GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · lstm_s4

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 453

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

121

of 151 predictions shown

direction hit

85.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1184

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0204

actual -0.0865

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.301603	-1.79%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.300302	-1.77%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.294213	-1.98%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.297195	-1.72%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.293942	-1.90%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.301026	-1.50%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.297111	-1.11%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.313239	-1.76%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.313101	-1.42%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.321729	-2.34%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.329478	-1.91%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.336268	-2.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.333427	-2.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.315517	-1.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.31977	-1.31%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.32702	-0.19%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.328636	+0.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.324587	+1.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.3265	+0.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.328187	+0.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.32247	+1.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.325447	+0.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.323539	+1.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.322351	+1.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.337831	+2.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.3517	+2.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.358089	+2.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.366709	+3.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.359348	+4.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.385927	+9.50%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.396764	+10.57%	0.3071	-14.42%	0.2562	✗	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.364073	-2.84%	0.3057	-18.41%	0.1767	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.347397	+1.92%	0.30015	-11.94%	0.1469	✗	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.344161	+1.16%	0.3024	-11.11%	0.1307	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.332766	-7.69%	0.29965	-16.88%	0.1184	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.299155	-1.07%	0.3056	+1.06%	0.0059	✓	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.299768	-1.26%	0.30045	-1.04%	0.0231	✓	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.299106	+0.10%	0.31885	+6.71%	0.0490	✓	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.294635	-0.28%	0.3176	+7.50%	0.0474	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.297299	+0.08%	0.32945	+10.91%	0.0844	✓	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.304863	+0.23%	0.3359	+10.44%	0.0666	✓	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.288141	+0.36%	0.346	+20.52%	0.1543	✓	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.293599	+1.75%	0.3428	+18.80%	0.1354	✓	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.309723	+1.90%	0.3213	+5.71%	0.0221	✓	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.301906	+3.32%	0.324	+10.88%	0.0518	✓	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.311904	+5.30%	0.32765	+10.62%	0.0259	✓	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.315784	+5.14%	0.32845	+9.36%	0.0126	✓	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.309521	+5.53%	0.31975	+9.02%	0.0099	✓	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.313683	+7.70%	0.32535	+11.71%	0.0138	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.299624	+4.80%	0.32695	+14.36%	0.0440	✓	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.29335	+5.79%	0.31835	+14.80%	0.0352	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.30407	+7.18%	0.3226	+13.71%	0.0258	✓	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.301924	+7.16%	0.31945	+13.38%	0.0386	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.307747	+8.17%	0.3168	+11.35%	0.0136	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.306573	+8.46%	0.3292	+16.47%	0.0515	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.333676	+9.58%	0.34275	+12.56%	0.0168	✓	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.336986	+9.68%	0.349	+13.59%	0.0211	✓	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.339397	+10.09%	0.35475	+15.07%	0.0258	✓	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.345646	+10.57%	0.3426	+9.60%	0.0233	✓	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.358706	+10.71%	0.35245	+8.78%	0.0383	✓	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.37017	+10.70%	0.35885	+7.31%	0.0538	✓	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.379387	+11.14%	0.3747	+9.77%	0.0196	✓	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.331481	+6.55%	0.34085	+9.56%	0.0218	✓	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.335739	+2.02%	0.3402	+3.37%	0.0346	✓	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.350838	-3.74%	0.3605	-1.08%	0.0130	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.352919	-4.03%	0.3024	-17.77%	0.1711	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.347607	-4.62%	0.3036	-16.70%	0.1524	✓	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.353923	-4.94%	0.2988	-19.74%	0.1878	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.351122	-4.74%	0.29545	-19.85%	0.1944	✓	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.367793	-6.44%	0.29705	-24.43%	0.2307	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.356812	-5.10%	0.30415	-19.11%	0.1758	✓	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.354675	-4.89%	0.2871	-23.01%	0.2266	✓	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.348526	-4.24%	0.28855	-20.72%	0.2061	✓	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.33554	-2.76%	0.30395	-11.91%	0.1199	✓	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.33611	-2.93%	0.2922	-15.61%	0.1618	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.332281	-2.73%	0.2962	-13.29%	0.1382	✓	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.328854	-2.89%	0.30035	-11.31%	0.1132	✓	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.346828	-3.20%	0.2933	-18.14%	0.1883	✓	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.339142	-2.98%	0.29125	-16.68%	0.1731	✓	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.331951	-3.25%	0.2859	-16.67%	0.1648	✓	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.318301	-2.94%	0.2773	-15.44%	0.1527	✓	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.311249	-3.19%	0.2837	-11.76%	0.1066	✓	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.318302	-3.16%	0.28175	-14.28%	0.1354	✓	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.323573	-2.21%	0.2845	-14.02%	0.1406	✓	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.320379	-2.72%	0.28265	-14.18%	0.1367	✓	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.337826	-3.48%	0.3045	-13.00%	0.1189	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.351048	-4.54%	0.30725	-16.45%	0.1495	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.36193	-3.70%	0.3083	-17.97%	0.1715	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.353809	-4.57%	0.3126	-15.68%	0.1338	✓	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.344992	-4.62%	0.324	-10.42%	0.0708	✓	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.340021	-3.59%	0.3344	-5.19%	0.0261	✓	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.344853	-3.01%	0.34135	-3.99%	0.0194	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.351876	-3.16%	0.3111	-14.38%	0.1280	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.311618	-3.79%	0.3291	+1.61%	0.0581	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.30432	-3.92%	0.36445	+15.06%	0.1803	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.306344	-4.04%	0.36775	+15.19%	0.1823	✗	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.311362	-4.14%	0.36445	+12.21%	0.1564	✗	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.318536	-4.27%	0.3723	+11.89%	0.1553	✗	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.319658	-3.98%	0.3686	+10.72%	0.1409	✗	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.316585	-4.43%	0.3931	+18.67%	0.2151	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.312771	-4.37%	0.376	+14.97%	0.1860	✗	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.322772	-4.62%	0.3729	+10.20%	0.1439	✗	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.329668	-4.50%	0.36395	+5.43%	0.0992	✗	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.333455	-4.08%	0.34505	-0.75%	0.0356	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.333718	-4.21%	0.34625	-0.62%	0.0405	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.340189	-4.32%	0.3416	-3.92%	0.0093	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.357497	-4.62%	0.33865	-9.65%	0.0519	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.36088	-4.15%	0.3583	-4.83%	0.0057	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.365611	-4.23%	0.34955	-8.43%	0.0438	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.370744	-4.37%	0.3431	-11.50%	0.0766	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.367217	-4.37%	0.32795	-14.60%	0.1107	✓	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.371293	-4.50%	0.3215	-17.31%	0.1409	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.376868	-4.52%	0.3287	-16.72%	0.1303	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.377228	-4.43%	0.3309	-16.16%	0.1157	✓	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.377437	-4.17%	0.32935	-16.38%	0.1273	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.365107	-3.49%	0.35	-7.48%	0.0281	✓	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.364985	-3.28%	0.36775	-2.54%	0.0196	✓	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.377964	-3.25%	0.37585	-3.79%	0.0105	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.379918	-2.91%	0.37075	-5.25%	0.0101	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.371123	-2.57%	0.3617	-5.04%	0.0174	✓	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.38115	-2.54%	0.3527	-9.82%	0.0701	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.38984	-2.53%	0.35555	-11.10%	0.0849	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.400831	-2.47%	0.36335	-11.59%	0.0882	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.406322	-2.54%	0.3239	-22.31%	0.2236	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.393305	-2.25%	0.31675	-21.28%	0.2117	✓	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.366671	-1.54%	0.31925	-14.27%	0.1280	✓	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.403661	-2.73%	0.3248	-21.73%	0.2216	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.40706	-4.74%	0.33275	-22.13%	0.2162	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.40984	-5.94%	0.3329	-23.59%	0.2203	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.459853	-6.82%	0.33125	-32.88%	0.3324	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.423638	-5.36%	0.32705	-26.94%	0.2246	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.434819	-4.42%	0.3384	-25.62%	0.2539	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.444749	-5.85%	0.3452	-26.93%	0.2567	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.458264	-2.72%	0.34765	-26.20%	0.3190	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.439205	-2.98%	0.3484	-23.04%	0.2555	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.433653	-6.48%	0.35555	-23.32%	0.1854	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.434545	-7.09%	0.3748	-19.86%	0.1482	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.401731	-0.93%	0.3765	-7.15%	0.1154	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.425201	-2.39%	0.38175	-12.36%	0.1488	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.397657	-7.54%	0.3877	-9.86%	0.0140	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.444704	-7.28%	0.384	-19.93%	0.1227	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.468829	-7.89%	0.3888	-23.61%	0.1064	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.409598	-8.22%	0.3947	-11.56%	0.1363	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.41434	-8.15%	0.3947	-12.50%	0.1803	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.43946	-7.82%	0.39385	-17.39%	0.0943	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.416429	-8.18%	0.3783	-16.59%	0.1139	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.577682	-7.99%	0.37735	-39.90%	0.2217	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.656497	-7.88%	0.39065	-45.18%	0.3052	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.618755	-7.70%	0.3913	-41.63%	0.2192	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.58813	-7.54%	0.3809	-40.12%	0.1980	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.662016	-8.44%	0.3911	-45.91%	0.3203	✓	1.00