HMM
Thinking Cat · Robinhood · lstm_s4
- token id
- #766
- symbol
- HMM
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-12
- predictions
- 186
Track record at +30d
assessed
32
of 62 predictions shown
direction hit
84.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.4211
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0555
actual -0.4716
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.00679 | 0.006569 | -3.27% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.006935 | 0.00673 | -2.96% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006911 | 0.006719 | -2.78% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.007476 | 0.007257 | -2.94% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.008448 | 0.00816 | -3.41% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.008892 | 0.008557 | -3.78% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.008617 | 0.008291 | -3.78% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.009034 | 0.008688 | -3.83% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.008849 | 0.008504 | -3.89% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.008725 | 0.008374 | -4.02% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.009124 | 0.00878 | -3.77% | – | pending | – | – | 3.55 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.010989 | 0.010613 | -3.43% | – | pending | – | – | 3.58 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.010006 | 0.009661 | -3.45% | – | pending | – | – | 3.58 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.008488 | 0.008123 | -4.30% | – | pending | – | – | 3.54 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.010855 | 0.010531 | -2.99% | – | pending | – | – | 3.43 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.012157 | 0.011812 | -2.84% | – | pending | – | – | 3.44 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.011895 | 0.011605 | -2.44% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.013768 | 0.013175 | -4.31% | – | pending | – | – | 3.41 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.014797 | 0.013443 | -9.15% | – | pending | – | – | 3.47 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.013097 | 0.012412 | -5.23% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014907 | 0.013465 | -9.68% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.011815 | 0.011344 | -3.99% | – | pending | – | – | 3.38 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.012816 | 0.012117 | -5.45% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.010778 | 0.010417 | -3.34% | – | pending | – | – | 3.40 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.011668 | 0.011299 | -3.17% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.014306 | 0.013167 | -7.97% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.013554 | 0.012686 | -6.41% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.009953 | 0.009638 | -3.17% | – | pending | – | – | 3.50 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.009004 | 0.008656 | -3.87% | – | pending | – | – | 3.53 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.009465 | 0.009222 | -2.56% | – | pending | – | – | 3.61 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.012424 | 0.012407 | -0.13% | 0.00679 | -45.34% | 0.4408 | ✓ | 3.51 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.01087 | 0.010363 | -4.66% | 0.006935 | -36.20% | 0.4807 | ✓ | 3.65 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.011822 | 0.011176 | -5.46% | 0.006911 | -41.54% | 0.5075 | ✓ | 3.63 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.016224 | 0.014173 | -12.64% | 0.007476 | -53.92% | 0.6897 | ✓ | 3.61 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.011992 | 0.010955 | -8.65% | 0.008448 | -29.55% | 0.4685 | ✓ | 3.27 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.012992 | 0.011623 | -10.54% | 0.008892 | -31.55% | 0.4894 | ✓ | 3.26 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.011416 | 0.01044 | -8.55% | 0.008617 | -24.52% | 0.4612 | ✓ | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.009685 | 0.009182 | -5.20% | 0.009034 | -6.73% | 0.1830 | ✓ | 3.93 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.008004 | 0.007588 | -5.19% | 0.008849 | +10.56% | 0.1472 | ✓ | 3.82 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.010047 | 0.009527 | -5.17% | 0.008725 | -13.16% | 0.2973 | ✓ | 3.71 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.01206 | 0.01133 | -6.05% | 0.009124 | -24.34% | 0.5119 | ✓ | 3.67 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.010417 | 0.009758 | -6.33% | 0.010989 | +5.50% | 0.0389 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.0096 | 0.00912 | -4.99% | 0.010006 | +4.23% | 0.0397 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.012026 | 0.011478 | -4.55% | 0.008488 | -29.42% | 0.3423 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.012792 | 0.012368 | -3.32% | 0.010855 | -15.14% | 0.1820 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.015676 | 0.015567 | -0.70% | 0.012157 | -22.45% | 0.3100 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.022874 | 0.020683 | -9.57% | 0.011895 | -47.99% | 0.6247 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.018372 | 0.017978 | -2.14% | 0.013768 | -25.06% | 0.3491 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.024546 | 0.022253 | -9.34% | 0.014797 | -39.72% | 0.4500 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.019138 | 0.017441 | -8.87% | 0.013097 | -31.57% | 0.3755 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.021014 | 0.018963 | -9.76% | 0.014907 | -29.06% | 0.3326 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.025262 | 0.022524 | -10.84% | 0.011815 | -53.23% | 0.7068 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.026994 | 0.023559 | -12.73% | 0.012816 | -52.52% | 0.6829 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.022167 | 0.019845 | -10.47% | 0.010778 | -51.38% | 0.6751 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.014283 | 0.014353 | +0.49% | 0.011668 | -18.31% | 0.2888 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.016661 | 0.017416 | +4.53% | 0.014306 | -14.13% | 0.2470 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.02285 | 0.020759 | -9.15% | 0.013554 | -40.68% | 0.4884 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.019711 | 0.018866 | -4.29% | 0.009953 | -49.51% | 0.7114 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.018916 | 0.018764 | -0.80% | 0.009004 | -52.40% | 0.8004 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.01615 | 0.016193 | +0.26% | 0.009465 | -41.39% | 0.6404 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.013719 | 0.013896 | +1.29% | 0.012424 | -9.44% | 0.2288 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.013329 | 0.013917 | +4.41% | 0.01087 | -18.45% | 0.2827 | ✗ | 1.00 |