UPROBINHOOD

? · · lstm_s3

token id: #949
symbol: UPROBINHOOD
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-11
predictions: 189

Track record at +7d

assessed

56

of 63 predictions shown

direction hit

71.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4398

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0326

actual +0.0621

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.276795	0.270556	-2.25%	–	pending	–	–	2.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.277585	0.271603	-2.15%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.24885	0.243818	-2.02%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-18	oos	0.21966	0.216242	-1.56%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.23107	0.226757	-1.87%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.28208	0.273944	-2.88%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-15	oos	0.279945	0.272192	-2.77%	–	pending	–	–	2.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.27437	0.266822	-2.75%	0.276795	+0.88%	0.0046	✓	2.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.297375	0.288441	-3.00%	0.277585	-6.65%	0.0338	✓	2.31
2026-10-12	oos	0.198445	0.197915	-0.27%	0.24885	+25.40%	0.2265	✗	2.16
2026-10-11	oos	0.23632	0.232327	-1.69%	0.21966	-7.05%	0.0145	✓	2.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.20848	0.207866	-0.29%	0.23107	+10.84%	0.1438	✗	2.04
2026-10-09	oos	0.20578	0.206282	+0.24%	0.28208	+37.08%	0.3389	✓	2.04
2026-10-08	oos	0.19801	0.200253	+1.13%	0.279945	+41.38%	0.3243	✓	2.03
2026-10-07	oos	0.22919	0.22807	-0.49%	0.27437	+19.71%	0.2254	✗	1.96
2026-10-06	oos	0.24363	0.241103	-1.04%	0.297375	+22.06%	0.2666	✗	1.96
2026-10-05	oos	0.266405	0.262346	-1.52%	0.198445	-25.51%	0.1861	✓	1.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.28781	0.282625	-1.80%	0.23632	-17.89%	0.1151	✓	1.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.290305	0.285022	-1.82%	0.20848	-28.19%	0.2703	✓	1.94
2026-10-02	oos	0.27341	0.269723	-1.35%	0.20578	-24.74%	0.2249	✓	1.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.29989	0.294306	-1.86%	0.19801	-33.97%	0.3235	✓	1.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.40591	0.395045	-2.68%	0.22919	-43.54%	0.5376	✓	2.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.39374	0.383289	-2.65%	0.24363	-38.12%	0.4991	✓	2.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.291185	0.286844	-1.49%	0.266405	-8.51%	0.1304	✓	2.08
2026-09-27	oos	0.31507	0.308817	-1.98%	0.28781	-8.65%	0.1197	✓	2.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.36447	0.355044	-2.59%	0.290305	-20.35%	0.2091	✓	2.03
2026-09-25	oos	0.33586	0.327903	-2.37%	0.27341	-18.59%	0.1917	✓	2.04
2026-09-24	oos	0.33996	0.331463	-2.50%	0.29989	-11.79%	0.1113	✓	2.04
2026-09-23	oos	0.39528	0.383288	-3.03%	0.40591	+2.69%	0.0770	✗	2.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.482965	0.467159	-3.27%	0.39374	-18.47%	0.1156	✓	1.84
2026-09-21	oos	0.55709	0.537324	-3.55%	0.291185	-47.73%	0.5470	✓	1.78
2026-09-20	oos	0.46212	0.445777	-3.54%	0.31507	-31.82%	0.4107	✓	1.60
2026-09-19	oos	0.485615	0.46787	-3.65%	0.36447	-24.95%	0.3105	✓	1.58
2026-09-18	oos	0.58476	0.559529	-4.31%	0.33586	-42.56%	0.5714	✓	1.56
2026-09-17	oos	0.47322	0.453962	-4.07%	0.33996	-28.16%	0.4156	✓	1.26
2026-09-16	oos	0.37378	0.36159	-3.26%	0.39528	+5.75%	0.0433	✓	1.29
2026-09-15	oos	0.318955	0.31181	-2.24%	0.482965	+51.42%	0.2705	✗	1.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.37084	0.3583	-3.38%	0.55709	+50.22%	0.3342	✗	1.05
2026-09-13	oos	0.379015	0.365081	-3.68%	0.46212	+21.93%	0.1764	✗	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.353985	0.341387	-3.56%	0.485615	+37.19%	0.2961	✗	1.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.382085	0.36596	-4.22%	0.58476	+53.04%	0.4177	✗	1.10
2026-09-10	oos	0.396465	0.378057	-4.64%	0.47322	+19.36%	0.2272	✗	1.11
2026-09-09	oos	0.41882	0.397954	-4.98%	0.37378	-10.75%	0.0350	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.50196	0.47439	-5.49%	0.318955	-36.46%	0.3598	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.55791	0.52514	-5.87%	0.37084	-33.53%	0.3362	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.679235	0.635252	-6.48%	0.379015	-44.20%	0.4714	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.790295	0.732459	-7.32%	0.353985	-55.21%	0.6944	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.63101	0.587888	-6.83%	0.382085	-39.45%	0.3994	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.76968	0.710997	-7.62%	0.396465	-48.49%	0.5241	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.838135	0.768811	-8.27%	0.41882	-50.03%	0.6200	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.87428	0.788984	-9.76%	0.50196	-42.59%	0.4657	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.91438	0.806437	-11.81%	0.55791	-38.98%	0.3751	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.52462	0.474426	-9.57%	0.679235	+29.47%	0.3250	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.32435	0.309708	-4.51%	0.790295	+143.66%	0.9166	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.24126	0.239806	-0.60%	0.63101	+161.55%	0.9442	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.26469	0.266339	+0.62%	0.76968	+190.79%	1.0490	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.37223	0.348402	-6.40%	0.838135	+125.17%	0.8998	✗	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.15754	0.158115	+0.37%	0.87428	+454.96%	1.7245	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.19865	0.19947	+0.41%	0.91438	+360.30%	1.5279	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.1409	0.141126	+0.16%	0.52462	+272.33%	1.3139	✓	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.0851	0.085612	+0.60%	0.32435	+281.14%	1.3168	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.1107	0.110998	+0.27%	0.24126	+117.94%	0.7826	✓	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.1054	0.104191	-1.15%	0.26469	+151.13%	0.8375	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.