XEF

Xeffy · native · lstm_s4

token id: #633
symbol: XEF
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-15
predictions: 363

Track record at +1d

assessed

120

of 121 predictions shown

direction hit

50.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0601

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0040

actual -0.0077

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.004312	0.004295	-0.38%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-10-21	oos	0.004312	0.004297	-0.35%	0.004312	+0.00%	0.0043	✗	-0.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.00434	0.004324	-0.36%	0.004312	-0.66%	0.0016	✓	-0.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.004365	0.004349	-0.38%	0.00434	-0.57%	0.0026	✓	-0.34
2026-10-18	oos	0.0043	0.004284	-0.37%	0.004365	+1.53%	0.0182	✗	-0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.004521	0.004501	-0.44%	0.0043	-4.90%	0.0435	✓	-0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.004544	0.004523	-0.46%	0.004521	-0.51%	0.0009	✓	-0.31
2026-10-15	oos	0.004581	0.004559	-0.49%	0.004544	-0.80%	0.0055	✓	-0.31
2026-10-14	oos	0.004339	0.00432	-0.46%	0.004581	+5.57%	0.0609	✗	-0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.004166	0.004148	-0.43%	0.004339	+4.17%	0.0398	✗	-0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.00412	0.004103	-0.42%	0.004166	+1.10%	0.0199	✗	-0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.004012	0.003996	-0.40%	0.00412	+2.69%	0.0291	✗	-0.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.004044	0.004027	-0.40%	0.004012	-0.77%	0.0036	✓	-0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.004051	0.004035	-0.39%	0.004044	-0.18%	0.0022	✓	-0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.003918	0.003905	-0.34%	0.004051	+3.39%	0.0372	✗	-0.04
2026-10-07	oos	0.004142	0.004126	-0.39%	0.003918	-5.42%	0.0539	✓	-0.11
2026-10-06	oos	0.00412	0.004105	-0.38%	0.004142	+0.54%	0.0091	✗	-0.00
2026-10-05	oos	0.004078	0.004063	-0.36%	0.00412	+1.04%	0.0139	✗	-0.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.004432	0.004414	-0.43%	0.004078	-8.01%	0.0803	✓	-0.13
2026-10-03	oos	0.003817	0.003806	-0.29%	0.004432	+16.13%	0.1566	✗	-0.20
2026-10-02	oos	0.004988	0.004964	-0.49%	0.003817	-23.48%	0.2621	✓	-0.20
2026-10-01	oos	0.005017	0.004992	-0.51%	0.004988	-0.58%	0.0014	✓	-0.17
2026-09-30	oos	0.005013	0.004985	-0.56%	0.005017	+0.08%	0.0147	✗	-0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.004268	0.004249	-0.45%	0.005013	+17.46%	0.1649	✗	-0.56
2026-09-28	oos	0.004541	0.004518	-0.51%	0.004268	-6.02%	0.0559	✓	-0.53
2026-09-27	oos	0.004455	0.004433	-0.49%	0.004541	+1.95%	0.0194	✗	-0.40
2026-09-26	oos	0.004617	0.004593	-0.52%	0.004455	-3.51%	0.0304	✓	-0.43
2026-09-25	oos	0.004728	0.004702	-0.56%	0.004617	-2.36%	0.0166	✓	-0.42
2026-09-24	oos	0.005116	0.005084	-0.63%	0.004728	-7.58%	0.0740	✓	-0.43
2026-09-23	oos	0.004436	0.00441	-0.59%	0.005116	+15.33%	0.1486	✗	-0.42
2026-09-22	oos	0.004354	0.004329	-0.56%	0.004436	+1.88%	0.0173	✗	-0.33
2026-09-21	oos	0.004336	0.004311	-0.58%	0.004354	+0.40%	0.0086	✗	-0.27
2026-09-20	oos	0.004372	0.00434	-0.74%	0.004336	-0.82%	0.0225	✗	-0.36
2026-09-19	oos	0.004563	0.004525	-0.84%	0.004372	-4.19%	0.0347	✓	-0.37
2026-09-18	oos	0.004794	0.004748	-0.97%	0.004563	-4.81%	0.0381	✓	-0.33
2026-09-17	oos	0.005449	0.005372	-1.41%	0.004794	-12.02%	0.1035	✓	-0.18
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.004301	-0.99%	0.005449	+25.44%	0.2371	✗	-0.18
2026-09-15	oos	0.003837	0.003819	-0.46%	0.004344	+13.22%	0.1319	✗	-0.43
2026-09-14	oos	0.003874	0.003854	-0.52%	0.003837	-0.96%	0.0147	✓	-0.30
2026-09-13	oos	0.003645	0.003641	-0.12%	0.003874	+6.28%	0.0664	✗	-0.24
2026-09-12	oos	0.003056	0.003073	+0.58%	0.003645	+19.30%	0.1695	✓	-0.19
2026-09-11	oos	0.003884	0.00388	-0.11%	0.003056	-21.33%	0.2387	✓	-0.20
2026-09-10	oos	0.003968	0.003967	-0.03%	0.003884	-2.12%	0.0194	✓	-0.20
2026-09-09	oos	0.00401	0.004009	-0.02%	0.003968	-1.03%	0.0146	✓	-0.20
2026-09-08	oos	0.004901	0.004871	-0.61%	0.00401	-18.19%	0.1951	✓	-0.22
2026-09-07	oos	0.004835	0.00481	-0.51%	0.004901	+1.38%	0.0170	✗	-0.22
2026-09-06	oos	0.004718	0.004699	-0.40%	0.004835	+2.48%	0.0255	✗	-0.20
2026-09-05	oos	0.004529	0.004519	-0.23%	0.004718	+4.16%	0.0443	✗	-0.20
2026-09-04	oos	0.004744	0.004732	-0.25%	0.004529	-4.52%	0.0434	✓	-0.20
2026-09-03	oos	0.005066	0.005055	-0.23%	0.004744	-6.37%	0.0683	✓	-0.24
2026-09-02	oos	0.005016	0.005005	-0.20%	0.005066	+1.01%	0.0273	✗	-0.30
2026-09-01	oos	0.004993	0.004988	-0.10%	0.005016	+0.46%	0.0053	✗	-0.30
2026-08-31	oos	0.004669	0.004675	+0.12%	0.004993	+6.93%	0.0620	✓	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.005046	0.005047	+0.02%	0.004669	-7.47%	0.0751	✗	-0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.005104	0.005108	+0.07%	0.005046	-1.14%	0.0139	✗	-0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.005199	0.005204	+0.10%	0.005104	-1.82%	0.0181	✗	-0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.005385	0.005391	+0.12%	0.005199	-3.45%	0.0446	✗	-0.27
2026-08-26	oos	0.005417	0.005425	+0.13%	0.005385	-0.60%	0.0031	✗	-0.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.005231	0.005243	+0.23%	0.005417	+3.57%	0.0345	✓	-0.28
2026-08-24	oos	0.005276	0.00529	+0.26%	0.005231	-0.86%	0.0129	✗	-0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.005177	0.005192	+0.31%	0.005276	+1.93%	0.0209	✓	-0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.005087	0.005104	+0.34%	0.005177	+1.76%	0.0168	✓	-0.31
2026-08-21	oos	0.004926	0.004946	+0.39%	0.005087	+3.26%	0.0236	✓	-0.28
2026-08-20	oos	0.00578	0.005791	+0.20%	0.004926	-14.77%	0.1701	✗	0.12
2026-08-19	oos	0.005749	0.005761	+0.21%	0.00578	+0.54%	0.0008	✓	0.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.00582	0.005832	+0.22%	0.005749	-1.22%	0.0207	✗	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.00589	0.005903	+0.22%	0.00582	-1.20%	0.0146	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.00599	0.006001	+0.18%	0.00589	-1.66%	0.0210	✗	0.10
2026-08-15	oos	0.005993	0.006003	+0.18%	0.00599	-0.04%	0.0019	✗	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.005916	0.005927	+0.18%	0.005993	+1.29%	0.0109	✓	0.10
2026-08-13	oos	0.005929	0.005938	+0.16%	0.005916	-0.21%	0.0030	✗	0.10
2026-08-12	oos	0.006068	0.006073	+0.08%	0.005929	-2.30%	0.0241	✗	0.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.006474	0.00647	-0.06%	0.006068	-6.27%	0.0639	✓	0.10
2026-08-10	oos	0.006798	0.006785	-0.19%	0.006474	-4.76%	0.0464	✓	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.006782	0.006766	-0.23%	0.006798	+0.23%	0.0062	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.006455	0.006439	-0.25%	0.006782	+5.07%	0.0521	✗	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.006942	0.006914	-0.41%	0.006455	-7.02%	0.0687	✓	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.007076	0.007039	-0.53%	0.006942	-1.89%	0.0149	✓	0.12
2026-08-05	oos	0.00732	0.007268	-0.71%	0.007076	-3.33%	0.0262	✓	0.11
2026-08-04	oos	0.006568	0.006527	-0.63%	0.00732	+11.45%	0.1145	✗	0.02
2026-08-03	oos	0.006383	0.006341	-0.66%	0.006568	+2.91%	0.0355	✗	-0.02
2026-08-02	oos	0.00607	0.006031	-0.64%	0.006383	+5.16%	0.0567	✗	-0.02
2026-08-01	oos	0.005956	0.005918	-0.64%	0.00607	+1.90%	0.0259	✗	-0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.006009	0.005972	-0.63%	0.005956	-0.88%	0.0026	✓	-0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.005979	0.005946	-0.56%	0.006009	+0.50%	0.0107	✗	0.00
2026-07-29	oos	0.006029	0.005996	-0.55%	0.005979	-0.82%	0.0026	✓	-0.01
2026-07-28	oos	0.005854	0.005823	-0.53%	0.006029	+3.00%	0.0349	✗	-0.02
2026-07-27	oos	0.006121	0.006085	-0.59%	0.005854	-4.37%	0.0387	✓	-0.01
2026-07-26	oos	0.006336	0.006293	-0.67%	0.006121	-3.39%	0.0289	✓	-0.04
2026-07-25	oos	0.006314	0.006266	-0.75%	0.006336	+0.36%	0.0125	✗	-0.09
2026-07-24	oos	0.006277	0.006226	-0.82%	0.006314	+0.58%	0.0143	✗	-0.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.006211	0.00616	-0.82%	0.006277	+1.07%	0.0182	✗	-0.05
2026-07-22	oos	0.006132	0.006081	-0.82%	0.006211	+1.29%	0.0211	✗	0.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.006357	0.006293	-1.01%	0.006132	-3.54%	0.0260	✓	-0.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.00625	0.006186	-1.04%	0.006357	+1.71%	0.0291	✗	-0.09
2026-07-19	oos	0.005801	0.005748	-0.92%	0.00625	+7.74%	0.0853	✗	-0.18
2026-07-18	oos	0.005801	0.005746	-0.95%	0.005801	+0.01%	0.0093	✓	-0.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.005798	0.00574	-1.00%	0.005801	+0.04%	0.0137	✗	-0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.006041	0.005971	-1.17%	0.005798	-4.02%	0.0288	✓	-0.23
2026-07-15	oos	0.006107	0.006028	-1.29%	0.006041	-1.07%	0.0008	✓	-0.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.00645	0.006348	-1.58%	0.006107	-5.32%	0.0346	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.00544	0.005372	-1.25%	0.00645	+18.56%	0.1400	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.005863	0.005775	-1.50%	0.00544	-7.20%	0.0362	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.005483	0.005403	-1.45%	0.005863	+6.93%	0.0821	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.005	0.004937	-1.25%	0.005483	+9.66%	0.1104	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.005597	0.005491	-1.90%	0.005	-10.67%	0.1086	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.004082	0.004068	-0.34%	0.005597	+37.13%	0.3041	✗	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.003864	0.003862	-0.05%	0.004082	+5.64%	0.0727	✗	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.00324	0.003251	+0.33%	0.003864	+19.25%	0.1833	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.003242	0.003257	+0.48%	0.00324	-0.06%	0.0119	✗	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.003	0.003018	+0.60%	0.003242	+8.06%	0.0636	✓	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.002442	0.002455	+0.52%	0.003	+22.84%	0.1915	✓	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.006625	0.006601	-0.36%	0.002442	-63.13%	1.0110	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.007189	0.007174	-0.20%	0.006625	-7.85%	0.1048	✓	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.006933	0.00693	-0.04%	0.007189	+3.69%	0.0124	✗	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.007913	0.007892	-0.27%	0.006933	-12.39%	0.1020	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.008785	0.008753	-0.36%	0.007913	-9.92%	0.1124	✓	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.008992	0.008959	-0.37%	0.008785	-2.31%	0.0119	✓	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.009169	0.009135	-0.37%	0.008992	-1.93%	0.0146	✓	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.009313	0.009279	-0.36%	0.009169	-1.55%	0.0169	✓	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.010452	0.010402	-0.48%	0.009313	-10.90%	0.0893	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.