AVL

Avalon · Ethereum · lstm_s4

token id: #696
symbol: AVL
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

40.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0661

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0068

actual -0.0063

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.019479	0.019289	-0.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-20	oos	0.019693	0.019553	-0.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.020678	0.020494	-0.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-18	oos	0.019445	0.019308	-0.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-10-17	oos	0.020546	0.020331	-1.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-16	oos	0.022173	0.021851	-1.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.020543	0.020278	-1.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-10-14	oos	0.018647	0.018487	-0.86%	0.019479	+4.46%	0.0358	✗	1.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.019376	0.019264	-0.58%	0.019693	+1.64%	0.0244	✗	1.19
2026-10-12	oos	0.018817	0.018733	-0.44%	0.020678	+9.89%	0.0974	✗	1.17
2026-10-11	oos	0.020663	0.020578	-0.41%	0.019445	-5.89%	0.0346	✓	1.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.022471	0.022275	-0.87%	0.020546	-8.56%	0.0596	✓	1.14
2026-10-09	oos	0.019944	0.019891	-0.27%	0.022173	+11.18%	0.1228	✗	1.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.019933	0.019894	-0.20%	0.020543	+3.06%	0.0263	✗	1.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.022334	0.022241	-0.42%	0.018647	-16.51%	0.1554	✓	1.01
2026-10-06	oos	0.02175	0.021752	+0.01%	0.019376	-10.92%	0.0835	✗	1.11
2026-10-05	oos	0.022515	0.022486	-0.13%	0.018817	-16.42%	0.1251	✓	1.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.022884	0.022853	-0.14%	0.020663	-9.71%	0.0639	✓	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.022833	0.022765	-0.30%	0.022471	-1.59%	0.0116	✗	1.13
2026-10-02	oos	0.022786	0.022689	-0.42%	0.019944	-12.47%	0.1025	✓	1.13
2026-10-01	oos	0.022953	0.022886	-0.29%	0.019933	-13.15%	0.0954	✓	1.13
2026-09-30	oos	0.023642	0.02352	-0.52%	0.022334	-5.53%	0.0478	✓	1.17
2026-09-29	oos	0.022532	0.022503	-0.13%	0.02175	-3.47%	0.0604	✓	1.17
2026-09-28	oos	0.021848	0.021852	+0.02%	0.022515	+3.05%	0.0018	✗	1.17
2026-09-27	oos	0.024924	0.024815	-0.44%	0.022884	-8.18%	0.1066	✓	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.025513	0.025349	-0.64%	0.022833	-10.50%	0.1086	✓	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.024789	0.024664	-0.51%	0.022786	-8.08%	0.0841	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.024097	0.024047	-0.21%	0.022953	-4.75%	0.0520	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.023279	0.023265	-0.06%	0.023642	+1.56%	0.0259	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.024603	0.024628	+0.10%	0.022532	-8.42%	0.0588	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.023323	0.02341	+0.37%	0.021848	-6.32%	0.0321	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.021137	0.021011	-0.60%	0.024924	+17.92%	0.1309	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.021371	0.021219	-0.71%	0.025513	+19.38%	0.1459	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0216	0.021424	-0.81%	0.024789	+14.76%	0.1068	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.020413	0.020014	-1.96%	0.024097	+18.05%	0.0856	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.020576	0.020146	-2.09%	0.023279	+13.14%	0.0419	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.021305	0.020786	-2.43%	0.024603	+15.48%	0.0372	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.020442	0.020211	-1.13%	0.023323	+14.09%	0.0409	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.020262	0.019938	-1.60%	0.021137	+4.32%	0.0032	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.021569	0.021175	-1.82%	0.021371	-0.92%	0.0409	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.020448	0.020145	-1.48%	0.0216	+5.64%	0.0234	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.018637	0.018292	-1.85%	0.020413	+9.53%	0.1122	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.02012	0.019894	-1.12%	0.020576	+2.26%	0.0614	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.020503	0.020284	-1.07%	0.021305	+3.91%	0.0863	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.020774	0.020619	-0.75%	0.020442	-1.60%	0.0031	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.020602	0.02058	-0.11%	0.020262	-1.65%	0.0295	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.020591	0.02059	-0.01%	0.021569	+4.75%	0.0792	✗	1.00