UPROBINHOOD

? · · lstm_s4

token id: #949
symbol: UPROBINHOOD
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-11
predictions: 189

Track record at +30d

assessed

33

of 63 predictions shown

direction hit

90.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.6576

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.1093

actual -0.3070

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.276795	0.262915	-5.01%	–	pending	–	–	2.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.277585	0.262498	-5.44%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.24885	0.241229	-3.06%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-18	oos	0.21966	0.215328	-1.97%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.23107	0.22567	-2.34%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.28208	0.262258	-7.03%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-15	oos	0.279945	0.259632	-7.26%	–	pending	–	–	2.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.27437	0.256169	-6.63%	–	pending	–	–	2.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.297375	0.268463	-9.72%	–	pending	–	–	2.31
2026-10-12	oos	0.198445	0.194931	-1.77%	–	pending	–	–	2.16
2026-10-11	oos	0.23632	0.227036	-3.93%	–	pending	–	–	2.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.20848	0.203626	-2.33%	–	pending	–	–	2.04
2026-10-09	oos	0.20578	0.201307	-2.17%	–	pending	–	–	2.04
2026-10-08	oos	0.19801	0.194442	-1.80%	–	pending	–	–	2.03
2026-10-07	oos	0.22919	0.222136	-3.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.96
2026-10-06	oos	0.24363	0.233254	-4.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.96
2026-10-05	oos	0.266405	0.250051	-6.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.28781	0.266886	-7.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.290305	0.268644	-7.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.94
2026-10-02	oos	0.27341	0.254406	-6.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.29989	0.275475	-8.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.40591	0.370299	-8.77%	–	pending	–	–	2.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.39374	0.359249	-8.76%	–	pending	–	–	2.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.291185	0.267356	-8.18%	–	pending	–	–	2.08
2026-09-27	oos	0.31507	0.28736	-8.79%	–	pending	–	–	2.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.36447	0.332393	-8.80%	–	pending	–	–	2.03
2026-09-25	oos	0.33586	0.30488	-9.22%	–	pending	–	–	2.04
2026-09-24	oos	0.33996	0.308055	-9.39%	–	pending	–	–	2.04
2026-09-23	oos	0.39528	0.360179	-8.88%	–	pending	–	–	2.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.482965	0.439201	-9.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.84
2026-09-21	oos	0.55709	0.499689	-10.30%	0.276795	-50.31%	0.5088	✓	1.78
2026-09-20	oos	0.46212	0.415536	-10.08%	0.277585	-39.93%	0.4380	✓	1.60
2026-09-19	oos	0.485615	0.434257	-10.58%	0.24885	-48.76%	0.5685	✓	1.58
2026-09-18	oos	0.58476	0.508848	-12.98%	0.21966	-62.44%	0.8618	✓	1.56
2026-09-17	oos	0.47322	0.415612	-12.17%	0.23107	-51.17%	0.6676	✓	1.26
2026-09-16	oos	0.37378	0.334046	-10.63%	0.28208	-24.53%	0.2567	✓	1.29
2026-09-15	oos	0.318955	0.287413	-9.89%	0.279945	-12.23%	0.1318	✓	1.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.37084	0.331037	-10.73%	0.27437	-26.01%	0.2322	✓	1.05
2026-09-13	oos	0.379015	0.337514	-10.95%	0.297375	-21.54%	0.2113	✓	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.353985	0.314992	-11.02%	0.198445	-43.94%	0.5253	✓	1.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.382085	0.337957	-11.55%	0.23632	-38.15%	0.4462	✓	1.10
2026-09-10	oos	0.396465	0.349672	-11.80%	0.20848	-47.42%	0.6057	✓	1.11
2026-09-09	oos	0.41882	0.367952	-12.15%	0.20578	-50.87%	0.6341	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.50196	0.4412	-12.10%	0.19801	-60.55%	0.8417	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.55791	0.4902	-12.14%	0.22919	-58.92%	0.8118	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.679235	0.593199	-12.67%	0.24363	-64.13%	0.9526	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.790295	0.682815	-13.60%	0.266405	-66.29%	1.0127	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.63101	0.551908	-12.54%	0.28781	-54.39%	0.7334	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.76968	0.663546	-13.79%	0.290305	-62.28%	0.8686	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.838135	0.709656	-15.33%	0.27341	-67.38%	1.0428	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.87428	0.721719	-17.45%	0.29989	-65.70%	0.9701	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.91438	0.684903	-25.10%	0.40591	-55.61%	0.5848	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.52462	0.42481	-19.03%	0.39374	-24.95%	0.1500	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.32435	0.288808	-10.96%	0.291185	-10.23%	0.0564	✓	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.24126	0.230248	-4.56%	0.31507	+30.59%	0.2320	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.26469	0.264892	+0.08%	0.36447	+37.70%	0.2688	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.37223	0.307138	-17.49%	0.33586	-9.77%	0.0273	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.15754	0.164415	+4.36%	0.33996	+115.79%	0.6545	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.19865	0.208205	+4.81%	0.39528	+98.98%	0.5750	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.1409	0.145151	+3.02%	0.482965	+242.77%	1.0988	✓	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.0851	0.081285	-4.48%	0.55709	+554.63%	1.8080	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.1107	0.113463	+2.50%	0.46212	+317.45%	1.3688	✓	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.1054	0.092259	-12.47%	0.485615	+360.74%	1.5541	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.