KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · lstm_s4

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 480

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

159

of 160 predictions shown

direction hit

48.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0683

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0006

actual -0.0086

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.030038	0.029756	-0.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.030243	-0.84%	0.030038	-1.51%	0.0068	✓	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.029144	-0.75%	0.030499	+3.86%	0.0456	✗	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.029333	-0.90%	0.029365	-0.79%	0.0009	✓	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.034579	-0.92%	0.029598	-15.19%	0.1549	✓	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.035855	-1.20%	0.034899	-3.84%	0.0271	✓	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.033188	-1.58%	0.036292	+7.63%	0.0888	✗	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.031623	-0.93%	0.03372	+5.64%	0.0648	✗	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.028655	-0.76%	0.031919	+10.54%	0.1077	✗	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.027173	-0.85%	0.028875	+5.36%	0.0610	✗	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.024814	-0.89%	0.027404	+9.46%	0.1013	✗	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.024782	-0.92%	0.025037	+0.10%	0.0093	✗	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.024925	-1.09%	0.025012	-0.74%	0.0030	✓	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.024571	-1.01%	0.025199	+1.52%	0.0241	✗	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.020574	-0.64%	0.024821	+19.87%	0.1921	✗	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.02252	-0.85%	0.020707	-8.83%	0.0797	✓	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.026173	-2.48%	0.022712	-15.37%	0.1414	✓	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.020142	-0.89%	0.026838	+32.06%	0.2894	✗	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.019193	-0.58%	0.020323	+5.27%	0.0520	✗	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.021791	-0.98%	0.019305	-12.28%	0.1218	✓	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.021295	-0.89%	0.022008	+2.43%	0.0340	✗	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.023805	-1.41%	0.021486	-11.02%	0.1066	✓	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.025935	-2.56%	0.024146	-9.28%	0.0712	✓	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.030959	-6.74%	0.026617	-19.82%	0.1516	✓	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.014591	-0.63%	0.033197	+126.09%	0.8299	✗	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.014914	-0.64%	0.014683	-2.18%	0.0160	✓	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.013529	+0.35%	0.01501	+11.34%	0.1014	✓	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.013275	+0.34%	0.013481	+1.90%	0.0177	✓	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.013684	+0.32%	0.01323	-3.01%	0.0338	✗	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.013598	+0.34%	0.01364	+0.65%	0.0164	✓	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.01378	+0.29%	0.013553	-1.36%	0.0137	✗	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.013542	+0.24%	0.01374	+1.70%	0.0348	✗	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.013851	+0.21%	0.01351	-2.25%	0.0242	✗	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.013545	+0.25%	0.013822	+2.30%	0.0169	✓	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.013912	+0.13%	0.01351	-2.76%	0.0797	✗	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.013946	-0.04%	0.013894	-0.41%	0.0061	✓	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.013134	+0.29%	0.013951	+6.53%	0.0536	✓	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.013054	+0.30%	0.013095	+0.62%	0.0358	✓	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.013282	+0.28%	0.013015	-1.73%	0.0376	✗	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.014021	+0.22%	0.013244	-5.33%	0.0512	✗	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.014004	+0.25%	0.01399	+0.15%	0.0016	✓	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.013932	+0.28%	0.013969	+0.54%	0.0056	✗	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.014029	+0.44%	0.013893	-0.54%	0.0119	✓	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.014245	+0.47%	0.013968	-1.48%	0.0177	✗	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.014997	+0.48%	0.014179	-5.00%	0.0487	✗	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.015816	+0.49%	0.014925	-5.17%	0.0441	✗	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.015774	+0.50%	0.015738	+0.27%	0.0080	✗	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.016451	+0.50%	0.015695	-4.12%	0.0486	✗	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.016857	+0.39%	0.016369	-2.52%	0.0151	✗	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.01748	+0.46%	0.016792	-3.50%	0.0915	✗	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.017879	+0.49%	0.0174	-2.20%	0.0259	✗	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.018229	+0.47%	0.017791	-1.95%	0.0100	✗	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.017821	+0.48%	0.018144	+2.31%	0.0060	✓	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.017625	+0.39%	0.017735	+1.02%	0.0147	✓	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.017982	+0.39%	0.017556	-1.98%	0.0299	✗	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.017822	+0.18%	0.017912	+0.68%	0.0447	✓	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.017284	+0.18%	0.01779	+3.11%	0.0088	✓	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.018212	+0.16%	0.017253	-5.12%	0.0623	✗	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.018731	+0.07%	0.018184	-2.86%	0.0219	✗	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.020359	+0.06%	0.018718	-8.00%	0.1068	✗	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.018224	+0.13%	0.020346	+11.79%	0.0979	✓	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.017559	+0.04%	0.0182	+3.69%	0.0593	✓	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.01733	+0.22%	0.017552	+1.51%	0.0962	✗	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.016892	+0.23%	0.017291	+2.60%	0.0571	✗	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.015989	+0.20%	0.016853	+5.62%	0.0607	✗	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.017643	-0.09%	0.015957	-9.64%	0.1055	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.017735	-0.20%	0.01766	-0.62%	0.0465	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.01786	-0.25%	0.01777	-0.75%	0.0003	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.017806	-0.27%	0.017905	+0.28%	0.0044	✗	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.01746	-0.14%	0.017855	+2.12%	0.0347	✗	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.017232	-0.16%	0.017485	+1.30%	0.0142	✗	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.01836	-0.38%	0.01726	-6.35%	0.0589	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.017972	-0.30%	0.01843	+2.25%	0.0348	✗	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.017236	-0.02%	0.018025	+4.55%	0.0695	✗	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.01701	+0.06%	0.01724	+1.41%	0.0150	✓	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.017791	-0.11%	0.017	-4.55%	0.0459	✓	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.018206	-0.19%	0.01781	-2.36%	0.0386	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.018473	-0.28%	0.01824	-1.54%	0.0039	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.018323	-0.34%	0.018525	+0.76%	0.0049	✓	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.01723	-0.23%	0.018385	+6.46%	0.0482	✗	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.01599	-0.13%	0.01727	+7.87%	0.0780	✗	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.014814	-0.01%	0.01601	+8.07%	0.0569	✗	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.015212	+0.04%	0.014815	-2.56%	0.0247	✗	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.016954	-0.27%	0.015205	-10.56%	0.0571	✓	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.015394	+0.09%	0.017	+10.53%	0.0776	✓	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.014337	+0.19%	0.01538	+7.48%	0.0689	✓	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013563	+0.31%	0.01431	+5.84%	0.0497	✓	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.017235	-0.37%	0.01352	-21.85%	0.2041	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.013109	+0.45%	0.0173	+32.57%	0.2562	✓	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.014164	+0.35%	0.01305	-7.55%	0.0863	✗	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.013667	+0.38%	0.014115	+3.67%	0.0528	✓	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.013119	+0.46%	0.013615	+4.25%	0.0594	✓	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.013057	+0.43%	0.01306	+0.46%	0.0095	✓	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.01516	+0.27%	0.013	-14.02%	0.1843	✗	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.016034	+0.24%	0.01512	-5.47%	0.0715	✗	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.015663	+0.34%	0.015995	+2.47%	0.0238	✓	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.016238	+0.39%	0.01561	-3.49%	0.0616	✗	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.019076	+0.30%	0.016175	-14.96%	0.1681	✗	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.019541	+0.26%	0.01902	-2.41%	0.0032	✗	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.020948	+0.18%	0.01949	-6.79%	0.0653	✗	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.020225	+0.20%	0.02091	+3.59%	0.0365	✗	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.020775	+0.12%	0.020185	-2.72%	0.0101	✓	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.020559	+0.14%	0.02075	+1.07%	0.0101	✓	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.02098	+0.14%	0.02053	-2.00%	0.0124	✗	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.020299	+0.27%	0.02095	+3.48%	0.0072	✓	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.020065	+0.35%	0.020245	+1.25%	0.0152	✗	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.021078	+0.25%	0.019995	-4.90%	0.0248	✗	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.022132	+0.19%	0.021025	-4.82%	0.0341	✗	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.021415	+0.26%	0.02209	+3.42%	0.0206	✓	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.020347	+0.35%	0.02136	+5.35%	0.0364	✓	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.021312	+0.34%	0.020275	-4.54%	0.0641	✗	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.022925	+0.26%	0.02124	-7.11%	0.1038	✗	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.023013	+0.45%	0.022865	-0.20%	0.0481	✗	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.023948	+0.50%	0.02291	-3.86%	0.0865	✗	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.026746	+0.00%	0.02383	-10.90%	0.0687	✗	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.026192	+0.18%	0.026745	+2.29%	0.0017	✓	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.025355	+0.32%	0.026145	+3.44%	0.0436	✓	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.026541	+0.23%	0.025275	-4.55%	0.0470	✗	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.025394	+0.45%	0.02648	+4.75%	0.0337	✓	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.024273	+0.55%	0.02528	+4.72%	0.0773	✓	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.025676	+0.42%	0.02414	-5.59%	0.0146	✗	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.029691	+0.06%	0.02557	-13.83%	0.1147	✗	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.030345	+0.08%	0.029675	-2.13%	0.0414	✗	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.030383	+0.14%	0.03032	-0.07%	0.0247	✓	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.027562	+0.41%	0.03034	+10.53%	0.0771	✓	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.026448	+0.53%	0.02745	+4.33%	0.0225	✓	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.028671	+0.39%	0.02631	-7.88%	0.0478	✗	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.029478	+0.37%	0.02856	-2.76%	0.0032	✓	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.029728	+0.37%	0.02937	-0.84%	0.0038	✓	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.030853	+0.37%	0.02962	-3.64%	0.0546	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.032117	+0.35%	0.03074	-3.95%	0.0763	✗	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.031149	+0.45%	0.032005	+3.21%	0.0049	✓	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.030489	+0.53%	0.03101	+2.24%	0.0175	✓	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.03121	+0.60%	0.03033	-2.24%	0.0854	✗	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.031674	+0.62%	0.031025	-1.45%	0.0142	✗	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.032606	+0.64%	0.03148	-2.84%	0.0028	✓	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.034877	+0.63%	0.0324	-6.52%	0.0671	✗	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.038077	+0.60%	0.03466	-8.43%	0.1826	✗	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.028204	+0.77%	0.03785	+35.23%	0.3002	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.034403	+0.68%	0.02799	-18.09%	0.1618	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.037867	+0.66%	0.03417	-9.17%	0.0991	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.037042	+0.68%	0.03762	+2.26%	0.0556	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.041948	+0.33%	0.03679	-12.01%	0.0637	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.049745	-0.51%	0.04181	-16.38%	0.1426	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.063988	-5.25%	0.05	-25.96%	0.2440	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.038451	+0.53%	0.06753	+76.55%	0.5577	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.036975	+0.56%	0.03825	+4.03%	0.0359	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.039372	+0.49%	0.03677	-6.15%	0.0575	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.044487	+0.29%	0.03918	-11.68%	0.1069	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.051432	-0.07%	0.04436	-13.81%	0.1293	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.054622	-0.16%	0.051465	-5.93%	0.0631	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.053345	-0.06%	0.05471	+2.49%	0.0210	✗	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.055986	-0.03%	0.05338	-4.68%	0.0635	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.053481	-0.14%	0.056	+4.57%	0.0735	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.053612	-0.18%	0.053555	-0.29%	0.0020	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.061949	-0.24%	0.05371	-13.50%	0.1519	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.061048	-0.19%	0.062095	+1.52%	0.0193	✗	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.073932	-0.37%	0.061165	-17.58%	0.1836	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.076227	-0.36%	0.07421	-2.99%	0.0178	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.093609	-0.47%	0.0765	-18.66%	0.1897	✓	1.00