MICRODUCK
microduck · Robinhood · lstm_s4
- token id
- #784
- symbol
- MICRODUCK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xd5f1afea47b1a9eab414d2ee740cf1d6d039e725
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-29
- predictions
- 138
Track record at +30d
assessed
16
of 46 predictions shown
direction hit
100.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
1.1587
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0617
actual -1.2204
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.003037 | 0.002546 | -16.15% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.002985 | 0.002449 | -17.98% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.0018 | 0.001669 | -7.26% | – | pending | – | – | 0.84 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.001942 | 0.00178 | -8.32% | – | pending | – | – | 0.88 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.001786 | 0.001666 | -6.73% | – | pending | – | – | 0.90 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.002094 | 0.001899 | -9.31% | – | pending | – | – | 0.95 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.002361 | 0.002073 | -12.21% | – | pending | – | – | 0.94 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.002423 | 0.002089 | -13.79% | – | pending | – | – | 0.95 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.002253 | 0.001977 | -12.25% | – | pending | – | – | 0.91 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.002043 | 0.001845 | -9.71% | – | pending | – | – | 1.10 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.002155 | 0.001919 | -10.95% | – | pending | – | – | 1.12 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.001829 | 0.001705 | -6.82% | – | pending | – | – | 1.50 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.001829 | 0.001717 | -6.13% | – | pending | – | – | 1.47 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.001849 | 0.001745 | -5.62% | – | pending | – | – | 1.47 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.002105 | 0.001946 | -7.56% | – | pending | – | – | 1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.002412 | 0.002132 | -11.63% | – | pending | – | – | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00238 | 0.002111 | -11.31% | – | pending | – | – | 1.66 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.002877 | 0.002337 | -18.79% | – | pending | – | – | 1.62 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.002327 | 0.002093 | -10.03% | – | pending | – | – | 1.84 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.001718 | 0.00164 | -4.53% | – | pending | – | – | 1.42 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.001685 | 0.001613 | -4.22% | – | pending | – | – | 1.41 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.001688 | 0.001616 | -4.24% | – | pending | – | – | 1.45 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00239 | 0.002319 | -2.97% | – | pending | – | – | 1.73 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.003095 | 0.002957 | -4.45% | – | pending | – | – | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.003635 | 0.003402 | -6.43% | – | pending | – | – | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00367 | 0.003449 | -6.03% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.004564 | 0.004083 | -10.53% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.004941 | 0.004317 | -12.64% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.004495 | 0.004092 | -8.97% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.004587 | 0.004191 | -8.64% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.004842 | 0.004388 | -9.37% | 0.003037 | -37.29% | 0.3450 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.005348 | 0.004732 | -11.52% | 0.002985 | -44.18% | 0.4305 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.004465 | 0.004194 | -6.08% | 0.0018 | -59.70% | 0.8677 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.004269 | 0.004076 | -4.53% | 0.001942 | -54.51% | 0.7487 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.005603 | 0.005219 | -6.85% | 0.001786 | -68.12% | 1.0863 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.005509 | 0.005209 | -5.45% | 0.002094 | -61.99% | 0.9751 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.004344 | 0.004139 | -4.71% | 0.002361 | -45.64% | 0.6292 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.005922 | 0.005671 | -4.23% | 0.002423 | -59.08% | 0.9334 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.008547 | 0.007907 | -7.49% | 0.002253 | -73.64% | 1.2979 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.006287 | 0.006021 | -4.23% | 0.002043 | -67.50% | 1.1597 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.008404 | 0.007971 | -5.15% | 0.002155 | -74.36% | 1.3647 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.006361 | 0.005952 | -6.43% | 0.001829 | -71.24% | 1.2602 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.008453 | 0.007951 | -5.94% | 0.001829 | -78.36% | 1.5495 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.010485 | 0.009936 | -5.24% | 0.001849 | -82.37% | 1.7348 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.017855 | 0.01707 | -4.40% | 0.002105 | -88.21% | 2.1335 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.018005 | 0.017323 | -3.79% | 0.002412 | -86.60% | 2.0231 | ✓ | 1.00 |