LONGXIA

? · · lstm_s4

token id: #185
symbol: LONGXIA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

Track record at +30d

assessed

17

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

94.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

1.1897

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.1346

actual -1.2964

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.02189	0.020124	-8.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.021195	0.019706	-7.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.020355	0.019073	-6.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.02088	0.019597	-6.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.02746	0.025579	-6.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-16	oos	0.029085	0.027124	-6.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-15	oos	0.029995	0.028024	-6.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-14	oos	0.029625	0.027758	-6.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.04862	0.043537	-10.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.040295	0.036619	-9.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-11	oos	0.04401	0.03956	-10.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.04627	0.041547	-10.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.046	0.041459	-9.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-08	oos	0.05196	0.046364	-10.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.04116	0.036664	-10.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.06616	0.057323	-13.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-05	oos	0.04544	0.03937	-13.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-04	oos	0.04529	0.038773	-14.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-03	oos	0.049945	0.043033	-13.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.03919	0.0296	-24.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.110175	0.085912	-22.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.0359	0.023083	-35.70%	–	pending	–	–	-0.96
2026-09-29	oos	0.068975	0.059091	-14.33%	–	pending	–	–	-1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.070225	0.05972	-14.96%	–	pending	–	–	-1.05
2026-09-27	oos	0.08775	0.076594	-12.71%	–	pending	–	–	-1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.1038	0.091033	-12.30%	–	pending	–	–	-1.31
2026-09-25	oos	0.130175	0.114634	-11.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.10344	0.08989	-13.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.16812	0.147589	-12.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.139465	0.121841	-12.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.234285	0.203689	-13.06%	0.02189	-90.66%	2.1845	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.238305	0.205925	-13.59%	0.021195	-91.11%	2.2954	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.226335	0.195405	-13.67%	0.020355	-91.01%	2.2692	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.22224	0.190805	-14.14%	0.02088	-90.60%	2.2264	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.23069	0.194009	-15.90%	0.02746	-88.10%	2.0190	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.21309	0.177475	-16.71%	0.029085	-86.35%	1.8766	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.195995	0.161054	-17.83%	0.029995	-84.70%	1.7637	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.16108	0.135116	-16.12%	0.029625	-81.61%	1.5600	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.14472	0.120781	-16.54%	0.04862	-66.40%	0.9888	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.154585	0.115024	-25.59%	0.040295	-73.93%	1.1053	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.07052	0.062852	-10.87%	0.04401	-37.59%	0.4368	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.03809	0.03369	-11.55%	0.04627	+21.48%	0.2373	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.049155	0.045802	-6.82%	0.046	-6.42%	0.0487	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05884	0.055558	-5.58%	0.05196	-11.69%	0.1075	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05455	0.051953	-4.76%	0.04116	-24.55%	0.2844	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.0741	0.071671	-3.28%	0.06616	-10.72%	0.1427	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.08774	0.083445	-4.90%	0.04544	-48.21%	0.6793	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.