XEF

Xeffy · native · lstm_s3

token id: #633
symbol: XEF
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-15
predictions: 360

Track record at +30d

assessed

90

of 120 predictions shown

direction hit

60.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2176

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0412

actual -0.0978

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.004362	0.004195	-3.83%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.00434	0.00418	-3.69%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.004365	0.004187	-4.09%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-10-18	oos	0.0043	0.004131	-3.92%	–	pending	–	–	-0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.004521	0.004301	-4.87%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.004544	0.004316	-5.02%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-15	oos	0.004581	0.004348	-5.09%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-14	oos	0.004339	0.004138	-4.64%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.004166	0.004005	-3.87%	–	pending	–	–	-0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.00412	0.003949	-4.16%	–	pending	–	–	-0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.004012	0.003872	-3.49%	–	pending	–	–	-0.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.004044	0.003891	-3.78%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.004051	0.003892	-3.94%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.003918	0.003765	-3.90%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-07	oos	0.004142	0.003978	-3.97%	–	pending	–	–	-0.11
2026-10-06	oos	0.00412	0.003984	-3.30%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-05	oos	0.004078	0.003951	-3.11%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.004432	0.00429	-3.23%	–	pending	–	–	-0.13
2026-10-03	oos	0.003817	0.003699	-3.10%	–	pending	–	–	-0.20
2026-10-02	oos	0.004988	0.004739	-5.00%	–	pending	–	–	-0.20
2026-10-01	oos	0.005017	0.004774	-4.85%	–	pending	–	–	-0.17
2026-09-30	oos	0.005013	0.004752	-5.21%	–	pending	–	–	-0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.004268	0.004106	-3.79%	–	pending	–	–	-0.56
2026-09-28	oos	0.004541	0.004353	-4.15%	–	pending	–	–	-0.53
2026-09-27	oos	0.004455	0.004295	-3.59%	–	pending	–	–	-0.40
2026-09-26	oos	0.004617	0.004439	-3.86%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-09-25	oos	0.004728	0.004531	-4.17%	–	pending	–	–	-0.42
2026-09-24	oos	0.005116	0.004867	-4.87%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-09-23	oos	0.004436	0.004283	-3.44%	–	pending	–	–	-0.42
2026-09-22	oos	0.004354	0.004277	-1.77%	–	pending	–	–	-0.33
2026-09-21	oos	0.004336	0.00429	-1.07%	0.004362	+0.58%	0.0042	✓	-0.27
2026-09-20	oos	0.004372	0.004169	-4.64%	0.00434	-0.73%	0.0480	✗	-0.36
2026-09-19	oos	0.004563	0.004342	-4.85%	0.004365	-4.34%	0.0081	✓	-0.37
2026-09-18	oos	0.004794	0.004541	-5.27%	0.0043	-10.32%	0.0501	✓	-0.33
2026-09-17	oos	0.005449	0.0049	-10.08%	0.004521	-17.03%	0.0689	✓	-0.18
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.004096	-5.72%	0.004544	+4.61%	0.1162	✗	-0.18
2026-09-15	oos	0.003837	0.003672	-4.30%	0.004581	+19.39%	0.2566	✗	-0.43
2026-09-14	oos	0.003874	0.003743	-3.38%	0.004339	+12.01%	0.1607	✗	-0.30
2026-09-13	oos	0.003645	0.003541	-2.86%	0.004166	+14.28%	0.1815	✗	-0.24
2026-09-12	oos	0.003056	0.003014	-1.36%	0.00412	+34.84%	0.3235	✗	-0.19
2026-09-11	oos	0.003884	0.003793	-2.34%	0.004012	+3.30%	0.0724	✗	-0.20
2026-09-10	oos	0.003968	0.003872	-2.44%	0.004044	+1.89%	0.0595	✗	-0.20
2026-09-09	oos	0.00401	0.003933	-1.91%	0.004051	+1.04%	0.0402	✗	-0.20
2026-09-08	oos	0.004901	0.004759	-2.90%	0.003918	-20.06%	0.1854	✓	-0.22
2026-09-07	oos	0.004835	0.004711	-2.55%	0.004142	-14.32%	0.1176	✓	-0.22
2026-09-06	oos	0.004718	0.004622	-2.02%	0.00412	-12.67%	0.1027	✓	-0.20
2026-09-05	oos	0.004529	0.004463	-1.48%	0.004078	-9.97%	0.0757	✓	-0.20
2026-09-04	oos	0.004744	0.004698	-0.97%	0.004432	-6.56%	0.0413	✓	-0.20
2026-09-03	oos	0.005066	0.005069	+0.05%	0.003817	-24.66%	0.2734	✗	-0.24
2026-09-02	oos	0.005016	0.004943	-1.45%	0.004988	-0.55%	0.0362	✗	-0.30
2026-09-01	oos	0.004993	0.004973	-0.39%	0.005017	+0.48%	0.0366	✗	-0.30
2026-08-31	oos	0.004669	0.004733	+1.36%	0.005013	+7.36%	0.0733	✓	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.005046	0.005113	+1.32%	0.004268	-15.43%	0.1632	✗	-0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.005104	0.005216	+2.19%	0.004541	-11.03%	0.1233	✗	-0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.005199	0.005319	+2.32%	0.004455	-14.32%	0.1582	✗	-0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.005385	0.005568	+3.41%	0.004617	-14.26%	0.1738	✗	-0.27
2026-08-26	oos	0.005417	0.005614	+3.62%	0.004728	-12.72%	0.1545	✗	-0.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.005231	0.005431	+3.83%	0.005116	-2.20%	0.0394	✗	-0.28
2026-08-24	oos	0.005276	0.005511	+4.44%	0.004436	-15.93%	0.1983	✗	-0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.005177	0.005383	+3.99%	0.004354	-15.89%	0.1809	✗	-0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.005087	0.005266	+3.51%	0.004336	-14.75%	0.1578	✗	-0.31
2026-08-21	oos	0.004926	0.005187	+5.28%	0.004372	-11.25%	0.1609	✗	-0.28
2026-08-20	oos	0.00578	0.005649	-2.27%	0.004563	-21.05%	0.2261	✓	0.12
2026-08-19	oos	0.005749	0.005523	-3.93%	0.004794	-16.60%	0.1537	✓	0.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.00582	0.005489	-5.69%	0.005449	-6.36%	0.0222	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.00589	0.005544	-5.88%	0.004344	-26.25%	0.2587	✓	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.00599	0.005599	-6.53%	0.003837	-35.94%	0.3957	✓	0.10
2026-08-15	oos	0.005993	0.005601	-6.53%	0.003874	-35.35%	0.3900	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.005916	0.005531	-6.51%	0.003645	-38.39%	0.4360	✓	0.10
2026-08-13	oos	0.005929	0.005544	-6.50%	0.003056	-48.46%	0.6160	✓	0.10
2026-08-12	oos	0.006068	0.005659	-6.75%	0.003884	-35.99%	0.3967	✓	0.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.006474	0.006005	-7.24%	0.003968	-38.70%	0.4327	✓	0.10
2026-08-10	oos	0.006798	0.006281	-7.60%	0.00401	-41.02%	0.4663	✓	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.006782	0.006278	-7.43%	0.004901	-27.73%	0.2677	✓	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.006455	0.005995	-7.12%	0.004835	-25.10%	0.2366	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.006942	0.006409	-7.69%	0.004718	-32.04%	0.3302	✓	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.007076	0.006517	-7.90%	0.004529	-35.99%	0.3889	✓	0.12
2026-08-05	oos	0.00732	0.006723	-8.16%	0.004744	-35.20%	0.3715	✓	0.11
2026-08-04	oos	0.006568	0.006067	-7.63%	0.005066	-22.87%	0.1850	✓	0.02
2026-08-03	oos	0.006383	0.005893	-7.67%	0.005016	-21.42%	0.1580	✓	-0.02
2026-08-02	oos	0.00607	0.005619	-7.42%	0.004993	-17.74%	0.1145	✓	-0.02
2026-08-01	oos	0.005956	0.005505	-7.58%	0.004669	-21.61%	0.1516	✓	-0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.006009	0.005552	-7.62%	0.005046	-16.03%	0.0831	✓	-0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.005979	0.005564	-6.95%	0.005104	-14.63%	0.0866	✓	0.00
2026-07-29	oos	0.006029	0.00559	-7.28%	0.005199	-13.77%	0.0699	✓	-0.01
2026-07-28	oos	0.005854	0.005437	-7.11%	0.005385	-8.01%	0.0049	✓	-0.02
2026-07-27	oos	0.006121	0.005675	-7.28%	0.005417	-11.50%	0.0434	✓	-0.01
2026-07-26	oos	0.006336	0.005922	-6.54%	0.005231	-17.44%	0.1160	✓	-0.04
2026-07-25	oos	0.006314	0.005892	-6.68%	0.005276	-16.43%	0.0927	✓	-0.09
2026-07-24	oos	0.006277	0.005877	-6.38%	0.005177	-17.53%	0.1082	✓	-0.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.006211	0.005875	-5.40%	0.005087	-18.09%	0.1354	✓	-0.05
2026-07-22	oos	0.006132	0.005866	-4.33%	0.004926	-19.66%	0.1755	✓	0.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.006357	0.006085	-4.28%	0.00578	-9.08%	0.0513	✓	-0.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.00625	0.005941	-4.95%	0.005749	-8.03%	0.0274	✓	-0.09
2026-07-19	oos	0.005801	0.00552	-4.85%	0.00582	+0.32%	0.0529	✗	-0.18
2026-07-18	oos	0.005801	0.005515	-4.92%	0.00589	+1.54%	0.0649	✗	-0.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.005798	0.005479	-5.52%	0.00599	+3.30%	0.0853	✗	-0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.006041	0.005658	-6.35%	0.005993	-0.80%	0.0548	✓	-0.23
2026-07-15	oos	0.006107	0.005728	-6.21%	0.005916	-3.12%	0.0268	✓	-0.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.00645	0.005977	-7.33%	0.005929	-8.08%	0.0162	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.00544	0.00507	-6.80%	0.006068	+11.55%	0.1615	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.005863	0.005421	-7.53%	0.006474	+10.43%	0.1808	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.005483	0.005115	-6.70%	0.006798	+23.98%	0.2822	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.005	0.004727	-5.46%	0.006782	+35.64%	0.3498	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.005597	0.005188	-7.31%	0.006455	+15.32%	0.1914	✗	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.004082	0.003929	-3.74%	0.006942	+70.08%	0.5275	✗	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.003864	0.003738	-3.24%	0.007076	+83.15%	0.6233	✗	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.00324	0.003171	-2.12%	0.00732	+125.94%	0.8271	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.003242	0.003199	-1.33%	0.006568	+102.62%	0.7122	✗	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.003	0.002976	-0.79%	0.006383	+112.76%	0.7569	✗	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.002442	0.002396	-1.91%	0.00607	+148.53%	0.9141	✗	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.006625	0.006437	-2.83%	0.005956	-10.09%	0.0983	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.007189	0.006926	-3.66%	0.006009	-16.41%	0.1886	✓	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.006933	0.006715	-3.14%	0.005979	-13.75%	0.2167	✓	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.007913	0.007578	-4.23%	0.006029	-23.81%	0.2889	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.008785	0.008348	-4.97%	0.005854	-33.37%	0.4259	✓	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.008992	0.008533	-5.11%	0.006121	-31.93%	0.3930	✓	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.009169	0.00869	-5.22%	0.006336	-30.90%	0.4012	✓	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.009313	0.008818	-5.32%	0.006314	-32.21%	0.4082	✓	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.010452	0.00985	-5.76%	0.006277	-39.94%	0.5001	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.