UPROBINHOOD

? · · lstm_s4

token id: #949
symbol: UPROBINHOOD
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-11
predictions: 189

Track record at +1d

assessed

62

of 63 predictions shown

direction hit

62.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1481

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0088

actual +0.0133

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.276795	0.275845	-0.34%	–	pending	–	–	2.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.277585	0.276655	-0.34%	0.276795	-0.28%	0.0074	✗	2.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.24885	0.248804	-0.02%	0.277585	+11.55%	0.0785	✗	2.32
2026-10-18	oos	0.21966	0.22012	+0.21%	0.24885	+13.29%	0.1275	✓	2.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.23107	0.231402	+0.14%	0.21966	-4.94%	0.0701	✗	2.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.28208	0.280595	-0.53%	0.23107	-18.08%	0.1908	✓	2.32
2026-10-15	oos	0.279945	0.278334	-0.58%	0.28208	+0.76%	0.0312	✗	2.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.27437	0.273009	-0.50%	0.279945	+2.03%	0.0092	✗	2.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.297375	0.294156	-1.08%	0.27437	-7.74%	0.0265	✓	2.31
2026-10-12	oos	0.198445	0.199596	+0.58%	0.297375	+49.85%	0.3631	✓	2.16
2026-10-11	oos	0.23632	0.236569	+0.11%	0.198445	-16.03%	0.1275	✗	2.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.20848	0.209621	+0.55%	0.23632	+13.35%	0.1011	✓	2.04
2026-10-09	oos	0.20578	0.207055	+0.62%	0.20848	+1.31%	0.0022	✓	2.04
2026-10-08	oos	0.19801	0.199406	+0.71%	0.20578	+3.92%	0.0104	✓	2.03
2026-10-07	oos	0.22919	0.230222	+0.45%	0.19801	-13.60%	0.1132	✗	1.96
2026-10-06	oos	0.24363	0.244161	+0.22%	0.22919	-5.93%	0.0106	✗	1.96
2026-10-05	oos	0.266405	0.266231	-0.07%	0.24363	-8.55%	0.0840	✓	1.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.28781	0.28704	-0.27%	0.266405	-7.44%	0.0577	✓	1.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.290305	0.289654	-0.22%	0.28781	-0.86%	0.0464	✓	1.94
2026-10-02	oos	0.27341	0.273161	-0.09%	0.290305	+6.18%	0.0554	✗	1.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.29989	0.298894	-0.33%	0.27341	-8.83%	0.0813	✓	1.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.40591	0.403085	-0.70%	0.29989	-26.12%	0.3270	✓	2.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.39374	0.391136	-0.66%	0.40591	+3.09%	0.0391	✗	2.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.291185	0.290586	-0.21%	0.39374	+35.22%	0.2993	✗	2.08
2026-09-27	oos	0.31507	0.313975	-0.35%	0.291185	-7.58%	0.0507	✓	2.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.36447	0.362493	-0.54%	0.31507	-13.55%	0.1413	✓	2.03
2026-09-25	oos	0.33586	0.334377	-0.44%	0.36447	+8.52%	0.0784	✗	2.04
2026-09-24	oos	0.33996	0.33831	-0.49%	0.33586	-1.21%	0.0002	✓	2.04
2026-09-23	oos	0.39528	0.392922	-0.60%	0.33996	-14.00%	0.1450	✓	2.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.482965	0.479134	-0.79%	0.39528	-18.16%	0.1532	✓	1.84
2026-09-21	oos	0.55709	0.550882	-1.11%	0.482965	-13.31%	0.1234	✓	1.78
2026-09-20	oos	0.46212	0.457974	-0.90%	0.55709	+20.55%	0.0925	✗	1.60
2026-09-19	oos	0.485615	0.480496	-1.05%	0.46212	-4.84%	0.0376	✓	1.58
2026-09-18	oos	0.58476	0.574322	-1.79%	0.485615	-16.95%	0.1747	✓	1.56
2026-09-17	oos	0.47322	0.467112	-1.29%	0.58476	+23.57%	0.1519	✗	1.26
2026-09-16	oos	0.37378	0.371495	-0.61%	0.47322	+26.60%	0.2386	✗	1.29
2026-09-15	oos	0.318955	0.317767	-0.37%	0.37378	+17.19%	0.1530	✗	1.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.37084	0.368613	-0.60%	0.318955	-13.99%	0.1094	✓	1.05
2026-09-13	oos	0.379015	0.376681	-0.62%	0.37084	-2.16%	0.0347	✓	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.353985	0.351891	-0.59%	0.379015	+7.07%	0.0810	✗	1.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.382085	0.379333	-0.72%	0.353985	-7.35%	0.0699	✓	1.10
2026-09-10	oos	0.396465	0.393394	-0.77%	0.382085	-3.63%	0.0388	✓	1.11
2026-09-09	oos	0.41882	0.415052	-0.90%	0.396465	-5.34%	0.0232	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.50196	0.496478	-1.09%	0.41882	-16.56%	0.1680	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.55791	0.551007	-1.24%	0.50196	-10.03%	0.0851	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.679235	0.668604	-1.57%	0.55791	-17.86%	0.1653	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.790295	0.774942	-1.94%	0.679235	-14.05%	0.1382	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.63101	0.620973	-1.59%	0.790295	+25.24%	0.2392	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.76968	0.753051	-2.16%	0.63101	-18.02%	0.1571	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.838135	0.814571	-2.81%	0.76968	-8.17%	0.1066	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.87428	0.838168	-4.13%	0.838135	-4.13%	0.0011	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.91438	0.841775	-7.94%	0.87428	-4.39%	0.0528	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.52462	0.501379	-4.43%	0.91438	+74.29%	0.5894	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.32435	0.319393	-1.53%	0.52462	+61.75%	0.5036	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.24126	0.240058	-0.50%	0.32435	+34.44%	0.2959	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.26469	0.263486	-0.45%	0.24126	-8.85%	0.0573	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.37223	0.354428	-4.78%	0.26469	-28.89%	0.3076	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.15754	0.157576	+0.02%	0.37223	+136.28%	0.8533	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.19865	0.198339	-0.16%	0.15754	-20.69%	0.2245	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.1409	0.140897	-0.00%	0.19865	+40.99%	0.3275	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.0851	0.085139	+0.05%	0.1409	+65.57%	0.4950	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.1107	0.110862	+0.15%	0.0851	-23.13%	0.2481	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.1054	0.104368	-0.98%	0.1107	+5.03%	0.0114	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.