UPROBINHOOD

? · · lstm_s4

token id: #949
symbol: UPROBINHOOD
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-11
predictions: 189

Track record at +7d

assessed

56

of 63 predictions shown

direction hit

73.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4409

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0266

actual +0.0621

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.276795	0.272759	-1.46%	–	pending	–	–	2.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.277585	0.273128	-1.61%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.24885	0.247603	-0.50%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-18	oos	0.21966	0.220295	+0.29%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.23107	0.231199	+0.06%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.28208	0.275882	-2.20%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-15	oos	0.279945	0.273493	-2.30%	–	pending	–	–	2.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.27437	0.268805	-2.03%	0.276795	+0.88%	0.0028	✓	2.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.297375	0.287279	-3.40%	0.277585	-6.65%	0.0298	✓	2.31
2026-10-12	oos	0.198445	0.202042	+1.81%	0.24885	+25.40%	0.2059	✓	2.16
2026-10-11	oos	0.23632	0.235653	-0.28%	0.21966	-7.05%	0.0287	✓	2.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.20848	0.211694	+1.54%	0.23107	+10.84%	0.1256	✓	2.04
2026-10-09	oos	0.20578	0.209796	+1.95%	0.28208	+37.08%	0.3220	✓	2.04
2026-10-08	oos	0.19801	0.203061	+2.55%	0.279945	+41.38%	0.3104	✓	2.03
2026-10-07	oos	0.22919	0.231506	+1.01%	0.27437	+19.71%	0.2105	✓	1.96
2026-10-06	oos	0.24363	0.243518	-0.05%	0.297375	+22.06%	0.2566	✗	1.96
2026-10-05	oos	0.266405	0.263214	-1.20%	0.198445	-25.51%	0.1894	✓	1.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.28781	0.282546	-1.83%	0.23632	-17.89%	0.1148	✓	1.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.290305	0.285176	-1.77%	0.20848	-28.19%	0.2709	✓	1.94
2026-10-02	oos	0.27341	0.269714	-1.35%	0.20578	-24.74%	0.2249	✓	1.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.29989	0.293766	-2.04%	0.19801	-33.97%	0.3216	✓	1.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.40591	0.394557	-2.80%	0.22919	-43.54%	0.5364	✓	2.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.39374	0.382943	-2.74%	0.24363	-38.12%	0.4982	✓	2.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.291185	0.285918	-1.81%	0.266405	-8.51%	0.1272	✓	2.08
2026-09-27	oos	0.31507	0.308087	-2.22%	0.28781	-8.65%	0.1173	✓	2.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.36447	0.355072	-2.58%	0.290305	-20.35%	0.2092	✓	2.03
2026-09-25	oos	0.33586	0.327464	-2.50%	0.27341	-18.59%	0.1903	✓	2.04
2026-09-24	oos	0.33996	0.331075	-2.61%	0.29989	-11.79%	0.1101	✓	2.04
2026-09-23	oos	0.39528	0.384438	-2.74%	0.40591	+2.69%	0.0740	✗	2.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.482965	0.468311	-3.03%	0.39374	-18.47%	0.1180	✓	1.84
2026-09-21	oos	0.55709	0.536882	-3.63%	0.291185	-47.73%	0.5462	✓	1.78
2026-09-20	oos	0.46212	0.446639	-3.35%	0.31507	-31.82%	0.4126	✓	1.60
2026-09-19	oos	0.485615	0.468074	-3.61%	0.36447	-24.95%	0.3109	✓	1.58
2026-09-18	oos	0.58476	0.556802	-4.78%	0.33586	-42.56%	0.5665	✓	1.56
2026-09-17	oos	0.47322	0.45368	-4.13%	0.33996	-28.16%	0.4149	✓	1.26
2026-09-16	oos	0.37378	0.362715	-2.96%	0.39528	+5.75%	0.0464	✓	1.29
2026-09-15	oos	0.318955	0.311201	-2.43%	0.482965	+51.42%	0.2725	✗	1.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.37084	0.359821	-2.97%	0.55709	+50.22%	0.3300	✗	1.05
2026-09-13	oos	0.379015	0.36751	-3.04%	0.46212	+21.93%	0.1698	✗	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.353985	0.343327	-3.01%	0.485615	+37.19%	0.2904	✗	1.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.382085	0.369473	-3.30%	0.58476	+53.04%	0.4081	✗	1.10
2026-09-10	oos	0.396465	0.382789	-3.45%	0.47322	+19.36%	0.2148	✗	1.11
2026-09-09	oos	0.41882	0.403317	-3.70%	0.37378	-10.75%	0.0484	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.50196	0.482047	-3.97%	0.318955	-36.46%	0.3758	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.55791	0.534759	-4.15%	0.37084	-33.53%	0.3544	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.679235	0.648192	-4.57%	0.379015	-44.20%	0.4916	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.790295	0.750036	-5.09%	0.353985	-55.21%	0.7182	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.63101	0.6022	-4.57%	0.382085	-39.45%	0.4235	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.76968	0.728973	-5.29%	0.396465	-48.49%	0.5491	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.838135	0.786996	-6.10%	0.41882	-50.03%	0.6433	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.87428	0.809086	-7.46%	0.50196	-42.59%	0.4909	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.91438	0.80888	-11.54%	0.55791	-38.98%	0.3782	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.52462	0.482358	-8.06%	0.679235	+29.47%	0.3084	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.32435	0.311034	-4.11%	0.790295	+143.66%	0.9123	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.24126	0.237572	-1.53%	0.63101	+161.55%	0.9535	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.26469	0.26438	-0.12%	0.76968	+190.79%	1.0563	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.37223	0.342966	-7.86%	0.838135	+125.17%	0.9155	✗	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.15754	0.16038	+1.80%	0.87428	+454.96%	1.7103	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.19865	0.20213	+1.75%	0.91438	+360.30%	1.5147	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.1409	0.142751	+1.31%	0.52462	+272.33%	1.3024	✓	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.0851	0.084661	-0.52%	0.32435	+281.14%	1.3280	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.1107	0.112258	+1.41%	0.24126	+117.94%	0.7713	✓	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.1054	0.101307	-3.88%	0.26469	+151.13%	0.8656	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.