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WARD

Warden · Base · lstm_s4

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
753
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +7d

assessed
244
of 251 predictions shown
direction hit
63.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2472
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0088
actual -0.0868

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos0.0027350.002731-0.14%–pending––1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002722+0.06%–pending––1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.00273+0.17%–pending––1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.003055-0.65%–pending––1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002694-0.03%–pending––0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002693-0.06%–pending––0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.002741-0.15%–pending––0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002756-0.31%0.002735-1.08%0.0211✓0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.00283-0.17%0.00272-4.06%0.0377✓0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002744-0.23%0.002725-0.91%0.0079✓0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.00282-0.16%0.003075+8.85%0.1021✗0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002834-0.22%0.002695-5.11%0.0356✓0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002788-0.08%0.002695-3.41%0.0238✓0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002748+0.12%0.002745+0.00%0.0054✗0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002897+0.24%0.002765-4.33%0.0313✗0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002955+0.50%0.002835-3.57%0.0189✗0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.003255+0.16%0.00275-15.38%0.1263✗0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003146+0.50%0.002825-9.74%0.0755✗0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.003039+0.29%0.00284-6.27%0.0471✗0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.002942+0.42%0.00279-4.78%0.0309✗0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.003018+0.27%0.002745-8.80%0.0593✗0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002967+0.25%0.00289-2.36%0.0233✗0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002929+0.48%0.00294+0.86%0.0180✗0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.003013+0.45%0.00325+8.33%0.0508✓0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.003153+0.42%0.00313-0.32%0.0293✗0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003409-0.31%0.00303-11.40%0.1217✓0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002918+0.79%0.00293+1.21%0.0007✓0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.00283+1.07%0.00301+7.50%0.0562✓1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.002873+1.18%0.00296+4.23%0.0394✓1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.003003+1.98%0.002915-1.02%0.0008✓0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.002963+2.36%0.003+3.63%0.0497✓1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.002537+0.66%0.00314+24.60%0.1792✓0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002652+0.82%0.00342+30.04%0.2213✓0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002915+0.68%0.002895+0.00%0.0419✗0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002662+0.06%0.0028+5.26%0.0327✗0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002405+0.19%0.00284+18.33%0.0804✓0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.00246+0.19%0.002945+19.96%0.0648✓0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.002558+0.53%0.002895+13.75%0.0318✓0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.002589+0.37%0.00252-2.33%0.0754✗0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002714+0.54%0.00263-2.59%0.0765✗0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.002764+0.70%0.002895+5.46%0.0078✓0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002627+0.85%0.00266+2.11%0.0146✓0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.002901+1.45%0.0024-16.08%0.1661✗0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002762+1.53%0.002455-9.74%0.0868✗0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.002672+1.79%0.002545-3.05%0.0392✗0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.002739+2.39%0.00258-3.55%0.0206✓0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.002815+2.57%0.0027-1.64%0.0129✓0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002701+2.52%0.002745+4.17%0.0421✓0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.002964+2.90%0.002605-9.55%0.0819✗0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.002989+2.00%0.00286-2.39%0.0557✗0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003279+2.14%0.00272-15.26%0.1993✗0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.003101+2.53%0.002625-13.22%0.1735✗0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.002613+2.07%0.002675+4.49%0.0184✓1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.002603+2.27%0.002745+7.86%0.0335✓0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.002844+2.13%0.002635-5.39%0.0992✗0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.002911+2.51%0.00288+1.41%0.0227✓0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.002749+2.37%0.00293+9.12%0.0842✓0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002769+2.37%0.00321+18.67%0.1612✓0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.00293+2.27%0.003025+5.58%0.0367✓0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.003118+2.07%0.00256-16.20%0.1965✗1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.003011+1.90%0.002545-13.87%0.1831✗0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.003104+2.10%0.002785-8.39%0.1023✗0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.003072+1.05%0.00284-6.58%0.1754✗1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.003104+0.13%0.002685-13.39%0.2998✗1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.003028-0.39%0.002705-11.02%0.3652✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.0032-0.91%0.002865-11.30%0.3536✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.003016-0.79%0.003055+0.49%0.2319✓1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.003052-0.90%0.002955-4.06%0.2586✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.002908-0.58%0.00304+3.93%0.2004✓1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002908-0.59%0.00304+3.93%0.1232✓1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.003149-1.27%0.0031-2.82%0.0992✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002923-0.75%0.00304+3.23%0.0261✗0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003363-1.81%0.00323-5.69%0.0422✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.003009-1.01%0.00304+0.00%0.0123✗0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.003056-1.09%0.00308-0.32%0.0078✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.003261-1.47%0.002925-11.63%0.1085✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003638-2.33%0.002925-21.48%0.2173✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.004573-8.17%0.00319-35.94%0.3594✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.002988-0.05%0.002945-1.51%0.0158✓-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.00317-0.32%0.003425+7.70%0.0784✗-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.003276-0.42%0.00304-7.60%0.0722✓-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.003246-0.14%0.00309-4.92%0.0438✓-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.003145+0.49%0.00331+5.75%0.0563✓-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.003218+0.09%0.003725+15.86%0.1450✓-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003439-0.33%0.00498+44.35%0.3729✗-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.003611-0.52%0.00299-17.63%0.1880✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.003636-0.38%0.00318-12.88%0.1348✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.003754-0.68%0.00329-12.96%0.1394✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.003684-0.29%0.00325-12.04%0.1312✓-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.003688-0.06%0.00313-15.18%0.1674✓-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.003819-0.42%0.003215-16.17%0.1732✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.00397-0.75%0.00345-13.75%0.1482✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.003955-0.63%0.00363-8.79%0.0953✓-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.003874-0.14%0.00365-5.93%0.0645✓-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.004096-0.34%0.00378-8.03%0.0781✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.004062-0.07%0.003695-9.10%0.0962✓-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.004215-0.00%0.00369-12.46%0.1324✓-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.004326+0.13%0.003835-11.23%0.1168✗-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.004516-0.31%0.004-11.70%0.1156✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.003738+1.30%0.00398+7.86%0.0684✓-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.00416+1.47%0.00388-5.37%0.0653✗-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.004299+1.27%0.00411-3.18%0.0431✗-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.004413+1.32%0.004065-6.66%0.0769✗-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.004762+0.90%0.004215-10.70%0.1232✗-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.00536+0.57%0.00432-18.95%0.2136✗-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.004999+1.61%0.00453-7.93%0.0887✗-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.006227-0.20%0.00369-40.87%0.5133✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.007387-0.58%0.0041-44.82%0.6000✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.008025-1.04%0.004245-47.66%0.6364✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.007719-1.04%0.004355-44.17%0.5702✓-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.008134-1.59%0.00472-42.89%0.5390✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.008386-2.03%0.00533-37.73%0.4482✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007804-1.34%0.00492-37.80%0.4523✓-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.00841-2.21%0.00624-27.44%0.2858✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.008834-2.81%0.00743-18.26%0.1599✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.007084-0.36%0.00811+14.06%0.1542✗-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.007691-1.65%0.0078-0.26%0.0297✗-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.007927-2.13%0.008265+2.04%0.0540✗-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007822-2.17%0.00856+7.07%0.0991✗-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.007704-2.24%0.00791+0.38%0.0229✗-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.008379-2.68%0.0086-0.12%0.0073✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.008731-2.88%0.00909+1.11%0.0212✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.008428-3.01%0.00711-18.18%0.1896✓-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.009217-3.28%0.00782-17.94%0.1872✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.008839-3.35%0.0081-11.43%0.1056✓-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.008636-3.29%0.007995-10.47%0.0930✓-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.009353-3.67%0.00788-18.85%0.1915✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.009783-3.90%0.00861-15.42%0.1431✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.009201-3.76%0.00899-5.96%0.0329✓-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.008128-3.24%0.00869+3.45%0.0548✗-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.009077-4.15%0.00953+0.63%0.0479✗-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.00727-2.94%0.009145+22.10%0.2292✗-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.007182-2.94%0.00893+20.68%0.2142✗-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.007321-2.91%0.00971+28.78%0.2978✗-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.006377-2.34%0.01018+55.90%0.4871✗-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.006982-3.03%0.00956+32.78%0.3332✗-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.007559-3.46%0.0084+7.28%0.1229✗-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.007797-3.51%0.00947+17.20%0.2217✗-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.007632-3.27%0.00749-5.07%0.0016✓-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.008535-3.45%0.0074-16.29%0.1448✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.008765-3.58%0.00754-17.05%0.1657✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.009373-3.87%0.00653-33.03%0.3843✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.011869-5.27%0.0072-42.54%0.6437✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.008986-4.25%0.00783-16.57%0.2733✓-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.008505-4.54%0.00808-9.32%0.2159✓-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.010328-6.11%0.00789-28.27%0.4112✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.006983-4.21%0.00884+21.26%0.1367✗-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.007213-4.14%0.00909+20.80%0.1345✗-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.007332-4.41%0.00975+27.12%0.1968✗-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.008536-4.41%0.01253+40.31%0.3586✗-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.009526-4.41%0.009385-5.82%0.0272✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.010183-4.39%0.00891-16.34%0.1382✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.01166-4.23%0.011-9.65%0.0603✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.013221-4.41%0.00729-47.29%0.6039✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.012623-4.45%0.007525-43.04%0.5230✓-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.016869-4.72%0.00767-56.68%0.7891✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.019054-7.28%0.00893-56.55%0.7584✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.016448-5.69%0.009965-42.86%0.4995✓0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.017014-6.62%0.01065-41.55%0.4630✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.020057-11.60%0.012175-46.34%0.4881✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.015566-9.45%0.01383-19.55%0.0998✓0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.018432-15.53%0.01321-39.46%0.3231✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.006249-7.90%0.017705+160.94%1.0950✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.004159-5.47%0.02055+367.05%1.6780✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002448+0.32%0.01744+614.75%2.0529✓1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.00243-0.01%0.01822+649.79%2.0619✗1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.00238+0.02%0.02269+853.36%2.2764✓1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002265-0.23%0.01719+657.27%2.0066✗1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002235-0.22%0.02182+874.11%2.3210✗1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.002354-0.04%0.006785+188.11%1.0637✗0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.002296-0.17%0.0044+91.30%0.6281✗0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.002407-0.11%0.00244+1.24%0.0302✓0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.00248+0.01%0.00243-2.02%0.0444✗0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002416-0.17%0.00238-1.65%0.0387✓0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.002643-0.06%0.00227-14.18%0.1989✓0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.002746+0.02%0.00224-18.40%0.2747✗0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.002948-0.06%0.002355-20.17%0.2820✓0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.002925+0.17%0.0023-21.23%0.2718✗0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.003127+0.23%0.00241-22.76%0.2590✗0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.002734-0.59%0.00248-9.82%0.1102✓0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.003266-0.12%0.00242-25.99%0.3094✓0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.003365+0.16%0.002645-21.28%0.2160✗0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003444-0.03%0.002745-20.32%0.1957✓0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.003264-0.19%0.00295-9.79%0.1007✓0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003542-0.51%0.00292-17.98%0.2118✓0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.003526-0.54%0.00312-11.99%0.1826✓0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.00346-0.42%0.00275-20.86%0.2542✓0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.003517-0.38%0.00327-7.37%0.0774✓0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.003798-1.10%0.00336-12.50%0.1636✓1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.003572-0.90%0.003445-4.44%0.0806✓1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003548-0.89%0.00327-8.66%0.1105✓1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003508-0.92%0.00356+0.56%0.0041✓1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.003938-1.92%0.003545-11.71%0.1516✓1.10
2026-04-11oos0.0041150.004023-2.23%0.003475-15.55%0.1865✓1.12
2026-04-10oos0.0040450.003966-1.96%0.00353-12.73%0.1776✓1.12
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