XEF

Xeffy · native · lstm_s4

token id: #633
symbol: XEF
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-15
predictions: 363

Track record at +30d

assessed

91

of 121 predictions shown

direction hit

50.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2399

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0428

actual -0.0970

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.004312	0.004192	-2.78%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-10-21	oos	0.004312	0.004223	-2.05%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.00434	0.004242	-2.27%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.004365	0.004259	-2.43%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-10-18	oos	0.0043	0.004198	-2.37%	–	pending	–	–	-0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.004521	0.004393	-2.85%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.004544	0.004408	-3.01%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-15	oos	0.004581	0.004433	-3.23%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-14	oos	0.004339	0.004198	-3.26%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.004166	0.004033	-3.18%	–	pending	–	–	-0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.00412	0.003983	-3.34%	–	pending	–	–	-0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.004012	0.003883	-3.22%	–	pending	–	–	-0.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.004044	0.003905	-3.42%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.004051	0.003906	-3.58%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.003918	0.003777	-3.61%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-07	oos	0.004142	0.003992	-3.62%	–	pending	–	–	-0.11
2026-10-06	oos	0.00412	0.00398	-3.41%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-05	oos	0.004078	0.003944	-3.28%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.004432	0.004292	-3.17%	–	pending	–	–	-0.13
2026-10-03	oos	0.003817	0.003687	-3.40%	–	pending	–	–	-0.20
2026-10-02	oos	0.004988	0.004804	-3.68%	–	pending	–	–	-0.20
2026-10-01	oos	0.005017	0.004842	-3.49%	–	pending	–	–	-0.17
2026-09-30	oos	0.005013	0.004827	-3.72%	–	pending	–	–	-0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.004268	0.004101	-3.90%	–	pending	–	–	-0.56
2026-09-28	oos	0.004541	0.004358	-4.04%	–	pending	–	–	-0.53
2026-09-27	oos	0.004455	0.004276	-4.01%	–	pending	–	–	-0.40
2026-09-26	oos	0.004617	0.004429	-4.07%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-09-25	oos	0.004728	0.004538	-4.02%	–	pending	–	–	-0.42
2026-09-24	oos	0.005116	0.004927	-3.70%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-09-23	oos	0.004436	0.004237	-4.49%	–	pending	–	–	-0.42
2026-09-22	oos	0.004354	0.004175	-4.10%	0.004312	-0.97%	0.0245	✓	-0.33
2026-09-21	oos	0.004336	0.004162	-4.03%	0.004312	-0.57%	0.0272	✓	-0.27
2026-09-20	oos	0.004372	0.004123	-5.69%	0.00434	-0.73%	0.0590	✗	-0.36
2026-09-19	oos	0.004563	0.004292	-5.94%	0.004365	-4.34%	0.0196	✓	-0.37
2026-09-18	oos	0.004794	0.004497	-6.21%	0.0043	-10.32%	0.0402	✓	-0.33
2026-09-17	oos	0.005449	0.004996	-8.32%	0.004521	-17.03%	0.0883	✓	-0.18
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.003961	-8.82%	0.004544	+4.61%	0.1496	✗	-0.18
2026-09-15	oos	0.003837	0.003592	-6.39%	0.004581	+19.39%	0.2786	✗	-0.43
2026-09-14	oos	0.003874	0.003619	-6.59%	0.004339	+12.01%	0.1945	✗	-0.30
2026-09-13	oos	0.003645	0.003473	-4.71%	0.004166	+14.28%	0.2007	✗	-0.24
2026-09-12	oos	0.003056	0.003009	-1.52%	0.00412	+34.84%	0.3252	✗	-0.19
2026-09-11	oos	0.003884	0.003667	-5.58%	0.004012	+3.30%	0.1062	✗	-0.20
2026-09-10	oos	0.003968	0.003731	-5.99%	0.004044	+1.89%	0.0967	✗	-0.20
2026-09-09	oos	0.00401	0.003767	-6.05%	0.004051	+1.04%	0.0834	✗	-0.20
2026-09-08	oos	0.004901	0.00449	-8.38%	0.003918	-20.06%	0.1272	✓	-0.22
2026-09-07	oos	0.004835	0.004441	-8.14%	0.004142	-14.32%	0.0585	✓	-0.22
2026-09-06	oos	0.004718	0.004371	-7.36%	0.00412	-12.67%	0.0467	✓	-0.20
2026-09-05	oos	0.004529	0.004242	-6.35%	0.004078	-9.97%	0.0249	✓	-0.20
2026-09-04	oos	0.004744	0.004499	-5.15%	0.004432	-6.56%	0.0019	✓	-0.20
2026-09-03	oos	0.005066	0.004929	-2.71%	0.003817	-24.66%	0.2455	✓	-0.24
2026-09-02	oos	0.005016	0.004821	-3.89%	0.004988	-0.55%	0.0613	✗	-0.30
2026-09-01	oos	0.004993	0.004839	-3.08%	0.005017	+0.48%	0.0640	✗	-0.30
2026-08-31	oos	0.004669	0.004536	-2.85%	0.005013	+7.36%	0.1157	✗	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.005046	0.004939	-2.13%	0.004268	-15.43%	0.1285	✓	-0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.005104	0.00504	-1.27%	0.004541	-11.03%	0.0889	✓	-0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.005199	0.005166	-0.64%	0.004455	-14.32%	0.1289	✓	-0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.005385	0.005425	+0.74%	0.004617	-14.26%	0.1477	✗	-0.27
2026-08-26	oos	0.005417	0.005449	+0.58%	0.004728	-12.72%	0.1247	✗	-0.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.005231	0.005256	+0.49%	0.005116	-2.20%	0.0067	✗	-0.28
2026-08-24	oos	0.005276	0.005324	+0.91%	0.004436	-15.93%	0.1639	✗	-0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.005177	0.005211	+0.66%	0.004354	-15.89%	0.1484	✗	-0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.005087	0.005119	+0.63%	0.004336	-14.75%	0.1295	✗	-0.31
2026-08-21	oos	0.004926	0.004982	+1.13%	0.004372	-11.25%	0.1206	✗	-0.28
2026-08-20	oos	0.00578	0.005795	+0.26%	0.004563	-21.05%	0.2516	✗	0.12
2026-08-19	oos	0.005749	0.005725	-0.41%	0.004794	-16.60%	0.1897	✓	0.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.00582	0.005762	-1.00%	0.005449	-6.36%	0.0707	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.00589	0.005856	-0.57%	0.004344	-26.25%	0.3136	✓	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.00599	0.005952	-0.64%	0.003837	-35.94%	0.4568	✓	0.10
2026-08-15	oos	0.005993	0.005978	-0.25%	0.003874	-35.35%	0.4550	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.005916	0.005923	+0.11%	0.003645	-38.39%	0.5044	✗	0.10
2026-08-13	oos	0.005929	0.005953	+0.41%	0.003056	-48.46%	0.6872	✗	0.10
2026-08-12	oos	0.006068	0.006104	+0.59%	0.003884	-35.99%	0.4724	✗	0.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.006474	0.006513	+0.60%	0.003968	-38.70%	0.5139	✗	0.10
2026-08-10	oos	0.006798	0.00685	+0.77%	0.00401	-41.02%	0.5530	✗	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.006782	0.006862	+1.17%	0.004901	-27.73%	0.3567	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.006455	0.006536	+1.26%	0.004835	-25.10%	0.3230	✗	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.006942	0.007015	+1.05%	0.004718	-32.04%	0.4206	✗	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.007076	0.007112	+0.50%	0.004529	-35.99%	0.4762	✗	0.12
2026-08-05	oos	0.00732	0.007331	+0.14%	0.004744	-35.20%	0.4581	✗	0.11
2026-08-04	oos	0.006568	0.006578	+0.14%	0.005066	-22.87%	0.2658	✗	0.02
2026-08-03	oos	0.006383	0.006347	-0.55%	0.005016	-21.42%	0.2322	✓	-0.02
2026-08-02	oos	0.00607	0.005999	-1.17%	0.004993	-17.74%	0.1799	✓	-0.02
2026-08-01	oos	0.005956	0.005837	-2.00%	0.004669	-21.61%	0.2102	✓	-0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.006009	0.005852	-2.62%	0.005046	-16.03%	0.1357	✓	-0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.005979	0.005815	-2.75%	0.005104	-14.63%	0.1307	✓	0.00
2026-07-29	oos	0.006029	0.005817	-3.51%	0.005199	-13.77%	0.1097	✓	-0.01
2026-07-28	oos	0.005854	0.005632	-3.79%	0.005385	-8.01%	0.0401	✓	-0.02
2026-07-27	oos	0.006121	0.005875	-4.02%	0.005417	-11.50%	0.0779	✓	-0.01
2026-07-26	oos	0.006336	0.006113	-3.53%	0.005231	-17.44%	0.1478	✓	-0.04
2026-07-25	oos	0.006314	0.006047	-4.22%	0.005276	-16.43%	0.1187	✓	-0.09
2026-07-24	oos	0.006277	0.00598	-4.73%	0.005177	-17.53%	0.1256	✓	-0.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.006211	0.005904	-4.95%	0.005087	-18.09%	0.1402	✓	-0.05
2026-07-22	oos	0.006132	0.005813	-5.20%	0.004926	-19.66%	0.1664	✓	0.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.006357	0.005941	-6.55%	0.00578	-9.08%	0.0273	✓	-0.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.00625	0.00572	-8.48%	0.005749	-8.03%	0.0104	✓	-0.09
2026-07-19	oos	0.005801	0.005265	-9.25%	0.00582	+0.32%	0.1002	✗	-0.18
2026-07-18	oos	0.005801	0.005276	-9.05%	0.00589	+1.54%	0.1093	✗	-0.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.005798	0.005255	-9.36%	0.00599	+3.30%	0.1269	✗	-0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.006041	0.00542	-10.28%	0.005993	-0.80%	0.0977	✓	-0.23
2026-07-15	oos	0.006107	0.005449	-10.76%	0.005916	-3.12%	0.0766	✓	-0.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.00645	0.005628	-12.74%	0.005929	-8.08%	0.0764	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.00544	0.004746	-12.77%	0.006068	+11.55%	0.2276	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.005863	0.005086	-13.25%	0.006474	+10.43%	0.2446	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.005483	0.004782	-12.78%	0.006798	+23.98%	0.3495	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.005	0.004401	-11.97%	0.006782	+35.64%	0.4212	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.005597	0.00475	-15.13%	0.006455	+15.32%	0.2795	✗	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.004082	0.003713	-9.02%	0.006942	+70.08%	0.5839	✗	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.003864	0.003572	-7.55%	0.007076	+83.15%	0.6689	✗	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.00324	0.003096	-4.45%	0.00732	+125.94%	0.8512	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.003242	0.003157	-2.62%	0.006568	+102.62%	0.7253	✗	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.003	0.002953	-1.56%	0.006383	+112.76%	0.7647	✗	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.002442	0.002363	-3.23%	0.00607	+148.53%	0.9277	✗	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.006625	0.006411	-3.23%	0.005956	-10.09%	0.0941	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.007189	0.006894	-4.10%	0.006009	-16.41%	0.1840	✓	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.006933	0.006682	-3.63%	0.005979	-13.75%	0.2117	✓	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.007913	0.007595	-4.02%	0.006029	-23.81%	0.2911	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.008785	0.008408	-4.29%	0.005854	-33.37%	0.4331	✓	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.008992	0.008595	-4.42%	0.006121	-31.93%	0.4002	✓	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.009169	0.008757	-4.49%	0.006336	-30.90%	0.4089	✓	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.009313	0.00889	-4.55%	0.006314	-32.21%	0.4163	✓	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.010452	0.009936	-4.94%	0.006277	-39.94%	0.5088	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.