GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · lstm_s4

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 453

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

150

of 151 predictions shown

direction hit

49.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0341

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

+0.0003

actual -0.0049

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.307094	-0.00%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.305693	-0.00%	0.3071	+0.46%	0.0043	✗	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.300275	+0.04%	0.3057	+1.85%	0.0192	✓	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.302783	+0.13%	0.30015	-0.74%	0.0088	✗	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.300055	+0.14%	0.3024	+0.92%	0.0081	✓	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.306303	+0.23%	0.29965	-1.95%	0.0220	✗	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.301357	+0.30%	0.3056	+1.71%	0.0137	✓	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.31953	+0.21%	0.30045	-5.77%	0.0613	✗	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.318246	+0.20%	0.31885	+0.39%	0.0013	✓	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.329793	+0.10%	0.3176	-3.60%	0.0374	✗	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.336183	+0.08%	0.32945	-1.92%	0.0206	✗	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.346059	+0.02%	0.3359	-2.92%	0.0299	✗	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.342985	+0.05%	0.346	+0.93%	0.0087	✓	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.322121	+0.26%	0.3428	+6.69%	0.0622	✓	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.32479	+0.24%	0.3213	-0.83%	0.0109	✗	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.328504	+0.26%	0.324	-1.11%	0.0143	✗	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.329277	+0.25%	0.32765	-0.24%	0.0049	✗	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.321044	+0.40%	0.32845	+2.72%	0.0230	✓	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.326465	+0.34%	0.31975	-1.72%	0.0214	✗	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.328025	+0.33%	0.32535	-0.49%	0.0083	✗	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.319629	+0.40%	0.32695	+2.70%	0.0228	✓	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.324019	+0.44%	0.31835	-1.32%	0.0182	✗	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.32083	+0.43%	0.3226	+0.99%	0.0055	✓	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.318257	+0.46%	0.31945	+0.84%	0.0037	✓	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.330514	+0.40%	0.3168	-3.77%	0.0423	✗	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.343962	+0.35%	0.3292	-3.95%	0.0439	✗	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.350164	+0.33%	0.34275	-1.79%	0.0215	✗	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.355733	+0.28%	0.349	-1.62%	0.0191	✗	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.343167	+0.17%	0.35475	+3.55%	0.0332	✓	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.351019	-0.41%	0.3426	-2.79%	0.0247	✓	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.356977	-0.52%	0.35245	-1.78%	0.0128	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.369863	-1.29%	0.35885	-4.23%	0.0360	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.3394	-0.43%	0.3747	+9.93%	0.0990	✗	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.336392	-1.12%	0.34085	+0.19%	0.0127	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.352015	-2.35%	0.3402	-5.63%	0.0464	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.302842	+0.15%	0.3605	+19.21%	0.1737	✓	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.304043	+0.15%	0.3024	-0.40%	0.0077	✗	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.299514	+0.24%	0.3036	+1.61%	0.0254	✓	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.296191	+0.25%	0.2988	+1.13%	0.0025	✓	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.297892	+0.28%	0.29545	-0.54%	0.0063	✗	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.30514	+0.33%	0.29705	-2.33%	0.0271	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.288208	+0.39%	0.30415	+5.94%	0.0507	✓	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.2899	+0.47%	0.2871	-0.50%	0.0014	✓	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.305292	+0.44%	0.28855	-5.07%	0.0556	✗	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.293621	+0.49%	0.30395	+4.02%	0.0376	✓	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.29752	+0.45%	0.2922	-1.35%	0.0122	✗	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.301589	+0.41%	0.2962	-1.38%	0.0204	✗	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.294367	+0.36%	0.30035	+2.40%	0.0191	✓	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.292038	+0.27%	0.2933	+0.70%	0.0150	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.287351	+0.51%	0.29125	+1.87%	0.0108	✗	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.278781	+0.53%	0.2859	+3.10%	0.0258	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.284816	+0.39%	0.2773	-2.26%	0.0187	✗	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.28295	+0.43%	0.2837	+0.69%	0.0001	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.285474	+0.34%	0.28175	-0.97%	0.0114	✗	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.283556	+0.32%	0.2845	+0.65%	0.0021	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.30475	+0.08%	0.28265	-7.18%	0.0691	✗	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.30745	+0.06%	0.3045	-0.90%	0.0132	✗	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.308479	+0.06%	0.30725	-0.34%	0.0056	✗	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.3125	-0.03%	0.3083	-1.38%	0.0123	✓	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.323915	-0.03%	0.3126	-3.52%	0.0388	✓	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.334208	-0.06%	0.324	-3.11%	0.0327	✓	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.340743	-0.18%	0.3344	-2.04%	0.0155	✓	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.311552	+0.15%	0.34135	+9.72%	0.0874	✓	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.329881	+0.24%	0.3111	-5.47%	0.0514	✗	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.363926	-0.14%	0.3291	-9.70%	0.1065	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.367322	-0.12%	0.36445	-0.90%	0.0082	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.364004	-0.12%	0.36775	+0.91%	0.0079	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.371839	-0.12%	0.36445	-2.11%	0.0198	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.368198	-0.11%	0.3723	+1.00%	0.0110	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.391727	-0.35%	0.3686	-6.23%	0.0602	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.375258	-0.20%	0.3931	+4.55%	0.0464	✗	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.372046	-0.23%	0.376	+0.83%	0.0107	✗	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.36341	-0.15%	0.3729	+2.46%	0.0263	✗	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.344903	-0.04%	0.36395	+5.48%	0.0554	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.346028	-0.06%	0.34505	-0.35%	0.0027	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.341485	-0.03%	0.34625	+1.36%	0.0138	✗	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.338662	+0.00%	0.3416	+0.87%	0.0076	✓	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.358176	-0.03%	0.33865	-5.48%	0.0555	✓	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.349555	+0.00%	0.3583	+2.50%	0.0240	✓	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.343023	-0.02%	0.34955	+1.88%	0.0181	✗	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.328042	+0.03%	0.3431	+4.62%	0.0449	✓	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.321586	+0.03%	0.32795	+2.01%	0.0189	✓	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.328912	+0.06%	0.3215	-2.19%	0.0227	✗	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.331231	+0.10%	0.3287	-0.66%	0.0058	✗	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.329595	+0.07%	0.3309	+0.47%	0.0032	✓	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.349926	-0.02%	0.32935	-5.90%	0.0607	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.367163	-0.16%	0.35	-4.83%	0.0481	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.375202	-0.17%	0.36775	-2.16%	0.0185	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.369529	-0.33%	0.37585	+1.38%	0.0162	✗	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.36095	-0.21%	0.37075	+2.50%	0.0267	✗	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.35232	-0.11%	0.3617	+2.55%	0.0271	✗	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.355114	-0.12%	0.3527	-0.80%	0.0060	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.362286	-0.29%	0.35555	-2.15%	0.0184	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.323968	+0.02%	0.36335	+12.18%	0.1159	✓	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.316884	+0.04%	0.3239	+2.26%	0.0225	✓	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.319319	+0.02%	0.31675	-0.78%	0.0082	✗	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.325012	+0.07%	0.31925	-1.71%	0.0170	✗	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.332917	+0.05%	0.3248	-2.39%	0.0246	✗	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.333192	+0.09%	0.33275	-0.05%	0.0022	✗	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.331361	+0.03%	0.3329	+0.50%	0.0044	✓	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.327608	+0.17%	0.33125	+1.28%	0.0155	✓	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.338523	+0.04%	0.32705	-3.35%	0.0375	✗	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.345397	+0.06%	0.3384	-1.97%	0.0205	✗	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.348186	+0.15%	0.3452	-0.70%	0.0093	✗	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.349115	+0.21%	0.34765	-0.22%	0.0022	✗	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.356374	+0.23%	0.3484	-2.01%	0.0208	✗	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.374885	+0.02%	0.35555	-5.14%	0.0556	✗	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.376593	+0.02%	0.3748	-0.45%	0.0064	✗	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.381761	+0.00%	0.3765	-1.38%	0.0129	✗	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.387617	-0.02%	0.38175	-1.53%	0.0141	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.384201	+0.05%	0.3877	+0.96%	0.0105	✓	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.38913	+0.08%	0.384	-1.23%	0.0108	✗	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.395365	+0.17%	0.3888	-1.49%	0.0133	✗	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.395726	+0.26%	0.3947	+0.00%	0.0011	✓	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.394766	+0.23%	0.3947	+0.22%	0.0043	✗	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.37985	+0.41%	0.39385	+4.11%	0.0385	✓	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.378916	+0.41%	0.3783	+0.25%	0.0032	✓	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.392085	+0.37%	0.37735	-3.40%	0.0385	✗	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.392974	+0.43%	0.39065	-0.17%	0.0050	✗	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.382704	+0.47%	0.3913	+2.73%	0.0187	✓	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.392615	+0.39%	0.3809	-2.61%	0.0357	✗	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.401139	+0.30%	0.3911	-2.21%	0.0299	✗	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.41226	+0.31%	0.39995	-2.69%	0.0281	✗	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.417843	+0.23%	0.411	-1.42%	0.0197	✗	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.403985	+0.41%	0.4169	+3.62%	0.0345	✓	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.374865	+0.66%	0.40235	+8.04%	0.0741	✓	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.415937	+0.23%	0.3724	-10.27%	0.1225	✗	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.426863	-0.10%	0.415	-2.88%	0.0374	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.434517	-0.27%	0.4273	-1.93%	0.0219	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.491397	-0.43%	0.4357	-11.71%	0.1169	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.446869	-0.17%	0.4935	+10.24%	0.0796	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.4549	-0.01%	0.44765	-1.60%	0.0300	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.471304	-0.23%	0.45495	-3.69%	0.0349	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.472245	+0.24%	0.4724	+0.28%	0.0335	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.453812	+0.25%	0.4711	+4.06%	0.0413	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.462613	-0.23%	0.4527	-2.37%	0.0004	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.4664	-0.28%	0.4637	-0.86%	0.0020	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.408443	+0.73%	0.4677	+15.34%	0.0960	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.43771	+0.48%	0.4055	-6.91%	0.0735	✗	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.429133	-0.22%	0.4356	+1.28%	0.0594	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.478566	-0.22%	0.4301	-10.32%	0.1031	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.506972	-0.40%	0.4796	-5.78%	0.0154	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.444499	-0.40%	0.509	+14.05%	0.2030	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.449089	-0.45%	0.4463	-1.06%	0.0250	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.474561	-0.46%	0.4511	-5.38%	0.0480	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.450886	-0.59%	0.47675	+5.12%	0.0503	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.623388	-0.71%	0.45355	-27.76%	0.3161	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.7076	-0.71%	0.62785	-11.90%	0.1087	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.66463	-0.85%	0.71265	+6.31%	0.0899	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.629847	-0.98%	0.67035	+5.38%	0.0809	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.710896	-1.68%	0.6361	-12.03%	0.1147	✓	1.00