MICRODUCK

microduck · Robinhood · lstm_s4

token id: #784
symbol: MICRODUCK
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xd5f1afea47b1a9eab414d2ee740cf1d6d039e725
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-29
predictions: 138

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 46 predictions shown

direction hit

79.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3417

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0133

actual -0.2757

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.003037	0.002858	-5.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-21	oos	0.002985	0.002795	-6.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-20	oos	0.0018	0.001798	-0.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-19	oos	0.001942	0.001932	-0.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-18	oos	0.001786	0.001794	+0.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.002094	0.00207	-1.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-16	oos	0.002361	0.002288	-3.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-15	oos	0.002423	0.002336	-3.58%	0.003037	+25.32%	0.2383	✗	0.95
2026-10-14	oos	0.002253	0.002208	-1.98%	0.002985	+32.51%	0.2745	✗	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.002043	0.002032	-0.53%	0.0018	-11.92%	0.1194	✓	1.10
2026-10-12	oos	0.002155	0.002138	-0.75%	0.001942	-9.86%	0.0976	✓	1.12
2026-10-11	oos	0.001829	0.001845	+0.85%	0.001786	-2.38%	0.0024	✓	1.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.001829	0.001851	+1.20%	0.002094	+14.49%	0.1509	✓	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.001849	0.001874	+1.37%	0.002361	+27.75%	0.2500	✓	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.002105	0.00212	+0.71%	0.002423	+15.11%	0.1256	✓	1.52
2026-10-07	oos	0.002412	0.002383	-1.21%	0.002253	-6.59%	0.0260	✓	1.45
2026-10-06	oos	0.00238	0.002351	-1.20%	0.002043	-14.16%	0.0925	✓	1.66
2026-10-05	oos	0.002877	0.002772	-3.66%	0.002155	-25.11%	0.1745	✓	1.62
2026-10-04	oos	0.002327	0.00232	-0.29%	0.001829	-21.36%	0.1761	✓	1.84
2026-10-03	oos	0.001718	0.00174	+1.27%	0.001829	+6.46%	0.0810	✓	1.42
2026-10-02	oos	0.001685	0.001703	+1.08%	0.001849	+9.74%	0.1154	✓	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.001688	0.001702	+0.81%	0.002105	+24.70%	0.2676	✓	1.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.00239	0.002432	+1.78%	0.002412	+0.92%	0.0026	✓	1.73
2026-09-29	oos	0.003095	0.003124	+0.97%	0.00238	-23.09%	0.3101	✗	1.69
2026-09-28	oos	0.003635	0.003642	+0.17%	0.002877	-20.86%	0.2814	✗	1.69
2026-09-27	oos	0.00367	0.003686	+0.45%	0.002327	-36.61%	0.4842	✗	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.004564	0.00453	-0.75%	0.001718	-62.36%	0.9734	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.004941	0.004878	-1.29%	0.001685	-65.91%	1.0681	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.004495	0.004489	-0.14%	0.001688	-62.45%	0.9835	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.004587	0.004587	+0.00%	0.00239	-47.90%	0.6422	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.004842	0.00485	+0.17%	0.003095	-36.09%	0.4193	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.005348	0.00533	-0.34%	0.003635	-32.02%	0.3457	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.004465	0.004412	-1.20%	0.00367	-17.81%	0.2239	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.004269	0.00421	-1.38%	0.004564	+6.91%	0.0423	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.005603	0.005507	-1.71%	0.004941	-11.81%	0.1474	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.005509	0.00537	-2.51%	0.004495	-18.41%	0.2780	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.004152	-4.43%	0.004587	+5.59%	0.0029	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.005922	0.005734	-3.17%	0.004842	-18.24%	0.3005	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.008547	0.008264	-3.31%	0.005348	-37.43%	0.5375	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.006287	0.005998	-4.58%	0.004465	-28.97%	0.3504	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008404	0.008081	-3.85%	0.004269	-49.20%	0.6882	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.006361	0.005889	-7.42%	0.005603	-11.92%	0.0962	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.008453	0.008003	-5.32%	0.005509	-34.83%	0.3710	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.010485	0.010141	-3.28%	0.004344	-58.57%	0.8201	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.017855	0.017513	-1.91%	0.005922	-66.83%	1.0471	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.018005	0.01774	-1.47%	0.008547	-52.53%	0.7186	✓	1.00