QUAI

Quai Network · native · lstm_s4

token id: #972
symbol: QUAI
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-09
predictions: 561

Track record at +7d

assessed

180

of 187 predictions shown

direction hit

73.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1499

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0172

actual -0.0675

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.007425	0.007357	-0.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.008005	0.007896	-1.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.00846	0.008319	-1.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-18	oos	0.008665	0.00852	-1.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.008945	0.008785	-1.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-16	oos	0.008945	0.008784	-1.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-15	oos	0.00905	0.008888	-1.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-14	oos	0.00887	0.008718	-1.72%	0.007425	-16.29%	0.1810	✓	0.69
2026-10-13	oos	0.00902	0.008856	-1.82%	0.008005	-11.25%	0.0998	✓	0.61
2026-10-12	oos	0.00913	0.00898	-1.64%	0.00846	-7.34%	0.0604	✓	0.64
2026-10-11	oos	0.009625	0.009466	-1.65%	0.008665	-9.97%	0.0686	✓	0.98
2026-10-10	oos	0.009735	0.009565	-1.74%	0.008945	-8.12%	0.0459	✓	1.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.00943	0.009288	-1.51%	0.008945	-5.14%	0.0225	✓	1.19
2026-10-08	oos	0.009405	0.009268	-1.45%	0.00905	-3.77%	0.0290	✓	0.99
2026-10-07	oos	0.00934	0.009223	-1.25%	0.00887	-5.03%	0.0185	✓	0.99
2026-10-06	oos	0.00993	0.009802	-1.29%	0.00902	-9.16%	0.0546	✓	0.99
2026-10-05	oos	0.010215	0.010073	-1.39%	0.00913	-10.62%	0.0535	✓	0.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.01106	0.010865	-1.76%	0.009625	-12.97%	0.0903	✓	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.011445	0.011193	-2.20%	0.009735	-14.94%	0.1188	✓	0.95
2026-10-02	oos	0.010955	0.010743	-1.93%	0.00943	-13.92%	0.1079	✓	0.96
2026-10-01	oos	0.01027	0.010116	-1.50%	0.009405	-8.42%	0.0359	✓	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	0.01042	0.010239	-1.74%	0.00934	-10.36%	0.0885	✓	1.01
2026-09-29	oos	0.010775	0.010557	-2.03%	0.00993	-7.84%	0.0797	✓	0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.01136	0.011106	-2.24%	0.010215	-10.08%	0.1113	✓	1.02
2026-09-27	oos	0.01082	0.010626	-1.79%	0.01106	+2.22%	0.0178	✓	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.011225	0.010999	-2.01%	0.011445	+1.96%	0.0363	✗	0.90
2026-09-25	oos	0.01026	0.010115	-1.41%	0.010955	+6.77%	0.0755	✗	0.87
2026-09-24	oos	0.01001	0.009894	-1.16%	0.01027	+2.60%	0.0325	✗	0.88
2026-09-23	oos	0.01013	0.010008	-1.21%	0.01042	+2.86%	0.0490	✗	0.88
2026-09-22	oos	0.00994	0.009877	-0.63%	0.010775	+8.40%	0.1158	✗	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.009705	0.009665	-0.41%	0.01136	+17.05%	0.1978	✗	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.008555	0.008453	-1.19%	0.01082	+26.48%	0.2106	✗	0.91
2026-09-19	oos	0.00871	0.00861	-1.15%	0.011225	+28.87%	0.2304	✗	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.0087	0.008596	-1.19%	0.01026	+17.93%	0.1428	✗	0.88
2026-09-17	oos	0.00864	0.008496	-1.67%	0.01001	+15.86%	0.0721	✗	0.92
2026-09-16	oos	0.00867	0.008531	-1.61%	0.01013	+16.84%	0.0791	✗	0.90
2026-09-15	oos	0.008835	0.008683	-1.72%	0.00994	+12.51%	0.0270	✗	0.82
2026-09-14	oos	0.00871	0.008579	-1.50%	0.009705	+11.42%	0.0368	✗	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.008925	0.008785	-1.57%	0.008555	-4.15%	0.0753	✓	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.009815	0.009638	-1.81%	0.00871	-11.26%	0.1440	✓	0.85
2026-09-11	oos	0.01011	0.009914	-1.94%	0.0087	-13.95%	0.1692	✓	0.83
2026-09-10	oos	0.01064	0.010404	-2.21%	0.00864	-18.80%	0.1838	✓	0.81
2026-09-09	oos	0.011305	0.011049	-2.26%	0.00867	-23.31%	0.2207	✓	0.79
2026-09-08	oos	0.01114	0.010889	-2.25%	0.008835	-20.69%	0.1802	✓	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.012835	0.012459	-2.93%	0.00871	-32.14%	0.3492	✓	0.75
2026-09-06	oos	0.010785	0.010603	-1.69%	0.008925	-17.25%	0.1327	✓	0.88
2026-09-05	oos	0.01086	0.010648	-1.96%	0.009815	-9.62%	0.0528	✓	0.88
2026-09-04	oos	0.009735	0.009583	-1.57%	0.01011	+3.85%	0.0801	✗	0.84
2026-09-03	oos	0.00832	0.008361	+0.49%	0.01064	+27.88%	0.2998	✓	0.98
2026-09-02	oos	0.007485	0.007527	+0.57%	0.011305	+51.04%	0.3963	✓	0.83
2026-09-01	oos	0.00795	0.007957	+0.09%	0.01114	+40.13%	0.3252	✓	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.00855	0.008543	-0.08%	0.012835	+50.12%	0.4018	✗	0.79
2026-08-30	oos	0.00885	0.008805	-0.51%	0.010785	+21.86%	0.1784	✗	0.72
2026-08-29	oos	0.00897	0.008947	-0.26%	0.01086	+21.07%	0.1794	✗	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.00944	0.00938	-0.64%	0.009735	+3.12%	0.0206	✗	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.01052	0.010562	+0.40%	0.00832	-20.91%	0.2466	✗	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.010015	0.009979	-0.36%	0.007485	-25.26%	0.2738	✓	0.63
2026-08-25	oos	0.01113	0.011056	-0.66%	0.00795	-28.57%	0.3205	✓	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	0.011615	0.011571	-0.38%	0.00855	-26.39%	0.2991	✓	0.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.0117	0.011587	-0.96%	0.00885	-24.36%	0.2690	✓	0.63
2026-08-22	oos	0.01178	0.011634	-1.24%	0.00897	-23.85%	0.2697	✓	0.63
2026-08-21	oos	0.01197	0.011884	-0.72%	0.00944	-21.14%	0.2263	✓	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.01205	0.011766	-2.36%	0.01052	-12.70%	0.1763	✓	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.01204	0.011662	-3.14%	0.010015	-16.82%	0.2465	✓	0.72
2026-08-18	oos	0.01198	0.011545	-3.63%	0.01113	-7.10%	0.1923	✓	0.80
2026-08-17	oos	0.01165	0.011253	-3.41%	0.011615	-0.30%	0.1331	✓	0.81
2026-08-16	oos	0.01158	0.011178	-3.47%	0.0117	+1.04%	0.1287	✓	0.82
2026-08-15	oos	0.0113	0.010925	-3.32%	0.01178	+4.25%	0.0899	✓	0.82
2026-08-14	oos	0.0115	0.011099	-3.49%	0.01197	+4.09%	0.1028	✓	0.82
2026-08-13	oos	0.01156	0.011133	-3.70%	0.01205	+4.24%	0.0351	✓	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.01099	0.010686	-2.77%	0.01204	+9.55%	0.0504	✗	0.78
2026-08-11	oos	0.01114	0.010841	-2.68%	0.01198	+7.54%	0.0867	✗	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.0117	0.011355	-2.95%	0.01165	-0.43%	0.0193	✓	0.71
2026-08-09	oos	0.011925	0.011572	-2.96%	0.01158	-2.89%	0.0229	✓	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.01185	0.011518	-2.80%	0.0113	-4.64%	0.0017	✓	0.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01186	0.011548	-2.63%	0.0115	-3.04%	0.0158	✓	0.66
2026-08-06	oos	0.01172	0.011446	-2.34%	0.01156	-1.37%	0.0186	✓	0.66
2026-08-05	oos	0.01149	0.011272	-1.90%	0.01099	-4.35%	0.0131	✓	0.66
2026-08-04	oos	0.011625	0.011423	-1.74%	0.01114	-4.17%	0.0198	✓	0.64
2026-08-03	oos	0.01136	0.011217	-1.26%	0.0117	+2.99%	0.0377	✗	0.63
2026-08-02	oos	0.01228	0.012066	-1.74%	0.011925	-2.89%	0.0250	✓	0.63
2026-08-01	oos	0.01225	0.012049	-1.64%	0.01185	-3.27%	0.0380	✓	0.64
2026-07-31	oos	0.0117	0.011611	-0.76%	0.01186	+1.37%	0.0008	✓	0.63
2026-07-30	oos	0.012245	0.012151	-0.77%	0.01172	-4.29%	0.0317	✓	0.61
2026-07-29	oos	0.01324	0.013041	-1.50%	0.01149	-13.22%	0.1333	✓	0.61
2026-07-28	oos	0.01399	0.013723	-1.91%	0.011625	-16.90%	0.1678	✓	0.60
2026-07-27	oos	0.014	0.013761	-1.71%	0.01136	-18.86%	0.1896	✓	0.59
2026-07-26	oos	0.0157	0.015352	-2.22%	0.01228	-21.78%	0.2082	✓	0.53
2026-07-25	oos	0.01522	0.014906	-2.07%	0.01225	-19.51%	0.1843	✓	0.49
2026-07-24	oos	0.01478	0.014502	-1.88%	0.0117	-20.84%	0.2053	✓	0.47
2026-07-23	oos	0.01689	0.016439	-2.67%	0.012245	-27.50%	0.2924	✓	0.42
2026-07-22	oos	0.01692	0.016515	-2.40%	0.01324	-21.75%	0.2063	✓	0.44
2026-07-21	oos	0.017105	0.016704	-2.35%	0.01399	-18.21%	0.1592	✓	0.44
2026-07-20	oos	0.017445	0.016962	-2.77%	0.014	-19.75%	0.1806	✓	0.48
2026-07-19	oos	0.01711	0.016646	-2.71%	0.0157	-8.24%	0.0634	✓	0.48
2026-07-18	oos	0.018425	0.017831	-3.22%	0.01522	-17.39%	0.1550	✓	0.44
2026-07-17	oos	0.01856	0.017832	-3.92%	0.01478	-20.37%	0.1890	✓	0.42
2026-07-16	oos	0.02	0.018908	-5.46%	0.01689	-15.55%	0.1212	✓	0.42
2026-07-15	oos	0.017275	0.016591	-3.96%	0.01692	-2.05%	0.0086	✓	0.53
2026-07-14	oos	0.01913	0.018032	-5.74%	0.017105	-10.59%	0.0656	✓	0.55
2026-07-13	oos	0.01347	0.013117	-2.62%	0.017445	+29.51%	0.2832	✗	0.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.017125	0.016244	-5.14%	0.01711	-0.09%	0.0539	✗	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.03125	0.027393	-12.34%	0.018425	-41.04%	0.3951	✓	-0.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.01315	0.012874	-2.10%	0.01856	+41.14%	0.3659	✗	0.03
2026-07-09	oos	0.01353	0.013191	-2.50%	0.02	+47.82%	0.4158	✗	0.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.01271	0.012424	-2.25%	0.017275	+35.92%	0.3311	✗	-0.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.011975	0.011771	-1.71%	0.01913	+59.75%	0.4858	✗	-0.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.01265	0.012397	-2.00%	0.01347	+6.48%	0.0825	✗	-0.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.012875	0.01259	-2.21%	0.017125	+33.01%	0.3076	✗	-0.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.012325	0.012073	-2.05%	0.03125	+153.55%	0.9514	✗	-0.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.01201	0.011757	-2.11%	0.01315	+9.49%	0.1131	✗	-0.04
2026-07-02	oos	0.01109	0.010905	-1.67%	0.01353	+22.00%	0.2183	✗	-0.10
2026-07-01	oos	0.01479	0.014064	-4.91%	0.01271	-14.06%	0.1065	✓	0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.01018	0.010069	-1.09%	0.011975	+17.63%	0.1886	✗	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.00911	0.009077	-0.36%	0.01265	+38.86%	0.3374	✗	-0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.01023	0.010146	-0.82%	0.012875	+25.86%	0.2412	✗	-0.04
2026-06-27	oos	0.00951	0.009489	-0.22%	0.012325	+29.60%	0.2629	✗	-0.03
2026-06-26	oos	0.009675	0.009672	-0.03%	0.01201	+24.13%	0.2176	✗	-0.03
2026-06-25	oos	0.00951	0.009546	+0.38%	0.01109	+16.61%	0.1510	✓	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.01045	0.010436	-0.13%	0.01479	+41.53%	0.3472	✗	-0.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.011	0.010969	-0.28%	0.01018	-7.45%	0.0829	✓	-0.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.01209	0.012018	-0.59%	0.00911	-24.65%	0.2878	✓	-0.18
2026-06-21	oos	0.012145	0.012075	-0.57%	0.01023	-15.77%	0.1770	✓	-0.18
2026-06-20	oos	0.0117	0.011672	-0.24%	0.00951	-18.72%	0.2158	✓	-0.16
2026-06-19	oos	0.012535	0.012485	-0.40%	0.009675	-22.82%	0.2624	✓	-0.13
2026-06-18	oos	0.01336	0.013282	-0.59%	0.00951	-28.82%	0.3398	✓	-0.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.01238	0.012361	-0.15%	0.01045	-15.59%	0.1700	✓	-0.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.012045	0.01207	+0.21%	0.011	-8.68%	0.0934	✗	-0.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.01288	0.012889	+0.07%	0.01209	-6.13%	0.0650	✗	-0.03
2026-06-14	oos	0.0134	0.013402	+0.01%	0.012145	-9.37%	0.0992	✗	-0.02
2026-06-13	oos	0.013745	0.013765	+0.14%	0.0117	-14.88%	0.1625	✗	-0.01
2026-06-12	oos	0.01485	0.014837	-0.09%	0.012535	-15.59%	0.1686	✓	0.03
2026-06-11	oos	0.01551	0.015482	-0.18%	0.01336	-13.86%	0.1471	✓	0.03
2026-06-10	oos	0.015425	0.015472	+0.31%	0.01238	-19.74%	0.2232	✗	0.01
2026-06-09	oos	0.017045	0.017014	-0.18%	0.012045	-29.33%	0.3454	✓	0.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01797	0.017876	-0.52%	0.01288	-28.32%	0.3261	✓	-0.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.01781	0.017774	-0.20%	0.0134	-24.76%	0.2813	✓	-0.03
2026-06-06	oos	0.01793	0.017985	+0.31%	0.013745	-23.34%	0.2664	✗	-0.04
2026-06-05	oos	0.01961	0.019554	-0.28%	0.01485	-24.27%	0.2734	✓	-0.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.01997	0.019864	-0.53%	0.01551	-22.33%	0.2477	✓	-0.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.02101	0.020849	-0.76%	0.015425	-26.58%	0.3042	✓	-0.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.02153	0.021316	-1.00%	0.017045	-20.83%	0.2318	✓	-0.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.02205	0.021771	-1.27%	0.01797	-18.50%	0.2177	✓	-0.21
2026-05-31	oos	0.022435	0.022122	-1.39%	0.01781	-20.62%	0.2540	✓	-0.25
2026-05-30	oos	0.02147	0.02122	-1.17%	0.01793	-16.49%	0.2138	✓	-0.24
2026-05-29	oos	0.02236	0.022062	-1.33%	0.01961	-12.30%	0.1590	✓	-0.22
2026-05-28	oos	0.0211	0.020894	-0.97%	0.01997	-5.36%	0.0753	✓	-0.21
2026-05-27	oos	0.02166	0.021418	-1.12%	0.02101	-3.00%	0.0532	✓	-0.23
2026-05-26	oos	0.023105	0.022751	-1.53%	0.02153	-6.82%	0.0973	✓	-0.33
2026-05-25	oos	0.02212	0.021819	-1.36%	0.02205	-0.32%	0.0099	✓	-0.25
2026-05-24	oos	0.023125	0.022773	-1.52%	0.022435	-2.98%	0.0262	✓	-0.25
2026-05-23	oos	0.02219	0.021919	-1.22%	0.02147	-3.24%	0.0307	✓	-0.26
2026-05-22	oos	0.024525	0.024123	-1.64%	0.02236	-8.83%	0.0803	✓	-0.16
2026-05-21	oos	0.02505	0.024608	-1.77%	0.0211	-15.77%	0.1647	✓	-0.20
2026-05-20	oos	0.02708	0.026526	-2.05%	0.02166	-20.01%	0.2114	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.026065	0.025549	-1.98%	0.023105	-11.36%	0.1035	✓	-0.24
2026-05-18	oos	0.02795	0.027384	-2.02%	0.02212	-20.86%	0.2125	✓	-0.26
2026-05-17	oos	0.02865	0.028044	-2.12%	0.023125	-19.28%	0.1944	✓	-0.28
2026-05-16	oos	0.028435	0.027857	-2.03%	0.02219	-21.96%	0.2325	✓	-0.27
2026-05-15	oos	0.028395	0.027838	-1.96%	0.024525	-13.63%	0.1392	✓	-0.27
2026-05-14	oos	0.02813	0.02764	-1.74%	0.02505	-10.95%	0.1094	✓	-0.25
2026-05-13	oos	0.02913	0.028546	-2.01%	0.02708	-7.04%	0.0573	✓	-0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.02829	0.02779	-1.77%	0.026065	-7.86%	0.0708	✓	-0.14
2026-05-11	oos	0.02831	0.027871	-1.55%	0.02795	-1.27%	0.0054	✓	-0.14
2026-05-10	oos	0.02791	0.027542	-1.32%	0.02865	+2.65%	0.0324	✗	-0.12
2026-05-09	oos	0.02927	0.028804	-1.59%	0.028435	-2.85%	0.0145	✓	-0.05
2026-05-08	oos	0.02942	0.028962	-1.56%	0.028395	-3.48%	0.0056	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.0303	0.029824	-1.57%	0.02813	-7.16%	0.0718	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.03002	0.029664	-1.18%	0.02913	-2.96%	0.0086	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.03032	0.02994	-1.25%	0.02829	-6.70%	0.0515	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.03088	0.03041	-1.52%	0.02831	-8.32%	0.0948	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.03038	0.029901	-1.58%	0.02791	-8.13%	0.1142	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.03163	0.031113	-1.63%	0.02927	-7.46%	0.0858	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.03198	0.031447	-1.67%	0.02942	-8.01%	0.0913	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.0334	0.032721	-2.03%	0.0303	-9.28%	0.1242	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.03484	0.034063	-2.23%	0.03002	-13.83%	0.1987	✓	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.03428	0.033558	-2.11%	0.03032	-11.55%	0.1599	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.03521	0.034446	-2.17%	0.03088	-12.30%	0.1409	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.03492	0.034243	-1.94%	0.03038	-13.00%	0.1182	✓	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.036055	0.035258	-2.21%	0.03163	-12.27%	0.1218	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.03568	0.034898	-2.19%	0.03198	-10.37%	0.0972	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.03717	0.036355	-2.19%	0.0334	-10.14%	0.0592	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.03588	0.035149	-2.04%	0.03484	-2.90%	0.0231	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.034745	0.033982	-2.20%	0.03428	-1.34%	0.0091	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.03388	0.03313	-2.22%	0.03521	+3.93%	0.0413	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.03534	0.034352	-2.80%	0.03492	-1.19%	0.0472	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.03528	0.034296	-2.79%	0.036055	+2.20%	0.0251	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.