UPROBINHOOD

? · · lstm_s3

token id: #949
symbol: UPROBINHOOD
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-11
predictions: 189

Track record at +30d

assessed

33

of 63 predictions shown

direction hit

93.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.6476

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.1036

actual -0.3070

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.276795	0.26256	-5.14%	–	pending	–	–	2.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.277585	0.264388	-4.75%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.24885	0.237567	-4.53%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-18	oos	0.21966	0.212217	-3.39%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.23107	0.221063	-4.33%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.28208	0.262307	-7.01%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-15	oos	0.279945	0.261325	-6.65%	–	pending	–	–	2.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.27437	0.256244	-6.61%	–	pending	–	–	2.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.297375	0.276704	-6.95%	–	pending	–	–	2.31
2026-10-12	oos	0.198445	0.194534	-1.97%	–	pending	–	–	2.16
2026-10-11	oos	0.23632	0.226378	-4.21%	–	pending	–	–	2.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.20848	0.203966	-2.17%	–	pending	–	–	2.04
2026-10-09	oos	0.20578	0.202289	-1.70%	–	pending	–	–	2.04
2026-10-08	oos	0.19801	0.196087	-0.97%	–	pending	–	–	2.03
2026-10-07	oos	0.22919	0.222941	-2.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.96
2026-10-06	oos	0.24363	0.235636	-3.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.96
2026-10-05	oos	0.266405	0.255663	-4.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.28781	0.275065	-4.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.290305	0.276629	-4.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.94
2026-10-02	oos	0.27341	0.26227	-4.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.29989	0.285309	-4.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.40591	0.379622	-6.48%	–	pending	–	–	2.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.39374	0.368474	-6.42%	–	pending	–	–	2.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.291185	0.277913	-4.56%	–	pending	–	–	2.08
2026-09-27	oos	0.31507	0.298512	-5.26%	–	pending	–	–	2.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.36447	0.341101	-6.41%	–	pending	–	–	2.03
2026-09-25	oos	0.33586	0.315486	-6.07%	–	pending	–	–	2.04
2026-09-24	oos	0.33996	0.318372	-6.35%	–	pending	–	–	2.04
2026-09-23	oos	0.39528	0.365984	-7.41%	–	pending	–	–	2.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.482965	0.445572	-7.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.84
2026-09-21	oos	0.55709	0.510345	-8.39%	0.276795	-50.31%	0.5299	✓	1.78
2026-09-20	oos	0.46212	0.42217	-8.64%	0.277585	-39.93%	0.4539	✓	1.60
2026-09-19	oos	0.485615	0.442385	-8.90%	0.24885	-48.76%	0.5870	✓	1.58
2026-09-18	oos	0.58476	0.524102	-10.37%	0.21966	-62.44%	0.8913	✓	1.56
2026-09-17	oos	0.47322	0.425776	-10.03%	0.23107	-51.17%	0.6918	✓	1.26
2026-09-16	oos	0.37378	0.342433	-8.39%	0.28208	-24.53%	0.2815	✓	1.29
2026-09-15	oos	0.318955	0.297869	-6.61%	0.279945	-12.23%	0.1675	✓	1.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.37084	0.338423	-8.74%	0.27437	-26.01%	0.2543	✓	1.05
2026-09-13	oos	0.379015	0.34259	-9.61%	0.297375	-21.54%	0.2262	✓	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.353985	0.320137	-9.56%	0.198445	-43.94%	0.5415	✓	1.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.382085	0.339732	-11.08%	0.23632	-38.15%	0.4515	✓	1.10
2026-09-10	oos	0.396465	0.348268	-12.16%	0.20848	-47.42%	0.6016	✓	1.11
2026-09-09	oos	0.41882	0.36496	-12.86%	0.20578	-50.87%	0.6260	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.50196	0.431879	-13.96%	0.19801	-60.55%	0.8204	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.55791	0.475242	-14.82%	0.22919	-58.92%	0.7808	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.679235	0.569872	-16.10%	0.24363	-64.13%	0.9125	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.790295	0.651813	-17.52%	0.266405	-66.29%	0.9662	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.63101	0.524936	-16.81%	0.28781	-54.39%	0.6832	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.76968	0.630607	-18.07%	0.290305	-62.28%	0.8177	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.838135	0.680097	-18.86%	0.27341	-67.38%	1.0003	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.87428	0.696836	-20.30%	0.29989	-65.70%	0.9350	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.91438	0.704583	-22.94%	0.40591	-55.61%	0.6131	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.52462	0.416801	-20.55%	0.39374	-24.95%	0.1310	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.32435	0.289676	-10.69%	0.291185	-10.23%	0.0594	✓	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.24126	0.239362	-0.79%	0.31507	+30.59%	0.1932	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.26469	0.271494	+2.57%	0.36447	+37.70%	0.2442	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.37223	0.321362	-13.67%	0.33586	-9.77%	0.0180	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.15754	0.163257	+3.63%	0.33996	+115.79%	0.6615	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.19865	0.20766	+4.54%	0.39528	+98.98%	0.5776	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.1409	0.145676	+3.39%	0.482965	+242.77%	1.0951	✓	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.0851	0.086169	+1.26%	0.55709	+554.63%	1.7497	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.1107	0.114555	+3.48%	0.46212	+317.45%	1.3592	✓	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.1054	0.1026	-2.66%	0.485615	+360.74%	1.4479	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.