KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · lstm_s4

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 480

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

153

of 160 predictions shown

direction hit

51.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1710

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0049

actual -0.0446

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.030038	0.028881	-3.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.029377	-3.68%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.028325	-3.54%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.028491	-3.74%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.033638	-3.61%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.034903	-3.83%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.032267	-4.31%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.030758	-3.64%	0.030038	-5.89%	0.0225	✓	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.027879	-3.45%	0.030499	+5.63%	0.0898	✗	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.026422	-3.59%	0.029365	+7.16%	0.1056	✗	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.024129	-3.63%	0.029598	+18.22%	0.2061	✗	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.024128	-3.53%	0.034899	+39.53%	0.3711	✗	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.02425	-3.77%	0.036292	+44.02%	0.4045	✗	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.023893	-3.74%	0.03372	+35.85%	0.3439	✗	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.020032	-3.26%	0.031919	+54.14%	0.4706	✗	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.021941	-3.39%	0.028875	+27.13%	0.2792	✗	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.02543	-5.25%	0.027404	+2.11%	0.0824	✗	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.019618	-3.47%	0.025037	+23.20%	0.2530	✗	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.018713	-3.07%	0.025012	+29.56%	0.2957	✗	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.021217	-3.60%	0.025199	+14.50%	0.1781	✗	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.020754	-3.41%	0.024821	+15.52%	0.1887	✗	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.023184	-3.98%	0.020707	-14.24%	0.1121	✓	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.025245	-5.15%	0.022712	-14.67%	0.1114	✓	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.030065	-9.44%	0.026838	-19.16%	0.1193	✓	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.01463	-0.36%	0.020323	+38.41%	0.3131	✗	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.014924	-0.57%	0.019305	+28.62%	0.2549	✗	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.013559	+0.58%	0.022008	+63.25%	0.4812	✓	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.013321	+0.69%	0.021486	+62.40%	0.4745	✓	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.013746	+0.77%	0.024146	+77.02%	0.5697	✓	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.013828	+2.03%	0.026617	+96.40%	0.6737	✓	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.014058	+2.32%	0.033197	+141.61%	0.8832	✓	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.013521	+0.08%	0.014683	+8.68%	0.0521	✓	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.013835	+0.10%	0.01501	+8.60%	0.0525	✓	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.01354	+0.22%	0.013481	-0.22%	0.0333	✗	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.013834	-0.44%	0.01323	-4.78%	0.1322	✓	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.013867	-0.60%	0.01364	-2.23%	0.1073	✓	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.013079	-0.12%	0.013553	+3.49%	0.0846	✓	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.013034	+0.15%	0.01374	+5.57%	0.0462	✗	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.013251	+0.05%	0.01351	+2.01%	0.0344	✗	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.013988	-0.01%	0.013822	-1.20%	0.0600	✓	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.013977	+0.06%	0.01351	-3.28%	0.0772	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.013906	+0.10%	0.013894	+0.01%	0.0014	✓	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.014062	+0.68%	0.013951	-0.12%	0.0186	✓	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.014309	+0.92%	0.013095	-7.64%	0.0545	✗	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.01512	+1.31%	0.013015	-12.80%	0.1394	✗	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.016052	+2.00%	0.013244	-15.85%	0.1523	✗	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.016021	+2.08%	0.01399	-10.86%	0.1062	✗	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.016736	+2.24%	0.013969	-14.66%	0.1563	✗	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.017232	+2.62%	0.013893	-17.26%	0.1721	✗	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.017685	+1.64%	0.013968	-19.72%	0.2489	✗	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.018138	+1.95%	0.014179	-20.31%	0.2603	✗	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.018619	+2.62%	0.014925	-17.74%	0.2276	✗	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.018194	+2.59%	0.015738	-11.26%	0.1803	✗	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.018042	+2.77%	0.015695	-10.60%	0.1627	✗	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.018422	+2.85%	0.016369	-8.61%	0.1456	✗	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.018297	+2.85%	0.016792	-5.61%	0.1017	✗	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.01775	+2.88%	0.0174	+0.85%	0.0082	✓	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.018716	+2.92%	0.017791	-2.16%	0.0319	✗	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.019265	+2.92%	0.018144	-3.07%	0.0528	✗	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.020909	+2.77%	0.017735	-12.83%	0.1635	✗	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.018677	+2.62%	0.017556	-3.54%	0.0832	✗	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.018019	+2.66%	0.017912	+2.05%	0.0030	✓	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.017506	+1.24%	0.01779	+2.89%	0.1310	✗	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.016891	+0.22%	0.017253	+2.37%	0.1811	✗	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.015909	-0.30%	0.018184	+13.96%	0.1850	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.017417	-1.38%	0.018718	+5.99%	0.2529	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.017455	-1.77%	0.020346	+14.50%	0.1952	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.01755	-1.99%	0.0182	+1.65%	0.2978	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.017484	-2.08%	0.017552	-1.70%	0.3585	✓	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.017175	-1.77%	0.017291	-1.11%	0.2367	✓	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.016955	-1.77%	0.016853	-2.36%	0.1458	✓	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.017968	-2.51%	0.015957	-13.42%	0.1464	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.017618	-2.26%	0.01766	-2.02%	0.0118	✓	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.016989	-1.45%	0.01777	+3.07%	0.0986	✗	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.016796	-1.20%	0.017905	+5.32%	0.1142	✗	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.0175	-1.74%	0.017855	+0.25%	0.0714	✗	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.017871	-2.02%	0.017485	-4.14%	0.0008	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.01812	-2.19%	0.01726	-6.83%	0.0169	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.017969	-2.26%	0.01843	+0.24%	0.0404	✗	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.016957	-1.81%	0.018025	+4.37%	0.0483	✗	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.015794	-1.35%	0.01724	+7.68%	0.0494	✗	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.014681	-0.90%	0.017	+14.75%	0.0870	✗	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.015076	-0.85%	0.01781	+17.13%	0.1092	✗	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.016746	-1.49%	0.01824	+7.29%	0.0977	✗	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.015266	-0.74%	0.018525	+20.45%	0.1749	✗	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.014258	-0.36%	0.018385	+28.48%	0.2489	✗	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013528	+0.06%	0.01727	+27.74%	0.2502	✓	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.017036	-1.53%	0.01601	-7.46%	0.0188	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.013104	+0.42%	0.014815	+13.52%	0.1545	✓	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.01412	+0.03%	0.015205	+7.72%	0.1005	✓	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.013639	+0.18%	0.017	+24.86%	0.2272	✓	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.013111	+0.39%	0.01538	+17.76%	0.2073	✓	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.013046	+0.35%	0.01431	+10.08%	0.1507	✓	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.015108	-0.08%	0.01352	-10.58%	0.0746	✓	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.015975	-0.12%	0.0173	+8.16%	0.0638	✗	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.015624	+0.09%	0.01305	-16.40%	0.1679	✗	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.016218	+0.26%	0.014115	-12.74%	0.1435	✗	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.019018	-0.01%	0.013615	-28.42%	0.3661	✓	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.019478	-0.06%	0.01306	-32.99%	0.4336	✓	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.02085	-0.29%	0.013	-37.83%	0.5100	✓	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.020133	-0.26%	0.01512	-25.09%	0.3618	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.020655	-0.46%	0.015995	-22.92%	0.2801	✓	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.020444	-0.42%	0.01561	-23.96%	0.2962	✓	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.020853	-0.46%	0.016175	-22.79%	0.2479	✓	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.020215	-0.15%	0.01902	-6.05%	0.0762	✓	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.02002	+0.13%	0.01949	-2.53%	0.0899	✗	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.020982	-0.21%	0.02091	-0.55%	0.0454	✓	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.021993	-0.44%	0.020185	-8.62%	0.0413	✓	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.021319	-0.19%	0.02075	-2.86%	0.0310	✓	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.020318	+0.21%	0.02053	+1.26%	0.0065	✗	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.021264	+0.11%	0.02095	-1.37%	0.0548	✗	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.022817	-0.21%	0.020245	-11.46%	0.1641	✓	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.023006	+0.42%	0.019995	-12.72%	0.2022	✗	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.023968	+0.58%	0.021025	-11.77%	0.2680	✗	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.02641	-1.25%	0.02209	-17.41%	0.2834	✓	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.025967	-0.68%	0.02136	-18.30%	0.3066	✓	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.025234	-0.16%	0.020275	-19.78%	0.3045	✓	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.026336	-0.54%	0.02124	-19.79%	0.2840	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.025372	+0.37%	0.022865	-9.55%	0.1522	✗	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.024336	+0.81%	0.02291	-5.10%	0.0312	✗	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.025602	+0.12%	0.02383	-6.80%	0.0476	✓	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.029326	-1.18%	0.026745	-9.87%	0.0107	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.029985	-1.11%	0.026145	-13.77%	0.0332	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.030076	-0.87%	0.025275	-16.69%	0.0547	✓	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.027511	+0.22%	0.02648	-3.53%	0.0526	✓	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.026526	+0.82%	0.02528	-3.91%	0.0326	✓	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.028645	+0.30%	0.02414	-15.48%	0.0855	✗	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.029446	+0.26%	0.02557	-12.94%	0.0680	✗	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.029719	+0.33%	0.029675	+0.19%	0.0554	✓	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.030847	+0.35%	0.03032	-1.37%	0.0441	✓	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.032107	+0.32%	0.03034	-5.20%	0.0513	✗	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.031255	+0.79%	0.02745	-11.48%	0.1282	✗	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.030682	+1.16%	0.02631	-13.25%	0.1367	✗	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.03149	+1.50%	0.02856	-7.95%	0.1776	✗	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.031992	+1.63%	0.02937	-6.70%	0.1886	✗	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.032937	+1.66%	0.02962	-8.58%	0.1916	✗	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.035195	+1.54%	0.03074	-11.31%	0.1997	✗	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.038395	+1.44%	0.032005	-15.44%	0.3101	✗	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.028711	+2.58%	0.03101	+10.79%	0.0049	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.034876	+2.06%	0.03033	-11.24%	0.1358	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.03833	+1.89%	0.031025	-17.53%	0.1701	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.037505	+1.94%	0.03148	-14.43%	0.0976	✗	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.041839	+0.07%	0.0324	-22.51%	0.1327	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.048746	-2.51%	0.03466	-30.68%	0.1907	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.061172	-9.41%	0.03785	-43.95%	0.2875	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.038569	+0.83%	0.02799	-26.82%	0.1365	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.03717	+1.09%	0.03417	-7.07%	0.0574	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.039453	+0.70%	0.03762	-3.98%	0.1012	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.044202	-0.36%	0.03679	-17.06%	0.0547	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.05061	-1.66%	0.04181	-18.76%	0.1111	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.053628	-1.98%	0.05	-8.61%	0.0249	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.052441	-1.76%	0.06753	+26.51%	0.2912	✗	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.055054	-1.69%	0.03825	-31.70%	0.3362	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.052454	-2.06%	0.03677	-31.34%	0.3018	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.05253	-2.20%	0.03918	-27.05%	0.2516	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.060612	-2.39%	0.04436	-28.56%	0.2998	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.059705	-2.39%	0.051465	-15.86%	0.1525	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.07214	-2.79%	0.05471	-26.28%	0.2710	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.074339	-2.82%	0.05338	-30.22%	0.3124	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.091201	-3.03%	0.056	-40.46%	0.4409	✓	1.00