BASED

Based · Ethereum · lstm_s4

token id: #838
symbol: BASED
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x4f2b33840227ddd0e28da8d4185d6fa07adfed87
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-30
predictions: 591

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

167

of 197 predictions shown

direction hit

62.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2457

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0614

actual -0.0910

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.05086	0.049845	-2.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-20	oos	0.050125	0.049235	-1.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-19	oos	0.047365	0.04655	-1.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-18	oos	0.048835	0.048257	-1.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05305	0.05267	-0.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-16	oos	0.056	0.05539	-1.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-15	oos	0.0446	0.0439	-1.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-14	oos	0.043815	0.04308	-1.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-13	oos	0.047865	0.046902	-2.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.05471	0.05376	-1.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-11	oos	0.066235	0.0652	-1.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.068045	0.066812	-1.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.068525	0.067329	-1.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-08	oos	0.065965	0.065077	-1.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-07	oos	0.06749	0.066684	-1.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-06	oos	0.06713	0.066739	-0.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	0.06217	0.061828	-0.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-04	oos	0.062415	0.062485	+0.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-03	oos	0.06187	0.061438	-0.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-02	oos	0.06284	0.062565	-0.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-01	oos	0.065225	0.065193	-0.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-30	oos	0.06616	0.065896	-0.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-29	oos	0.0669	0.067042	+0.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.06719	0.067295	+0.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-09-27	oos	0.07096	0.071437	+0.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-09-26	oos	0.071135	0.071595	+0.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-09-25	oos	0.069215	0.069389	+0.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.06689	0.067581	+1.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.06365	0.064731	+1.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-22	oos	0.068925	0.072171	+4.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-09-21	oos	0.06818	0.072275	+6.01%	0.05086	-25.40%	0.3195	✗	0.69
2026-09-20	oos	0.066145	0.066125	-0.03%	0.050125	-24.22%	0.2912	✓	0.66
2026-09-19	oos	0.06551	0.065504	-0.01%	0.047365	-27.70%	0.3291	✓	0.66
2026-09-18	oos	0.06518	0.064928	-0.39%	0.048835	-25.08%	0.2935	✓	0.62
2026-09-17	oos	0.06246	0.061312	-1.84%	0.05305	-15.07%	0.1811	✓	0.57
2026-09-16	oos	0.06142	0.060359	-1.73%	0.056	-8.82%	0.1140	✓	0.57
2026-09-15	oos	0.0632	0.061851	-2.13%	0.0446	-29.43%	0.3604	✓	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.062645	0.061701	-1.51%	0.043815	-30.06%	0.3597	✓	0.41
2026-09-13	oos	0.06183	0.060822	-1.63%	0.047865	-22.59%	0.2723	✓	0.41
2026-09-12	oos	0.06403	0.063069	-1.50%	0.05471	-14.56%	0.1663	✓	0.43
2026-09-11	oos	0.064245	0.063522	-1.13%	0.066235	+3.10%	0.0062	✓	0.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.06059	0.059666	-1.53%	0.068045	+12.30%	0.0994	✗	0.40
2026-09-09	oos	0.06193	0.061382	-0.88%	0.068525	+10.65%	0.0894	✗	0.39
2026-09-08	oos	0.06767	0.066959	-1.05%	0.065965	-2.52%	0.0357	✓	0.51
2026-09-07	oos	0.06744	0.067216	-0.33%	0.06749	+0.07%	0.0227	✓	0.52
2026-09-06	oos	0.067405	0.068942	+2.28%	0.06713	-0.41%	0.0590	✗	0.52
2026-09-05	oos	0.068755	0.070408	+2.40%	0.06217	-9.58%	0.1626	✗	0.53
2026-09-04	oos	0.068655	0.070727	+3.02%	0.062415	-9.09%	0.1719	✗	0.57
2026-09-03	oos	0.06963	0.073404	+5.42%	0.06187	-11.14%	0.1943	✗	0.56
2026-09-02	oos	0.06727	0.067027	-0.36%	0.06284	-6.59%	0.1118	✓	0.53
2026-09-01	oos	0.067465	0.067257	-0.31%	0.065225	-3.32%	0.0811	✓	0.55
2026-08-31	oos	0.068375	0.069207	+1.22%	0.06616	-3.24%	0.0715	✗	0.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.06784	0.067941	+0.15%	0.0669	-1.39%	0.0551	✗	0.54
2026-08-29	oos	0.0706	0.071598	+1.41%	0.06719	-4.83%	0.0969	✗	0.52
2026-08-28	oos	0.07148	0.072621	+1.60%	0.07096	-0.73%	0.0659	✗	0.52
2026-08-27	oos	0.07326	0.079164	+8.06%	0.071135	-2.90%	0.1330	✗	0.52
2026-08-26	oos	0.072215	0.077578	+7.43%	0.069215	-4.15%	0.1451	✗	0.50
2026-08-25	oos	0.06901	0.07195	+4.26%	0.06689	-3.07%	0.1088	✗	0.50
2026-08-24	oos	0.072275	0.078421	+8.50%	0.06365	-11.93%	0.2409	✗	0.49
2026-08-23	oos	0.07345	0.077513	+5.53%	0.068925	-6.16%	0.1733	✗	0.54
2026-08-22	oos	0.07444	0.077567	+4.20%	0.06818	-8.41%	0.1925	✗	0.54
2026-08-21	oos	0.09093	0.099351	+9.26%	0.066145	-27.26%	0.4232	✗	0.46
2026-08-20	oos	0.084175	0.081386	-3.31%	0.06551	-22.17%	0.2573	✓	0.38
2026-08-19	oos	0.080745	0.075126	-6.96%	0.06518	-19.28%	0.2145	✓	0.47
2026-08-18	oos	0.078975	0.072314	-8.43%	0.06246	-20.91%	0.2302	✓	0.50
2026-08-17	oos	0.07742	0.071014	-8.27%	0.06142	-20.67%	0.2334	✓	0.53
2026-08-16	oos	0.077985	0.071407	-8.43%	0.0632	-18.96%	0.2243	✓	0.55
2026-08-15	oos	0.07977	0.072326	-9.33%	0.062645	-21.47%	0.2624	✓	0.55
2026-08-14	oos	0.07509	0.068644	-8.58%	0.06183	-17.66%	0.2159	✓	0.56
2026-08-13	oos	0.075375	0.068853	-8.65%	0.06403	-15.05%	0.1822	✓	0.56
2026-08-12	oos	0.07654	0.069772	-8.84%	0.064245	-16.06%	0.2133	✓	0.66
2026-08-11	oos	0.07666	0.07016	-8.48%	0.06059	-20.96%	0.2645	✓	0.63
2026-08-10	oos	0.07734	0.070677	-8.61%	0.06193	-19.93%	0.2783	✓	0.72
2026-08-09	oos	0.074055	0.068234	-7.86%	0.06767	-8.62%	0.1444	✓	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.077215	0.070695	-8.44%	0.06744	-12.66%	0.1873	✓	0.71
2026-08-07	oos	0.07789	0.071455	-8.26%	0.067405	-13.46%	0.2112	✓	0.72
2026-08-06	oos	0.08424	0.076093	-9.67%	0.068755	-18.38%	0.2680	✓	0.77
2026-08-05	oos	0.08051	0.073454	-8.76%	0.068655	-14.72%	0.2288	✓	0.77
2026-08-04	oos	0.07671	0.070452	-8.16%	0.06963	-9.23%	0.1842	✓	0.72
2026-08-03	oos	0.07648	0.070401	-7.95%	0.06727	-12.04%	0.1867	✓	0.72
2026-08-02	oos	0.07587	0.069969	-7.78%	0.067465	-11.08%	0.1724	✓	0.69
2026-08-01	oos	0.075195	0.069646	-7.38%	0.068375	-9.07%	0.1648	✓	0.65
2026-07-31	oos	0.07904	0.072523	-8.24%	0.06784	-14.17%	0.2045	✓	0.65
2026-07-30	oos	0.079515	0.073202	-7.94%	0.0706	-11.21%	0.1649	✓	0.68
2026-07-29	oos	0.080195	0.073709	-8.09%	0.07148	-10.87%	0.1600	✓	0.66
2026-07-28	oos	0.07921	0.073249	-7.53%	0.07326	-7.51%	0.1393	✓	0.61
2026-07-27	oos	0.079315	0.073508	-7.32%	0.072215	-8.95%	0.1512	✓	0.62
2026-07-26	oos	0.08704	0.080642	-7.35%	0.06901	-20.71%	0.2571	✓	0.55
2026-07-25	oos	0.08458	0.078299	-7.43%	0.072275	-14.55%	0.1867	✓	0.52
2026-07-24	oos	0.084415	0.077996	-7.60%	0.07345	-12.99%	0.1591	✓	0.51
2026-07-23	oos	0.07593	0.070575	-7.05%	0.07444	-1.96%	0.0448	✓	0.58
2026-07-22	oos	0.08425	0.0781	-7.30%	0.09093	+7.93%	0.0564	✓	0.56
2026-07-21	oos	0.08541	0.079233	-7.23%	0.084175	-1.45%	0.0066	✓	0.58
2026-07-20	oos	0.085835	0.079249	-7.67%	0.080745	-5.93%	0.0096	✓	0.47
2026-07-19	oos	0.09025	0.08294	-8.10%	0.078975	-12.49%	0.0490	✓	0.52
2026-07-18	oos	0.09212	0.084475	-8.30%	0.07742	-15.96%	0.0834	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.09172	0.084155	-8.25%	0.077985	-14.97%	0.0627	✓	0.81
2026-07-16	oos	0.091335	0.083781	-8.27%	0.07977	-12.66%	0.0378	✓	0.95
2026-07-15	oos	0.08947	0.081795	-8.58%	0.07509	-16.07%	0.0667	✓	0.69
2026-07-14	oos	0.08738	0.079615	-8.89%	0.075375	-13.74%	0.0348	✓	0.82
2026-07-13	oos	0.094725	0.085823	-9.40%	0.07654	-19.20%	0.1334	✓	1.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.102185	0.092764	-9.22%	0.07666	-24.98%	0.1874	✓	0.99
2026-07-11	oos	0.098305	0.089708	-8.74%	0.07734	-21.33%	0.1506	✓	1.06
2026-07-10	oos	0.10396	0.095301	-8.33%	0.074055	-28.77%	0.2628	✓	0.94
2026-07-09	oos	0.11142	0.10188	-8.56%	0.077215	-30.70%	0.3040	✓	0.99
2026-07-08	oos	0.087055	0.079744	-8.40%	0.07789	-10.53%	0.0597	✓	0.87
2026-07-07	oos	0.08504	0.077943	-8.35%	0.08424	-0.94%	0.0654	✓	0.83
2026-07-06	oos	0.09485	0.087188	-8.08%	0.08051	-15.12%	0.0871	✓	0.80
2026-07-05	oos	0.09236	0.085303	-7.64%	0.07671	-16.94%	0.1127	✓	0.89
2026-07-04	oos	0.09202	0.085088	-7.53%	0.07648	-16.89%	0.1121	✓	0.90
2026-07-03	oos	0.09496	0.087853	-7.48%	0.07587	-20.10%	0.1604	✓	0.89
2026-07-02	oos	0.101225	0.093457	-7.67%	0.075195	-25.71%	0.2363	✓	0.92
2026-07-01	oos	0.13053	0.117736	-9.80%	0.07904	-39.45%	0.4509	✓	1.12
2026-06-30	oos	0.1002	0.091291	-8.89%	0.079515	-20.64%	0.2302	✓	0.91
2026-06-29	oos	0.081245	0.075177	-7.47%	0.080195	-1.29%	0.0015	✓	1.10
2026-06-28	oos	0.08065	0.074518	-7.60%	0.07921	-1.79%	0.0007	✓	0.87
2026-06-27	oos	0.074875	0.069987	-6.53%	0.079315	+5.93%	0.0712	✗	0.89
2026-06-26	oos	0.06701	0.064316	-4.02%	0.08704	+29.89%	0.2270	✗	0.89
2026-06-25	oos	0.07109	0.067588	-4.93%	0.08458	+18.98%	0.1578	✗	0.90
2026-06-24	oos	0.08342	0.077051	-7.63%	0.084415	+1.19%	0.0509	✓	0.81
2026-06-23	oos	0.09949	0.090845	-8.69%	0.07593	-23.68%	0.2054	✓	0.69
2026-06-22	oos	0.094245	0.086344	-8.38%	0.08425	-10.61%	0.0487	✓	0.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.09377	0.085964	-8.32%	0.08541	-8.92%	0.0437	✓	0.74
2026-06-20	oos	0.08845	0.08137	-8.00%	0.085835	-2.96%	0.0416	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.097835	0.088896	-9.14%	0.09025	-7.75%	0.0002	✓	0.81
2026-06-18	oos	0.09533	0.086123	-9.66%	0.09212	-3.37%	0.0431	✓	0.81
2026-06-17	oos	0.077795	0.072629	-6.64%	0.09172	+17.90%	0.2418	✗	0.98
2026-06-16	oos	0.076135	0.07181	-5.68%	0.091335	+19.96%	0.2693	✗	1.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.078575	0.072878	-7.25%	0.08947	+13.87%	0.2291	✗	1.01
2026-06-14	oos	0.07155	0.068846	-3.78%	0.08738	+22.12%	0.2491	✗	0.98
2026-06-13	oos	0.0691	0.06687	-3.23%	0.094725	+37.08%	0.3812	✗	0.96
2026-06-12	oos	0.07492	0.070543	-5.84%	0.102185	+36.39%	0.3674	✗	1.01
2026-06-11	oos	0.07312	0.069258	-5.28%	0.098305	+34.44%	0.3469	✗	1.01
2026-06-10	oos	0.06286	0.060761	-3.34%	0.10396	+65.38%	0.5006	✗	0.85
2026-06-09	oos	0.06465	0.062583	-3.20%	0.11142	+72.34%	0.5565	✗	0.85
2026-06-08	oos	0.06474	0.062825	-2.96%	0.087055	+34.47%	0.3377	✗	0.87
2026-06-07	oos	0.07013	0.06737	-3.94%	0.08504	+21.26%	0.2326	✗	0.86
2026-06-06	oos	0.0664	0.064372	-3.05%	0.09485	+42.85%	0.3461	✗	0.82
2026-06-05	oos	0.06214	0.060633	-2.42%	0.09236	+48.63%	0.3870	✗	0.83
2026-06-04	oos	0.06303	0.061533	-2.37%	0.09202	+45.99%	0.4124	✗	0.88
2026-06-03	oos	0.07015	0.067532	-3.73%	0.09496	+35.37%	0.3618	✗	0.87
2026-06-02	oos	0.06498	0.062978	-3.08%	0.101225	+55.78%	0.5618	✗	1.08
2026-06-01	oos	0.07125	0.066995	-5.97%	0.13053	+83.20%	0.8480	✗	1.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.07135	0.06704	-6.04%	0.1002	+40.43%	0.6587	✗	1.12
2026-05-30	oos	0.076975	0.071009	-7.75%	0.081245	+5.55%	0.3602	✗	1.11
2026-05-29	oos	0.07635	0.070372	-7.83%	0.08065	+5.63%	0.3680	✗	1.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.06089	0.058236	-4.36%	0.074875	+22.97%	0.4870	✗	1.15
2026-05-27	oos	0.062215	0.059491	-4.38%	0.06701	+7.71%	0.3667	✗	1.16
2026-05-26	oos	0.062175	0.059549	-4.22%	0.07109	+14.34%	0.4661	✗	1.21
2026-05-25	oos	0.068755	0.065152	-5.24%	0.08342	+21.33%	0.5129	✗	1.12
2026-05-24	oos	0.0685	0.065083	-4.99%	0.09949	+45.24%	0.6558	✗	1.12
2026-05-23	oos	0.07205	0.06806	-5.54%	0.094245	+30.80%	0.5298	✗	1.13
2026-05-22	oos	0.0711	0.067615	-4.90%	0.09377	+31.88%	0.5249	✗	1.12
2026-05-21	oos	0.084	0.07715	-8.15%	0.08845	+5.30%	0.3005	✗	0.87
2026-05-20	oos	0.07665	0.070905	-7.49%	0.097835	+27.64%	0.4978	✗	0.88
2026-05-19	oos	0.07077	0.066137	-6.55%	0.09533	+34.70%	0.5345	✗	0.85
2026-05-18	oos	0.07149	0.066608	-6.83%	0.077795	+8.82%	0.3056	✗	0.85
2026-05-17	oos	0.07044	0.065478	-7.04%	0.076135	+8.08%	0.2943	✗	0.87
2026-05-16	oos	0.07579	0.06988	-7.80%	0.078575	+3.67%	0.2527	✗	0.82
2026-05-15	oos	0.07491	0.069547	-7.16%	0.07155	-4.49%	0.1880	✗	0.86
2026-05-14	oos	0.08692	0.080403	-7.50%	0.0691	-20.50%	0.0104	✓	0.61
2026-05-13	oos	0.08883	0.082097	-7.58%	0.07492	-15.66%	0.0524	✓	0.65
2026-05-12	oos	0.11052	0.101369	-8.28%	0.07312	-33.84%	0.2446	✓	0.35
2026-05-11	oos	0.10473	0.096302	-8.05%	0.06286	-39.98%	0.2983	✓	0.45
2026-05-10	oos	0.09826	0.090296	-8.11%	0.06465	-34.21%	0.1867	✓	0.51
2026-05-09	oos	0.09627	0.087687	-8.92%	0.06474	-32.75%	0.1824	✓	0.49
2026-05-08	oos	0.09008	0.081601	-9.41%	0.07013	-22.15%	0.0367	✓	0.49
2026-05-07	oos	0.091955	0.083005	-9.73%	0.0664	-27.79%	0.0910	✓	0.48
2026-05-06	oos	0.088045	0.079857	-9.30%	0.06214	-29.42%	0.0760	✓	0.61
2026-05-05	oos	0.09052	0.081955	-9.46%	0.06303	-30.37%	0.1181	✓	0.61
2026-05-04	oos	0.09472	0.085675	-9.55%	0.07015	-25.94%	0.0592	✓	0.64
2026-05-03	oos	0.09896	0.089374	-9.69%	0.06498	-34.34%	0.2066	✓	0.68
2026-05-02	oos	0.11639	0.104678	-10.06%	0.07125	-38.78%	0.3263	✓	0.59
2026-05-01	oos	0.11018	0.099104	-10.05%	0.07135	-35.24%	0.2923	✓	0.59
2026-04-30	oos	0.11237	0.102075	-9.16%	0.076975	-31.50%	0.2604	✓	0.64
2026-04-29	oos	0.12989	0.118324	-8.90%	0.07635	-41.22%	0.4162	✓	0.69
2026-04-28	oos	0.13847	0.126334	-8.76%	0.06089	-56.03%	0.6924	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.136965	0.124915	-8.80%	0.062215	-54.58%	0.6568	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.13381	0.121998	-8.83%	0.062175	-53.53%	0.6372	✓	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.134675	0.122548	-9.00%	0.068755	-48.95%	0.5728	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.122685	0.11216	-8.58%	0.0685	-44.17%	0.4868	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.13582	0.123978	-8.72%	0.07205	-46.95%	0.5217	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.11474	0.105428	-8.12%	0.0711	-38.03%	0.3579	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.13065	0.118283	-9.47%	0.084	-35.71%	0.3578	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.11396	0.102884	-9.72%	0.07665	-32.74%	0.3154	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.0862	0.079506	-7.77%	0.07077	-17.90%	0.1555	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.09122	0.084196	-7.70%	0.07149	-21.63%	0.1794	✓	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.12325	0.110117	-10.66%	0.07044	-42.85%	0.4508	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.16615	0.12731	-23.38%	0.07579	-54.38%	0.5571	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.085535	0.077533	-9.36%	0.07491	-12.42%	0.0893	✓	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.075145	0.068974	-8.21%	0.08692	+15.67%	0.1423	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.0657	0.060906	-7.30%	0.08883	+35.21%	0.3144	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.059505	0.054547	-8.33%	0.11052	+85.73%	0.5773	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.054685	0.050119	-8.35%	0.10473	+91.52%	0.6252	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.053855	0.049162	-8.71%	0.09826	+82.45%	0.5738	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.05359	0.048712	-9.10%	0.09627	+79.64%	0.5649	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.06194	0.056438	-8.88%	0.09008	+45.43%	0.3471	✗	1.00