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WARD

Warden · Base · lstm_s4

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
753
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
221
of 251 predictions shown
direction hit
78.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.5937
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0458
actual -0.2476

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos0.0027350.002708-1.00%–pending––1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002707-0.49%–pending––1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.002716-0.34%–pending––1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.003014-1.98%–pending––1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002652-1.58%–pending––0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002653-1.55%–pending––0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.002703-1.55%–pending––0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002714-1.84%–pending––0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.002801-1.21%–pending––0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002709-1.50%–pending––0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.002796-1.04%–pending––0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002806-1.20%–pending––0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002764-0.93%–pending––0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002729-0.60%–pending––0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002891+0.03%–pending––0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002965+0.86%–pending––0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.003262+0.37%–pending––0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003165+1.13%–pending––0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.003046+0.52%–pending––0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.002956+0.90%–pending––0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.003021+0.37%–pending––0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002966+0.20%–pending––0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002938+0.80%–pending––0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.003027+0.90%–pending––0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.003172+1.02%–pending––0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003406-0.41%–pending––0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002941+1.57%–pending––0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002868+2.41%–pending––1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.002921+2.85%–pending––1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.003106+5.46%–pending––0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.003091+6.78%0.002735-5.53%0.0759✗1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.002551+1.22%0.00272+7.94%0.0456✓0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002676+1.74%0.002725+3.61%0.0118✓0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.00294+1.55%0.003075+6.22%0.0324✓0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002644-0.60%0.002695+1.32%0.0341✓0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002382-0.74%0.002695+12.29%0.0664✗0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.002436-0.76%0.002745+11.81%0.0465✗0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.002551+0.25%0.002765+8.64%0.0423✓0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.002577-0.12%0.002835+9.88%0.0267✗0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002711+0.42%0.00275+1.85%0.0363✗0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.002769+0.89%0.002825+2.91%0.0468✗0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002637+1.24%0.00284+9.02%0.0019✓0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.002949+3.10%0.00279-2.45%0.1006✗0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002778+2.14%0.002745+0.92%0.0457✗0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.0027+2.84%0.00289+10.10%0.0260✓0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.002806+4.88%0.00294+9.91%0.0078✓0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.002893+5.41%0.00325+18.40%0.0529✓0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002784+5.64%0.00313+18.79%0.0489✓0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.003105+7.80%0.00303+5.21%0.0573✓0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.003065+4.61%0.00293+0.00%0.1282✗0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003388+5.55%0.00301-6.23%0.2037✗0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.003239+7.08%0.00296-2.15%0.1513✗0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.002682+4.77%0.002915+13.87%0.0083✓1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.002694+5.85%0.003+17.88%0.0447✓0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.002947+5.80%0.00314+12.75%0.0162✓0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.003065+7.91%0.00342+20.42%0.0607✓0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.002886+7.50%0.002895+7.82%0.0543✓0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002913+7.71%0.0028+3.51%0.1063✗0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.003085+7.67%0.00284-0.87%0.1431✗0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.003274+7.17%0.002945-3.60%0.2090✗1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.003156+6.81%0.002895-2.03%0.2008✗0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.003278+7.84%0.00252-17.11%0.2977✗0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.003147+3.52%0.00263-13.49%0.2884✗1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.0031+0.01%0.002895-6.61%0.2506✗1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.002982-1.90%0.00266-12.50%0.3300✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.003131-3.05%0.0024-25.70%0.4651✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.002948-3.01%0.002455-19.24%0.3957✓1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.002985-3.09%0.002545-17.37%0.4020✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.002853-2.48%0.00258-11.79%0.3231✓1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002853-2.46%0.0027-7.69%0.2902✓1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.003067-3.84%0.002745-13.95%0.2960✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002862-2.82%0.002605-11.54%0.2301✓0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003251-5.07%0.00286-16.50%0.1702✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.00294-3.28%0.00272-10.53%0.0906✓0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.002984-3.42%0.002625-15.05%0.1290✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.003176-4.06%0.002675-19.18%0.1739✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003514-5.67%0.002745-26.31%0.2611✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.004103-17.62%0.002635-47.09%0.4520✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.002884-3.55%0.00288-3.68%0.0339✓-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.003048-4.15%0.00293-7.86%0.0121✓-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.003143-4.46%0.00321-2.43%0.0457✗-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.003099-4.65%0.003025-6.92%0.0117✓-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.003012-3.77%0.00256-18.21%0.1282✓-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.003079-4.22%0.002545-20.84%0.1549✓-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003278-4.98%0.002785-19.28%0.1175✓-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.003456-4.80%0.00284-21.76%0.1418✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.003487-4.48%0.002685-26.44%0.2132✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.003617-4.32%0.002705-28.44%0.2429✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.003543-4.10%0.002865-22.46%0.1635✓-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.003552-3.73%0.003055-17.21%0.1175✓-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.003684-3.94%0.002955-22.95%0.1835✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.003837-4.07%0.00304-24.00%0.1936✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.003826-3.86%0.00304-23.62%0.2083✓-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.003737-3.68%0.0031-20.10%0.1745✓-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.003948-3.95%0.00304-26.03%0.2613✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.003914-3.72%0.00323-20.54%0.1930✓-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.004049-3.94%0.00304-27.88%0.2898✓-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.004152-3.89%0.00308-28.70%0.3008✓-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.004315-4.76%0.002925-35.43%0.3961✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.003573-3.18%0.002925-20.73%0.2060✓-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.003972-3.12%0.00319-22.20%0.2176✓-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.004112-3.12%0.002945-30.62%0.3343✓-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.004224-3.00%0.003425-21.35%0.2090✓-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.00456-3.39%0.00304-35.59%0.4022✓-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.005157-3.24%0.00309-42.03%0.5058✓-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.004797-2.50%0.00331-32.72%0.3606✓-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.006064-2.82%0.003725-40.30%0.4816✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.007277-2.06%0.00498-32.97%0.3754✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.007868-2.99%0.00299-63.13%0.9661✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.007559-3.09%0.00318-59.23%0.8647✓-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.007901-4.41%0.00329-60.19%0.8729✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.008079-5.62%0.00325-62.03%0.9069✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007561-4.41%0.00313-60.43%0.8708✓-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.008044-6.46%0.003215-62.62%0.9010✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.008381-7.80%0.00345-62.05%0.8748✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.006792-4.47%0.00363-48.95%0.6063✓-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.007369-5.77%0.00365-53.32%0.6840✓-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.007559-6.68%0.00378-53.33%0.6676✓-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007447-6.86%0.003695-53.78%0.6785✓-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.007334-6.93%0.00369-53.17%0.6764✓-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.007957-7.58%0.003835-55.46%0.7196✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.008273-7.97%0.004-55.51%0.7165✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.007965-8.34%0.00398-54.20%0.6778✓-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.008683-8.89%0.00388-59.29%0.8004✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.008313-9.10%0.00411-55.06%0.6983✓-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.008123-9.04%0.004065-54.48%0.6830✓-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.008764-9.75%0.004215-56.59%0.7351✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.009146-10.16%0.00432-57.56%0.7595✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.008621-9.82%0.00453-52.62%0.6500✓-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.007647-8.97%0.00369-56.07%0.7321✓-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.008424-11.04%0.0041-56.71%0.7284✓-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.006799-9.22%0.004245-43.32%0.4700✓-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.006708-9.35%0.004355-41.15%0.4309✓-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.006825-9.49%0.00472-37.40%0.3550✓-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.00595-8.89%0.00533-18.38%0.1025✓-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.006503-9.68%0.00492-31.67%0.2839✓-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.00703-10.22%0.00624-20.31%0.1190✓-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.007242-10.37%0.00743-8.04%0.0496✓-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.007114-9.84%0.00811+2.79%0.1485✗-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.007975-9.79%0.0078-11.76%0.0285✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.008187-9.94%0.008265-9.08%0.0007✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.008753-10.22%0.00856-12.21%0.0462✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.010991-12.28%0.00791-36.87%0.5317✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.008348-11.04%0.0086-8.36%0.1766✓-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.007876-11.61%0.00909+2.02%0.0310✓-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.009472-13.89%0.00711-35.36%0.4487✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.00641-12.07%0.00782+7.27%0.0560✓-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.006636-11.82%0.0081+7.64%0.0603✓-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.006716-12.43%0.007995+4.24%0.0105✓-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.007858-12.00%0.00788-11.76%0.0717✓-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.008798-11.71%0.00861-13.60%0.0776✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.009426-11.49%0.00899-15.59%0.0696✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.010851-10.88%0.00869-28.62%0.2350✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.012322-10.90%0.00953-31.09%0.2875✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.011769-10.91%0.009145-30.77%0.2799✓-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.015742-11.09%0.00893-49.56%0.5830✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.017517-14.76%0.00971-52.75%0.5658✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.015308-12.22%0.01018-41.63%0.3585✓0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.015755-13.53%0.00956-47.53%0.4516✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.017581-22.52%0.0084-62.98%0.6946✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.014006-18.52%0.00947-44.91%0.2959✓0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.015199-30.35%0.00749-65.67%0.6121✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.005787-14.72%0.0074+9.06%0.5130✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.003955-10.11%0.00754+71.36%1.0256✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002435-0.19%0.00653+167.62%1.4132✗1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002405-1.03%0.0072+196.30%1.4575✗1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002357-0.96%0.00783+228.99%1.5639✗1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002231-1.70%0.00808+255.95%1.7023✗1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002207-1.47%0.00789+252.23%1.7319✗1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.002333-0.92%0.00884+275.37%1.5621✗0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.002271-1.28%0.00909+295.22%1.5992✗0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.002379-1.27%0.00975+304.56%1.5689✗0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002459-0.83%0.01253+405.24%1.7231✗0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002387-1.35%0.009385+287.81%1.4280✗0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.002618-1.01%0.00891+236.86%1.2579✗0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.002727-0.67%0.011+300.73%1.4263✗0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.002936-0.49%0.00729+147.12%0.9463✗0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.002934+0.47%0.007525+157.71%0.9819✓0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.003172+1.67%0.00767+145.83%0.9195✓0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.00274-0.37%0.00893+224.73%1.1865✗0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.003256-0.44%0.009965+204.74%1.1248✗0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.003377+0.52%0.01065+216.96%1.1690✓0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003444-0.03%0.012175+253.41%1.2978✗0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.003249-0.64%0.01383+322.94%1.4336✗0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003516-1.23%0.01321+271.07%1.3035✗0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.003495-1.42%0.017705+399.44%1.5856✗0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.00344-1.02%0.02055+491.37%1.7721✗0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.003515-0.43%0.01744+394.05%1.5978✗0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.003735-2.73%0.01822+374.48%1.5459✗1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.003515-2.49%0.02269+529.40%1.8097✗1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003489-2.53%0.01719+380.17%1.5056✗1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003451-2.53%0.02182+516.38%1.7811✗1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.003783-5.79%0.006785+68.99%0.4431✗1.10
2026-04-11oos0.0041150.003852-6.40%0.0044+6.93%0.0078✓1.12
2026-04-10oos0.0040450.003803-5.97%0.00244-39.68%0.5769✓1.12
2026-04-09oos0.003850.003658-4.99%0.00243-36.88%0.5372✓1.10
2026-04-08oos0.004030.003784-6.11%0.00238-40.94%0.5965✓1.10
2026-04-07oos0.0043550.004005-8.04%0.00227-47.88%0.6851✓1.10
2026-04-06oos0.0037850.003604-4.78%0.00224-40.82%0.6450✓1.01
2026-04-05oos0.004090.003807-6.92%0.002355-42.42%0.6408✓1.01
2026-04-04oos0.00420.003881-7.59%0.0023-45.24%0.6960✓1.01
2026-04-03oos0.0041250.003857-6.49%0.00241-41.58%0.6307✓1.00
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