KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · lstm_s4

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 480

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

130

of 160 predictions shown

direction hit

76.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4002

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0326

actual -0.2225

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.030038	0.026726	-11.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.027304	-10.48%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.026389	-10.14%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.026518	-10.41%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.03152	-9.68%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.032859	-9.46%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.030277	-10.21%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.028834	-9.66%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.026127	-9.52%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.024725	-9.78%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.022579	-9.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.022715	-9.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.022792	-9.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.022406	-9.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.018817	-9.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.020687	-8.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.023777	-11.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.018498	-8.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.017659	-8.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.019983	-9.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.019594	-8.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.021858	-9.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.023682	-11.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.027002	-18.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.014809	+0.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.015	-0.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.013427	-0.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.013213	-0.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.013666	+0.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.014068	+3.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.014408	+4.86%	0.030038	+118.62%	0.7646	✓	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.01331	-1.49%	0.030499	+125.75%	0.8127	✗	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.013635	-1.35%	0.029365	+112.46%	0.7616	✗	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.013359	-1.12%	0.029598	+119.08%	0.7853	✗	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.013494	-2.88%	0.034899	+151.18%	0.8944	✗	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.01352	-3.09%	0.036292	+160.14%	0.9273	✗	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.012563	-4.07%	0.03372	+157.49%	0.9115	✗	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.012623	-3.01%	0.031919	+145.24%	0.8866	✗	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.012816	-3.23%	0.028875	+118.02%	0.7354	✗	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.013581	-2.92%	0.027404	+95.89%	0.6480	✗	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.013593	-2.69%	0.025037	+79.24%	0.5359	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.013515	-2.72%	0.025012	+80.03%	0.5403	✗	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.013783	-1.33%	0.025199	+80.41%	0.5526	✗	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.014063	-0.81%	0.024821	+75.06%	0.5310	✗	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.014963	+0.26%	0.020707	+38.74%	0.2782	✓	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.016107	+2.35%	0.022712	+44.31%	0.2879	✓	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.016085	+2.48%	0.026838	+71.00%	0.4477	✓	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.016864	+3.03%	0.020323	+24.16%	0.1225	✓	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.017606	+4.85%	0.019305	+14.97%	0.0618	✓	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.017652	+1.45%	0.022008	+26.48%	0.1289	✓	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.018205	+2.33%	0.021486	+20.77%	0.0699	✓	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.01894	+4.39%	0.024146	+33.08%	0.1838	✓	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.018486	+4.23%	0.026617	+50.08%	0.2872	✓	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.018475	+5.23%	0.033197	+89.09%	0.5115	✓	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.01891	+5.58%	0.014683	-18.02%	0.3492	✗	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.018986	+6.72%	0.01501	-15.63%	0.2998	✗	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.018426	+6.80%	0.013481	-21.86%	0.3919	✗	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.019481	+7.13%	0.01323	-27.24%	0.4802	✗	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.020139	+7.59%	0.01364	-27.13%	0.4781	✗	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.021823	+7.26%	0.013553	-33.39%	0.6241	✗	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.019374	+6.45%	0.01374	-24.51%	0.5071	✗	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.018767	+6.92%	0.01351	-23.03%	0.3796	✗	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.017686	+2.28%	0.013822	-20.07%	0.4120	✗	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.016668	-1.09%	0.01351	-19.83%	0.4481	✓	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.015481	-2.99%	0.013894	-12.93%	0.3806	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.01675	-5.15%	0.013951	-21.00%	0.4492	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.016675	-6.16%	0.013095	-26.31%	0.5443	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.016727	-6.58%	0.013015	-27.31%	0.6091	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.016647	-6.77%	0.013244	-25.82%	0.5584	✓	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.016428	-6.05%	0.01399	-19.99%	0.5018	✓	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.016221	-6.02%	0.013969	-19.07%	0.4593	✓	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.017015	-7.68%	0.013893	-24.62%	0.4909	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.016756	-7.04%	0.013968	-22.51%	0.5081	✓	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.016361	-5.10%	0.014179	-17.76%	0.4672	✓	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.016248	-4.42%	0.014925	-12.21%	0.4210	✓	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.016804	-5.65%	0.015738	-11.63%	0.4312	✓	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.0171	-6.25%	0.015695	-13.95%	0.4581	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.01732	-6.50%	0.016369	-11.64%	0.4132	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.017169	-6.62%	0.016792	-8.67%	0.4627	✓	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.016315	-5.53%	0.0174	+0.75%	0.2954	✓	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.015278	-4.57%	0.017791	+11.12%	0.2072	✓	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.014285	-3.58%	0.018144	+22.47%	0.1597	✓	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.014713	-3.23%	0.017735	+16.64%	0.1899	✓	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.016325	-3.97%	0.017556	+3.27%	0.2579	✓	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.014921	-2.98%	0.017912	+16.46%	0.1505	✓	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.013964	-2.42%	0.01779	+24.32%	0.1414	✓	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013216	-2.25%	0.017253	+27.61%	0.0915	✓	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.016585	-4.13%	0.018184	+5.11%	0.1866	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.012655	-3.03%	0.018718	+43.44%	0.1200	✗	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.013659	-3.23%	0.020346	+44.14%	0.1414	✗	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.013165	-3.31%	0.0182	+33.68%	0.0920	✗	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.01264	-3.22%	0.017552	+34.40%	0.0881	✗	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.012558	-3.40%	0.017291	+33.01%	0.1875	✗	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.014671	-2.97%	0.016853	+11.46%	0.0447	✗	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.015548	-2.79%	0.015957	-0.24%	0.0259	✓	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.015207	-2.58%	0.01766	+13.13%	0.1573	✗	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.015804	-2.29%	0.01777	+9.86%	0.1436	✗	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.018635	-2.02%	0.017905	-5.86%	0.0209	✓	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.019107	-1.97%	0.017855	-8.39%	0.0236	✓	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.020427	-2.31%	0.017485	-16.38%	0.1162	✓	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.019638	-2.71%	0.01726	-14.49%	0.1588	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.020162	-2.83%	0.01843	-11.18%	0.0844	✓	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.019963	-2.76%	0.018025	-12.20%	0.1057	✓	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.020367	-2.78%	0.01724	-17.71%	0.1852	✓	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.019746	-2.46%	0.017	-16.03%	0.1938	✓	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.019532	-2.31%	0.01781	-10.93%	0.1597	✓	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.020477	-2.61%	0.01824	-13.25%	0.1396	✓	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.021448	-2.90%	0.018525	-16.14%	0.1616	✓	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.020761	-2.80%	0.018385	-13.93%	0.1332	✓	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.019686	-2.90%	0.01727	-14.82%	0.1403	✓	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.020588	-3.07%	0.01601	-24.62%	0.2759	✓	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.022023	-3.68%	0.014815	-35.21%	0.4303	✓	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.022169	-3.23%	0.015205	-33.63%	0.4546	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.022974	-3.59%	0.017	-28.66%	0.4762	✓	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.025055	-6.32%	0.01538	-42.49%	0.5899	✓	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.024652	-5.71%	0.01431	-45.27%	0.6621	✓	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.023976	-5.14%	0.01352	-46.51%	0.6747	✓	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.025015	-5.53%	0.0173	-34.67%	0.5117	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.024104	-4.65%	0.01305	-48.38%	0.7349	✓	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.023143	-4.13%	0.014115	-41.53%	0.5801	✓	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.024366	-4.71%	0.013615	-46.75%	0.6481	✓	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.02783	-6.22%	0.01306	-55.99%	0.8119	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.028379	-6.40%	0.013	-57.12%	0.8663	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.028484	-6.12%	0.01512	-50.16%	0.6597	✓	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.026019	-5.21%	0.015995	-41.73%	0.5169	✓	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.025102	-4.59%	0.01561	-40.67%	0.5218	✓	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.027176	-4.85%	0.016175	-43.36%	0.5055	✓	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.028069	-4.43%	0.01902	-35.24%	0.3441	✓	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.028417	-4.06%	0.01949	-34.20%	0.3392	✓	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.029555	-3.85%	0.02091	-31.98%	0.3284	✓	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.030716	-4.03%	0.020185	-36.93%	0.3632	✓	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.029866	-3.69%	0.02075	-33.09%	0.3692	✓	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.029344	-3.25%	0.02053	-32.31%	0.3624	✓	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.030089	-3.02%	0.02095	-32.47%	0.4337	✓	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.030583	-2.85%	0.020245	-35.69%	0.4523	✓	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.031571	-2.56%	0.019995	-38.29%	0.4341	✓	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.033752	-2.62%	0.021025	-39.34%	0.4739	✓	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.036612	-3.27%	0.02209	-41.64%	0.6184	✓	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.027238	-2.69%	0.02136	-23.69%	0.3265	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.033268	-2.64%	0.020275	-40.66%	0.4839	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.036693	-2.46%	0.02124	-43.54%	0.5227	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.036035	-2.05%	0.022865	-37.85%	0.3741	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.040284	-3.65%	0.02291	-45.20%	0.3910	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.045893	-8.21%	0.02383	-52.34%	0.4265	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.052504	-22.25%	0.026745	-60.40%	0.4706	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.036391	-4.86%	0.026145	-31.65%	0.1207	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.035139	-4.44%	0.025275	-31.26%	0.1253	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.037314	-4.76%	0.02648	-32.41%	0.1290	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.041687	-6.02%	0.02528	-43.01%	0.2611	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.047282	-8.13%	0.02414	-53.09%	0.4358	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.049981	-8.64%	0.02557	-53.26%	0.4642	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.049011	-8.18%	0.029675	-44.41%	0.3206	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.051486	-8.06%	0.03032	-45.86%	0.3530	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.048839	-8.81%	0.03034	-43.35%	0.2875	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.048814	-9.12%	0.02745	-48.89%	0.3763	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.056336	-9.27%	0.02631	-57.63%	0.5618	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.055486	-9.28%	0.02856	-53.31%	0.4869	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.066936	-9.80%	0.02937	-60.42%	0.6585	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.069025	-9.77%	0.02962	-61.28%	0.6818	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.084924	-9.70%	0.03074	-67.32%	0.8312	✓	1.00