DCR

Decred · native · lstm_s4

token id: #518
symbol: DCR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-22
predictions: 432

Track record at +30d

assessed

114

of 144 predictions shown

direction hit

50.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1075

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0380

actual +0.0158

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	15.295	14.1686	-7.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-20	oos	14.749	13.5638	-8.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-19	oos	14.512	13.3387	-8.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-18	oos	14.454	13.3018	-7.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	14.407	13.2998	-7.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-16	oos	14.749	13.6455	-7.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-15	oos	15.122	14.0272	-7.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-14	oos	16.153	14.9909	-7.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-13	oos	16.365	15.2553	-6.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-12	oos	16.3325	15.1688	-7.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	16.686	15.6137	-6.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	16.8915	15.749	-6.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	17.4845	16.2671	-6.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	17.3785	16.152	-7.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	18.089	16.7726	-7.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	18.356	17.0748	-6.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	18.533	17.2582	-6.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-04	oos	18.355	17.1262	-6.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-03	oos	18.2965	17.1185	-6.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	18.255	17.0663	-6.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	18.171	17.0314	-6.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-30	oos	18.434	17.2612	-6.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-29	oos	18.116	17.0009	-6.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-28	oos	17.8165	16.7636	-5.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-27	oos	18.519	17.3588	-6.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-26	oos	18.273	17.1559	-6.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-25	oos	17.7	16.6917	-5.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	18.268	17.1747	-5.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-23	oos	18.275	17.2197	-5.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	18.729	17.6449	-5.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-09-21	oos	17.971	17.0354	-5.21%	15.295	-14.89%	0.0842	✓	0.78
2026-09-20	oos	17.302	16.2969	-5.81%	14.749	-14.76%	0.1175	✓	0.82
2026-09-19	oos	17.503	16.5421	-5.49%	14.512	-17.09%	0.1370	✓	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	17.739	16.7721	-5.45%	14.454	-18.52%	0.1603	✓	0.83
2026-09-17	oos	16.852	15.8757	-5.79%	14.407	-14.51%	0.1502	✓	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	15.686	14.8593	-5.27%	14.749	-5.97%	0.0639	✓	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	14.752	14.1101	-4.35%	15.122	+2.51%	0.0009	✓	0.85
2026-09-14	oos	16.692	15.8165	-5.24%	16.153	-3.23%	0.0107	✓	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	16.3315	15.5013	-5.08%	16.365	+0.21%	0.0050	✓	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	16.0585	15.394	-4.14%	16.3325	+1.71%	0.0168	✓	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	15.873	15.3763	-3.13%	16.686	+5.12%	0.0199	✓	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	15.558	15.1294	-2.76%	16.8915	+8.57%	0.0488	✗	0.77
2026-09-09	oos	16.4795	16.1373	-2.08%	17.4845	+6.10%	0.0411	✗	0.74
2026-09-08	oos	17.3585	16.9659	-2.26%	17.3785	+0.12%	0.0056	✓	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	15.789	15.5769	-1.34%	18.089	+14.57%	0.1101	✗	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	16.599	16.3367	-1.58%	18.356	+10.58%	0.0694	✗	0.75
2026-09-05	oos	15.892	15.7141	-1.12%	18.533	+16.62%	0.1115	✗	0.75
2026-09-04	oos	15.5575	15.2271	-2.12%	18.355	+17.98%	0.1272	✗	0.72
2026-09-03	oos	14.294	14.2073	-0.61%	18.2965	+28.00%	0.2200	✗	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	13.9475	13.6	-2.49%	18.255	+30.88%	0.2167	✗	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	14.385	14.0776	-2.14%	18.171	+26.32%	0.1739	✗	0.89
2026-08-31	oos	14.5445	14.3477	-1.35%	18.434	+26.74%	0.1975	✗	0.86
2026-08-30	oos	14.067	13.7811	-2.03%	18.116	+28.78%	0.2104	✗	0.85
2026-08-29	oos	14.2525	14.0334	-1.54%	17.8165	+25.01%	0.1839	✗	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	14.129	13.9029	-1.60%	18.519	+31.07%	0.2176	✗	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	13.932	13.907	-0.18%	18.273	+31.16%	0.2288	✗	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	13.851	13.8041	-0.34%	17.7	+27.79%	0.1937	✗	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	13.665	13.733	+0.50%	18.268	+33.68%	0.2227	✓	0.87
2026-08-24	oos	13.851	14.026	+1.26%	18.275	+31.94%	0.2074	✓	0.87
2026-08-23	oos	14.251	14.2747	+0.17%	18.729	+31.42%	0.1803	✓	0.88
2026-08-22	oos	13.985	13.9674	-0.13%	17.971	+28.50%	0.1493	✗	0.88
2026-08-21	oos	13.0055	13.158	+1.17%	17.302	+33.04%	0.2413	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	11.955	11.7576	-1.65%	17.503	+46.41%	0.3058	✗	0.86
2026-08-19	oos	11.9285	11.515	-3.47%	17.739	+48.71%	0.2890	✗	0.93
2026-08-18	oos	11.7125	11.2001	-4.37%	16.852	+43.88%	0.2369	✗	1.04
2026-08-17	oos	12.0775	11.5008	-4.78%	15.686	+29.88%	0.1372	✗	1.04
2026-08-16	oos	11.9685	11.3984	-4.76%	14.752	+23.26%	0.0626	✗	1.06
2026-08-15	oos	12.037	11.4694	-4.72%	16.692	+38.67%	0.1474	✗	1.06
2026-08-14	oos	11.97	11.4125	-4.66%	16.3315	+36.44%	0.1487	✗	1.06
2026-08-13	oos	12.14	11.5852	-4.57%	16.0585	+32.28%	0.1182	✗	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	12.246	11.68	-4.62%	15.873	+29.62%	0.0988	✗	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	12.985	12.2548	-5.62%	15.558	+19.82%	0.0419	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	12.7835	12.0614	-5.65%	16.4795	+28.91%	0.0971	✗	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	12.952	12.1922	-5.87%	17.3585	+34.02%	0.1512	✗	1.06
2026-08-08	oos	12.798	12.0828	-5.59%	15.789	+23.37%	0.0578	✗	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	12.7525	12.1129	-5.02%	16.599	+30.16%	0.0886	✗	1.06
2026-08-06	oos	12.51	11.9303	-4.63%	15.892	+27.03%	0.0577	✗	1.06
2026-08-05	oos	12.977	12.3374	-4.93%	15.5575	+19.89%	0.0112	✓	1.05
2026-08-04	oos	13.3845	12.6569	-5.44%	14.294	+6.80%	0.1327	✓	1.07
2026-08-03	oos	13.2705	12.5714	-5.27%	13.9475	+5.10%	0.1069	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	13.2305	12.5879	-4.86%	14.385	+8.73%	0.0780	✓	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	13.1025	12.5113	-4.51%	14.5445	+11.01%	0.0895	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	13.158	12.5551	-4.58%	14.067	+6.91%	0.1131	✓	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	13.606	12.9079	-5.13%	14.2525	+4.75%	0.1035	✓	1.07
2026-07-29	oos	11.6495	11.2234	-3.66%	14.129	+21.28%	0.0363	✓	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	11.581	11.1296	-3.90%	13.932	+20.30%	0.0002	✓	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	11.183	10.7355	-4.00%	13.851	+23.86%	0.0446	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	11.685	11.2267	-3.92%	13.665	+16.94%	0.0201	✓	0.96
2026-07-25	oos	11.5805	11.1662	-3.58%	13.851	+19.61%	0.0175	✓	0.96
2026-07-24	oos	11.5935	11.2023	-3.37%	14.251	+22.92%	0.0549	✗	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	11.9935	11.5776	-3.47%	13.985	+16.60%	0.0273	✓	0.95
2026-07-22	oos	12.47	12.0535	-3.34%	13.0055	+4.29%	0.0841	✓	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	12.5985	12.248	-2.78%	11.955	-5.11%	0.1120	✓	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	12.729	12.3563	-2.93%	11.9285	-6.29%	0.0940	✓	0.97
2026-07-19	oos	12.72	12.4399	-2.20%	11.7125	-7.92%	0.0602	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	12.716	12.5588	-1.24%	12.0775	-5.02%	0.0343	✓	0.97
2026-07-17	oos	12.584	12.4142	-1.35%	11.9685	-4.89%	0.0204	✓	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	13.336	13.105	-1.73%	12.037	-9.74%	0.0734	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	13.502	13.3043	-1.46%	11.97	-11.35%	0.0788	✓	0.98
2026-07-14	oos	13.764	13.4716	-2.12%	12.14	-11.80%	0.0801	✓	0.98
2026-07-13	oos	12.513	12.1797	-2.66%	12.246	-2.13%	0.0103	✓	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	12.1975	11.8187	-3.11%	12.985	+6.46%	0.0971	✗	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	11.253	10.8928	-3.20%	12.7835	+13.60%	0.1581	✗	0.90
2026-07-10	oos	11.16	10.7845	-3.36%	12.952	+16.06%	0.1731	✗	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	11.012	10.651	-3.28%	12.798	+16.22%	0.1594	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	10.971	10.5979	-3.40%	12.7525	+16.24%	0.1475	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	11.012	10.6279	-3.49%	12.51	+13.60%	0.1496	✗	0.91
2026-07-06	oos	11.216	10.794	-3.76%	12.977	+15.70%	0.1757	✗	0.91
2026-07-05	oos	11.145	10.7354	-3.67%	13.3845	+20.09%	0.2139	✗	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	11.2845	10.8729	-3.65%	13.2705	+17.60%	0.1938	✗	0.92
2026-07-03	oos	11.4835	11.0527	-3.75%	13.2305	+15.21%	0.1654	✗	0.93
2026-07-02	oos	11.1825	10.762	-3.76%	13.1025	+17.17%	0.1780	✗	0.91
2026-07-01	oos	10.94	10.5333	-3.72%	13.158	+20.27%	0.1803	✗	0.90
2026-06-30	oos	10.729	10.3444	-3.58%	13.606	+26.82%	0.1836	✗	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	11.281	10.8613	-3.72%	11.6495	+3.27%	0.0175	✓	0.87
2026-06-28	oos	11.106	10.7295	-3.39%	11.581	+4.28%	0.0153	✓	0.86
2026-06-27	oos	11.4885	11.1156	-3.25%	11.183	-2.66%	0.0462	✓	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	11.197	10.8961	-2.69%	11.685	+4.36%	0.0024	✓	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	10.96	10.701	-2.36%	11.5805	+5.66%	0.0174	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	12.179	11.7186	-3.78%	11.5935	-4.81%	0.0481	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	11.177	10.7579	-3.75%	11.9935	+7.31%	0.0745	✗	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	11.5125	11.0421	-4.09%	12.47	+8.32%	0.0919	✗	0.90
2026-06-21	oos	11.433	10.9497	-4.23%	12.5985	+10.19%	0.0948	✗	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	11.873	11.3264	-4.60%	12.729	+7.21%	0.1014	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	11.617	11.083	-4.60%	12.72	+9.49%	0.1189	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	11.479	10.9652	-4.48%	12.716	+10.78%	0.1181	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	12.04	11.4453	-4.94%	12.584	+4.52%	0.1034	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	12.39	11.7524	-5.15%	13.336	+7.64%	0.1550	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	12.67	11.9885	-5.38%	13.502	+6.57%	0.1427	✗	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	12.812	12.0419	-6.01%	13.764	+7.43%	0.1447	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	12.242	11.4879	-6.16%	12.513	+2.21%	0.1197	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	12.032	11.3329	-5.81%	12.1975	+1.38%	0.0703	✗	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	12.172	11.4839	-5.65%	11.253	-7.55%	0.0236	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	11.832	11.2224	-5.15%	11.16	-5.68%	0.0483	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	11.962	11.3583	-5.05%	11.012	-7.94%	0.0548	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	12.271	11.6401	-5.14%	10.971	-10.59%	0.0460	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	12.382	11.7519	-5.09%	11.012	-11.06%	0.0654	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	12.29	11.6798	-4.96%	11.216	-8.74%	0.0910	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	12.102	11.4923	-5.04%	11.145	-7.91%	0.0716	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	13.152	12.3906	-5.79%	11.2845	-14.20%	0.0822	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	14.506	13.5615	-6.51%	11.4835	-20.84%	0.1423	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	14.746	13.7187	-6.97%	11.1825	-24.17%	0.1236	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	15.614	14.4914	-7.19%	10.94	-29.93%	0.1077	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	16.0015	14.8568	-7.15%	10.729	-32.95%	0.0966	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.