AVL
Avalon · Ethereum · lstm_s4
- token id
- #696
- symbol
- AVL
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-27
- predictions
- 144
Track record at +30d
assessed
18
of 48 predictions shown
direction hit
77.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0571
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0538
actual -0.0621
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.021245 | 0.020187 | -4.98% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.021361 | 0.020464 | -4.20% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.019693 | 0.018893 | -4.06% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.020678 | 0.0198 | -4.25% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.019445 | 0.018646 | -4.11% | – | pending | – | – | 1.18 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.020546 | 0.019568 | -4.76% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.022173 | 0.020998 | -5.30% | – | pending | – | – | 1.19 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.020543 | 0.019585 | -4.66% | – | pending | – | – | 1.23 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.018647 | 0.017688 | -5.15% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.019376 | 0.01853 | -4.36% | – | pending | – | – | 1.19 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.018817 | 0.017996 | -4.36% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.020663 | 0.019851 | -3.93% | – | pending | – | – | 1.09 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.022471 | 0.021349 | -4.99% | – | pending | – | – | 1.14 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.019944 | 0.019046 | -4.50% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.019933 | 0.019028 | -4.54% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.022334 | 0.021266 | -4.78% | – | pending | – | – | 1.01 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.02175 | 0.020931 | -3.77% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.022515 | 0.021603 | -4.05% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.022884 | 0.021984 | -3.93% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.022833 | 0.02185 | -4.31% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.022786 | 0.02175 | -4.54% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.022953 | 0.022025 | -4.04% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.023642 | 0.022561 | -4.57% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.022532 | 0.02168 | -3.78% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.021848 | 0.02108 | -3.52% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.024924 | 0.023876 | -4.20% | – | pending | – | – | 1.07 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.025513 | 0.024353 | -4.55% | – | pending | – | – | 1.07 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.024789 | 0.02375 | -4.19% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.024097 | 0.023276 | -3.41% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.023279 | 0.022589 | -2.96% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.024603 | 0.024066 | -2.18% | 0.021245 | -13.65% | 0.1014 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.023323 | 0.023007 | -1.35% | 0.021361 | -8.41% | 0.0441 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.021137 | 0.020262 | -4.14% | 0.019693 | -6.83% | 0.0502 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.021371 | 0.020474 | -4.20% | 0.020678 | -3.24% | 0.0026 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.0216 | 0.020659 | -4.35% | 0.019445 | -9.98% | 0.0745 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.020413 | 0.018927 | -7.28% | 0.020546 | +0.65% | 0.0183 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.020576 | 0.019017 | -7.58% | 0.022173 | +7.76% | 0.0856 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.021305 | 0.019524 | -8.36% | 0.020543 | -3.57% | 0.0321 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.020442 | 0.019394 | -5.13% | 0.018647 | -8.78% | 0.0817 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.020262 | 0.019009 | -6.19% | 0.019376 | -4.38% | 0.0597 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.021569 | 0.020195 | -6.37% | 0.018817 | -12.76% | 0.1270 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.020448 | 0.019118 | -6.50% | 0.020663 | +1.05% | 0.0028 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.018637 | 0.017224 | -7.58% | 0.022471 | +20.57% | 0.1859 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.02012 | 0.018971 | -5.71% | 0.019944 | -0.88% | 0.0030 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.020503 | 0.019371 | -5.52% | 0.019933 | -2.78% | 0.0119 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.020774 | 0.01978 | -4.79% | 0.022334 | +7.51% | 0.0699 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.020602 | 0.019898 | -3.42% | 0.02175 | +5.57% | 0.0263 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.020591 | 0.019914 | -3.29% | 0.022515 | +9.34% | 0.0513 | ✗ | 1.00 |