XEF

Xeffy · native · lstm_s3

token id: #633
symbol: XEF
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-15
predictions: 360

Track record at +1d

assessed

119

of 120 predictions shown

direction hit

53.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0605

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0031

actual -0.0077

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.004362	0.004347	-0.34%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.00434	0.004326	-0.32%	0.004362	+0.50%	0.0072	✗	-0.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.004365	0.00435	-0.34%	0.00434	-0.57%	0.0022	✓	-0.34
2026-10-18	oos	0.0043	0.004286	-0.32%	0.004365	+1.53%	0.0178	✗	-0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.004521	0.004503	-0.40%	0.0043	-4.90%	0.0439	✓	-0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.004544	0.004526	-0.41%	0.004521	-0.51%	0.0014	✓	-0.31
2026-10-15	oos	0.004581	0.004562	-0.42%	0.004544	-0.80%	0.0062	✓	-0.31
2026-10-14	oos	0.004339	0.004324	-0.36%	0.004581	+5.57%	0.0600	✗	-0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.004166	0.004153	-0.31%	0.004339	+4.17%	0.0386	✗	-0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.00412	0.004108	-0.31%	0.004166	+1.10%	0.0187	✗	-0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.004012	0.004002	-0.27%	0.00412	+2.69%	0.0278	✗	-0.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.004044	0.004033	-0.27%	0.004012	-0.77%	0.0049	✓	-0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.004051	0.00404	-0.27%	0.004044	-0.18%	0.0010	✓	-0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.003918	0.003908	-0.24%	0.004051	+3.39%	0.0363	✗	-0.04
2026-10-07	oos	0.004142	0.004131	-0.28%	0.003918	-5.42%	0.0551	✓	-0.11
2026-10-06	oos	0.00412	0.00411	-0.25%	0.004142	+0.54%	0.0078	✗	-0.00
2026-10-05	oos	0.004078	0.004068	-0.24%	0.00412	+1.04%	0.0127	✗	-0.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.004432	0.00442	-0.29%	0.004078	-8.01%	0.0817	✓	-0.13
2026-10-03	oos	0.003817	0.003809	-0.21%	0.004432	+16.13%	0.1559	✗	-0.20
2026-10-02	oos	0.004988	0.004968	-0.41%	0.003817	-23.48%	0.2630	✓	-0.20
2026-10-01	oos	0.005017	0.004996	-0.41%	0.004988	-0.58%	0.0024	✓	-0.17
2026-09-30	oos	0.005013	0.004991	-0.44%	0.005017	+0.08%	0.0135	✗	-0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.004268	0.004255	-0.30%	0.005013	+17.46%	0.1634	✗	-0.56
2026-09-28	oos	0.004541	0.004526	-0.34%	0.004268	-6.02%	0.0576	✓	-0.53
2026-09-27	oos	0.004455	0.004441	-0.31%	0.004541	+1.95%	0.0176	✗	-0.40
2026-09-26	oos	0.004617	0.004601	-0.34%	0.004455	-3.51%	0.0321	✓	-0.43
2026-09-25	oos	0.004728	0.00471	-0.37%	0.004617	-2.36%	0.0185	✓	-0.42
2026-09-24	oos	0.005116	0.005092	-0.47%	0.004728	-7.58%	0.0756	✓	-0.43
2026-09-23	oos	0.004436	0.004421	-0.34%	0.005116	+15.33%	0.1461	✗	-0.42
2026-09-22	oos	0.004354	0.004342	-0.26%	0.004436	+1.88%	0.0143	✗	-0.33
2026-09-21	oos	0.004336	0.004326	-0.25%	0.004354	+0.40%	0.0053	✗	-0.27
2026-09-20	oos	0.004372	0.004354	-0.42%	0.004336	-0.82%	0.0192	✗	-0.36
2026-09-19	oos	0.004563	0.004543	-0.45%	0.004372	-4.19%	0.0386	✓	-0.37
2026-09-18	oos	0.004794	0.00477	-0.51%	0.004563	-4.81%	0.0427	✓	-0.33
2026-09-17	oos	0.005449	0.005393	-1.02%	0.004794	-12.02%	0.1074	✓	-0.18
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.004324	-0.46%	0.005449	+25.44%	0.2317	✗	-0.18
2026-09-15	oos	0.003837	0.003828	-0.24%	0.004344	+13.22%	0.1297	✗	-0.43
2026-09-14	oos	0.003874	0.003866	-0.20%	0.003837	-0.96%	0.0178	✓	-0.30
2026-09-13	oos	0.003645	0.003643	-0.07%	0.003874	+6.28%	0.0659	✗	-0.24
2026-09-12	oos	0.003056	0.003062	+0.20%	0.003645	+19.30%	0.1732	✓	-0.19
2026-09-11	oos	0.003884	0.003883	-0.03%	0.003056	-21.33%	0.2394	✓	-0.20
2026-09-10	oos	0.003968	0.003968	-0.02%	0.003884	-2.12%	0.0195	✓	-0.20
2026-09-09	oos	0.00401	0.004009	-0.01%	0.003968	-1.03%	0.0147	✓	-0.20
2026-09-08	oos	0.004901	0.004892	-0.18%	0.00401	-18.19%	0.1994	✓	-0.22
2026-09-07	oos	0.004835	0.004827	-0.17%	0.004901	+1.38%	0.0136	✗	-0.22
2026-09-06	oos	0.004718	0.004728	+0.21%	0.004835	+2.48%	0.0193	✓	-0.20
2026-09-05	oos	0.004529	0.004544	+0.31%	0.004718	+4.16%	0.0389	✓	-0.20
2026-09-04	oos	0.004744	0.004759	+0.33%	0.004529	-4.52%	0.0491	✗	-0.20
2026-09-03	oos	0.005066	0.005089	+0.45%	0.004744	-6.37%	0.0751	✗	-0.24
2026-09-02	oos	0.005016	0.005012	-0.08%	0.005066	+1.01%	0.0261	✗	-0.30
2026-09-01	oos	0.004993	0.004994	+0.01%	0.005016	+0.46%	0.0041	✓	-0.30
2026-08-31	oos	0.004669	0.004682	+0.28%	0.004993	+6.93%	0.0604	✓	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.005046	0.005054	+0.15%	0.004669	-7.47%	0.0764	✗	-0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.005104	0.005116	+0.22%	0.005046	-1.14%	0.0154	✗	-0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.005199	0.005207	+0.16%	0.005104	-1.82%	0.0187	✗	-0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.005385	0.005408	+0.43%	0.005199	-3.45%	0.0477	✗	-0.27
2026-08-26	oos	0.005417	0.005429	+0.21%	0.005385	-0.60%	0.0038	✗	-0.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.005231	0.005241	+0.19%	0.005417	+3.57%	0.0350	✓	-0.28
2026-08-24	oos	0.005276	0.005288	+0.22%	0.005231	-0.86%	0.0125	✗	-0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.005177	0.00518	+0.06%	0.005276	+1.93%	0.0233	✓	-0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.005087	0.005086	-0.01%	0.005177	+1.76%	0.0203	✗	-0.31
2026-08-21	oos	0.004926	0.004933	+0.13%	0.005087	+3.26%	0.0262	✓	-0.28
2026-08-20	oos	0.00578	0.005763	-0.30%	0.004926	-14.77%	0.1651	✓	0.12
2026-08-19	oos	0.005749	0.005728	-0.36%	0.00578	+0.54%	0.0049	✗	0.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.00582	0.005795	-0.42%	0.005749	-1.22%	0.0143	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.00589	0.005864	-0.44%	0.00582	-1.20%	0.0080	✓	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.00599	0.005962	-0.47%	0.00589	-1.66%	0.0145	✓	0.10
2026-08-15	oos	0.005993	0.005964	-0.48%	0.00599	-0.04%	0.0047	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.005916	0.005888	-0.48%	0.005993	+1.29%	0.0175	✗	0.10
2026-08-13	oos	0.005929	0.0059	-0.48%	0.005916	-0.21%	0.0035	✓	0.10
2026-08-12	oos	0.006068	0.006038	-0.51%	0.005929	-2.30%	0.0182	✓	0.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.006474	0.006436	-0.58%	0.006068	-6.27%	0.0587	✓	0.10
2026-08-10	oos	0.006798	0.006753	-0.65%	0.006474	-4.76%	0.0417	✓	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.006782	0.006737	-0.67%	0.006798	+0.23%	0.0106	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.006455	0.006414	-0.64%	0.006782	+5.07%	0.0559	✗	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.006942	0.006892	-0.72%	0.006455	-7.02%	0.0656	✓	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.007076	0.007024	-0.73%	0.006942	-1.89%	0.0129	✓	0.12
2026-08-05	oos	0.00732	0.007258	-0.85%	0.007076	-3.33%	0.0248	✓	0.11
2026-08-04	oos	0.006568	0.006517	-0.78%	0.00732	+11.45%	0.1160	✗	0.02
2026-08-03	oos	0.006383	0.006333	-0.78%	0.006568	+2.91%	0.0367	✗	-0.02
2026-08-02	oos	0.00607	0.006025	-0.74%	0.006383	+5.16%	0.0577	✗	-0.02
2026-08-01	oos	0.005956	0.005913	-0.73%	0.00607	+1.90%	0.0269	✗	-0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.006009	0.005966	-0.73%	0.005956	-0.88%	0.0016	✓	-0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.005979	0.00594	-0.66%	0.006009	+0.50%	0.0116	✗	0.00
2026-07-29	oos	0.006029	0.005993	-0.61%	0.005979	-0.82%	0.0020	✓	-0.01
2026-07-28	oos	0.005854	0.005821	-0.56%	0.006029	+3.00%	0.0352	✗	-0.02
2026-07-27	oos	0.006121	0.006086	-0.57%	0.005854	-4.37%	0.0389	✓	-0.01
2026-07-26	oos	0.006336	0.0063	-0.57%	0.006121	-3.39%	0.0299	✓	-0.04
2026-07-25	oos	0.006314	0.006277	-0.57%	0.006336	+0.36%	0.0107	✗	-0.09
2026-07-24	oos	0.006277	0.006242	-0.56%	0.006314	+0.58%	0.0117	✗	-0.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.006211	0.00618	-0.49%	0.006277	+1.07%	0.0148	✗	-0.05
2026-07-22	oos	0.006132	0.006106	-0.42%	0.006211	+1.29%	0.0171	✗	0.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.006357	0.006327	-0.47%	0.006132	-3.54%	0.0314	✓	-0.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.00625	0.006221	-0.47%	0.006357	+1.71%	0.0234	✗	-0.09
2026-07-19	oos	0.005801	0.005777	-0.42%	0.00625	+7.74%	0.0803	✗	-0.18
2026-07-18	oos	0.005801	0.005776	-0.43%	0.005801	+0.01%	0.0040	✓	-0.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.005798	0.005772	-0.46%	0.005801	+0.04%	0.0083	✗	-0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.006041	0.006009	-0.53%	0.005798	-4.02%	0.0353	✓	-0.23
2026-07-15	oos	0.006107	0.006074	-0.54%	0.006041	-1.07%	0.0084	✓	-0.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.00645	0.006408	-0.65%	0.006107	-5.32%	0.0440	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.00544	0.005411	-0.54%	0.00645	+18.56%	0.1328	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.005863	0.005826	-0.63%	0.00544	-7.20%	0.0450	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.005483	0.005452	-0.57%	0.005863	+6.93%	0.0732	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.005	0.004977	-0.47%	0.005483	+9.66%	0.1024	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.005597	0.005557	-0.71%	0.005	-10.67%	0.1207	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.004082	0.004077	-0.11%	0.005597	+37.13%	0.3018	✗	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.003864	0.003862	-0.03%	0.004082	+5.64%	0.0725	✗	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.00324	0.003245	+0.14%	0.003864	+19.25%	0.1853	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.003242	0.00325	+0.24%	0.00324	-0.06%	0.0095	✗	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.003	0.00301	+0.32%	0.003242	+8.06%	0.0665	✓	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.002442	0.002448	+0.23%	0.003	+22.84%	0.1944	✓	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.006625	0.006596	-0.44%	0.002442	-63.13%	1.0102	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.007189	0.007175	-0.20%	0.006625	-7.85%	0.1048	✓	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.006933	0.006929	-0.06%	0.007189	+3.69%	0.0126	✗	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.007913	0.007892	-0.26%	0.006933	-12.39%	0.1020	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.008785	0.008755	-0.34%	0.007913	-9.92%	0.1126	✓	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.008992	0.008961	-0.35%	0.008785	-2.31%	0.0121	✓	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.009169	0.009138	-0.35%	0.008992	-1.93%	0.0149	✓	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.009313	0.009282	-0.34%	0.009169	-1.55%	0.0172	✓	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.010452	0.010409	-0.41%	0.009313	-10.90%	0.0900	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.