HMM

Thinking Cat · Robinhood · lstm_s4

token id: #766
symbol: HMM
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-12
predictions: 186

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 62 predictions shown

direction hit

49.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1389

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0028

actual -0.0145

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00679	0.006816	+0.38%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.006935	0.006965	+0.44%	0.00679	-2.08%	0.0156	✗	3.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.006911	0.006948	+0.54%	0.006935	+0.35%	0.0467	✗	3.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.007476	0.007507	+0.41%	0.006911	-7.56%	0.0759	✗	3.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.008448	0.008458	+0.12%	0.007476	-11.50%	0.1491	✗	3.36
2026-10-16	oos	0.008892	0.008891	-0.02%	0.008448	-5.00%	0.0462	✓	3.36
2026-10-15	oos	0.008617	0.008621	+0.05%	0.008892	+3.20%	0.0568	✓	3.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.009034	0.009035	+0.01%	0.008617	-4.62%	0.0705	✗	3.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.008849	0.00885	+0.02%	0.009034	+2.10%	0.0854	✓	3.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.008725	0.008735	+0.11%	0.008849	+1.42%	0.0445	✗	3.48
2026-10-11	oos	0.009124	0.009124	-0.00%	0.008725	-4.37%	0.0383	✗	3.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.010989	0.010979	-0.09%	0.009124	-16.98%	0.2180	✓	3.58
2026-10-09	oos	0.010006	0.010006	-0.00%	0.010989	+9.83%	0.0779	✗	3.58
2026-10-08	oos	0.008488	0.00851	+0.25%	0.010006	+17.88%	0.1252	✓	3.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.010855	0.010856	+0.01%	0.008488	-21.81%	0.1804	✗	3.43
2026-10-06	oos	0.012157	0.012148	-0.08%	0.010855	-10.71%	0.0204	✓	3.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.011895	0.011893	-0.02%	0.012157	+2.20%	0.0304	✗	3.45
2026-10-04	oos	0.013768	0.013729	-0.28%	0.011895	-13.60%	0.1133	✓	3.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.014797	0.014665	-0.89%	0.013768	-6.95%	0.1347	✓	3.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.013097	0.013049	-0.37%	0.014797	+12.98%	0.1159	✗	3.48
2026-10-01	oos	0.014907	0.014753	-1.04%	0.013097	-12.15%	0.1050	✓	3.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.011815	0.01179	-0.21%	0.014907	+26.17%	0.1827	✗	3.38
2026-09-29	oos	0.012816	0.012769	-0.37%	0.011815	-7.81%	0.0743	✓	3.37
2026-09-28	oos	0.010778	0.010769	-0.08%	0.012816	+18.92%	0.1666	✗	3.40
2026-09-27	oos	0.011668	0.011657	-0.09%	0.010778	-7.63%	0.0378	✓	3.39
2026-09-26	oos	0.014306	0.014189	-0.82%	0.011668	-18.44%	0.1975	✓	3.36
2026-09-25	oos	0.013554	0.013474	-0.59%	0.014306	+5.55%	0.0471	✗	3.36
2026-09-24	oos	0.009953	0.00995	-0.03%	0.013554	+36.18%	0.3212	✗	3.50
2026-09-23	oos	0.009004	0.009008	+0.05%	0.009953	+10.54%	0.0994	✓	3.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.009465	0.009465	-0.00%	0.009004	-4.87%	0.0272	✗	3.61
2026-09-21	oos	0.012424	0.012419	-0.04%	0.009465	-23.81%	0.2555	✓	3.51
2026-09-20	oos	0.01087	0.010848	-0.20%	0.012424	+14.30%	0.1008	✓	3.65
2026-09-19	oos	0.011822	0.011776	-0.38%	0.01087	-8.05%	0.0768	✓	3.63
2026-09-18	oos	0.016224	0.015934	-1.79%	0.011822	-27.14%	0.3145	✓	3.61
2026-09-17	oos	0.011992	0.01191	-0.68%	0.016224	+35.29%	0.1209	✗	3.27
2026-09-16	oos	0.012992	0.012853	-1.07%	0.011992	-7.70%	0.0781	✓	3.26
2026-09-15	oos	0.011416	0.01136	-0.49%	0.012992	+13.81%	0.1102	✗	3.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.009685	0.009703	+0.18%	0.011416	+17.87%	0.2949	✓	3.93
2026-09-13	oos	0.008004	0.008025	+0.27%	0.009685	+21.02%	0.1203	✓	3.82
2026-09-12	oos	0.010047	0.010067	+0.20%	0.008004	-20.34%	0.2070	✗	3.71
2026-09-11	oos	0.01206	0.012054	-0.04%	0.010047	-16.69%	0.1847	✓	3.67
2026-09-10	oos	0.010417	0.010425	+0.08%	0.01206	+15.77%	0.1370	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.0096	0.009627	+0.29%	0.010417	+8.51%	0.1014	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.012026	0.012046	+0.17%	0.0096	-20.18%	0.2250	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.012792	0.012818	+0.20%	0.012026	-5.99%	0.0556	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.015676	0.015702	+0.16%	0.012792	-18.40%	0.1893	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.022874	0.022661	-0.93%	0.015676	-31.46%	0.3748	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.018372	0.018368	-0.02%	0.022874	+24.50%	0.2174	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.024546	0.024304	-0.99%	0.018372	-25.15%	0.2601	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.019138	0.019003	-0.70%	0.024546	+28.26%	0.2060	✗	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.021014	0.020825	-0.90%	0.019138	-8.93%	0.0833	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.025262	0.024924	-1.34%	0.021014	-16.82%	0.1557	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.026994	0.026448	-2.02%	0.025262	-6.42%	0.0574	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.022167	0.021869	-1.34%	0.026994	+21.78%	0.2178	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.014283	0.014296	+0.09%	0.022167	+55.20%	0.4336	✓	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.016661	0.016662	+0.00%	0.014283	-14.27%	0.1232	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.02285	0.022566	-1.24%	0.016661	-27.09%	0.3190	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.019711	0.019591	-0.61%	0.02285	+15.93%	0.1476	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.018916	0.018837	-0.42%	0.019711	+4.20%	0.0511	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.01615	0.016107	-0.27%	0.018916	+17.13%	0.1448	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.013719	0.013694	-0.18%	0.01615	+17.72%	0.1563	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.013329	0.013298	-0.23%	0.013719	+2.93%	0.0475	✗	1.00