.005979	-3.72%	0.0123	✓	-0.05
2026-07-22	oos	0.006132	0.005988	-2.35%	0.006029	-1.67%	0.0071	✓	0.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.006357	0.006188	-2.67%	0.005854	-7.92%	0.0556	✓	-0.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.00625	0.006071	-2.87%	0.006121	-2.07%	0.0061	✓	-0.09
2026-07-19	oos	0.005801	0.005642	-2.74%	0.006336	+9.22%	0.1179	✗	-0.18
2026-07-18	oos	0.005801	0.005629	-2.96%	0.006314	+8.84%	0.1134	✗	-0.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.005798	0.005613	-3.20%	0.006277	+8.26%	0.1126	✗	-0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.006041	0.00581	-3.83%	0.006211	+2.81%	0.0713	✗	-0.23
2026-07-15	oos	0.006107	0.005853	-4.15%	0.006132	+0.41%	0.0509	✗	-0.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.00645	0.006116	-5.17%	0.006357	-1.44%	0.0154	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.00544	0.005224	-3.98%	0.00625	+14.89%	0.1332	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.005863	0.005556	-5.23%	0.005801	-1.05%	0.0285	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.005483	0.005212	-4.94%	0.005801	+5.80%	0.0910	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.005	0.004771	-4.58%	0.005798	+15.97%	0.1986	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.005597	0.005285	-5.58%	0.006041	+7.93%	0.1244	✗	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.004082	0.003967	-2.82%	0.006107	+49.61%	0.3924	✗	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.003864	0.003729	-3.49%	0.00645	+66.95%	0.5221	✗	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.00324	0.003113	-3.93%	0.00544	+67.91%	0.5858	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.003242	0.00311	-4.05%	0.005863	+80.84%	0.6314	✗	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.003	0.002858	-4.74%	0.005483	+82.76%	0.6407	✗	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.002442	0.002196	-10.09%	0.005	+104.73%	0.7976	✗	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.006625	0.006431	-2.92%	0.005597	-15.51%	0.1661	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.007189	0.007036	-2.13%	0.004082	-43.22%	0.5818	✓	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.006933	0.006841	-1.32%	0.003864	-44.27%	0.6502	✓	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.007913	0.007717	-2.47%	0.00324	-59.06%	0.9297	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.008785	0.008564	-2.51%	0.003242	-63.10%	1.0383	✓	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.008992	0.008747	-2.73%	0.003	-66.64%	1.1213	✓	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.009169	0.008911	-2.81%	0.002442	-73.37%	1.3355	✓	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.009313	0.009053	-2.80%	0.006625	-28.87%	0.3417	✓	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.010452	0.010112	-3.25%	0.007189	-31.22%	0.3243	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.