DCR

Decred · native · lstm_s4

token id: #518
symbol: DCR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-22
predictions: 432

Track record at +7d

assessed

137

of 144 predictions shown

direction hit

65.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0633

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0164

actual -0.0084

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	15.295	14.8696	-2.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-20	oos	14.749	14.3307	-2.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-19	oos	14.512	14.1134	-2.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-18	oos	14.454	14.0722	-2.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	14.407	14.0474	-2.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-16	oos	14.749	14.3836	-2.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-15	oos	15.122	14.7524	-2.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-14	oos	16.153	15.7499	-2.50%	15.295	-5.31%	0.0515	✓	0.75
2026-10-13	oos	16.365	15.9768	-2.37%	14.749	-9.87%	0.0785	✓	0.75
2026-10-12	oos	16.3325	15.9432	-2.38%	14.512	-11.15%	0.0949	✓	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	16.686	16.3165	-2.21%	14.454	-13.38%	0.1046	✓	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	16.8915	16.5158	-2.22%	14.407	-14.71%	0.1218	✓	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	17.4845	17.0714	-2.36%	14.749	-15.65%	0.1362	✓	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	17.3785	16.9707	-2.35%	15.122	-12.98%	0.1195	✓	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	18.089	17.6303	-2.54%	16.153	-10.70%	0.0716	✓	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	18.356	17.8974	-2.50%	16.365	-10.85%	0.0673	✓	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	18.533	18.0687	-2.51%	16.3325	-11.87%	0.0645	✓	0.76
2026-10-04	oos	18.355	17.91	-2.42%	16.686	-9.09%	0.0451	✓	0.77
2026-10-03	oos	18.2965	17.866	-2.35%	16.8915	-7.68%	0.0391	✓	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	18.255	17.8216	-2.37%	17.4845	-4.22%	0.0009	✓	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	18.171	17.7536	-2.30%	17.3785	-4.36%	0.0080	✓	0.77
2026-09-30	oos	18.434	17.9986	-2.36%	18.089	-1.87%	0.0077	✓	0.79
2026-09-29	oos	18.116	17.7077	-2.25%	18.356	+1.32%	0.0182	✓	0.79
2026-09-28	oos	17.8165	17.4382	-2.12%	18.533	+4.02%	0.0395	✗	0.79
2026-09-27	oos	18.519	18.0908	-2.31%	18.355	-0.89%	0.0047	✓	0.80
2026-09-26	oos	18.273	17.8636	-2.24%	18.2965	+0.13%	0.0209	✓	0.80
2026-09-25	oos	17.7	17.3401	-2.03%	18.255	+3.14%	0.0475	✗	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	18.268	17.8609	-2.23%	18.171	-0.53%	0.0128	✓	0.80
2026-09-23	oos	18.275	17.8735	-2.20%	18.434	+0.87%	0.0387	✗	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	18.729	18.3013	-2.28%	18.116	-3.27%	0.0157	✓	0.86
2026-09-21	oos	17.971	17.6114	-2.00%	17.8165	-0.86%	0.0404	✗	0.78
2026-09-20	oos	17.302	16.9312	-2.14%	18.519	+7.03%	0.0570	✗	0.82
2026-09-19	oos	17.503	17.1333	-2.11%	18.273	+4.40%	0.0330	✗	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	17.739	17.3511	-2.19%	17.7	-0.22%	0.0125	✓	0.83
2026-09-17	oos	16.852	16.4939	-2.12%	18.268	+8.40%	0.0189	✓	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	15.686	15.4353	-1.60%	18.275	+16.51%	0.0835	✗	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	14.752	14.6296	-0.83%	18.729	+26.96%	0.1360	✗	0.85
2026-09-14	oos	16.692	16.4164	-1.65%	17.971	+7.66%	0.0139	✓	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	16.3315	16.0841	-1.51%	17.302	+5.94%	0.0315	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	16.0585	15.8783	-1.12%	17.503	+9.00%	0.0597	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	15.873	15.745	-0.81%	17.739	+11.76%	0.0836	✗	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	15.558	15.4426	-0.74%	16.852	+8.32%	0.0892	✗	0.77
2026-09-09	oos	16.4795	16.3376	-0.86%	15.686	-4.82%	0.0203	✓	0.74
2026-09-08	oos	17.3585	17.1176	-1.39%	14.752	-15.02%	0.1216	✓	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	15.789	15.6941	-0.60%	16.692	+5.72%	0.0706	✗	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	16.599	16.4264	-1.04%	16.3315	-1.61%	0.0280	✗	0.75
2026-09-05	oos	15.892	15.7321	-1.01%	16.0585	+1.05%	0.0450	✗	0.75
2026-09-04	oos	15.5575	15.4286	-0.83%	15.873	+2.03%	0.0512	✗	0.72
2026-09-03	oos	14.294	14.3663	+0.51%	15.558	+8.84%	0.1269	✓	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	13.9475	13.8772	-0.50%	16.4795	+18.15%	0.1609	✗	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	14.385	14.2947	-0.63%	17.3585	+20.67%	0.1823	✗	0.89
2026-08-31	oos	14.5445	14.4819	-0.43%	15.789	+8.56%	0.0806	✗	0.86
2026-08-30	oos	14.067	14.0101	-0.40%	16.599	+18.00%	0.1408	✗	0.85
2026-08-29	oos	14.2525	14.2055	-0.33%	15.892	+11.50%	0.0951	✗	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	14.129	14.0713	-0.41%	15.5575	+10.11%	0.0807	✗	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	13.932	13.9798	+0.34%	14.294	+2.60%	0.0115	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	13.851	13.8576	+0.05%	13.9475	+0.70%	0.0259	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	13.665	13.6849	+0.15%	14.385	+5.27%	0.0625	✓	0.87
2026-08-24	oos	13.851	13.8661	+0.11%	14.5445	+5.01%	0.0524	✓	0.87
2026-08-23	oos	14.251	14.1609	-0.63%	14.067	-1.29%	0.0059	✓	0.88
2026-08-22	oos	13.985	13.8839	-0.72%	14.2525	+1.91%	0.0128	✗	0.88
2026-08-21	oos	13.0055	13.0534	+0.37%	14.129	+8.64%	0.0849	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	11.955	11.8812	-0.62%	13.932	+16.54%	0.0774	✗	0.86
2026-08-19	oos	11.9285	11.7729	-1.30%	13.851	+16.12%	0.0408	✗	0.93
2026-08-18	oos	11.7125	11.5252	-1.60%	13.665	+16.67%	0.0305	✓	1.04
2026-08-17	oos	12.0775	11.8622	-1.78%	13.851	+14.68%	0.0562	✓	1.04
2026-08-16	oos	11.9685	11.7572	-1.77%	14.251	+19.07%	0.0325	✓	1.06
2026-08-15	oos	12.037	11.8246	-1.76%	13.985	+16.18%	0.0448	✓	1.06
2026-08-14	oos	11.97	11.7646	-1.72%	13.0055	+8.65%	0.1302	✓	1.06
2026-08-13	oos	12.14	11.932	-1.71%	11.955	-1.52%	0.1467	✓	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	12.246	12.0334	-1.74%	11.9285	-2.59%	0.1025	✓	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	12.985	12.7114	-2.11%	11.7125	-9.80%	0.1008	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	12.7835	12.5191	-2.07%	12.0775	-5.52%	0.0452	✓	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	12.952	12.6706	-2.17%	11.9685	-7.59%	0.0235	✓	1.06
2026-08-08	oos	12.798	12.5304	-2.09%	12.037	-5.95%	0.0088	✓	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	12.7525	12.5048	-1.94%	11.97	-6.14%	0.0119	✓	1.06
2026-08-06	oos	12.51	12.2811	-1.83%	12.14	-2.96%	0.0024	✓	1.06
2026-08-05	oos	12.977	12.7178	-2.00%	12.246	-5.63%	0.0182	✓	1.05
2026-08-04	oos	13.3845	13.0915	-2.19%	12.985	-2.98%	0.0005	✓	1.07
2026-08-03	oos	13.2705	12.9829	-2.17%	12.7835	-3.67%	0.0229	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	13.2305	12.9484	-2.13%	12.952	-2.10%	0.0222	✓	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	13.1025	12.8166	-2.18%	12.798	-2.32%	0.0374	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	13.158	12.8415	-2.41%	12.7525	-3.08%	0.0416	✓	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	13.606	13.2434	-2.67%	12.51	-8.06%	0.0494	✓	1.07
2026-07-29	oos	11.6495	11.4796	-1.46%	12.977	+11.40%	0.1118	✗	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	11.581	11.4231	-1.36%	13.3845	+15.57%	0.1553	✗	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	11.183	11.0567	-1.13%	13.2705	+18.67%	0.1860	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	11.685	11.5511	-1.15%	13.2305	+13.23%	0.1632	✗	0.96
2026-07-25	oos	11.5805	11.4609	-1.03%	13.1025	+13.14%	0.1571	✗	0.96
2026-07-24	oos	11.5935	11.4846	-0.94%	13.158	+13.49%	0.1551	✗	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	11.9935	11.8809	-0.94%	13.606	+13.44%	0.1404	✗	0.95
2026-07-22	oos	12.47	12.3527	-0.94%	11.6495	-6.58%	0.0268	✓	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	12.5985	12.4979	-0.80%	11.581	-8.08%	0.0376	✓	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	12.729	12.5933	-1.07%	11.183	-12.15%	0.0960	✓	0.97
2026-07-19	oos	12.72	12.5896	-1.03%	11.685	-8.14%	0.0844	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	12.716	12.5885	-1.00%	11.5805	-8.93%	0.0759	✓	0.97
2026-07-17	oos	12.584	12.4347	-1.19%	11.5935	-7.87%	0.0729	✓	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	13.336	13.1057	-1.73%	11.9935	-10.07%	0.1082	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	13.502	13.2266	-2.04%	12.47	-7.64%	0.0795	✓	0.98
2026-07-14	oos	13.764	13.4305	-2.42%	12.5985	-8.47%	0.0868	✓	0.98
2026-07-13	oos	12.513	12.1903	-2.58%	12.729	+1.73%	0.0034	✓	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	12.1975	11.9488	-2.04%	12.72	+4.28%	0.0492	✗	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	11.253	11.0963	-1.39%	12.716	+13.00%	0.1220	✗	0.90
2026-07-10	oos	11.16	11.0105	-1.34%	12.584	+12.76%	0.1369	✗	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	11.012	10.8666	-1.32%	13.336	+21.10%	0.1964	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	10.971	10.8238	-1.34%	13.502	+23.07%	0.1860	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	11.012	10.8631	-1.35%	13.764	+24.99%	0.2130	✗	0.91
2026-07-06	oos	11.216	11.0535	-1.45%	12.513	+11.56%	0.1491	✗	0.91
2026-07-05	oos	11.145	10.9829	-1.45%	12.1975	+9.44%	0.1027	✗	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	11.2845	11.1148	-1.50%	11.253	-0.28%	0.0025	✓	0.92
2026-07-03	oos	11.4835	11.3001	-1.60%	11.16	-2.82%	0.0361	✓	0.93
2026-07-02	oos	11.1825	11.009	-1.55%	11.012	-1.52%	0.0245	✓	0.91
2026-07-01	oos	10.94	10.776	-1.50%	10.971	+0.28%	0.0158	✓	0.90
2026-06-30	oos	10.729	10.5765	-1.42%	11.012	+2.64%	0.0305	✓	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	11.281	11.102	-1.59%	11.216	-0.58%	0.0438	✓	0.87
2026-06-28	oos	11.106	10.9371	-1.52%	11.145	+0.35%	0.0386	✓	0.86
2026-06-27	oos	11.4885	11.3016	-1.63%	11.2845	-1.78%	0.0455	✓	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	11.197	11.0211	-1.57%	11.4835	+2.56%	0.0062	✓	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	10.96	10.7692	-1.74%	11.1825	+2.03%	0.0133	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	12.179	11.929	-2.05%	10.94	-10.17%	0.0738	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	11.177	11.0135	-1.46%	10.729	-4.01%	0.0356	✗	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	11.5125	11.3308	-1.58%	11.281	-2.01%	0.0508	✗	0.90
2026-06-21	oos	11.433	11.2583	-1.53%	11.106	-2.86%	0.0415	✗	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	11.873	11.6702	-1.71%	11.4885	-3.24%	0.0534	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	11.617	11.4274	-1.63%	11.197	-3.62%	0.0359	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	11.479	11.3009	-1.55%	10.96	-4.52%	0.0212	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	12.04	11.8216	-1.81%	12.179	+1.15%	0.0850	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	12.39	12.1463	-1.97%	11.177	-9.79%	0.0368	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	12.67	12.4015	-2.12%	11.5125	-9.14%	0.0387	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	12.812	12.5216	-2.27%	11.433	-10.76%	0.0526	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	12.242	11.9732	-2.20%	11.873	-3.01%	0.0052	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	12.032	11.7824	-2.07%	11.617	-3.45%	0.0131	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	12.172	11.919	-2.08%	11.479	-5.69%	0.0268	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	11.832	11.6147	-1.84%	12.04	+1.76%	0.0117	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	11.962	11.7411	-1.85%	12.39	+3.58%	0.0080	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	12.271	12.0287	-1.97%	12.67	+3.25%	0.0022	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	12.382	12.1325	-2.02%	12.812	+3.47%	0.0172	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	12.29	12.0645	-1.84%	12.242	-0.39%	0.0426	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	12.102	11.8867	-1.78%	12.032	-0.58%	0.0281	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	13.152	12.8617	-2.21%	12.172	-7.45%	0.0513	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	14.506	14.1401	-2.52%	11.832	-18.43%	0.1369	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	14.746	14.3554	-2.65%	11.962	-18.88%	0.1049	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	15.614	15.1949	-2.68%	12.271	-21.41%	0.0908	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	16.0015	15.5674	-2.71%	12.382	-22.62%	0.0786	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.