XEF

Xeffy · native · lstm_s3

token id: #633
symbol: XEF
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-15
predictions: 360

Track record at +7d

assessed

113

of 120 predictions shown

direction hit

50.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1784

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0139

actual -0.0467

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.004362	0.004292	-1.60%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.00434	0.004272	-1.57%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.004365	0.004292	-1.68%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-10-18	oos	0.0043	0.00423	-1.61%	–	pending	–	–	-0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.004521	0.004434	-1.94%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.004544	0.004454	-1.98%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-15	oos	0.004581	0.004489	-2.02%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-14	oos	0.004339	0.004261	-1.81%	0.004362	+0.52%	0.0277	✗	-0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.004166	0.004101	-1.55%	0.00434	+4.19%	0.0561	✗	-0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.00412	0.004055	-1.59%	0.004365	+5.95%	0.0742	✗	-0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.004012	0.003956	-1.40%	0.0043	+7.15%	0.0820	✗	-0.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.004044	0.003985	-1.46%	0.004521	+11.81%	0.1262	✗	-0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.004051	0.003991	-1.48%	0.004544	+12.18%	0.1297	✗	-0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.003918	0.003863	-1.40%	0.004581	+16.92%	0.1707	✗	-0.04
2026-10-07	oos	0.004142	0.00408	-1.51%	0.004339	+4.75%	0.0593	✗	-0.11
2026-10-06	oos	0.00412	0.004064	-1.35%	0.004166	+1.11%	0.0245	✗	-0.00
2026-10-05	oos	0.004078	0.004024	-1.31%	0.00412	+1.05%	0.0220	✗	-0.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.004432	0.004369	-1.43%	0.004012	-9.48%	0.0895	✓	-0.13
2026-10-03	oos	0.003817	0.003769	-1.24%	0.004044	+5.94%	0.0658	✗	-0.20
2026-10-02	oos	0.004988	0.004889	-1.99%	0.004051	-18.79%	0.1926	✓	-0.20
2026-10-01	oos	0.005017	0.004918	-1.97%	0.003918	-21.90%	0.2337	✓	-0.17
2026-09-30	oos	0.005013	0.004908	-2.10%	0.004142	-17.37%	0.1713	✓	-0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.004268	0.004202	-1.55%	0.00412	-3.46%	0.0070	✓	-0.56
2026-09-28	oos	0.004541	0.004464	-1.71%	0.004078	-10.21%	0.0761	✓	-0.53
2026-09-27	oos	0.004455	0.004386	-1.54%	0.004432	-0.50%	0.0202	✗	-0.40
2026-09-26	oos	0.004617	0.004541	-1.65%	0.003817	-17.32%	0.1720	✓	-0.43
2026-09-25	oos	0.004728	0.004644	-1.79%	0.004988	+5.50%	0.0736	✗	-0.42
2026-09-24	oos	0.005116	0.005008	-2.10%	0.005017	-1.93%	0.0041	✓	-0.43
2026-09-23	oos	0.004436	0.004365	-1.59%	0.005013	+13.01%	0.1343	✗	-0.42
2026-09-22	oos	0.004354	0.004304	-1.15%	0.004268	-1.98%	0.0183	✓	-0.33
2026-09-21	oos	0.004336	0.004293	-1.00%	0.004541	+4.73%	0.0463	✗	-0.27
2026-09-20	oos	0.004372	0.004285	-1.99%	0.004455	+1.88%	0.0530	✗	-0.36
2026-09-19	oos	0.004563	0.004468	-2.08%	0.004617	+1.17%	0.0469	✗	-0.37
2026-09-18	oos	0.004794	0.004686	-2.26%	0.004728	-1.38%	0.0219	✓	-0.33
2026-09-17	oos	0.005449	0.005223	-4.15%	0.005116	-6.12%	0.0027	✓	-0.18
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.004249	-2.19%	0.004436	+2.11%	0.0615	✗	-0.18
2026-09-15	oos	0.003837	0.003784	-1.39%	0.004354	+13.47%	0.1963	✗	-0.43
2026-09-14	oos	0.003874	0.003829	-1.17%	0.004336	+11.93%	0.1554	✗	-0.30
2026-09-13	oos	0.003645	0.00362	-0.68%	0.004372	+19.94%	0.2020	✗	-0.24
2026-09-12	oos	0.003056	0.003075	+0.62%	0.004563	+49.34%	0.4046	✓	-0.19
2026-09-11	oos	0.003884	0.003866	-0.48%	0.004794	+23.43%	0.2247	✗	-0.20
2026-09-10	oos	0.003968	0.003953	-0.40%	0.005449	+37.31%	0.3206	✗	-0.20
2026-09-09	oos	0.00401	0.003997	-0.32%	0.004344	+8.34%	0.0778	✗	-0.20
2026-09-08	oos	0.004901	0.004854	-0.96%	0.003837	-21.71%	0.2435	✓	-0.22
2026-09-07	oos	0.004835	0.004795	-0.83%	0.003874	-19.87%	0.2157	✓	-0.22
2026-09-06	oos	0.004718	0.00477	+1.11%	0.003645	-22.73%	0.2778	✗	-0.20
2026-09-05	oos	0.004529	0.004607	+1.71%	0.003056	-32.54%	0.4172	✗	-0.20
2026-09-04	oos	0.004744	0.004833	+1.89%	0.003884	-18.12%	0.2251	✗	-0.20
2026-09-03	oos	0.005066	0.00521	+2.83%	0.003968	-21.67%	0.2868	✗	-0.24
2026-09-02	oos	0.005016	0.004992	-0.47%	0.00401	-20.06%	0.2154	✓	-0.30
2026-09-01	oos	0.004993	0.004996	+0.06%	0.004901	-1.83%	0.0151	✗	-0.30
2026-08-31	oos	0.004669	0.00475	+1.73%	0.004835	+3.54%	0.0193	✓	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.005046	0.005096	+0.98%	0.004718	-6.51%	0.0691	✗	-0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.005104	0.005179	+1.47%	0.004529	-11.27%	0.1293	✗	-0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.005199	0.005257	+1.12%	0.004744	-8.76%	0.0973	✗	-0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.005385	0.005544	+2.97%	0.005066	-5.91%	0.0869	✗	-0.27
2026-08-26	oos	0.005417	0.005501	+1.54%	0.005016	-7.41%	0.0984	✗	-0.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.005231	0.005303	+1.38%	0.004993	-4.55%	0.0644	✗	-0.28
2026-08-24	oos	0.005276	0.005363	+1.64%	0.004669	-11.50%	0.1399	✗	-0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.005177	0.005216	+0.76%	0.005046	-2.52%	0.0333	✗	-0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.005087	0.005106	+0.37%	0.005104	+0.35%	0.0045	✓	-0.31
2026-08-21	oos	0.004926	0.004985	+1.18%	0.005199	+5.53%	0.0403	✓	-0.28
2026-08-20	oos	0.00578	0.005702	-1.35%	0.005385	-6.84%	0.0686	✓	0.12
2026-08-19	oos	0.005749	0.005648	-1.74%	0.005417	-5.76%	0.0522	✓	0.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.00582	0.005694	-2.16%	0.005231	-10.11%	0.1023	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.00589	0.005758	-2.24%	0.005276	-10.42%	0.1056	✓	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.00599	0.005846	-2.41%	0.005177	-13.58%	0.1421	✓	0.10
2026-08-15	oos	0.005993	0.005847	-2.43%	0.005087	-15.11%	0.1592	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.005916	0.005773	-2.42%	0.004926	-16.73%	0.1795	✓	0.10
2026-08-13	oos	0.005929	0.005785	-2.44%	0.00578	-2.51%	0.0153	✓	0.10
2026-08-12	oos	0.006068	0.005915	-2.53%	0.005749	-5.27%	0.0377	✓	0.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.006474	0.006296	-2.75%	0.00582	-10.11%	0.0805	✓	0.10
2026-08-10	oos	0.006798	0.006598	-2.94%	0.00589	-13.35%	0.1142	✓	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.006782	0.006583	-2.94%	0.00599	-11.68%	0.0910	✓	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.006455	0.006272	-2.83%	0.005993	-7.16%	0.0424	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.006942	0.006729	-3.07%	0.005916	-14.78%	0.1253	✓	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.007076	0.006854	-3.14%	0.005929	-16.21%	0.1435	✓	0.12
2026-08-05	oos	0.00732	0.007072	-3.39%	0.006068	-17.10%	0.1511	✓	0.11
2026-08-04	oos	0.006568	0.00636	-3.17%	0.006474	-1.44%	0.0179	✓	0.02
2026-08-03	oos	0.006383	0.00618	-3.18%	0.006798	+6.50%	0.0954	✗	-0.02
2026-08-02	oos	0.00607	0.005884	-3.06%	0.006782	+11.74%	0.1425	✗	-0.02
2026-08-01	oos	0.005956	0.005772	-3.09%	0.006455	+8.37%	0.1137	✗	-0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.006009	0.005823	-3.10%	0.006942	+15.52%	0.1777	✗	-0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.005979	0.005809	-2.85%	0.007076	+18.34%	0.1974	✗	0.00
2026-07-29	oos	0.006029	0.005858	-2.84%	0.00732	+21.41%	0.2230	✗	-0.01
2026-07-28	oos	0.005854	0.005694	-2.73%	0.006568	+12.21%	0.1430	✗	-0.02
2026-07-27	oos	0.006121	0.005951	-2.78%	0.006383	+4.27%	0.0700	✗	-0.01
2026-07-26	oos	0.006336	0.006169	-2.63%	0.00607	-4.21%	0.0176	✓	-0.04
2026-07-25	oos	0.006314	0.006146	-2.66%	0.005956	-5.66%	0.0334	✓	-0.09
2026-07-24	oos	0.006277	0.006116	-2.57%	0.006009	-4.27%	0.0195	✓	-0.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.006211	0.006071	-2.24%	0.005979	-3.72%	0.0155	✓	-0.05
2026-07-22	oos	0.006132	0.006016	-1.90%	0.006029	-1.67%	0.0024	✓	0.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.006357	0.006233	-1.95%	0.005854	-7.92%	0.0629	✓	-0.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.00625	0.006123	-2.04%	0.006121	-2.07%	0.0024	✓	-0.09
2026-07-19	oos	0.005801	0.005692	-1.88%	0.006336	+9.22%	0.1090	✗	-0.18
2026-07-18	oos	0.005801	0.005689	-1.93%	0.006314	+8.84%	0.1029	✗	-0.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.005798	0.005675	-2.13%	0.006277	+8.26%	0.1015	✗	-0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.006041	0.005894	-2.44%	0.006211	+2.81%	0.0570	✗	-0.23
2026-07-15	oos	0.006107	0.005957	-2.45%	0.006132	+0.41%	0.0332	✗	-0.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.00645	0.006264	-2.88%	0.006357	-1.44%	0.0085	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.00544	0.005304	-2.51%	0.00625	+14.89%	0.1179	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.005863	0.005694	-2.87%	0.005801	-1.05%	0.0040	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.005483	0.005341	-2.59%	0.005801	+5.80%	0.0667	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.005	0.004893	-2.13%	0.005798	+15.97%	0.1734	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.005597	0.005432	-2.95%	0.006041	+7.93%	0.0969	✗	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.004082	0.004052	-0.72%	0.006107	+49.61%	0.3711	✗	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.003864	0.00385	-0.34%	0.00645	+66.95%	0.4900	✗	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.00324	0.003257	+0.51%	0.00544	+67.91%	0.5406	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.003242	0.003276	+1.05%	0.005863	+80.84%	0.5796	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.003	0.003045	+1.50%	0.005483	+82.76%	0.5773	✓	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.002442	0.002466	+0.97%	0.005	+104.73%	0.6815	✓	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.006625	0.006524	-1.52%	0.005597	-15.51%	0.1803	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.007189	0.007105	-1.17%	0.004082	-43.22%	0.5915	✓	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.006933	0.00689	-0.62%	0.003864	-44.27%	0.6572	✓	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.007913	0.007798	-1.46%	0.00324	-59.06%	0.9401	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.008785	0.008629	-1.78%	0.003242	-63.10%	1.0458	✓	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.008992	0.008828	-1.82%	0.003	-66.64%	1.1306	✓	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.009169	0.009	-1.84%	0.002442	-73.37%	1.3455	✓	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.009313	0.009142	-1.83%	0.006625	-28.87%	0.3515	✓	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.010452	0.010233	-2.10%	0.007189	-31.22%	0.3361	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.