DCR

Decred · native · lstm_s4

token id: #518
symbol: DCR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-22
predictions: 432

Track record at +1d

assessed

143

of 144 predictions shown

direction hit

56.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0229

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0008

actual -0.0013

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	14.773	14.7252	-0.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-20	oos	14.749	14.7184	-0.21%	14.773	+0.16%	0.0059	✗	0.76
2026-10-19	oos	14.512	14.4964	-0.11%	14.749	+1.63%	0.0072	✗	0.76
2026-10-18	oos	14.454	14.4385	-0.11%	14.512	+0.40%	0.0066	✗	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	14.407	14.4042	-0.02%	14.454	+0.33%	0.0023	✓	0.75
2026-10-16	oos	14.749	14.7501	+0.01%	14.407	-2.32%	0.0225	✗	0.74
2026-10-15	oos	15.122	15.1291	+0.05%	14.749	-2.47%	0.0198	✗	0.74
2026-10-14	oos	16.153	16.1426	-0.06%	15.122	-6.38%	0.0704	✓	0.75
2026-10-13	oos	16.365	16.3615	-0.02%	16.153	-1.30%	0.0011	✗	0.75
2026-10-12	oos	16.3325	16.3293	-0.02%	16.365	+0.20%	0.0103	✓	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	16.686	16.697	+0.07%	16.3325	-2.12%	0.0028	✗	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	16.8915	16.8916	+0.00%	16.686	-1.22%	0.0196	✗	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	17.4845	17.4732	-0.06%	16.8915	-3.39%	0.0373	✓	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	17.3785	17.3704	-0.05%	17.4845	+0.61%	0.0016	✓	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	18.089	18.0554	-0.19%	17.3785	-3.93%	0.0235	✓	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	18.356	18.3229	-0.18%	18.089	-1.45%	0.0078	✗	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	18.533	18.4993	-0.18%	18.356	-0.96%	0.0059	✓	0.76
2026-10-04	oos	18.355	18.3251	-0.16%	18.533	+0.97%	0.0181	✗	0.77
2026-10-03	oos	18.2965	18.2703	-0.14%	18.355	+0.32%	0.0115	✓	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	18.255	18.2224	-0.18%	18.2965	+0.23%	0.0019	✗	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	18.171	18.1465	-0.13%	18.255	+0.46%	0.0091	✗	0.77
2026-09-30	oos	18.434	18.4033	-0.17%	18.171	-1.43%	0.0248	✓	0.79
2026-09-29	oos	18.116	18.1011	-0.08%	18.434	+1.76%	0.0190	✗	0.79
2026-09-28	oos	17.8165	17.8146	-0.01%	18.116	+1.68%	0.0151	✗	0.79
2026-09-27	oos	18.519	18.4945	-0.13%	17.8165	-3.79%	0.0278	✓	0.80
2026-09-26	oos	18.273	18.2568	-0.09%	18.519	+1.35%	0.0138	✗	0.80
2026-09-25	oos	17.7	17.6982	-0.01%	18.273	+3.24%	0.0288	✗	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	18.268	18.2523	-0.09%	17.7	-3.11%	0.0279	✓	0.80
2026-09-23	oos	18.275	18.2704	-0.03%	18.268	-0.04%	0.0002	✓	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	18.729	18.7193	-0.05%	18.275	-2.42%	0.0057	✓	0.86
2026-09-21	oos	17.971	17.9863	+0.09%	18.729	+4.22%	0.0440	✓	0.78
2026-09-20	oos	17.302	17.2827	-0.11%	17.971	+3.87%	0.0140	✓	0.82
2026-09-19	oos	17.503	17.4903	-0.07%	17.302	-1.15%	0.0101	✓	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	17.739	17.7182	-0.12%	17.503	-1.33%	0.0159	✓	0.83
2026-09-17	oos	16.852	16.792	-0.36%	17.739	+5.26%	0.0070	✗	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	15.686	15.6929	+0.04%	16.852	+7.43%	0.0690	✓	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	14.752	14.7766	+0.17%	15.686	+6.33%	0.0535	✓	0.85
2026-09-14	oos	16.692	16.6951	+0.02%	14.752	-11.62%	0.0985	✗	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	16.3315	16.3227	-0.05%	16.692	+2.21%	0.0090	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	16.0585	16.0701	+0.07%	16.3315	+1.70%	0.0207	✓	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	15.873	15.9044	+0.20%	16.0585	+1.17%	0.0091	✓	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	15.558	15.5847	+0.17%	15.873	+2.02%	0.0116	✓	0.77
2026-09-09	oos	16.4795	16.5174	+0.23%	15.558	-5.59%	0.0432	✗	0.74
2026-09-08	oos	17.3585	17.3566	-0.01%	16.4795	-5.06%	0.0503	✓	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	15.789	15.8566	+0.43%	17.3585	+9.94%	0.0968	✓	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	16.599	16.6469	+0.29%	15.789	-4.88%	0.0412	✗	0.75
2026-09-05	oos	15.892	15.9236	+0.20%	16.599	+4.45%	0.0368	✓	0.75
2026-09-04	oos	15.5575	15.6222	+0.42%	15.892	+2.15%	0.0157	✓	0.72
2026-09-03	oos	14.294	14.3598	+0.46%	15.5575	+8.84%	0.0957	✓	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	13.9475	14.0102	+0.45%	14.294	+2.48%	0.0235	✗	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	14.385	14.4495	+0.45%	13.9475	-3.04%	0.0343	✗	0.89
2026-08-31	oos	14.5445	14.6056	+0.42%	14.385	-1.10%	0.0023	✓	0.86
2026-08-30	oos	14.067	14.1297	+0.45%	14.5445	+3.39%	0.0192	✓	0.85
2026-08-29	oos	14.2525	14.3051	+0.37%	14.067	-1.30%	0.0106	✗	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	14.129	14.1727	+0.31%	14.2525	+0.87%	0.0013	✓	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	13.932	13.9356	+0.03%	14.129	+1.41%	0.0409	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	13.851	13.8523	+0.01%	13.932	+0.58%	0.0081	✗	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	13.665	13.6551	-0.07%	13.851	+1.36%	0.0087	✗	0.87
2026-08-24	oos	13.851	13.8178	-0.24%	13.665	-1.34%	0.0061	✓	0.87
2026-08-23	oos	14.251	14.208	-0.30%	13.851	-2.81%	0.0395	✓	0.88
2026-08-22	oos	13.985	13.9353	-0.36%	14.251	+1.90%	0.0147	✗	0.88
2026-08-21	oos	13.0055	12.9687	-0.28%	13.985	+7.53%	0.0904	✗	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	11.955	11.9575	+0.02%	13.0055	+8.79%	0.0234	✓	0.86
2026-08-19	oos	11.9285	11.9248	-0.03%	11.955	+0.22%	0.0458	✓	0.93
2026-08-18	oos	11.7125	11.7013	-0.10%	11.9285	+1.84%	0.0522	✓	1.04
2026-08-17	oos	12.0775	12.0564	-0.17%	11.7125	-3.02%	0.0322	✓	1.04
2026-08-16	oos	11.9685	11.9514	-0.14%	12.0775	+0.91%	0.0167	✓	1.06
2026-08-15	oos	12.037	12.0238	-0.11%	11.9685	-0.57%	0.0016	✓	1.06
2026-08-14	oos	11.97	11.9577	-0.10%	12.037	+0.56%	0.0059	✗	1.06
2026-08-13	oos	12.14	12.1307	-0.08%	11.97	-1.40%	0.0058	✓	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	12.246	12.2396	-0.05%	12.14	-0.87%	0.0084	✓	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	12.985	12.9425	-0.33%	12.246	-5.69%	0.0533	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	12.7835	12.7403	-0.34%	12.985	+1.58%	0.0253	✗	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	12.952	12.8915	-0.47%	12.7835	-1.30%	0.0070	✗	1.06
2026-08-08	oos	12.798	12.7425	-0.43%	12.952	+1.20%	0.0173	✗	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	12.7525	12.7183	-0.27%	12.798	+0.36%	0.0060	✗	1.06
2026-08-06	oos	12.51	12.4928	-0.14%	12.7525	+1.94%	0.0104	✗	1.06
2026-08-05	oos	12.977	12.9408	-0.28%	12.51	-3.60%	0.0284	✓	1.05
2026-08-04	oos	13.3845	13.3102	-0.56%	12.977	-3.04%	0.0345	✓	1.07
2026-08-03	oos	13.2705	13.1965	-0.56%	13.3845	+0.86%	0.0044	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	13.2305	13.1656	-0.49%	13.2705	+0.30%	0.0085	✗	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	13.1025	13.0512	-0.39%	13.2305	+0.98%	0.0012	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	13.158	13.0966	-0.47%	13.1025	-0.42%	0.0015	✓	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	13.606	13.5025	-0.76%	13.158	-3.29%	0.0059	✓	1.07
2026-07-29	oos	11.6495	11.6554	+0.05%	13.606	+16.79%	0.1421	✓	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	11.581	11.5839	+0.02%	11.6495	+0.59%	0.0049	✓	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	11.183	11.1838	+0.01%	11.581	+3.56%	0.0326	✓	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	11.685	11.6822	-0.02%	11.183	-4.30%	0.0192	✓	0.96
2026-07-25	oos	11.5805	11.5895	+0.08%	11.685	+0.90%	0.0073	✗	0.96
2026-07-24	oos	11.5935	11.6103	+0.14%	11.5805	-0.11%	0.0058	✗	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	11.9935	11.9992	+0.05%	11.5935	-3.34%	0.0201	✗	0.95
2026-07-22	oos	12.47	12.4676	-0.02%	11.9935	-3.82%	0.0239	✓	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	12.5985	12.6009	+0.02%	12.47	-1.02%	0.0043	✗	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	12.729	12.7139	-0.12%	12.5985	-1.03%	0.0282	✓	0.97
2026-07-19	oos	12.72	12.7133	-0.05%	12.729	+0.07%	0.0067	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	12.716	12.7209	+0.04%	12.72	+0.03%	0.0016	✓	0.97
2026-07-17	oos	12.584	12.5819	-0.02%	12.716	+1.05%	0.0030	✓	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	13.336	13.2912	-0.34%	12.584	-5.64%	0.0566	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	13.502	13.421	-0.60%	13.336	-1.23%	0.0081	✗	0.98
2026-07-14	oos	13.764	13.6221	-1.03%	13.502	-1.90%	0.0047	✓	0.98
2026-07-13	oos	12.513	12.347	-1.33%	13.764	+10.00%	0.0717	✗	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	12.1975	12.137	-0.50%	12.513	+2.59%	0.0518	✗	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	11.253	11.2565	+0.03%	12.1975	+8.39%	0.0807	✓	0.90
2026-07-10	oos	11.16	11.1585	-0.01%	11.253	+0.83%	0.0134	✗	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	11.012	11.0161	+0.04%	11.16	+1.34%	0.0004	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	10.971	10.9761	+0.05%	11.012	+0.37%	0.0102	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	11.012	11.013	+0.01%	10.971	-0.37%	0.0119	✓	0.91
2026-07-06	oos	11.216	11.2062	-0.09%	11.012	-1.82%	0.0078	✓	0.91
2026-07-05	oos	11.145	11.1361	-0.08%	11.216	+0.64%	0.0012	✗	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	11.2845	11.2773	-0.06%	11.145	-1.24%	0.0190	✓	0.92
2026-07-03	oos	11.4835	11.4764	-0.06%	11.2845	-1.73%	0.0252	✓	0.93
2026-07-02	oos	11.1825	11.1771	-0.05%	11.4835	+2.69%	0.0118	✗	0.91
2026-07-01	oos	10.94	10.9414	+0.01%	11.1825	+2.22%	0.0009	✗	0.90
2026-06-30	oos	10.729	10.7415	+0.12%	10.94	+1.97%	0.0035	✗	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	11.281	11.2792	-0.02%	10.729	-4.89%	0.0259	✓	0.87
2026-06-28	oos	11.106	11.1145	+0.08%	11.281	+1.58%	0.0050	✓	0.86
2026-06-27	oos	11.4885	11.4916	+0.03%	11.106	-3.33%	0.0275	✗	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	11.197	11.2058	+0.08%	11.4885	+2.60%	0.0259	✓	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	10.96	10.9721	+0.11%	11.197	+2.16%	0.0161	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	12.179	12.1537	-0.21%	10.96	-10.01%	0.0874	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	11.177	11.1929	+0.14%	12.179	+8.96%	0.1088	✓	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	11.5125	11.5221	+0.08%	11.177	-2.91%	0.0118	✗	0.90
2026-06-21	oos	11.433	11.4437	+0.09%	11.5125	+0.70%	0.0041	✗	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	11.873	11.8766	+0.03%	11.433	-3.71%	0.0226	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	11.617	11.6249	+0.07%	11.873	+2.20%	0.0094	✓	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	11.479	11.4963	+0.15%	11.617	+1.20%	0.0010	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	12.04	12.0417	+0.01%	11.479	-4.66%	0.0232	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	12.39	12.3761	-0.11%	12.04	-2.82%	0.0095	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	12.67	12.6433	-0.21%	12.39	-2.21%	0.0102	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	12.812	12.7699	-0.33%	12.67	-1.11%	0.0165	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	12.242	12.2083	-0.28%	12.812	+4.66%	0.0286	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	12.032	12.0134	-0.15%	12.242	+1.75%	0.0049	✗	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	12.172	12.1506	-0.18%	12.032	-1.15%	0.0094	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	11.832	11.8646	+0.28%	12.172	+2.87%	0.0083	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	11.962	11.9981	+0.30%	11.832	-1.09%	0.0101	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	12.271	12.2699	-0.01%	11.962	-2.52%	0.0033	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	12.382	12.3778	-0.03%	12.271	-0.90%	0.0049	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	12.29	12.3606	+0.57%	12.382	+0.75%	0.0378	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	12.102	12.1741	+0.60%	12.29	+1.55%	0.0125	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	13.152	13.1276	-0.19%	12.102	-7.98%	0.0369	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	14.506	14.4533	-0.36%	13.152	-9.33%	0.0907	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	14.746	14.6605	-0.58%	14.506	-1.63%	0.0295	✗	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	15.614	15.4901	-0.79%	14.746	-5.56%	0.0183	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	16.0015	15.8479	-0.96%	15.614	-2.42%	0.0163	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.