HMM

Thinking Cat · Robinhood · lstm_s4

token id: #766
symbol: HMM
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-12
predictions: 189

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 63 predictions shown

direction hit

73.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2641

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0147

actual -0.1307

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.007225	0.007197	-0.38%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-21	oos	0.007181	0.007182	+0.02%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-20	oos	0.006935	0.006989	+0.78%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.006911	0.007001	+1.30%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.007476	0.007528	+0.69%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.008448	0.008417	-0.37%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-16	oos	0.008892	0.008823	-0.79%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-15	oos	0.008617	0.008563	-0.63%	0.007225	-16.16%	0.2553	✓	3.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.009034	0.008964	-0.78%	0.007181	-20.52%	0.3226	✓	3.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.008849	0.008779	-0.79%	0.006935	-21.63%	0.2289	✓	3.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.008725	0.008679	-0.53%	0.006911	-20.79%	0.2318	✓	3.48
2026-10-11	oos	0.009124	0.009049	-0.82%	0.007476	-18.06%	0.1194	✓	3.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.010989	0.010887	-0.94%	0.008448	-23.13%	0.1870	✓	3.58
2026-10-09	oos	0.010006	0.00993	-0.76%	0.008892	-11.13%	0.0648	✓	3.58
2026-10-08	oos	0.008488	0.008471	-0.20%	0.008617	+1.52%	0.0016	✓	3.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.010855	0.010781	-0.68%	0.009034	-16.78%	0.1058	✓	3.43
2026-10-06	oos	0.012157	0.01206	-0.80%	0.008849	-27.22%	0.2103	✓	3.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.011895	0.01182	-0.64%	0.008725	-26.65%	0.1384	✓	3.45
2026-10-04	oos	0.013768	0.013558	-1.52%	0.009124	-33.73%	0.2827	✓	3.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.014797	0.014291	-3.42%	0.010989	-25.73%	0.1869	✓	3.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.013097	0.012854	-1.85%	0.010006	-23.60%	0.1687	✓	3.48
2026-10-01	oos	0.014907	0.01436	-3.67%	0.008488	-43.06%	0.3949	✓	3.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.011815	0.011663	-1.29%	0.010855	-8.13%	0.0604	✓	3.38
2026-09-29	oos	0.012816	0.012572	-1.91%	0.012157	-5.14%	0.1092	✓	3.37
2026-09-28	oos	0.010778	0.010679	-0.92%	0.011895	+10.37%	0.0159	✗	3.40
2026-09-27	oos	0.011668	0.011559	-0.93%	0.013768	+17.99%	0.0936	✗	3.39
2026-09-26	oos	0.014306	0.013879	-2.99%	0.014797	+3.43%	0.0511	✗	3.36
2026-09-25	oos	0.013554	0.013238	-2.33%	0.013097	-3.38%	0.0272	✓	3.36
2026-09-24	oos	0.009953	0.009882	-0.71%	0.014907	+49.77%	0.3920	✗	3.50
2026-09-23	oos	0.009004	0.008948	-0.62%	0.011815	+31.22%	0.3125	✗	3.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.009465	0.009418	-0.49%	0.012816	+35.41%	0.4170	✗	3.61
2026-09-21	oos	0.012424	0.012427	+0.03%	0.010778	-13.25%	0.0127	✗	3.51
2026-09-20	oos	0.01087	0.01072	-1.37%	0.011668	+7.35%	0.0607	✓	3.65
2026-09-19	oos	0.011822	0.011603	-1.85%	0.014306	+21.02%	0.0698	✗	3.63
2026-09-18	oos	0.016224	0.01542	-4.95%	0.013554	-16.46%	0.2697	✓	3.61
2026-09-17	oos	0.011992	0.011646	-2.88%	0.009953	-17.00%	0.4842	✓	3.27
2026-09-16	oos	0.012992	0.012507	-3.73%	0.009004	-30.70%	0.6634	✓	3.26
2026-09-15	oos	0.011416	0.011135	-2.46%	0.009465	-17.09%	0.5890	✓	3.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.009685	0.009656	-0.30%	0.012424	+28.27%	0.1497	✓	3.93
2026-09-13	oos	0.008004	0.008005	+0.02%	0.01087	+35.81%	0.0952	✓	3.82
2026-09-12	oos	0.010047	0.010014	-0.33%	0.011822	+17.66%	0.0202	✓	3.71
2026-09-11	oos	0.01206	0.01192	-1.16%	0.016224	+34.53%	0.1380	✗	3.67
2026-09-10	oos	0.010417	0.010326	-0.87%	0.011992	+15.13%	0.1521	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.0096	0.009612	+0.13%	0.012992	+35.34%	0.3291	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.012026	0.011991	-0.29%	0.011416	-5.07%	0.0120	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.012792	0.012785	-0.06%	0.009685	-24.28%	0.2660	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.015676	0.015732	+0.35%	0.008004	-48.95%	0.6308	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.022874	0.022064	-3.54%	0.010047	-56.08%	0.7540	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.018372	0.018281	-0.50%	0.01206	-34.36%	0.3845	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.024546	0.023673	-3.56%	0.010417	-57.56%	0.7610	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.019138	0.01853	-3.18%	0.0096	-49.84%	0.6702	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.021014	0.020258	-3.60%	0.012026	-42.77%	0.5350	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.025262	0.024191	-4.24%	0.012792	-49.36%	0.6439	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.026994	0.025583	-5.23%	0.015676	-41.93%	0.5236	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.022167	0.021249	-4.14%	0.022874	+3.19%	0.0535	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.014283	0.014344	+0.43%	0.018372	+28.63%	0.2242	✓	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.016661	0.016929	+1.61%	0.024546	+47.33%	0.3593	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.02285	0.021997	-3.73%	0.019138	-16.25%	0.1173	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.019711	0.019342	-1.87%	0.021014	+6.61%	0.0974	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.018916	0.01879	-0.66%	0.025262	+33.55%	0.3013	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.01615	0.01612	-0.19%	0.026994	+67.15%	0.5164	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.013719	0.013749	+0.22%	0.022167	+61.58%	0.4624	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.013329	0.013491	+1.21%	0.014283	+7.16%	0.0633	✓	1.00