QUAI

Quai Network · native · lstm_s4

token id: #972
symbol: QUAI
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-09
predictions: 561

Track record at +1d

assessed

186

of 187 predictions shown

direction hit

58.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0540

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0027

actual -0.0099

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00768	0.007672	-0.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.008005	0.007999	-0.07%	0.00768	-4.06%	0.0387	✓	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.00846	0.008446	-0.17%	0.008005	-5.38%	0.0629	✓	0.69
2026-10-18	oos	0.008665	0.008652	-0.15%	0.00846	-2.37%	0.0210	✓	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.008945	0.008931	-0.16%	0.008665	-3.13%	0.0355	✓	0.69
2026-10-16	oos	0.008945	0.008934	-0.12%	0.008945	+0.00%	0.0022	✗	0.69
2026-10-15	oos	0.00905	0.009035	-0.17%	0.008945	-1.16%	0.0047	✓	0.69
2026-10-14	oos	0.00887	0.008863	-0.08%	0.00905	+2.03%	0.0162	✗	0.69
2026-10-13	oos	0.00902	0.009012	-0.09%	0.00887	-1.66%	0.0045	✓	0.61
2026-10-12	oos	0.00913	0.009125	-0.05%	0.00902	-1.20%	0.0221	✓	0.64
2026-10-11	oos	0.009625	0.00961	-0.15%	0.00913	-5.14%	0.0283	✓	0.98
2026-10-10	oos	0.009735	0.009718	-0.17%	0.009625	-1.13%	0.0201	✓	1.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.00943	0.009424	-0.06%	0.009735	+3.23%	0.0272	✗	1.19
2026-10-08	oos	0.009405	0.009403	-0.02%	0.00943	+0.27%	0.0074	✓	0.99
2026-10-07	oos	0.00934	0.009342	+0.02%	0.009405	+0.70%	0.0258	✓	0.99
2026-10-06	oos	0.00993	0.009933	+0.03%	0.00934	-5.94%	0.0351	✗	0.99
2026-10-05	oos	0.010215	0.010215	-0.00%	0.00993	-2.79%	0.0260	✓	0.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.01106	0.011056	-0.03%	0.010215	-7.64%	0.0710	✓	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.011445	0.011427	-0.16%	0.01106	-3.36%	0.0522	✓	0.95
2026-10-02	oos	0.010955	0.010944	-0.10%	0.011445	+4.47%	0.0421	✗	0.96
2026-10-01	oos	0.01027	0.010266	-0.03%	0.010955	+6.67%	0.0689	✗	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	0.01042	0.010408	-0.12%	0.01027	-1.44%	0.0288	✓	1.01
2026-09-29	oos	0.010775	0.010763	-0.11%	0.01042	-3.29%	0.0316	✓	0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.01136	0.01134	-0.18%	0.010775	-5.15%	0.0533	✓	1.02
2026-09-27	oos	0.01082	0.010816	-0.04%	0.01136	+4.99%	0.0602	✗	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.011225	0.011214	-0.10%	0.01082	-3.61%	0.0363	✓	0.90
2026-09-25	oos	0.01026	0.01026	-0.00%	0.011225	+9.41%	0.0866	✗	0.87
2026-09-24	oos	0.01001	0.010015	+0.05%	0.01026	+2.50%	0.0272	✓	0.88
2026-09-23	oos	0.01013	0.010137	+0.07%	0.01001	-1.18%	0.0127	✗	0.88
2026-09-22	oos	0.00994	0.009947	+0.07%	0.01013	+1.91%	0.0387	✓	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.009705	0.009707	+0.02%	0.00994	+2.42%	0.0283	✓	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.008555	0.008559	+0.04%	0.009705	+13.44%	0.0669	✓	0.91
2026-09-19	oos	0.00871	0.008711	+0.01%	0.008555	-1.78%	0.0173	✗	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.0087	0.008707	+0.08%	0.00871	+0.11%	0.0035	✗	0.88
2026-09-17	oos	0.00864	0.008639	-0.01%	0.0087	+0.69%	0.0459	✓	0.92
2026-09-16	oos	0.00867	0.008667	-0.04%	0.00864	-0.35%	0.0055	✓	0.90
2026-09-15	oos	0.008835	0.008828	-0.08%	0.00867	-1.87%	0.0242	✓	0.82
2026-09-14	oos	0.00871	0.008702	-0.09%	0.008835	+1.44%	0.0437	✗	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.008925	0.008926	+0.01%	0.00871	-2.41%	0.0401	✗	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.009815	0.009807	-0.09%	0.008925	-9.07%	0.0891	✓	0.85
2026-09-11	oos	0.01011	0.010101	-0.09%	0.009815	-2.92%	0.0293	✓	0.83
2026-09-10	oos	0.01064	0.010623	-0.16%	0.01011	-4.98%	0.0566	✓	0.81
2026-09-09	oos	0.011305	0.011294	-0.09%	0.01064	-5.88%	0.0419	✓	0.79
2026-09-08	oos	0.01114	0.011136	-0.04%	0.011305	+1.48%	0.0167	✗	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.012835	0.012807	-0.22%	0.01114	-13.21%	0.1333	✓	0.75
2026-09-06	oos	0.010785	0.010808	+0.22%	0.012835	+19.01%	0.1856	✓	0.88
2026-09-05	oos	0.01086	0.010887	+0.24%	0.010785	-0.69%	0.0149	✗	0.88
2026-09-04	oos	0.009735	0.009762	+0.28%	0.01086	+11.56%	0.1049	✓	0.84
2026-09-03	oos	0.00832	0.008341	+0.26%	0.009735	+17.01%	0.1739	✓	0.98
2026-09-02	oos	0.007485	0.007486	+0.01%	0.00832	+11.16%	0.0642	✓	0.83
2026-09-01	oos	0.00795	0.007957	+0.09%	0.007485	-5.85%	0.0602	✗	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.00855	0.008569	+0.22%	0.00795	-7.02%	0.0632	✗	0.79
2026-08-30	oos	0.00885	0.008869	+0.21%	0.00855	-3.39%	0.0449	✗	0.72
2026-08-29	oos	0.00897	0.00899	+0.22%	0.00885	-1.34%	0.0105	✗	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.00944	0.009453	+0.14%	0.00897	-4.98%	0.0560	✗	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.01052	0.010497	-0.22%	0.00944	-10.27%	0.0862	✓	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.010015	0.009993	-0.22%	0.01052	+5.04%	0.0416	✗	0.63
2026-08-25	oos	0.01113	0.0111	-0.27%	0.010015	-10.02%	0.1069	✓	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	0.011615	0.011579	-0.31%	0.01113	-4.18%	0.0357	✓	0.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.0117	0.011663	-0.32%	0.011615	-0.73%	0.0142	✓	0.63
2026-08-22	oos	0.01178	0.011737	-0.37%	0.0117	-0.68%	0.0087	✓	0.63
2026-08-21	oos	0.01197	0.011911	-0.49%	0.01178	-1.59%	0.0006	✓	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.01205	0.012032	-0.15%	0.01197	-0.66%	0.0528	✓	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.01204	0.012014	-0.21%	0.01205	+0.08%	0.0345	✓	0.72
2026-08-18	oos	0.01198	0.011927	-0.45%	0.01204	+0.50%	0.0459	✓	0.80
2026-08-17	oos	0.01165	0.0116	-0.43%	0.01198	+2.83%	0.0297	✗	0.81
2026-08-16	oos	0.01158	0.011538	-0.36%	0.01165	+0.60%	0.0115	✓	0.82
2026-08-15	oos	0.0113	0.011266	-0.30%	0.01158	+2.48%	0.0299	✗	0.82
2026-08-14	oos	0.0115	0.011466	-0.30%	0.0113	-1.74%	0.0151	✓	0.82
2026-08-13	oos	0.01156	0.011524	-0.31%	0.0115	-0.52%	0.0037	✗	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.01099	0.01098	-0.09%	0.01156	+5.19%	0.0513	✗	0.78
2026-08-11	oos	0.01114	0.011118	-0.20%	0.01099	-1.35%	0.0102	✓	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.0117	0.011655	-0.39%	0.01114	-4.79%	0.0409	✓	0.71
2026-08-09	oos	0.011925	0.011881	-0.37%	0.0117	-1.89%	0.0051	✓	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.01185	0.011815	-0.29%	0.011925	+0.63%	0.0099	✗	0.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01186	0.011833	-0.23%	0.01185	-0.08%	0.0013	✓	0.66
2026-08-06	oos	0.01172	0.011703	-0.14%	0.01186	+1.19%	0.0069	✗	0.66
2026-08-05	oos	0.01149	0.011488	-0.02%	0.01172	+2.00%	0.0235	✗	0.66
2026-08-04	oos	0.011625	0.011618	-0.06%	0.01149	-1.16%	0.0167	✓	0.64
2026-08-03	oos	0.01136	0.011356	-0.03%	0.011625	+2.33%	0.0176	✗	0.63
2026-08-02	oos	0.01228	0.012245	-0.28%	0.01136	-7.49%	0.0747	✓	0.63
2026-08-01	oos	0.01225	0.012218	-0.26%	0.01228	+0.24%	0.0023	✓	0.64
2026-07-31	oos	0.0117	0.011693	-0.06%	0.01225	+4.70%	0.0472	✗	0.63
2026-07-30	oos	0.012245	0.012234	-0.09%	0.0117	-4.45%	0.0263	✓	0.61
2026-07-29	oos	0.01324	0.013175	-0.49%	0.012245	-7.52%	0.0810	✓	0.61
2026-07-28	oos	0.01399	0.013872	-0.84%	0.01324	-5.36%	0.0471	✓	0.60
2026-07-27	oos	0.014	0.013904	-0.68%	0.01399	-0.07%	0.0047	✓	0.59
2026-07-26	oos	0.0157	0.015558	-0.90%	0.014	-10.83%	0.0921	✓	0.53
2026-07-25	oos	0.01522	0.015099	-0.80%	0.0157	+3.15%	0.0311	✗	0.49
2026-07-24	oos	0.01478	0.014656	-0.84%	0.01522	+2.98%	0.0362	✗	0.47
2026-07-23	oos	0.01689	0.016681	-1.24%	0.01478	-12.49%	0.1146	✓	0.42
2026-07-22	oos	0.01692	0.01673	-1.12%	0.01689	-0.18%	0.0164	✗	0.44
2026-07-21	oos	0.017105	0.016933	-1.00%	0.01692	-1.08%	0.0021	✓	0.44
2026-07-20	oos	0.017445	0.017251	-1.11%	0.017105	-1.95%	0.0180	✓	0.48
2026-07-19	oos	0.01711	0.016912	-1.16%	0.017445	+1.96%	0.0271	✗	0.48
2026-07-18	oos	0.018425	0.018217	-1.13%	0.01711	-7.14%	0.0619	✓	0.44
2026-07-17	oos	0.01856	0.018324	-1.27%	0.018425	-0.73%	0.0004	✓	0.42
2026-07-16	oos	0.02	0.019628	-1.86%	0.01856	-7.20%	0.0568	✓	0.42
2026-07-15	oos	0.017275	0.017043	-1.34%	0.02	+15.77%	0.1677	✗	0.53
2026-07-14	oos	0.01913	0.018698	-2.26%	0.017275	-9.70%	0.0769	✓	0.55
2026-07-13	oos	0.01347	0.013377	-0.69%	0.01913	+42.02%	0.3560	✗	0.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.017125	0.016809	-1.84%	0.01347	-21.34%	0.2245	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.03125	0.027977	-10.47%	0.017125	-45.20%	0.4909	✓	-0.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.01315	0.013085	-0.50%	0.03125	+137.64%	0.8707	✗	0.03
2026-07-09	oos	0.01353	0.013428	-0.76%	0.01315	-2.81%	0.0214	✓	0.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.01271	0.012652	-0.46%	0.01353	+6.45%	0.0677	✗	-0.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.011975	0.011935	-0.33%	0.01271	+6.14%	0.0628	✗	-0.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.01265	0.012585	-0.51%	0.011975	-5.34%	0.0499	✓	-0.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.012875	0.012794	-0.63%	0.01265	-1.75%	0.0112	✓	-0.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.012325	0.012268	-0.47%	0.012875	+4.46%	0.0486	✗	-0.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.01201	0.011961	-0.41%	0.012325	+2.62%	0.0303	✗	-0.04
2026-07-02	oos	0.01109	0.01106	-0.27%	0.01201	+8.30%	0.0840	✗	-0.10
2026-07-01	oos	0.01479	0.014383	-2.75%	0.01109	-25.02%	0.2635	✓	0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.01018	0.010204	+0.24%	0.01479	+45.28%	0.3759	✓	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.00911	0.009145	+0.39%	0.01018	+11.75%	0.1047	✓	-0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.01023	0.010262	+0.31%	0.00911	-10.95%	0.1185	✗	-0.04
2026-06-27	oos	0.00951	0.009549	+0.41%	0.01023	+7.57%	0.0686	✓	-0.03
2026-06-26	oos	0.009675	0.009722	+0.49%	0.00951	-1.71%	0.0221	✗	-0.03
2026-06-25	oos	0.00951	0.009561	+0.53%	0.009675	+1.74%	0.0121	✓	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.01045	0.010488	+0.36%	0.00951	-9.00%	0.0997	✗	-0.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.011	0.01103	+0.27%	0.01045	-5.00%	0.0573	✗	-0.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.01209	0.012105	+0.13%	0.011	-9.02%	0.0994	✗	-0.18
2026-06-21	oos	0.012145	0.012164	+0.16%	0.01209	-0.45%	0.0041	✗	-0.18
2026-06-20	oos	0.0117	0.011732	+0.27%	0.012145	+3.80%	0.0322	✓	-0.16
2026-06-19	oos	0.012535	0.012571	+0.28%	0.0117	-6.66%	0.0702	✗	-0.13
2026-06-18	oos	0.01336	0.013391	+0.23%	0.012535	-6.18%	0.0650	✗	-0.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.01238	0.012418	+0.31%	0.01336	+7.92%	0.0722	✓	-0.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.012045	0.0121	+0.45%	0.01238	+2.78%	0.0227	✓	-0.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.01288	0.012923	+0.33%	0.012045	-6.48%	0.0706	✗	-0.03
2026-06-14	oos	0.0134	0.013443	+0.32%	0.01288	-3.88%	0.0426	✗	-0.02
2026-06-13	oos	0.013745	0.013801	+0.41%	0.0134	-2.51%	0.0293	✗	-0.01
2026-06-12	oos	0.01485	0.014911	+0.41%	0.013745	-7.44%	0.0818	✗	0.03
2026-06-11	oos	0.01551	0.015583	+0.47%	0.01485	-4.26%	0.0482	✗	0.03
2026-06-10	oos	0.015425	0.015524	+0.64%	0.01551	+0.55%	0.0011	✓	0.01
2026-06-09	oos	0.017045	0.017134	+0.52%	0.015425	-9.50%	0.1051	✗	0.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01797	0.018063	+0.52%	0.017045	-5.15%	0.0587	✗	-0.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.01781	0.017901	+0.51%	0.01797	+0.90%	0.0037	✓	-0.03
2026-06-06	oos	0.01793	0.018034	+0.58%	0.01781	-0.67%	0.0108	✗	-0.04
2026-06-05	oos	0.01961	0.01971	+0.51%	0.01793	-8.57%	0.0948	✗	-0.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.01997	0.020066	+0.48%	0.01961	-1.80%	0.0259	✗	-0.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.02101	0.021101	+0.43%	0.01997	-4.95%	0.0554	✗	-0.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.02153	0.021593	+0.29%	0.02101	-2.42%	0.0316	✗	-0.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.02205	0.022072	+0.10%	0.02153	-2.36%	0.0390	✗	-0.21
2026-05-31	oos	0.022435	0.022415	-0.09%	0.02205	-1.72%	0.0241	✓	-0.25
2026-05-30	oos	0.02147	0.02148	+0.05%	0.022435	+4.49%	0.0429	✓	-0.24
2026-05-29	oos	0.02236	0.022372	+0.05%	0.02147	-3.98%	0.0399	✗	-0.22
2026-05-28	oos	0.0211	0.021151	+0.24%	0.02236	+5.97%	0.0551	✓	-0.21
2026-05-27	oos	0.02166	0.021685	+0.11%	0.0211	-2.59%	0.0298	✗	-0.23
2026-05-26	oos	0.023105	0.023078	-0.12%	0.02166	-6.25%	0.0700	✓	-0.33
2026-05-25	oos	0.02212	0.022108	-0.05%	0.023105	+4.45%	0.0394	✗	-0.25
2026-05-24	oos	0.023125	0.023123	-0.01%	0.02212	-4.35%	0.0435	✓	-0.25
2026-05-23	oos	0.02219	0.022213	+0.11%	0.023125	+4.21%	0.0413	✓	-0.26
2026-05-22	oos	0.024525	0.024518	-0.03%	0.02219	-9.52%	0.0973	✓	-0.16
2026-05-21	oos	0.02505	0.025041	-0.03%	0.024525	-2.10%	0.0265	✓	-0.20
2026-05-20	oos	0.02708	0.027038	-0.16%	0.02505	-7.50%	0.0762	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.026065	0.026035	-0.11%	0.02708	+3.89%	0.0415	✗	-0.24
2026-05-18	oos	0.02795	0.027882	-0.24%	0.026065	-6.74%	0.0680	✓	-0.26
2026-05-17	oos	0.02865	0.028568	-0.29%	0.02795	-2.44%	0.0235	✓	-0.28
2026-05-16	oos	0.028435	0.028368	-0.24%	0.02865	+0.76%	0.0075	✗	-0.27
2026-05-15	oos	0.028395	0.028339	-0.20%	0.028435	+0.14%	0.0002	✓	-0.27
2026-05-14	oos	0.02813	0.028096	-0.12%	0.028395	+0.94%	0.0043	✗	-0.25
2026-05-13	oos	0.02913	0.029061	-0.24%	0.02813	-3.43%	0.0281	✓	-0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.02829	0.028254	-0.13%	0.02913	+2.97%	0.0284	✗	-0.14
2026-05-11	oos	0.02831	0.028289	-0.08%	0.02829	-0.07%	0.0021	✓	-0.14
2026-05-10	oos	0.02791	0.027923	+0.05%	0.02831	+1.43%	0.0131	✓	-0.12
2026-05-09	oos	0.02927	0.029266	-0.01%	0.02791	-4.65%	0.0465	✓	-0.05
2026-05-08	oos	0.02942	0.029405	-0.05%	0.02927	-0.51%	0.0104	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.0303	0.030258	-0.14%	0.02942	-2.90%	0.0304	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.03002	0.030018	-0.01%	0.0303	+0.93%	0.0271	✗	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.03032	0.030303	-0.06%	0.03002	-0.99%	0.0159	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.03088	0.030796	-0.27%	0.03032	-1.81%	0.0287	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.03038	0.030249	-0.43%	0.03088	+1.65%	0.0043	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.03163	0.03149	-0.44%	0.03038	-3.95%	0.0343	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.03198	0.031827	-0.48%	0.03163	-1.09%	0.0119	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.0334	0.033214	-0.56%	0.03198	-4.25%	0.0628	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.03484	0.034585	-0.73%	0.0334	-4.13%	0.0421	✓	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.03428	0.034033	-0.72%	0.03484	+1.63%	0.0309	✗	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.03521	0.034919	-0.83%	0.03428	-2.64%	0.0048	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.03492	0.034652	-0.77%	0.03521	+0.83%	0.0328	✗	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.036055	0.035733	-0.89%	0.03492	-3.15%	0.0361	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.03568	0.035343	-0.94%	0.036055	+1.05%	0.0175	✗	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.03717	0.036834	-0.90%	0.03568	-4.01%	0.0213	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.03588	0.035565	-0.88%	0.03717	+3.60%	0.0432	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.034745	0.034433	-0.90%	0.03588	+3.27%	0.0171	✗	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.03388	0.03359	-0.86%	0.034745	+2.55%	0.0275	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.03534	0.034984	-1.01%	0.03388	-4.13%	0.0593	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.03528	0.034888	-1.11%	0.03534	+0.17%	0.0385	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.