AVL

Avalon · Ethereum · lstm_s4

token id: #696
symbol: AVL
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

69.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0413

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0015

actual -0.0020

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.019479	0.019428	-0.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-20	oos	0.019693	0.019667	-0.13%	0.019479	-1.08%	0.0063	✓	1.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.020678	0.020641	-0.18%	0.019693	-4.77%	0.0626	✓	1.17
2026-10-18	oos	0.019445	0.019425	-0.11%	0.020678	+6.34%	0.0650	✗	1.18
2026-10-17	oos	0.020546	0.020496	-0.25%	0.019445	-5.36%	0.0618	✓	1.20
2026-10-16	oos	0.022173	0.022083	-0.41%	0.020546	-7.34%	0.0704	✓	1.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.020543	0.02044	-0.51%	0.022173	+7.93%	0.0908	✗	1.23
2026-10-14	oos	0.018647	0.018618	-0.15%	0.020543	+10.17%	0.0902	✗	1.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.019376	0.019369	-0.04%	0.018647	-3.76%	0.0157	✓	1.19
2026-10-12	oos	0.018817	0.018822	+0.03%	0.019376	+2.97%	0.0096	✓	1.17
2026-10-11	oos	0.020663	0.020661	-0.01%	0.018817	-8.93%	0.0679	✓	1.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.022471	0.022434	-0.16%	0.020663	-8.05%	0.0927	✓	1.14
2026-10-09	oos	0.019944	0.019954	+0.05%	0.022471	+12.67%	0.1139	✓	1.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.019933	0.019946	+0.06%	0.019944	+0.05%	0.0116	✗	1.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.022334	0.022331	-0.01%	0.019933	-10.75%	0.0942	✓	1.01
2026-10-06	oos	0.02175	0.021768	+0.08%	0.022334	+2.68%	0.0556	✓	1.11
2026-10-05	oos	0.022515	0.022515	+0.00%	0.02175	-3.40%	0.0319	✗	1.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.022884	0.022875	-0.04%	0.022515	-1.61%	0.0061	✓	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.022833	0.022823	-0.05%	0.022884	+0.22%	0.0205	✓	1.13
2026-10-02	oos	0.022786	0.02276	-0.11%	0.022833	+0.21%	0.0001	✓	1.13
2026-10-01	oos	0.022953	0.022942	-0.05%	0.022786	-0.73%	0.0023	✓	1.13
2026-09-30	oos	0.023642	0.023623	-0.08%	0.022953	-2.92%	0.0467	✓	1.17
2026-09-29	oos	0.022532	0.022542	+0.05%	0.023642	+4.93%	0.0488	✓	1.17
2026-09-28	oos	0.021848	0.021863	+0.07%	0.022532	+3.13%	0.0276	✓	1.17
2026-09-27	oos	0.024924	0.024902	-0.09%	0.021848	-12.34%	0.1180	✓	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.025513	0.025476	-0.14%	0.024924	-2.31%	0.0225	✓	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.024789	0.024758	-0.12%	0.025513	+2.92%	0.0262	✗	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.024097	0.024084	-0.05%	0.024789	+2.87%	0.0323	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.023279	0.023268	-0.05%	0.024097	+3.51%	0.0349	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.024603	0.024589	-0.06%	0.023279	-5.38%	0.0334	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.023323	0.023306	-0.07%	0.024603	+5.49%	0.0587	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.021137	0.021095	-0.20%	0.023323	+10.34%	0.0356	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.021371	0.021324	-0.22%	0.021137	-1.09%	0.0079	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0216	0.021556	-0.21%	0.021371	-1.06%	0.0130	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.020413	0.020323	-0.44%	0.0216	+5.81%	0.0033	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.020576	0.020483	-0.45%	0.020413	-0.79%	0.0061	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.021305	0.021189	-0.55%	0.020576	-3.42%	0.0367	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.020442	0.020394	-0.24%	0.021305	+4.22%	0.0774	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.020262	0.020199	-0.31%	0.020442	+0.89%	0.0058	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.021569	0.02146	-0.50%	0.020262	-6.06%	0.0514	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.020448	0.020391	-0.28%	0.021569	+5.48%	0.0555	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.018637	0.018566	-0.38%	0.020448	+9.71%	0.0878	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.02012	0.020071	-0.25%	0.018637	-7.37%	0.0516	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.020503	0.020459	-0.22%	0.02012	-1.87%	0.0146	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.020774	0.020751	-0.11%	0.020503	-1.30%	0.0039	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.020602	0.020614	+0.05%	0.020774	+0.83%	0.0234	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.020591	0.020614	+0.11%	0.020602	+0.05%	0.0069	✗	1.00