SWM
Swarm · · lstm_s4
- token id
- #257
- symbol
- SWM
- variant
- –
- chain
- address
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-19
- predictions
- 168
Track record at +30d
assessed
26
of 56 predictions shown
direction hit
65.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2880
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1693
actual -0.1438
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.090935 | 0.08349 | -8.19% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.090825 | 0.084522 | -6.94% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.091445 | 0.084965 | -7.09% | – | pending | – | – | -1.56 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.09194 | 0.085326 | -7.19% | – | pending | – | – | -1.57 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.093595 | 0.086608 | -7.47% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.09361 | 0.086379 | -7.72% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.09504 | 0.087346 | -8.10% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.08869 | 0.081938 | -7.61% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.089875 | 0.082972 | -7.68% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.10361 | 0.094561 | -8.73% | – | pending | – | – | -1.69 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.100975 | 0.092051 | -8.84% | – | pending | – | – | -1.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.10023 | 0.091484 | -8.73% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.100065 | 0.091081 | -8.98% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.09889 | 0.089812 | -9.18% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.099015 | 0.089671 | -9.44% | – | pending | – | – | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.096365 | 0.08737 | -9.33% | – | pending | – | – | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.098365 | 0.089356 | -9.16% | – | pending | – | – | -1.83 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.084465 | 0.0767 | -9.19% | – | pending | – | – | -1.78 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.092855 | 0.084515 | -8.98% | – | pending | – | – | -1.84 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.090795 | 0.08227 | -9.39% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.09368 | 0.084866 | -9.41% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.095145 | 0.086254 | -9.34% | – | pending | – | – | -1.90 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.10818 | 0.097987 | -9.42% | – | pending | – | – | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.12674 | 0.113499 | -10.45% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.123535 | 0.110677 | -10.41% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.15819 | 0.130807 | -17.31% | – | pending | – | – | -2.09 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.127905 | 0.113059 | -11.61% | – | pending | – | – | -2.04 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.10542 | 0.094634 | -10.23% | – | pending | – | – | -2.03 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.10401 | 0.09334 | -10.26% | – | pending | – | – | -2.02 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.10388 | 0.093251 | -10.23% | – | pending | – | – | -2.02 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.094815 | 0.085843 | -9.46% | 0.090935 | -4.09% | 0.0125 | ✓ | -1.94 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.10284 | 0.093466 | -9.12% | 0.090825 | -11.68% | 0.0884 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.11312 | 0.101586 | -10.20% | 0.091445 | -19.16% | 0.0589 | ✓ | -2.13 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.11891 | 0.106314 | -10.59% | 0.09194 | -22.68% | 0.1294 | ✓ | -2.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.1196 | 0.10653 | -10.93% | 0.093595 | -21.74% | 0.0996 | ✓ | -2.15 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.12931 | 0.112669 | -12.87% | 0.09361 | -27.61% | 0.2492 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.14044 | 0.120045 | -14.52% | 0.09504 | -32.33% | 0.3015 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.129815 | 0.111891 | -13.81% | 0.08869 | -31.68% | 0.3154 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.15573 | 0.128306 | -17.61% | 0.089875 | -42.29% | 0.3985 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.156615 | 0.127196 | -18.78% | 0.10361 | -33.84% | 0.2840 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.18555 | 0.143368 | -22.73% | 0.100975 | -45.58% | 0.4069 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.196105 | 0.147073 | -25.00% | 0.10023 | -48.89% | 0.4639 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.18591 | 0.137515 | -26.03% | 0.100065 | -46.18% | 0.3979 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.1367 | 0.106167 | -22.34% | 0.09889 | -27.66% | 0.1240 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.13717 | 0.104502 | -23.82% | 0.099015 | -27.82% | 0.0945 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.117485 | 0.091587 | -22.04% | 0.096365 | -17.98% | 0.0007 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.102915 | 0.083222 | -19.14% | 0.098365 | -4.42% | 0.1045 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.07698 | 0.066536 | -13.57% | 0.084465 | +9.72% | 0.1671 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.07564 | 0.065809 | -13.00% | 0.092855 | +22.76% | 0.2620 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.07329 | 0.064847 | -11.52% | 0.090795 | +23.88% | 0.2947 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.07012 | 0.061208 | -12.71% | 0.09368 | +33.60% | 0.3366 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.06978 | 0.061171 | -12.34% | 0.095145 | +36.35% | 0.3498 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.06946 | 0.0614 | -11.60% | 0.10818 | +55.74% | 0.5048 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.07144 | 0.062516 | -12.49% | 0.12674 | +77.41% | 0.6326 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.07166 | 0.063023 | -12.05% | 0.123535 | +72.39% | 0.6084 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.07463 | 0.065399 | -12.37% | 0.15819 | +111.97% | 0.8016 | ✗ | 1.00 |