QUAI

Quai Network · native · lstm_s4

token id: #972
symbol: QUAI
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-09
predictions: 561

Track record at +30d

assessed

157

of 187 predictions shown

direction hit

78.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3322

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0364

actual -0.2561

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00768	0.007491	-2.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.008005	0.007838	-2.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.00846	0.008249	-2.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-18	oos	0.008665	0.008459	-2.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.008945	0.008723	-2.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-16	oos	0.008945	0.008737	-2.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-15	oos	0.00905	0.008846	-2.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-14	oos	0.00887	0.008702	-1.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-13	oos	0.00902	0.008914	-1.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-12	oos	0.00913	0.008932	-2.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-11	oos	0.009625	0.00939	-2.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-10	oos	0.009735	0.00947	-2.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.00943	0.009198	-2.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-08	oos	0.009405	0.009172	-2.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-07	oos	0.00934	0.00916	-1.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-06	oos	0.00993	0.009844	-0.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-05	oos	0.010215	0.010142	-0.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.01106	0.011004	-0.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.011445	0.011198	-2.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-02	oos	0.010955	0.010791	-1.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-01	oos	0.01027	0.010223	-0.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	0.01042	0.010304	-1.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-09-29	oos	0.010775	0.010694	-0.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.01136	0.011092	-2.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-09-27	oos	0.01082	0.010761	-0.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.011225	0.011126	-0.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-09-25	oos	0.01026	0.01028	+0.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-09-24	oos	0.01001	0.010134	+1.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-09-23	oos	0.01013	0.010306	+1.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-09-22	oos	0.00994	0.010439	+5.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.009705	0.010284	+5.97%	0.00768	-20.87%	0.2468	✗	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.008555	0.008542	-0.15%	0.008005	-6.43%	0.0846	✓	0.91
2026-09-19	oos	0.00871	0.008705	-0.06%	0.00846	-2.87%	0.0352	✓	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.0087	0.008711	+0.13%	0.008665	-0.40%	0.0175	✗	0.88
2026-09-17	oos	0.00864	0.00846	-2.09%	0.008945	+3.53%	0.0028	✓	0.92
2026-09-16	oos	0.00867	0.00846	-2.42%	0.008945	+3.17%	0.0057	✓	0.90
2026-09-15	oos	0.008835	0.008596	-2.70%	0.00905	+2.43%	0.0168	✓	0.82
2026-09-14	oos	0.00871	0.008532	-2.05%	0.00887	+1.84%	0.0030	✓	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.008925	0.008742	-2.05%	0.00902	+1.06%	0.0383	✓	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.009815	0.009599	-2.20%	0.00913	-6.98%	0.0982	✓	0.85
2026-09-11	oos	0.01011	0.009893	-2.14%	0.009625	-4.80%	0.0945	✓	0.83
2026-09-10	oos	0.01064	0.010353	-2.70%	0.009735	-8.51%	0.1265	✓	0.81
2026-09-09	oos	0.011305	0.011145	-1.42%	0.00943	-16.59%	0.2088	✓	0.79
2026-09-08	oos	0.01114	0.011083	-0.51%	0.009405	-15.57%	0.1956	✓	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.012835	0.012702	-1.03%	0.00934	-27.23%	0.3461	✓	0.75
2026-09-06	oos	0.010785	0.01116	+3.47%	0.00993	-7.93%	0.1719	✗	0.88
2026-09-05	oos	0.01086	0.01128	+3.87%	0.010215	-5.94%	0.1618	✗	0.88
2026-09-04	oos	0.009735	0.010181	+4.59%	0.01106	+13.61%	0.0134	✓	0.84
2026-09-03	oos	0.00832	0.00877	+5.40%	0.011445	+37.56%	0.2252	✓	0.98
2026-09-02	oos	0.007485	0.007298	-2.50%	0.010955	+46.36%	0.3322	✗	0.83
2026-09-01	oos	0.00795	0.007864	-1.08%	0.01027	+29.18%	0.1903	✗	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.00855	0.00884	+3.39%	0.01042	+21.87%	0.1161	✓	0.79
2026-08-30	oos	0.00885	0.009109	+2.93%	0.010775	+21.75%	0.1143	✓	0.72
2026-08-29	oos	0.00897	0.00952	+6.13%	0.01136	+26.64%	0.1307	✓	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.00944	0.01012	+7.21%	0.01082	+14.62%	0.0087	✓	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.01052	0.011502	+9.33%	0.011225	+6.70%	0.0569	✓	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.010015	0.010972	+9.56%	0.01026	+2.45%	0.1060	✗	0.63
2026-08-25	oos	0.01113	0.012176	+9.40%	0.01001	-10.06%	0.2421	✗	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	0.011615	0.012651	+8.92%	0.01013	-12.79%	0.2658	✗	0.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.0117	0.012711	+8.64%	0.00994	-15.04%	0.3115	✗	0.63
2026-08-22	oos	0.01178	0.012794	+8.61%	0.009705	-17.61%	0.3502	✗	0.63
2026-08-21	oos	0.01197	0.013079	+9.26%	0.008555	-28.53%	0.4471	✗	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.01205	0.012416	+3.04%	0.00871	-27.72%	0.4269	✗	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.01204	0.011881	-1.32%	0.0087	-27.74%	0.4224	✓	0.72
2026-08-18	oos	0.01198	0.011394	-4.89%	0.00864	-27.88%	0.4098	✓	0.80
2026-08-17	oos	0.01165	0.011075	-4.94%	0.00867	-25.58%	0.3798	✓	0.81
2026-08-16	oos	0.01158	0.010983	-5.15%	0.008835	-23.70%	0.3690	✓	0.82
2026-08-15	oos	0.0113	0.010745	-4.91%	0.00871	-22.92%	0.3871	✓	0.82
2026-08-14	oos	0.0115	0.010922	-5.02%	0.008925	-22.39%	0.3642	✓	0.82
2026-08-13	oos	0.01156	0.010972	-5.09%	0.009815	-15.10%	0.2717	✓	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.01099	0.01043	-5.09%	0.01011	-8.01%	0.1840	✓	0.78
2026-08-11	oos	0.01114	0.010508	-5.67%	0.01064	-4.49%	0.1251	✓	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.0117	0.010959	-6.33%	0.011305	-3.38%	0.1137	✓	0.71
2026-08-09	oos	0.011925	0.011195	-6.12%	0.01114	-6.58%	0.1393	✓	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.01185	0.011144	-5.96%	0.012835	+8.31%	0.0026	✓	0.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01186	0.011163	-5.88%	0.010785	-9.06%	0.1760	✓	0.66
2026-08-06	oos	0.01172	0.011031	-5.88%	0.01086	-7.34%	0.1581	✓	0.66
2026-08-05	oos	0.01149	0.010861	-5.47%	0.009735	-15.27%	0.2472	✓	0.66
2026-08-04	oos	0.011625	0.010946	-5.84%	0.00832	-28.43%	0.4277	✓	0.64
2026-08-03	oos	0.01136	0.010694	-5.86%	0.007485	-34.11%	0.4816	✓	0.63
2026-08-02	oos	0.01228	0.01144	-6.84%	0.00795	-35.26%	0.4883	✓	0.63
2026-08-01	oos	0.01225	0.011403	-6.92%	0.00855	-30.20%	0.4306	✓	0.64
2026-07-31	oos	0.0117	0.011	-5.99%	0.00885	-24.36%	0.3514	✓	0.63
2026-07-30	oos	0.012245	0.011551	-5.66%	0.00897	-26.75%	0.3694	✓	0.61
2026-07-29	oos	0.01324	0.012168	-8.10%	0.00944	-28.70%	0.3738	✓	0.61
2026-07-28	oos	0.01399	0.012618	-9.80%	0.01052	-24.80%	0.3194	✓	0.60
2026-07-27	oos	0.014	0.012696	-9.31%	0.010015	-28.46%	0.3653	✓	0.59
2026-07-26	oos	0.0157	0.01415	-9.87%	0.01113	-29.11%	0.3367	✓	0.53
2026-07-25	oos	0.01522	0.013742	-9.71%	0.011615	-23.69%	0.2698	✓	0.49
2026-07-24	oos	0.01478	0.0133	-10.01%	0.0117	-20.84%	0.2193	✓	0.47
2026-07-23	oos	0.01689	0.014991	-11.24%	0.01178	-30.25%	0.3127	✓	0.42
2026-07-22	oos	0.01692	0.015127	-10.60%	0.01197	-29.26%	0.3083	✓	0.44
2026-07-21	oos	0.017105	0.0154	-9.97%	0.01205	-29.55%	0.2864	✓	0.44
2026-07-20	oos	0.017445	0.015641	-10.34%	0.01204	-30.98%	0.2909	✓	0.48
2026-07-19	oos	0.01711	0.015314	-10.50%	0.01198	-29.98%	0.2455	✓	0.48
2026-07-18	oos	0.018425	0.016602	-9.89%	0.01165	-36.77%	0.3521	✓	0.44
2026-07-17	oos	0.01856	0.016737	-9.82%	0.01158	-37.61%	0.3613	✓	0.42
2026-07-16	oos	0.02	0.017872	-10.64%	0.0113	-43.50%	0.4534	✓	0.42
2026-07-15	oos	0.017275	0.015598	-9.71%	0.0115	-33.43%	0.2905	✓	0.53
2026-07-14	oos	0.01913	0.016975	-11.27%	0.01156	-39.57%	0.3708	✓	0.55
2026-07-13	oos	0.01347	0.012588	-6.54%	0.01099	-18.41%	0.1365	✓	0.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.017125	0.015292	-10.70%	0.01114	-34.95%	0.3172	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.03125	0.022116	-29.23%	0.0117	-62.56%	0.6365	✓	-0.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.01315	0.012503	-4.92%	0.011925	-9.32%	0.0477	✓	0.03
2026-07-09	oos	0.01353	0.012582	-7.01%	0.01185	-12.42%	0.0609	✓	0.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.01271	0.012086	-4.91%	0.01186	-6.69%	0.0173	✓	-0.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.011975	0.01158	-3.30%	0.01172	-2.13%	0.0121	✓	-0.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.01265	0.012077	-4.53%	0.01149	-9.17%	0.0497	✓	-0.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.012875	0.012179	-5.41%	0.011625	-9.71%	0.0464	✓	-0.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.012325	0.011828	-4.03%	0.01136	-7.83%	0.0402	✓	-0.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.01201	0.011614	-3.30%	0.01228	+2.25%	0.0565	✗	-0.04
2026-07-02	oos	0.01109	0.01082	-2.43%	0.01225	+10.46%	0.1261	✗	-0.10
2026-07-01	oos	0.01479	0.012862	-13.04%	0.0117	-20.89%	0.1013	✓	0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.01018	0.009938	-2.38%	0.012245	+20.28%	0.2283	✗	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.00911	0.00892	-2.09%	0.01324	+45.33%	0.4004	✗	-0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.01023	0.01	-2.25%	0.01399	+36.75%	0.3389	✗	-0.04
2026-06-27	oos	0.00951	0.009281	-2.40%	0.014	+47.21%	0.4127	✗	-0.03
2026-06-26	oos	0.009675	0.009479	-2.03%	0.0157	+62.27%	0.5069	✗	-0.03
2026-06-25	oos	0.00951	0.009314	-2.06%	0.01522	+60.04%	0.4938	✗	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.01045	0.010207	-2.32%	0.01478	+41.44%	0.3745	✗	-0.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.011	0.010786	-1.95%	0.01689	+53.55%	0.4531	✗	-0.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.01209	0.011867	-1.84%	0.01692	+39.95%	0.3605	✗	-0.18
2026-06-21	oos	0.012145	0.011911	-1.93%	0.017105	+40.84%	0.3711	✗	-0.18
2026-06-20	oos	0.0117	0.011529	-1.46%	0.017445	+49.10%	0.4166	✗	-0.16
2026-06-19	oos	0.012535	0.01236	-1.40%	0.01711	+36.50%	0.3277	✗	-0.13
2026-06-18	oos	0.01336	0.013134	-1.69%	0.018425	+37.91%	0.3419	✗	-0.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.01238	0.012196	-1.48%	0.01856	+49.92%	0.4196	✗	-0.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.012045	0.011935	-0.92%	0.02	+66.04%	0.5160	✗	-0.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.01288	0.01271	-1.32%	0.017275	+34.12%	0.3062	✗	-0.03
2026-06-14	oos	0.0134	0.013204	-1.47%	0.01913	+42.76%	0.3706	✗	-0.02
2026-06-13	oos	0.013745	0.013567	-1.30%	0.01347	-2.00%	0.0075	✓	-0.01
2026-06-12	oos	0.01485	0.01467	-1.21%	0.017125	+15.32%	0.1546	✗	0.03
2026-06-11	oos	0.01551	0.015368	-0.91%	0.03125	+101.48%	0.7096	✗	0.03
2026-06-10	oos	0.015425	0.015325	-0.65%	0.01315	-14.75%	0.1533	✓	0.01
2026-06-09	oos	0.017045	0.01682	-1.32%	0.01353	-20.62%	0.2177	✓	0.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01797	0.017754	-1.20%	0.01271	-29.27%	0.3347	✓	-0.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.01781	0.017494	-1.78%	0.011975	-32.76%	0.3790	✓	-0.03
2026-06-06	oos	0.01793	0.017593	-1.88%	0.01265	-29.45%	0.3277	✓	-0.04
2026-06-05	oos	0.01961	0.019221	-1.98%	0.012875	-34.34%	0.3990	✓	-0.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.01997	0.019611	-1.80%	0.012325	-38.28%	0.4652	✓	-0.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.02101	0.020607	-1.92%	0.01201	-42.84%	0.5415	✓	-0.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.02153	0.021037	-2.29%	0.01109	-48.49%	0.6488	✓	-0.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.02205	0.021539	-2.32%	0.01479	-32.93%	0.4124	✓	-0.21
2026-05-31	oos	0.022435	0.021813	-2.77%	0.01018	-54.62%	0.8187	✓	-0.25
2026-05-30	oos	0.02147	0.020964	-2.35%	0.00911	-57.57%	0.8815	✓	-0.24
2026-05-29	oos	0.02236	0.02182	-2.42%	0.01023	-54.25%	0.8045	✓	-0.22
2026-05-28	oos	0.0211	0.020692	-1.93%	0.00951	-54.93%	0.8207	✓	-0.21
2026-05-27	oos	0.02166	0.021148	-2.36%	0.009675	-55.33%	0.8309	✓	-0.23
2026-05-26	oos	0.023105	0.022423	-2.95%	0.00951	-58.84%	0.9359	✓	-0.33
2026-05-25	oos	0.02212	0.021527	-2.68%	0.01045	-52.76%	0.7830	✓	-0.25
2026-05-24	oos	0.023125	0.022543	-2.52%	0.011	-52.43%	0.7689	✓	-0.25
2026-05-23	oos	0.02219	0.021656	-2.41%	0.01209	-45.52%	0.6301	✓	-0.26
2026-05-22	oos	0.024525	0.02383	-2.83%	0.012145	-50.48%	0.7018	✓	-0.16
2026-05-21	oos	0.02505	0.024447	-2.41%	0.0117	-53.29%	0.7754	✓	-0.20
2026-05-20	oos	0.02708	0.026339	-2.74%	0.012535	-53.71%	0.7843	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.026065	0.025344	-2.77%	0.01336	-48.74%	0.6880	✓	-0.24
2026-05-18	oos	0.02795	0.026862	-3.89%	0.01238	-55.71%	0.8211	✓	-0.26
2026-05-17	oos	0.02865	0.027502	-4.01%	0.012045	-57.96%	0.8715	✓	-0.28
2026-05-16	oos	0.028435	0.027387	-3.69%	0.01288	-54.70%	0.7985	✓	-0.27
2026-05-15	oos	0.028395	0.02746	-3.29%	0.0134	-52.81%	0.7667	✓	-0.27
2026-05-14	oos	0.02813	0.027491	-2.27%	0.013745	-51.14%	0.7502	✓	-0.25
2026-05-13	oos	0.02913	0.028135	-3.42%	0.01485	-49.02%	0.6830	✓	-0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.02829	0.027566	-2.56%	0.01551	-45.17%	0.6084	✓	-0.14
2026-05-11	oos	0.02831	0.027838	-1.67%	0.015425	-45.51%	0.6296	✓	-0.14
2026-05-10	oos	0.02791	0.027666	-0.88%	0.017045	-38.93%	0.5180	✓	-0.12
2026-05-09	oos	0.02927	0.028743	-1.80%	0.01797	-38.61%	0.4819	✓	-0.05
2026-05-08	oos	0.02942	0.028756	-2.26%	0.01781	-39.46%	0.2426	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.0303	0.029459	-2.78%	0.01793	-40.83%	0.2229	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.03002	0.029678	-1.14%	0.01961	-34.68%	0.1259	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.03032	0.029813	-1.67%	0.01997	-34.14%	0.1632	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.03088	0.029837	-3.38%	0.02101	-31.96%	0.1301	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.03038	0.028851	-5.03%	0.02153	-29.13%	0.1284	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.03163	0.029994	-5.17%	0.02205	-30.29%	0.2094	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.03198	0.030139	-5.76%	0.022435	-29.85%	0.2338	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.0334	0.031003	-7.18%	0.02147	-35.72%	0.3336	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.03484	0.031953	-8.29%	0.02236	-35.82%	0.3250	✓	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.03428	0.031469	-8.20%	0.0211	-38.45%	0.3623	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.03521	0.032239	-8.44%	0.02166	-38.48%	0.3575	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.03492	0.032212	-7.75%	0.023105	-33.83%	0.2954	✓	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.036055	0.032855	-8.87%	0.02212	-38.65%	0.3904	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.03568	0.032438	-9.09%	0.023125	-35.19%	0.3321	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.03717	0.033901	-8.80%	0.02219	-40.30%	0.4027	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.03588	0.032819	-8.53%	0.024525	-31.65%	0.2553	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.034745	0.031624	-8.98%	0.02505	-27.90%	0.2486	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.03388	0.030921	-8.73%	0.02708	-20.07%	0.1537	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.03534	0.032049	-9.31%	0.026065	-26.25%	0.2458	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.03528	0.032177	-8.79%	0.02795	-20.78%	0.1567	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.