LONGXIA

? · · lstm_s4

token id: #185
symbol: LONGXIA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

Track record at +1d

assessed

46

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

52.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2375

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0159

actual -0.0313

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.02189	0.021902	+0.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.021195	0.021233	+0.18%	0.02189	+3.28%	0.0344	✓	1.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.020355	0.020407	+0.26%	0.021195	+4.13%	0.0201	✓	1.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.02088	0.020934	+0.26%	0.020355	-2.51%	0.0253	✗	1.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.02746	0.027503	+0.16%	0.02088	-23.96%	0.2865	✗	1.44
2026-10-16	oos	0.029085	0.02913	+0.16%	0.02746	-5.59%	0.0570	✗	1.44
2026-10-15	oos	0.029995	0.030044	+0.16%	0.029085	-3.03%	0.0216	✗	1.43
2026-10-14	oos	0.029625	0.029681	+0.19%	0.029995	+1.25%	0.0008	✓	1.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.04862	0.048198	-0.87%	0.029625	-39.07%	0.4695	✓	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.040295	0.040122	-0.43%	0.04862	+20.66%	0.1794	✗	0.77
2026-10-11	oos	0.04401	0.043684	-0.74%	0.040295	-8.44%	0.0653	✓	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.04627	0.045913	-0.77%	0.04401	-4.88%	0.0487	✓	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.046	0.045707	-0.64%	0.04627	+0.59%	0.0092	✗	0.69
2026-10-08	oos	0.05196	0.0515	-0.88%	0.046	-11.47%	0.1210	✓	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.04116	0.040851	-0.75%	0.05196	+26.24%	0.2610	✗	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.06616	0.065069	-1.65%	0.04116	-37.79%	0.4514	✓	0.25
2026-10-05	oos	0.04544	0.044794	-1.42%	0.06616	+45.60%	0.3908	✗	0.34
2026-10-04	oos	0.04529	0.044542	-1.65%	0.04544	+0.33%	0.0230	✗	0.34
2026-10-03	oos	0.049945	0.049154	-1.58%	0.04529	-9.32%	0.0918	✓	0.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.03919	0.03754	-4.21%	0.049945	+27.44%	0.2842	✗	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.110175	0.102723	-6.76%	0.03919	-64.43%	0.9633	✓	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.0359	0.033511	-6.65%	0.110175	+206.89%	1.2049	✗	-0.96
2026-09-29	oos	0.068975	0.068131	-1.22%	0.0359	-47.95%	0.6417	✓	-1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.070225	0.069292	-1.33%	0.068975	-1.78%	0.0023	✓	-1.05
2026-09-27	oos	0.08775	0.08689	-0.98%	0.070225	-19.97%	0.2284	✓	-1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.1038	0.102773	-0.99%	0.08775	-15.46%	0.1573	✓	-1.31
2026-09-25	oos	0.130175	0.128792	-1.06%	0.1038	-20.26%	0.2196	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.10344	0.102369	-1.04%	0.130175	+25.85%	0.2438	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.16812	0.166042	-1.24%	0.10344	-38.47%	0.4733	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.139465	0.137897	-1.12%	0.16812	+20.55%	0.2195	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.234285	0.230137	-1.77%	0.139465	-40.47%	0.4963	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.238305	0.233732	-1.92%	0.234285	-1.69%	0.0625	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.226335	0.221823	-1.99%	0.238305	+5.29%	0.0726	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.22224	0.217319	-2.21%	0.226335	+1.84%	0.0362	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.23069	0.223967	-2.91%	0.22224	-3.66%	0.0653	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.21309	0.206269	-3.20%	0.23069	+8.26%	0.1092	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.195995	0.188838	-3.65%	0.21309	+8.72%	0.1134	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.16108	0.156201	-3.03%	0.195995	+21.68%	0.2607	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.14472	0.139727	-3.45%	0.16108	+11.30%	0.1245	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.154585	0.142157	-8.04%	0.14472	-6.38%	0.0239	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.07052	0.06961	-1.29%	0.154585	+119.21%	0.7971	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.03809	0.037832	-0.68%	0.07052	+85.14%	0.6140	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.049155	0.049075	-0.16%	0.03809	-22.51%	0.2308	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05884	0.058747	-0.16%	0.049155	-16.46%	0.1762	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05455	0.05454	-0.02%	0.05884	+7.86%	0.0841	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.0741	0.074032	-0.09%	0.05455	-26.38%	0.2897	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.08774	0.087417	-0.37%	0.0741	-15.55%	0.1716	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.