GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · lstm_s4

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 453

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

144

of 151 predictions shown

direction hit

62.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0836

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0025

actual -0.0284

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.305891	-0.39%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.304272	-0.47%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.29856	-0.53%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.301158	-0.41%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.29842	-0.41%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.304936	-0.22%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.300544	+0.03%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.318043	-0.25%	0.3071	-3.69%	0.0346	✓	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.317255	-0.11%	0.3057	-3.75%	0.0372	✓	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.327801	-0.50%	0.30015	-8.89%	0.0881	✓	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.334534	-0.41%	0.3024	-9.97%	0.1013	✓	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.343263	-0.79%	0.29965	-13.40%	0.1356	✓	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.340362	-0.71%	0.3056	-10.85%	0.1075	✓	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.320934	-0.11%	0.30045	-6.49%	0.0660	✓	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.324204	+0.06%	0.31885	-1.59%	0.0167	✗	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.329182	+0.47%	0.3176	-3.07%	0.0363	✗	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.330292	+0.56%	0.32945	+0.30%	0.0020	✓	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.323827	+1.28%	0.3359	+5.05%	0.0374	✓	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.327713	+0.73%	0.346	+6.35%	0.0549	✓	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.329309	+0.72%	0.3428	+4.85%	0.0408	✓	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.322059	+1.17%	0.3213	+0.93%	0.0010	✓	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.325748	+0.98%	0.324	+0.43%	0.0053	✓	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.323006	+1.11%	0.32765	+2.57%	0.0136	✓	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.320828	+1.27%	0.32845	+3.68%	0.0227	✓	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.333987	+1.45%	0.31975	-2.87%	0.0438	✗	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.347181	+1.29%	0.32535	-5.08%	0.0650	✗	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.353041	+1.16%	0.32695	-6.32%	0.0768	✗	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.359227	+1.26%	0.31835	-10.26%	0.1209	✗	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.347958	+1.56%	0.3226	-5.84%	0.0755	✗	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.360969	+2.42%	0.31945	-9.36%	0.1227	✗	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.368399	+2.66%	0.3168	-11.72%	0.1509	✗	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.366146	-2.28%	0.3292	-12.14%	0.1099	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.340273	-0.17%	0.34275	+0.56%	0.0037	✗	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.336814	-1.00%	0.349	+2.59%	0.0318	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.345035	-4.29%	0.35475	-1.60%	0.0065	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.301599	-0.26%	0.3426	+13.29%	0.1042	✗	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.302662	-0.31%	0.35245	+16.09%	0.1120	✗	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.299535	+0.25%	0.35885	+20.10%	0.1447	✓	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.295932	+0.16%	0.3747	+26.82%	0.2166	✓	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.298087	+0.35%	0.34085	+14.74%	0.1178	✓	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.305553	+0.46%	0.3402	+11.85%	0.0899	✓	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.289023	+0.67%	0.3605	+25.57%	0.2219	✓	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.292298	+1.30%	0.3024	+4.80%	0.0442	✓	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.308092	+1.36%	0.3036	-0.12%	0.0013	✓	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.297928	+1.96%	0.2988	+2.26%	0.0072	✓	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.303773	+2.56%	0.29545	-0.25%	0.0110	✓	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.307845	+2.50%	0.29705	-1.10%	0.0235	✓	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.300854	+2.58%	0.30415	+3.70%	0.0271	✓	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.300042	+3.02%	0.2871	-1.42%	0.0116	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.293126	+2.53%	0.28855	+0.93%	0.0218	✓	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.285326	+2.89%	0.30395	+9.61%	0.0564	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.29251	+3.11%	0.2922	+3.00%	0.0047	✓	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.290671	+3.17%	0.2962	+5.13%	0.0107	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.293907	+3.31%	0.30035	+5.57%	0.0169	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.29211	+3.35%	0.2933	+3.77%	0.0016	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.314449	+3.27%	0.29125	-4.35%	0.0791	✗	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.317348	+3.29%	0.2859	-6.95%	0.0994	✗	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.318703	+3.37%	0.2773	-10.06%	0.1354	✗	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.323153	+3.38%	0.2837	-9.25%	0.1290	✗	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.335075	+3.42%	0.28175	-13.04%	0.1732	✗	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.345654	+3.37%	0.2845	-14.92%	0.1977	✗	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.352718	+3.33%	0.28265	-17.20%	0.2202	✗	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.317606	+2.09%	0.3045	-2.12%	0.0475	✗	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.331704	+0.79%	0.30725	-6.64%	0.0584	✗	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.359429	-1.38%	0.3083	-15.41%	0.1700	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.362307	-1.48%	0.3126	-15.00%	0.1678	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.358409	-1.66%	0.324	-11.10%	0.1205	✓	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.365647	-1.79%	0.3344	-10.18%	0.1066	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.362313	-1.71%	0.34135	-7.39%	0.0835	✓	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.383592	-2.42%	0.3111	-20.86%	0.2216	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.36882	-1.91%	0.3291	-12.47%	0.1212	✓	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.365912	-1.87%	0.36445	-2.27%	0.0055	✓	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.358252	-1.57%	0.36775	+1.04%	0.0254	✗	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.341734	-0.96%	0.36445	+5.62%	0.0678	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.34261	-1.05%	0.3723	+7.52%	0.0864	✗	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.338261	-0.98%	0.3686	+7.90%	0.0892	✗	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.335201	-1.02%	0.3931	+16.08%	0.1607	✗	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.354046	-1.19%	0.376	+4.94%	0.0620	✗	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.345713	-1.10%	0.3729	+6.68%	0.0764	✗	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.339028	-1.19%	0.36395	+6.08%	0.0704	✗	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.324641	-1.01%	0.34505	+5.21%	0.0594	✗	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.318055	-1.07%	0.34625	+7.70%	0.0829	✗	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.325206	-1.06%	0.3416	+3.92%	0.0471	✗	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.328371	-0.76%	0.33865	+2.34%	0.0313	✗	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.3263	-0.93%	0.3583	+8.79%	0.0929	✗	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.34556	-1.27%	0.34955	-0.13%	0.0113	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.361412	-1.72%	0.3431	-6.70%	0.0517	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.370167	-1.51%	0.32795	-12.74%	0.1194	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.363779	-1.88%	0.3215	-13.28%	0.1224	✓	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.35551	-1.71%	0.3287	-9.12%	0.0776	✓	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.34804	-1.32%	0.3309	-6.18%	0.0502	✓	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.351415	-1.16%	0.32935	-7.37%	0.0630	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.358425	-1.36%	0.35	-3.67%	0.0217	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.320738	-0.98%	0.36775	+13.54%	0.1354	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.31387	-0.91%	0.37585	+18.66%	0.1809	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.316138	-0.97%	0.37075	+16.13%	0.1588	✗	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.321644	-0.97%	0.3617	+11.36%	0.1176	✗	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.3293	-1.04%	0.3527	+6.00%	0.0698	✗	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.329883	-0.91%	0.35555	+6.80%	0.0761	✗	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.328052	-0.97%	0.36335	+9.69%	0.1035	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.324927	-0.65%	0.3239	-0.96%	0.0016	✓	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.334971	-1.01%	0.31675	-6.40%	0.0540	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.341672	-1.02%	0.31925	-7.52%	0.0658	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.344784	-0.82%	0.3248	-6.57%	0.0602	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.346107	-0.66%	0.33275	-4.49%	0.0381	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.353447	-0.59%	0.3329	-6.37%	0.0551	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.370906	-1.04%	0.33125	-11.62%	0.1091	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.372841	-0.97%	0.32705	-13.13%	0.1353	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.377795	-1.04%	0.3384	-11.36%	0.1098	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.383391	-1.11%	0.3452	-10.96%	0.1034	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.380316	-0.96%	0.34765	-9.47%	0.0859	✓	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.385344	-0.89%	0.3484	-10.39%	0.0967	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.39201	-0.68%	0.35555	-9.92%	0.0925	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.393569	-0.29%	0.3748	-5.04%	0.0369	✓	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.392488	-0.35%	0.3765	-4.41%	0.0324	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.379905	+0.42%	0.38175	+0.91%	0.0181	✓	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.379316	+0.52%	0.3877	+2.74%	0.0320	✓	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.391893	+0.32%	0.384	-1.70%	0.0126	✗	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.393573	+0.58%	0.3888	-0.64%	0.0065	✗	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.383816	+0.77%	0.3947	+3.62%	0.0251	✓	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.392299	+0.31%	0.3947	+0.92%	0.0075	✗	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.399814	-0.03%	0.39385	-1.53%	0.0284	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.411147	+0.04%	0.3783	-7.96%	0.0954	✗	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.415992	-0.22%	0.37735	-9.49%	0.1117	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.403972	+0.40%	0.39065	-2.91%	0.0479	✗	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.378066	+1.52%	0.3913	+5.08%	0.0163	✓	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.413956	-0.25%	0.3809	-8.22%	0.1101	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.42104	-1.46%	0.3911	-8.47%	0.0976	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.426698	-2.07%	0.39995	-8.21%	0.0833	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.481079	-2.52%	0.411	-16.72%	0.1727	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.43978	-1.76%	0.4169	-6.87%	0.0502	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.449085	-1.29%	0.40235	-11.56%	0.1089	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.463062	-1.98%	0.3724	-21.17%	0.2071	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.46992	-0.25%	0.415	-11.91%	0.1719	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.451642	-0.23%	0.4273	-5.61%	0.1172	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.453839	-2.13%	0.4357	-6.04%	0.0905	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.456572	-2.38%	0.4935	+5.52%	0.0405	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.41264	+1.76%	0.44765	+10.39%	0.0243	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.437471	+0.43%	0.45495	+4.44%	0.0011	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.419588	-2.44%	0.4724	+9.83%	0.1224	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.467871	-2.45%	0.4711	-1.77%	0.0482	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.494674	-2.81%	0.4527	-11.06%	0.0111	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.433236	-2.93%	0.4637	+3.90%	0.1909	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.437704	-2.97%	0.4677	+3.68%	0.2167	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.462864	-2.91%	0.4055	-14.94%	0.0602	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.439358	-3.13%	0.4356	-3.96%	0.1755	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.607918	-3.17%	0.4301	-31.50%	0.2044	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.690331	-3.13%	0.4796	-32.70%	0.2154	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.648832	-3.21%	0.509	-24.07%	0.1139	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.615282	-3.27%	0.4463	-29.84%	0.2412	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.694134	-4.00%	0.4511	-37.61%	0.3858	✓	1.00