LONGXIA

? · · lstm_s4

token id: #185
symbol: LONGXIA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 144

Track record at +7d

assessed

41

of 48 predictions shown

direction hit

53.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.6261

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0247

actual -0.1736

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.02106	0.020914	-0.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-21	oos	0.021215	0.021237	+0.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.021195	0.021376	+0.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.020355	0.020718	+1.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.02088	0.021324	+2.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.02746	0.027678	+0.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-16	oos	0.029085	0.029362	+0.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-15	oos	0.029995	0.03039	+1.32%	0.02106	-29.79%	0.4027	✗	1.43
2026-10-14	oos	0.029625	0.030175	+1.86%	0.021215	-28.39%	0.3946	✗	1.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.04862	0.046557	-4.24%	0.021195	-56.41%	0.7851	✓	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.040295	0.039798	-1.23%	0.020355	-49.49%	0.6714	✓	0.77
2026-10-11	oos	0.04401	0.043191	-1.86%	0.02088	-52.56%	0.7135	✓	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.04627	0.045457	-1.76%	0.02746	-40.65%	0.4911	✓	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.046	0.045532	-1.02%	0.029085	-36.77%	0.4394	✓	0.69
2026-10-08	oos	0.05196	0.050969	-1.91%	0.029995	-42.27%	0.5343	✓	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.04116	0.041509	+0.85%	0.029625	-28.02%	0.3152	✗	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.06616	0.063701	-3.72%	0.04862	-26.51%	0.2630	✓	0.25
2026-10-05	oos	0.04544	0.04564	+0.44%	0.040295	-11.32%	0.1082	✗	0.34
2026-10-04	oos	0.04529	0.045818	+1.17%	0.04401	-2.83%	0.0289	✗	0.34
2026-10-03	oos	0.049945	0.050704	+1.52%	0.04627	-7.36%	0.0810	✗	0.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.03919	0.040079	+2.27%	0.046	+17.38%	0.1486	✓	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.110175	0.102206	-7.23%	0.05196	-52.84%	0.6737	✓	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.0359	0.036287	+1.08%	0.04116	+14.65%	0.1228	✓	-0.96
2026-09-29	oos	0.068975	0.069768	+1.15%	0.06616	-4.08%	0.0293	✗	-1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.070225	0.071007	+1.11%	0.04544	-35.29%	0.4178	✗	-1.05
2026-09-27	oos	0.08775	0.087822	+0.08%	0.04529	-48.39%	0.6313	✗	-1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.1038	0.103094	-0.68%	0.049945	-51.88%	0.7197	✓	-1.31
2026-09-25	oos	0.130175	0.128147	-1.56%	0.03919	-69.89%	1.1896	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.10344	0.10253	-0.88%	0.110175	+6.51%	0.0664	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.16812	0.162627	-3.27%	0.0359	-78.65%	1.5009	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.139465	0.136159	-2.37%	0.068975	-50.54%	0.6499	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.234285	0.222046	-5.22%	0.070225	-70.03%	1.1143	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.238305	0.224913	-5.62%	0.08775	-63.18%	0.9811	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.226335	0.213333	-5.74%	0.1038	-54.14%	0.7588	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.22224	0.208739	-6.08%	0.130175	-41.43%	0.5112	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.23069	0.214272	-7.12%	0.10344	-55.16%	0.8283	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.21309	0.197178	-7.47%	0.16812	-21.10%	0.2621	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.195995	0.180568	-7.87%	0.139465	-28.84%	0.3897	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.16108	0.149322	-7.30%	0.234285	+45.45%	0.3481	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.14472	0.133261	-7.92%	0.238305	+64.67%	0.5260	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.154585	0.138368	-10.49%	0.226335	+46.41%	0.4420	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.07052	0.068479	-2.89%	0.22224	+215.14%	1.1308	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.03809	0.038298	+0.55%	0.23069	+505.64%	1.7981	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.049155	0.048883	-0.55%	0.21309	+333.51%	1.5000	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05884	0.058172	-1.14%	0.195995	+233.10%	1.2519	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05455	0.054193	-0.65%	0.16108	+195.29%	1.1010	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.0741	0.073197	-1.22%	0.14472	+95.30%	0.7267	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.08774	0.085927	-2.07%	0.154585	+76.19%	0.6199	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.