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WARD

Warden · Base · lstm_s4

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
753
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +1d

assessed
250
of 251 predictions shown
direction hit
48.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0785
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0023
actual -0.0139

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos0.0027350.002738+0.11%–pending––1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002725+0.18%0.002735+0.55%0.0067✓1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.002731+0.23%0.00272-0.18%0.0177✗1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.003073-0.07%0.002725-11.38%0.1180✓1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.0027+0.18%0.003075+14.10%0.1226✓0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002699+0.15%0.002695+0.00%0.0001✓0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.002748+0.10%0.002695-1.82%0.0120✗0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002767+0.05%0.002745-0.72%0.0144✗0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.002838+0.12%0.002765-2.47%0.0079✗0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002753+0.13%0.002835+3.09%0.0139✓0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.002828+0.09%0.00275-2.65%0.0096✗0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002843+0.10%0.002825-0.53%0.0135✗0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002795+0.17%0.00284+1.79%0.0126✓0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002753+0.28%0.00279+1.64%0.0052✓0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002898+0.26%0.002745-5.02%0.0399✗0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002947+0.25%0.00289-1.70%0.0011✓0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.003255+0.15%0.00294-9.54%0.0996✗0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003136+0.18%0.00325+3.83%0.0443✓0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.003035+0.17%0.00313+3.30%0.0113✓0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.002935+0.18%0.00303+3.41%0.0291✓0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.003014+0.14%0.00293-2.66%0.0245✗0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002966+0.21%0.00301+1.69%0.0005✓0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002922+0.26%0.00296+1.54%0.0137✓0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.003007+0.24%0.002915-2.83%0.0331✗0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.003145+0.17%0.003-4.46%0.0363✗0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003419-0.03%0.00314-8.19%0.0856✓0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002902+0.24%0.00342+18.13%0.1605✓0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002806+0.23%0.002895+3.39%0.0345✓1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.002847+0.23%0.0028-1.41%0.0166✗1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.00295+0.17%0.00284-3.57%0.0174✗0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.002899+0.14%0.002945+1.73%0.0204✓1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.002526+0.23%0.002895+14.88%0.0808✓0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002637+0.25%0.00252-4.18%0.0444✗0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002901+0.22%0.00263-9.15%0.1022✗0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002666+0.21%0.002895+8.83%0.0346✓0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002406+0.26%0.00266+10.83%0.0980✓0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.002461+0.26%0.0024-2.24%0.0318✗0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.002551+0.25%0.002455-3.54%0.0082✗0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.002586+0.25%0.002545-1.36%0.0316✗0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002707+0.25%0.00258-4.44%0.0426✗0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.002753+0.28%0.0027-1.64%0.0199✗0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002614+0.33%0.002745+5.37%0.0412✓0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.002867+0.25%0.002605-8.92%0.0766✗0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002731+0.42%0.00286+5.15%0.0477✓0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.002635+0.37%0.00272+3.62%0.0385✓0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.002684+0.33%0.002625-1.87%0.0086✗0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.002756+0.38%0.002675-2.55%0.0353✗0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002644+0.34%0.002745+4.17%0.0359✓0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.002885+0.16%0.002635-8.51%0.0750✗0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.002939+0.32%0.00288-1.71%0.0671✗0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003217+0.23%0.00293-8.72%0.0925✗0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.003029+0.12%0.00321+6.12%0.0730✓0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.002568+0.31%0.003025+18.16%0.1497✓1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.002551+0.25%0.00256+0.59%0.0105✓0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.002789+0.15%0.002545-8.62%0.0966✗0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.002839-0.03%0.002785-1.94%0.0107✗0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.002685+0.01%0.00284+5.77%0.0416✓0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002705+0.00%0.002685-0.74%0.0133✗0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.002863-0.07%0.002705-5.58%0.0515✓0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.003053-0.08%0.002865-6.22%0.0793✓1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.002953-0.08%0.003055+3.38%0.0256✗0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.003034-0.19%0.002955-2.80%0.0105✓0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.003044+0.12%0.00304+0.00%0.0729✗1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.003104+0.14%0.00304-1.94%0.0824✗1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.003042+0.08%0.0031+1.97%0.0710✗1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.003228-0.05%0.00304-5.88%0.0639✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.003038-0.06%0.00323+6.25%0.0315✗1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.003078-0.05%0.00304-1.30%0.0093✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.002927+0.07%0.00308+5.30%0.0502✓1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002927+0.08%0.002925+0.00%0.0076✓1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.003186-0.11%0.002925-8.31%0.0858✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002946+0.04%0.00319+8.32%0.0809✓0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003417-0.22%0.002945-14.01%0.1475✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.003039-0.02%0.003425+12.66%0.1204✗0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.003089-0.05%0.00304-1.62%0.0158✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.003304-0.19%0.00309-6.65%0.0669✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003704-0.57%0.00331-11.14%0.1130✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.004747-4.68%0.003725-25.20%0.2422✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.003+0.33%0.00498+66.56%0.5081✓-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.003188+0.26%0.00299-5.97%0.0629✗-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.003298+0.24%0.00318-3.34%0.0364✗-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.003259+0.28%0.00329+1.23%0.0113✓-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.003144+0.46%0.00325+3.83%0.0329✓-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.003226+0.35%0.00313-2.64%0.0359✗-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003457+0.20%0.003215-6.81%0.0696✗-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.003636+0.16%0.00345-4.96%0.0523✗-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.003658+0.21%0.00363-0.55%0.0070✗-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.003785+0.12%0.00365-3.44%0.0428✗-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.003703+0.22%0.00378+2.30%0.0244✓-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.003701+0.29%0.003695+0.14%0.0010✓-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.003842+0.18%0.00369-3.78%0.0436✗-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.004004+0.09%0.003835-4.13%0.0467✗-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.003986+0.15%0.004+0.50%0.0020✓-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.00389+0.26%0.00398+2.58%0.0269✓-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.004119+0.21%0.00388-5.60%0.0580✗-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.004077+0.29%0.00411+1.11%0.0078✓-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.004228+0.30%0.004065-3.56%0.0365✗-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.004336+0.36%0.004215-2.43%0.0279✗-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.004541+0.25%0.00432-4.64%0.0539✗-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.00371+0.54%0.00453+22.76%0.1987✓-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.004123+0.56%0.00369-10.00%0.1069✗-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.004268+0.54%0.0041-3.42%0.0431✗-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.004379+0.55%0.004245-2.53%0.0313✗-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.004742+0.48%0.004355-7.73%0.0869✗-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.005354+0.45%0.00472-11.44%0.1224✗-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.00495+0.62%0.00533+8.33%0.0776✓-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.006258+0.28%0.00492-21.15%0.2472✗-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.007435+0.07%0.00624-16.02%0.1796✗-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.008105-0.06%0.00743-8.38%0.0856✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.007796-0.05%0.00811+3.97%0.0411✗-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.008249-0.19%0.0078-5.63%0.0542✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.008534-0.30%0.008265-3.45%0.0290✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007906-0.05%0.00856+8.22%0.0855✗-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.008571-0.34%0.00791-8.02%0.0763✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.009038-0.57%0.0086-5.39%0.0556✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.007126+0.23%0.00909+27.85%0.2466✓-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.00781-0.13%0.00711-9.08%0.0963✓-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.008076-0.29%0.00782-3.46%0.0326✓-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007971-0.30%0.0081+1.31%0.0176✗-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.007857-0.29%0.007995+1.46%0.0129✗-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.00857-0.46%0.00788-8.48%0.0913✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.008941-0.54%0.00861-4.23%0.0442✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.008637-0.61%0.00899+3.45%0.0436✗-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.009464-0.69%0.00869-8.81%0.0905✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.009078-0.73%0.00953+4.21%0.0524✗-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.008869-0.68%0.009145+2.41%0.0335✗-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.009624-0.88%0.00893-8.03%0.0838✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.010076-1.02%0.00971-4.62%0.0430✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.009469-0.95%0.01018+6.49%0.0697✗-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.008344-0.66%0.00956+13.81%0.1387✗-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.009363-1.13%0.0084-11.30%0.1037✓-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.007453-0.49%0.00947+26.44%0.2441✗-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.007364-0.49%0.00749+1.22%0.0169✗-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.007504-0.47%0.0074-1.86%0.0031✓-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.006513-0.26%0.00754+15.47%0.1452✗-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.007164-0.51%0.00653-9.31%0.1010✓-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.007774-0.71%0.0072-8.05%0.0785✓-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.008021-0.73%0.00783-3.09%0.0053✓-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.007845-0.57%0.00808+2.41%0.0282✗-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.008781-0.67%0.00789-10.75%0.1320✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.009021-0.76%0.00884-2.75%0.0216✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.009653-0.99%0.00909-6.77%0.0720✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.012262-2.14%0.00975-22.19%0.3082✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.009272-1.20%0.01253+33.51%0.2730✗-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.008783-1.42%0.009385+5.33%0.0640✗-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.010694-2.78%0.00891-19.00%0.1783✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.00722-0.96%0.011+50.89%0.4196✗-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.007457-0.90%0.00729-3.12%0.0298✓-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.007591-1.03%0.007525-1.89%0.0225✓-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.008834-1.07%0.00767-14.11%0.1472✓-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.009853-1.12%0.00893-10.39%0.0974✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.010528-1.15%0.009965-6.43%0.0544✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.012039-1.11%0.01065-12.53%0.1215✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.013646-1.33%0.012175-11.97%0.1185✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.013027-1.38%0.01383+4.69%0.0599✗-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.017397-1.74%0.01321-25.39%0.2746✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.01966-4.33%0.017705-13.84%0.1044✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.016958-2.76%0.02055+17.83%0.1939✗0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.017528-3.80%0.01744-4.28%0.0024✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.020663-8.93%0.01822-19.70%0.1230✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.016037-6.71%0.02269+32.00%0.3575✗0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.01902-12.83%0.01719-21.22%0.1108✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.006408-5.56%0.02182+221.59%1.2422✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.004255-3.30%0.006785+54.20%0.4871✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002447+0.30%0.0044+80.33%0.5952✓1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002436+0.24%0.00244+0.41%0.0261✗1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002386+0.26%0.00243+2.10%0.0092✓1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002275+0.24%0.00238+4.85%0.0415✓1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002245+0.24%0.00227+1.34%0.0391✓1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.002361+0.24%0.00224-4.88%0.0588✗0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.002305+0.23%0.002355+2.39%0.0087✓0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.002416+0.24%0.0023-4.56%0.0649✗0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002486+0.26%0.00241-2.82%0.0297✗0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002425+0.22%0.00248+2.48%0.0168✓0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.002651+0.22%0.00242-8.51%0.1156✗0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.002751+0.23%0.002645-3.64%0.0465✗0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.002954+0.14%0.002745-6.95%0.0661✗0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.002925+0.16%0.00295+1.03%0.0221✓0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.003118-0.06%0.00292-6.41%0.0490✓0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.002742-0.29%0.00312+13.45%0.1165✗0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.003273+0.09%0.00275-15.90%0.1764✗0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.003365+0.15%0.00327-2.68%0.0184✗0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003448+0.10%0.00336-2.47%0.0269✗0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.003275+0.14%0.003445+5.35%0.0278✓0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003561+0.02%0.00327-8.15%0.0913✗0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.003548+0.07%0.00356+0.42%0.0224✗0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.003477+0.07%0.003545+2.01%0.0443✓0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.00353-0.01%0.003475-1.56%0.0020✗0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.003836-0.10%0.00353-8.07%0.1089✓1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.003603-0.06%0.00384+6.52%0.0593✗1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003579-0.02%0.003605+0.70%0.0016✓1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003538-0.07%0.00358+1.13%0.0155✗1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.004005-0.25%0.00354-11.83%0.1791✓1.10
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